Archive for August, 2018

A left wing newspaper covers the Right

August 27, 2018

For those who don’t know, the Right wing government has had a change of Prime Minister. It was agitated for by the extreme right, and he kept yielding to them, until they rewarded him by challenging him for leadership. They succeeded in the overthrow, but not in putting one of their absolute own in place. We still have a neoliberal leader.

Where I live We are always being told by the Right, that the local non-Murdoch newspaper, the Sydney Morning Herald is a left wing newspaper. I thought I’d test this hypothesis by looking at relevant article headlines for the first three days after the Morrison coup. See what you think.

For any confused Americans, ‘Liberal’ in the rest of the world means something like “in favour of capitalism” it does not mean “progressive”.

The lines reaching the margin are the headlines, the indent a vague summary of the article. Remarks in {}s are mine.

Saturday
Morrison snatches top job.

  • [New PM vows to unite party, nation]
  • Podium finish for Morrison after day of Drama.

  • [PM embarks on Campain to heal divisions]
  • PM vows action on Power prices.

  • [no mention of climate change or emissions. No criticism of his focus]
  • Headaches ahead on the policy front.

  • [he will push control of the policy priorities back to the centre right]
  • He promised so much but sadly delivered little.

  • [Peter Fitzsimmons laments Malcolm Turnbull’s failings]
  • Real Malcolm did stand up, too late.

  • [Another peice on Turnbull’s failings. Both legitimate the challenge]
  • The Rise and rise of a ruthless pragmatist always in a hurry.

  • [Morrison’s career as a moderate pragmatist… His connections with Peter Costello a Liberal stalwart and John Howard. Loyal to Turnbull. Likes football. A bastion of middle Australia. Competent Treasurer. Hailed by business. General moderate good guy.]
  • Down to earth, a good man, a winner, a clown.

  • [8 positive comments on Morrison from voters in his electorate one negative and one indifferent for balance.]
  • No Honeymoon for PM.

  • [Shock jocks still want Abbott/Dutton as PM]
  • The inside story of Scott Morrison’s ascendancy.

  • [Morrison had more application than Dutton. The mess is all the fault of those more conservative than Morrison. He was loyal to the end]
  • The breaking of politics in Australia.

  • [Left wing identity politics, and right wing insurgency is the problem. Steady democracy is on the way out – so the coalitions’ behaviour in the last week is the new normal]
  • Editorial: Liberals choose the sensible centre-right.

  • [No comment needed]
  • Letters: Turnbull can only blame himself. Narrow victory for the progressives
    Stephanie Dowrick: Rise up and resist the leaders with no vision.

  • [mildly critical, but the ALP are as bad.]
  • Tom Switzer: Popular ideas can help Morrison unite a split party.

  • [Malcolm Turnbull was never one of us. Morrison must fight the culture wars, political correctness and left identity politics. {presumably the government’s actual policies are not popular or desired by most people.}]
  • Peter Hartcher: Vengeance but no end to madness.

  • [Over a quarter of the peice gives Abbott’s attack on Turnbull without comment. The implication is that the Liberals have gone away from their conservative base and lost trust.]
  • Sunday
    Morrison to end school Funding War.

  • [{We will eventually find out that this means giving still more money to over-wealthy high fee private schools}]
  • Dutton backers tell PM to show he’s listening on immigration.
    Normal bloke next door is what Australia needs.

  • [The new Prime Minster is one of us]
  • Treasurer turns to Costello for tips.
    Everyone loves the real friendly new first lady.
    No clash of dynasties in Wentworth.

  • [all is peaceful in the ex-PM’s electorate. No one cares he has been displaced.]
  • The Roof of the Broad Church may be falling in

  • [Critical of Coalition or Turnbull Government, but implies that the republicans in the US are a populist working class party -NO]
  • Wanted firm political leadership.

  • [critical of both sides]
  • Editorial: If Morrison can be his own man then there’s hope.

    Monday
    Morrison treads softly in reshuffle.
    Voters warm to PM but turn on Coalition.

  • [Sounds critical but the “coalition has kept core support near the 44.6 per cent it gained at the last election” so they are hopeful of winning. {No mention of other polls which show Coalition support collapsing}]
  • PM Rewards Allies and restores key rivals to power.
    Morrison did everything for a truce. But one move was too far.

  • [Pragmatic cabinet reshuffle that did not reward Tony Abbott.]
  • Accolades flow for top Foreign minister.

  • [Be nice to Julie Bishop day. Don’t talk about sexism. Bishop was widely regarded as a leadership contender who worked hard for people on her side. She was roundly rejected by her party.]
  • Amanda Vanstone: No wonder the public is annoyed.

  • [Criticises nameless bad people in the Parliament so its all generalities]
  • Cancer eating the heart of democracy.

  • [Kevin Rudd attacks Rupert Murdoch and Tony Abbott.]
  • Sources of Social Power 1: Violence (dynocracy)

    August 27, 2018

    Some while ago I wrote about the ten different sources of social power:
    Violence. Wealth. Cosmology. Communication. Organisation. Social Category. Risk. Networked legitimacy. Inertia.

    Today I’ll sketch out something about violence

    Monopoly and organisation of violence are important (organisation is a source of power), but disorganised violence can be effective as when a stronger or more skilled person attacks another without provocation or one person lives in fear of another. Whoever controls (or implements) the violence tries to make it ‘legitimate’, but being able to persuade people of that legitimacy is important. Legitimacy is matter of cosmology and communication (rhetoric). If Apple started using guns to murder people in MS we would probably not cheer at this moment, although court cases aimed at destroying the other company might be acceptable. However, if some news channel lies about people wiping them out of the contest, portrays them as inhuman or subhuman, or supports a military struggle against them, we may be unsure if this is violence (or indeed untrue) unless some rival news channel takes the story up in a different way; and even then we don’t know what is happening. Likewise we may wonder if selling people an addictive substance which will lead to their death is violence. So we also need to decide what ‘violence’ involves, which is possibly not going to be easy.

    In this basic case I’m going to talk about physical injury or the threat of physical injury through the application of force or substances, the kind we usually associate with the military. But there may be other forms of violence (such as speech and categorising) intentional and unintentional. Violence does not have to actually be applied to be effective, indeed sometimes the threat of violence is more effective at maintaining power than the deployment of violence, as the deployment of violence can be seen to be ineffective. For example, the US had a military reputation for success, before they invaded Afghanistan and Iraq -their failures there helped the growth of opposition and the realisation they were defeatable.

    Essentially violence depends upon consent of a kind, as David Hume remarked. If the troops refused to obey their commanders or see obedience as part of the nature of their world, peace might break out, class structures might fall apart. Most humans are not terribly violent (violent yes but not to killing people continually), so armies tend to build loyalties, build group identities, build obedience, or build outgroup identities, so that outgroups can be dealt with as non human. Modern armies can try and destroy a person’s identity in order to build an army identity. To be disobedient, is generally to break with the group, exhibit what the group calls cowardice (a bad thing) and not only to risk punishment but to be alone. Consent to obedience is built into this organisational communicative process.

    Violence as a form of coercion, may further attract particular personality types, and usually tends to be more favoured by men than women, as women are generally smaller, less muscular, and more likely to get hurt. In general, most people do not seem capable of maintaining sustained high levels of violence and death, hence it is always a minority that exerts this form of coercion. This is reinforced because the best weapons, defense and training are nearly always expensive. Again trained, organised and well equipped violence is usually the most effective (although not always).

    When the fighting forces, classes or individuals come together to plan conquest, or demand tribute from the people they defend or terrorise, they begin to form a proto-State. One can think of the relationship between the European State, feudal kingship and the violence of knights, or the Roman State and military expansion. There is perhaps little functional difference between the fighting classes and organised crime, except the fighting classes have managed to give themselves public legitimacy. They offer people (and each other) protection demanding obedience in return. Of course, this protection is generally from other fighting classes, who wish the same of those beneath them.

    Because organised violence is tied in with the State, then as long as there are professional combat forces you will probably have a State, or the violent State, as professional combat forces generally need tribute and some kind of State to organise and extract it. Similarly, if the State spends a large portion of its budget on the military, it implies it is dominated by violent imperatives, rather than democratic ones. Hence, the vital importance of cutting military spending if you are serious about ending State coercion. Of course this is hard to do, while other forms of organised violence, and State violence, still exists in neighbouring territories, as dynocracies are often driven by desires for expansion, either to gain more land to keep the centre from the potential front lines, or the desire to gain more tribute. Violence begets violence up to mutual destruction. Social forms need more than mere violence.

    Dynocracy can also be joined with other forms of power such as theocracy, when the basis of power is religion and violence. It is not a solution to this form of coercion to replace State combat with plutocractic privately organised combat. If you don’t somehow prevent private armies, you may end up back in an even worse place, as those private forces form their own military organisations with no ‘traditional curbs’ at all, and demand tribute. Many forms of organisation can embrace organised combat.

    People, as individuals, or as part of a group or social category, can carry this kind of threat with them, as a mode of display, through visible weaponry and so on. It can be used to defend, increase or enforce economic power. For example, the East India company, the opium wars, the slave trade, rubber in Brazil etc. Over time, the military may become the social elite, and thus responsible for the ‘safety’ of all other forms of power.

    However, where there is no organized violence, or class of violent people, violence can be used to destroy the formation hierarchy, relatively painlessly. Where there is such an organized class, it is much harder, and more likely to fail.

    Identity politics

    August 25, 2018

    There is a lot of bad press being given to left wing identity politics at the moment, but strangely right wing identity politics seems to be ignored, or people pretend it does not exist, even while it is particularly virulent. Perhaps the right wing media use this identity politics in an attempt to get people on side with right wing policies which are not popular….

    Now as far as I understand it, left wing identity politics is people saying something like “I’m gay, black, working class and redneck and I demand respect on all counts, stop disrespecting me, or excluding me for being any of these things.” Sometimes it sounds a bit incoherent, but if you accept the idea that we are all equal in principle, then its pretty straightforward: “Yep that’s ok. I’ll do my best.” This is not to say people on the left are universally tolerant (who is?) but that the movement of Left identity politics is expansive and aims at recognizing people who are usually ignored or actively repressed as worthwhile human beings.

    Right wing identity politics, on the other hand seems to go something like “everyone who is not like me is inferior, and they should shut up and listen to my wisdom and worship”. In general it seems the hard right will not tolerate any difference from their own position, which ever one it is they have chosen at this time. If anyone is different, or says anything different, then they must be expelled, or silenced as they are overtly inferior and corrupt.

    Despite commentator Jordan Peterson’s optimistic proposition that the Right excludes racists, being the same ‘race’ as them is often important – although they may say that ‘whites’ are discriminated against, presumably for not being approved of for slurring blacks or Muslims or whatever… (Muslim is not a race, they say, so if they insist all Muslims are evil, its not racist). Sometimes it seems that right wing Christians claim they are discriminated against because they can’t burn people at the stake any more, and expect applause for that act.

    This kind of identity politics almost automatically appears to makes most of the right inclined parties seem more and more deeply intolerant and self-involved, especially when they have the support of right wing media. This media also tolerates no difference and tells them how those on the Right are oppressed by, say, leftwing gay people wanting equal rights to marry or to hold hands in public. It was interesting that during the anti-gay marriage campaign, the right often argued that marriage was about children and therefor no marriage which could not have children was legitimate – thus narrowing the number of people (even heterosexuals) who should marry even further. The Right appears to believe that those who are not joined to them are sinful and should not be heard.

    In Australia, this kind of identity politics is why the Australian Liberal party (Liberal in the sense of pro-capitalist Victorian liberalism) is moving away from being what it used to claim was a ‘broad church’. The hard right appears to be trying to get rid of anyone who does not believe in exactly the same set of policies they believe in, even when both sides are happily ‘neoliberal’ in terms of the economy. Neoliberalism, involves nannying and protecting the corporate sector, and ignoring wage theft, pension theft and financial fraud from the corporate sector if it can, while trying to prosecute unions and cut wages and conditions for ordinary folk. Hence they were outraged at the last Coalition prime minister Malcolm Turnbull, because he admitted that climate change might be a problem, and that politicians should occasionally listen to the concerns of other people – even when he consistently yielded to their concerns. Yielding was not enough, he should never have thought otherwise in the first place. This refusal to accept him was effectively a form of violence towards Turnbull, and any Australians who might have agreed with him.

    While at the moment some people may vote for the Liberal and National Coalition out of habit or out of fear, there is a risk that it will become a minor authoritarian collection of parties driving off everyone who might question the identity that their hard right promotes.

    After all, how big is the intersection between those people who want to promote climate change, kill off gay marriage, incarcerate people fleeing tyranny, and lovey up corporations at the expense of ordinary people? Probably not that many.

    So in terms of social category theory, left wing identity politics seems to be trying to expand the categories of what is considered equal humanity, while right wing identity theory seems to be trying to narrow the categories of what seems human, and increase the strength of their identity boundaries and distinctions from others. The higher and harder the barriers they erect, then the more they will probably feel persecuted by the others (‘we-categories’ rarely recognized themselves as persecutory) and the more ruthless and potentially violent they will likely become to preserve that purity.

    The path to social disaster and fragmentation becomes clearer.

    Stratospheric Aerosol Injection

    August 15, 2018

    Stratospheric Aerosol Injection is a form of Geoengineering, which is being considered because the climate situation is getting desperate, with extremely high temperatures in the Antarctic, and massive bush fires around the world.

    It involves injecting particles into the upper atmosphere. There are problems with using this technique to modify climate – some technical and some political and some both. This post describes some of them. It incorporates parts of an earlier post on this site.

    1) We have to rely on models for our predictions and understanding of weather, climate and ecology, and models can be wrong.

    2) The system we would be trying to modify is complex and not predictable in specific. So we do not know the exact results of putting the particles into the stratosphere – we would have to find out through doing.

    3) The chances are high that some areas would suffer significant weather changes after the particles reached the stratosphere and these changes would not be uniform. The effects usually discussed are changes in rainfall. For example protecting Europe could lead to major drought in north Africa.

    4) Geoengineering is based in social systems which are also complex systems, and GE could disrupt those systems and their balances.

    5) For example, unintended bad weather effects could lead to massive people movements, which as we know can be considered potential ‘take overs’ and increase social stresses and tensions….

    6) This together with unpredictability, might lead to accusations of weather warfare, whether it was or not, and this might then spill over into more orthodox forms of warfare.

    7) GE is cheap in some sense, in that it might only cost billions a year to implement. While this suggests rogue corporations or states could begin GE, it also suggests that there could be fights over funding. Would those who contributed the most want the best results for their countries as opposed to others?

    8) GE requires some form of international governance to avoid arguments, which has been shown to be hard to establish even with simpler objectives

    9) I have not seen any viable self-supporting GE proposals. Nearly all of them require massive tax-payer subsidies, and some appear to need massive cross-national governance and regulation. We could give massive subsidies to private enterprise and hope they do they job without any oversight, but I doubt that will appeal even to the pro-corporate-power lobby. There is no apparent profit in Geoengineering, other than the potential to threaten people with bad weather. So it is unlikely that corporations would persist with it.

    10) GE once begun must be continued, but warfare, or economic collapse could lead to rapid discontinuation, and hence extremely rapid climate change, which might further reduce biodiversity, as the change would be so rapid. Decline in biodiversity = decline in ecological stability.

    11) It is extremely likely that once GE was implemented, people in power would breathe a sigh of relief and say “oh we don’t have to stop burning fossil fuels anymore”, so the situation gets worse, but they stay in power.

    12) The rational solution to climate change is to lower emissions – we have known this since the 1980s at least. We have the technology to do this now, and it largely seems to work. That we don’t do this, shows we have a destructive set of social organisations and rivalries, and GE will be implemented within this destructive organisation and probably further destruction.

    13) The assumption of GE is that it is easier to modify the complete climate and bio ecologies of the planet without serious unintended effects, than it is to lower emissions. This, in practice seems unlikely.

    14) GE does not stop or ameliorate the results of high levels of CO2, thus ocean acidification and ocean death would continue – which would be calamitous.

    15) The particles which people usually suggest we use are sulphites, these have the potential to further damage the ozone layer. There are plenty of other ecologically destructive actions GE does not ameliorate or stop.

    16) People who support GE tend to be those who deny we should do anything about climate change, consequently the likelihood of point the points about continuing destruction, rather than lessening it, increases.

    Short summary: Stratospheric Aerosol Injection is a largely uncontrollable, unpredictable process embedded in destructive social organisations, that will delay any chances of fixing climate change. Fixing climate change requires changing our social organisation and reducing emissions.