Archive for December, 2020

Fossil Fuel Fascism

December 11, 2020

People often seem to talk as if some form of democracy was inherent in the future, whether it is based the current neoliberal form of energy use, or whether it becomes based in renewable decentralised energy. There is no necessity for this assumption. It is probably more accurate, and analytically useful, to assume the politics of transition will be complicated.

The Right, Climate & Ecology

Rightwing politics, and in particular right wing authoritarianism is often tied in with climate denial, postponement of climate action, support for ecological destruction and support for fossil fuels. They will not even accept that their sacred market seems to be in favour of renewables, they just plough taxpayers money into fossil fuels, and try and inhibit development of renewable energy through regulation and legislation. They also repeal regulation that stops ecological destruction. Conservative politics in the UK and Germany, can assume that conservation is possible, while the supposed Left in the English Speaking world (ie the Democrats, Labour and Labor), are less hostile to climate action but are still rarely pro-active. In Australia climate action can be joined to support for coal which endangers limited and precarious water supplies for major cities, and the Labor party can support the Narrabri coal seam gas project, and coal for export. It risks much less powerful opposition from the mining sector.

It would appear that many people think neoliberal capitalism cannot survive without its modes of pollution and destruction, or even if those modes of pollution and destruction are restrained. For them, capitalism is about liberty (even if that liberty, in practice, is limited to the wealth elites), and that includes the liberty to destroy, which appears to be the basis of the other liberties, as is the classic capitalist view of property (if something is yours you can destroy it with complete liberty). That would appear to justify a liberty to suppress others, who object to the destruction.

The neoliberal Right is not consistent about this. They sometime claim a care for the environment. Trump is well capable of saying he has produced the best air and the best water, [1] (although he seems to have had little to nothing to do with it), and that he wants to lower emissions, while removing nearly all boundaries and penalties for polluting and destroying, opening national monuments and national parks for drilling and destruction and shoveling taxpayers’ money to fossil fuel companies to keep them buoyant – especially during the Covid Crisis and the oil shock of early 2020. After the election he rushed to confirm the opening of the Arctic national wildlife refuge in Alaska to drilling for oil and gas [2], [3], as part of “advancing this administration’s policy of energy independence.”

Trump implies that you can have both rampant ecological destruction and a good ecological result, which could be a pleasant fantasy. However, more consistent thinkers have put forward a similar view, saying that capitalist countries tend to have gained cleaner environments over the years, and suggesting that only people who are financially prosperous can afford environmental care [4], [5], [6], [7], [8]. The problem is that even if this is true, then do we have the time for it to work all over the world? and do we advance this movement by opening more land and country to destruction? Especially when the destruction is easily concealed?

There is also the possibility that, like many other risks, the risks of climate change are not equally distributed and will hit the poor and racially vilified first. Racism could be built into the current system, and not likely to be unwound deliberately. Apparently:

A disproportionately high number of poor and non-white people live in the hottest neighborhoods across the [USA]. It’s often the result of discriminatory practices by banks and local governments.

Climate racism is real. Researchers found it in U.S. cities

The other right wing approach to ecological protection is simple and based in a similar kind of discrimination. They suggest that there should be less population elsewhere in the world. It is the poorer countries who are to blame, not the wealthier ones.

However, between 1990 and 2015:

The richest one percent of the world’s population [were] responsible for more than twice as much carbon pollution as the 3.1 billion people who made up the poorest half of humanity during a critical 25-year period of unprecedented emissions growth…

The richest 10 percent accounted for over half (52 percent) of the emissions added to the atmosphere between 1990 and 2015. The richest one percent were responsible for 15 percent of emissions during this time – more than all the citizens of the EU and more than twice that of the poorest half of humanity (7 percent).

Carbon emissions of richest 1 percent more than double the emissions of the poorest half of humanity. Oxfam, 21st September 2020

The argument about poor populations being the problem, is often joined with an attempt to reinforce borders and keep out refugees, because they supposedly spread the problem, producing ecological destruction because of their rampant preproduction, poor origins, or foreignness – the foreignness is part of the pollution of the national purity. The nationalist authoritarians don’t have to do anything in their own countries, except keep people out, no matter how much pollution those countries issue.

One US mass murderer is supposed to have written, mixed up with attacks on ‘migrants’: “If we can get rid of enough people, then our way of life can become more sustainable” [9], [10]. This kind of attitude is likely to become more prevalent the more that climate refugees become common.

Like many contemporary conspiracy theories, this population argument deflects attention from the normal action of the wealth elites, and the corporate sector, with their unsustainable and destructive consumption, extraction and pollution, and puts the burden on people who individually, or even collectively, do very little damage and have very little power. In the US, it has been indigenous people who have been resisting fossil fuel pipelines, and who face the penalties of action, sometimes enforced by police and troops and sometimes by private military contractors (mercenaries).

Discounting the extremism, from my experience, the reality seems to be that many people think that by opposing climate action, and by supporting fossil fuels, or dawning imaginary technology (without use having to change anything, including power relations), they are supporting prosperity and liberty, and moving against potential tyranny, and that authoritarian tactics are sometimes necessary – especially against outgroups such as native Americans.

This move does not seem to be declining. The Left, such as it is, has to face up to the fact that there has been no boom in Left voting, and little acceptance of Left ‘common sense’, over the last 20 years. Trump increased his vote considerably, despite all his failures and despite the Covid deaths. Morrison won his miracle election, and shows no sign of being able to lose the next. Boris Johnson won. Bolsonaro won. Modi won and so on… While Greens in Australia occasionally increase their representation, so do One Nation and the Shooters and Fishers Party; there is no likelihood of a Greens government at either State or Federal level.

The anti-fossil fuel movement is not like the anti-nuclear movement, in terms of its effects or popularity. This is despite what can be considered ‘elite’ defunding and divestment movements – you have to be reasonably elite to own shares and attend corporate meetings. Likewise, no current international agreement is strong enough to prevent dangerous climate change – and action seems resisted, despite UN exhortations (it hints at the loss of some national sovereignty, for the global good).

Liberty and Energy

There is a sense the Right could be partly correct about fossil fuels. Available Energy does give freedom and capacity, and renewables simply don’t produce similar availability to fossil fuels as yet, and probably never will. Fossil fuels do increase capacity, but with cost to other people and the environment, which is primarily a problem if theses issues are counted, or if you wonder about the destruction resulting from climate change in the future. If you discount the unintended side effects, then in the present, fossil fuels could easily be thought to generate new jobs, and jobs generate the only liberty capitalism allows, namely consumption.

Fossil fuels have also allowed production of the energy, steel, transport and weaponry needed for conquest, extraction of resources and control over cheap labour, and the imposition of stability. Fossil fuels allowed the world wars and truly massive violence, which ties together with the authoritarian project. What do you do with all the people you have encouraged to be violent, when there is little violence to use at home?

Energy transition also requires excess energy, or excess pollution, to produce the new sources of generation in quantity. This is a further incentive to open more coal.

On the other hand, renewables do possibly break down centralised energy generation and allow people to make their own energy, independent of the corporate structure – but that form of energy is not widely promoted, and most renewables (at scale) are installed by standard neoliberal processes with non-consultation, non-care for the environment, and non-care for workers. They do not generate community involvement or enthusiasm when built that way.

The connection of the possibility of new forms of liberty with small scale energy generation is not obvious, and it may not happen, because capitalism appears to need, and profit from, large scale energy generation, and large scale is more likely to produce simple and stable pricing structures.

If Mitchell’s argument is correct, that modern democracy grew with coal, and the capacity of coal workers to hold the country to ransom and demonstrate workers’ power, then the abolition of coal based energy may indeed mean the end of that democracy, unless we approach transition with care.

Autonomism and renewable energy

The Autonomists argued that there was a process of interaction between workers and bosses in the use of technology. Bosses would introduce technology to control workers and to extract more labour, and workers would respond by finding ways to play the technology, take over the technology, control the technology, steal bits of the technology, or use the technology for their own purposes – “the street has its own uses for things” to quote William Gibson. Then the bosses would respond to worker’s creativity by trying out new technologies, and new processes of discipline, and so it went on for cycle after cycle.

The processes are more confused than this skeleton suggests because technologies have unintended consequences, which might end up producing new social results – as for example when workers have to develop ‘work arounds’ and an organisation around those work-arounds, to actually do the job they are expected to do, and which the technology no longer allows them to do. However, the point is there is a place for workers to insert power and creativity.

This is inherent in Mitchell’s argument mentioned above. The bosses’ energy technology used for the factories, disciplining labour and making it mindless and perfectly replicable, could be commandeered against the bosses, to extract concessions for workers in general.

The problem with renewables is that dynamic seems to be almost completely lost. Solar panels don’t require labour, after construction and installation, other than cleaning and a little maintenance. The same is largely true of windfarms. If so, then renewables have the capacity to eliminate the autonomist cycle – there are few workers to subvert the technology. Maybe people can steal a bit of free energy, or build a bit for themselves, but usually the panels are not near people’s homes and the theft would be obvious (wires leading to your house). Renewables, at a large scale, eliminate the need for many energy workers; the companies are not that dependent on workers or upon difficult to replace workers. The workers cannot easily withhold supply. This is part of the system’s profitability. Renewables, have the potential to make energy companies dominant with few checks, other than legislation and regulation, and that is controlled by neoliberals, and as the renewable companies gain wealth and control, what might stop them filling the gap in the socio-political ecology previously occupied by oil and coal? There is none of the Autonomist interactive construction of liberty that could be present in previous technology.

This implies that renewables are not inherently ‘popular’ in the sense of giving power to the people, unless the people commandeer the processes of production and organisation. And that is a situation which goes against the ways that the modern world is organised. The modern world is largely organised by the actions of the corporate sector, followed by the adaptation of the people to those actions. We no longer have community solidarity or self organisation as normal. When popular action occurs it is motivated by people like Trump, who misleadingly use that action to support himself and most of the rest of the dominant groups. He shares the dominant interests, and shows no sign of supporting the people in general – with the possible exception of tariffs, but even that seems geared at protecting particular types of industry or exerting commercial power on other countries.

We cannot dismiss either the possibility that politics will become more authoritarian to support capitalisms current destructions, or that it will stay as authoritarian as it is now, because of the way Renewable Energy is organised.

The Authoritarian and Anti-Democratic Background

It seems more or less indisputable that we are in a growing phase of authoritarianism. This authoritarianism generally is being put forward, by people who are also engaged in climate denial, or who support fossil fuels. There is no reason to assume that the two cannot link together powerfully. There is also the possibility of anti-climate change authoritarianism, to overcome resistance to necessary changes, but I’ll talk about that elsewhere – and I’ve just mentioned the possibility renewables could become an authoritarian technology. However, at the moment the authoritarian threat seems to be largely promoted by neoliberals and the Right. Neoliberalism always acts in an attempt to boost the power of the wealth and power elites to begin with.

In the US, neoliberals like Trump are currently dismissing election results and either encouraging or turning a blind eye to threats of violence against election officials or other Republicans who refuse to overturn, or throw out, the votes for Biden. This report may be exaggerated, but:

Kim Ward, the Republican majority leader of the Pennsylvania Senate, said the president had called her to declare there was fraud in the voting. But she said she had not been shown the letter to Congress, which was pulled together hastily, before its release.

Asked if she would have signed it, she indicated that the Republican base expected party leaders to back up Mr. Trump’s claims — or to face its wrath.

“If I would say to you, ‘I don’t want to do it,’” she said about signing the letter, “I’d get my house bombed tonight.”…

Even in Defeat, Trump Tightens Grip on State G.O.P. Lawmakers. New York Times, 9 December 2020.

In the Supreme Court, Trump allies:

sought to invalidate the state’s 2.6 million mail-in votes, 77 percent of which were cast for Mr. Biden…

Republicans argued that a 2019 state law authorizing no-excuse mail voting was unconstitutional, although it passed the Republican-led legislature and was signed by Gov. Tom Wolf, a Democrat….

Rudolph W. Giuliani aired false charges about the election, including an assertion that mail-in ballots in Philadelphia were “not inspected at all by any Republican.” The claims were debunked in real time on Twitter by a Republican member of the Philadelphia elections board.

Even in Defeat, Trump Tightens Grip on State G.O.P. Lawmakers. New York Times, 9 December 2020.

It seems that Republicans are basically saying election results, and votes, are only valid if they give Republicans victory, probably because they think Democrats are not truly American, but are truly monstrous, in all possible ways. That is what their media tells them, and it helps explain a distressing loss. Republicans who disagree with them are made outgroup. A tweet from the Arizona Republican Party suggested that people should be willing to die for Trump and to overturn the election, and another (later taken down, officially because of copyright concerns) said “This is what we do, who we are. Live for nothing, or die for something” (apparently a quote from the film ‘Rambo’). It is hard to see this as anything other than a call for violence on behalf of the party, or a call for people to sacrifice themselves for the party.

For what its worth, I suggested that the Republicans were trying to prepare for, and encourage, a Civil War back in July. Since then, Trump has been preparing his supporters by repeatedly arguing that the only way he could lose was through fraud, and that there is some massive Democrat plot against him. No one can guarantee election results unless they are successfully trying to fix them. This ‘protest’ against the result was not an unforeshadowed event, but one involving some long term planning. Trump warned he would protest the results and he did.

If Trump has real evidence of electoral fraud, then why is he generally presenting ambiguous, or hearsay, evidence to the public and not presenting solid evidence to the courts? The Courts have asked for evidence, and been refused or ignored. One possible theory is that Trump’s teams do not have any such evidence, and his lawyers do not want to face perjury charges by putting faked evidence to the court. Another is that he does not need success. Indeed the court cases he is putting forward and supporting have largely seemed engineered to be rejected by the courts, perhaps to give the impression that he is being victimised by the system or the ‘deep state’. He may just be trying to build up suspicion about, and resentment over, the results. That is much easier, it does not require real evidence, and appears to have a massive persuasive impact on his followers, and will keep them motivated.

Even William Barr, after displaying massive support for Trump, has determined “we have not seen fraud on a scale that could have effected a different outcome in the election.” Another official, Chris Krebs, the director of the Department of Homeland Security’s Cybersecurity and Infrastructure Security Agency, said “I’m here to tell you that my confidence in the security of your vote has never been higher… because of an all-of-nation, unprecedented election security effort over the last several years.” Krebs was sacked.

Trump may be planning to leave the Covid crisis and the likely economic collapse, to his enemies, and come back arguing everyone was prosperous under him, which shows how bad Biden and crew are. This could be why he seems to be ignoring Covid in his last months. Why should he try and fix it? Why not let deaths increase exponentially to make it harder for the incoming administration?

There is also a double standard. Trump is not complaining about Republican attempts to fix the election or his own attempts to sabotage mail voting during a pandemic, as he had reason to think that mail in voting would favour Biden, as Biden voters would be more likely to believe in the Pandemic. (Indeed, mail in voting did favour Biden, by a considerable margin, which Trump then used to suggest it was fake.) Similarly, it appears if armed protestors threaten death to people who are standing up for the Elections and not following the Republican line, then that is not a big deal at all.

Likewise when people drew up to shoot paintballs into protesting crowds, this was not a problem. How did the crowds know there were no bullets in amongst this? Paintballs can injure, that is why players wear protective clothing and goggles (dye in the eyes may not be pleasant never mind the impact), and paintballs can certainly vandalise clothes and property – which normally you would expect the right to complain about, but nothing.

This is authoritarianism displaying its muscles.

In some states in the US, we reportedly have armed right wing groups seeking non-existent Antifa arsonists, and threatening people photographing or fleeing the climate induced fires. Some people risked staying in their homes to protecting them from equally non-existent marauding Antifa terrorists. [11], [12], [13], [14], [15],[16], [17]. The point here is that the misinformation machine easily seizes on the fear of fellow Americans in the outgroup, and this suspicion is now normal.

The violent Right is in action, the democratic Right is largely silent, and the action is not likely to dispel if Biden gets past all the hurdles, or even if Trump manages to persuade the electoral college to vote for him, or if he persuades congress to refuse the vote for Biden. If Trump ‘wins’, he will have the violent Right to deal with any protests against his denial of the electoral process, assuming the Democrats do not cave in as usual. If Trump loses, then the Violent Right has all the excuse it needs to fight against a supposedly stolen election.

There is no reason to assume that if Trump is successful in building up a popular disturbance, whether he gets back into power or not, that the techniques will not be emulated elsewhere in the world.

While it is not evidence, of much except the building oppositions, and fears the following comment seems reasonably accurate to me.

It turns out that Trump wasn’t an aberration. He was the result of long-building extremism and reality-denialism on the right. And when he came to power, far too many in the Republican party didn’t see a cruel, incurious, dictatorial madman, but a kindred spirit – and the kind of leader who would happily override inconvenient democratic norms, basic standards of human decency, and even the rule of law. That became increasingly clear the longer Trump was in office; yet, out of naivety or perhaps just misplaced trust in other human beings, too many Democrats, pundits, and average citizens chose to believe that Republicans were simply caught between a rock and a hard place, and that Trumpism would end with Trump…..

[However] a request that a high court disenfranchise millions who voted according to the rules and overturn the will of the people – isn’t an issue on which reasonable people might disagree.

Filipovic Republicans are trying to get the supreme court to overturn democracy itself. The Guardian, 12 Dec 2020.

This kind of aggressive attack on political processes, meets up with attempts to criminalise protests against fossil fuel pipelines in the US, and the hardening of penalties for protests in Australia. This is a violence aimed at suppressing even mild dissent against the neoliberal establishment.

While the wealth elites can well support, encourage or turn a blind eye to this violent authoritarianism in the belief it can, and will, protect them, they can also find out, as they did with Mussolini and Hitler, that once violence is established, the supportive elites can be threatened along with anyone else.

Weaponising hatred

I’ve argued elsewhere in this blog [18], [19], [20] that fascism needs to find or manufacture vile enemies at home and abroad, to be successful and to give its supporters the ability to excuse their side’s violence. Fascism’s rhetorical process requires hardening social identity categories and that has been building up in the US, Britain and Australia over the last 40 years of normal political action, providing a good basis for fascists to work from. The election fuss works for them, in that it delegitimates anything other than a Trump win, suggests the left cannot be trusted, allows authoritarian right to plough on in its quest for liberty for some, and allows the potential threatening of Republican officials in future elections – they now know what happens if they stand up to agree a Democrat won, and the positions will attract those who are determined that their side shall win.

Earlier in this post I remarked on the righteous idea that it is the size of population in other countries that is to blame for climate change, should it be happening. This seems to be linked to the increase in ingroup political identities, racial tensions, and that general collapse in dialogue between political groups. Naomi Klein suggests that it is no coincidence that “these two fires, the planetary one and the political one, are raging at the same time.”

What all of these demagogues understand, is the power of fear. They are tapping into feelings of profound unease and scarcity, in their respective countries. Some of that scarcity flows from decades of neoliberal economic policies, the attacks on labor protections, the shredded social safety nets, the opened chasms of economic inequality…. [but]

We all know on some cellular level that life on this planet is in crisis. That our one and only home is unraveling. No one, no matter how much Fox News they watch, is protected from the feeling of existential terror that flows from that. And that is what men like Trump and Bolsonaro know. Their one true skill is how to make other people’s fear work for them. And so they rile up hatred and they weaponize desperation and they run campaigns on building walls and stopping pending invasions. And most of all they sell their respective in groups the illusion that they will finally be secure in our age of rampant insecurity….

all of this leaves them free to get on with a real business at hand, which is plundering the last protected wildernesses on this planet, from the Amazon to the Arctic.

Berkeley Talks transcript: Naomi Klein on eco-fascism and the Green New Deal

Generating enemies, gives the leaders the excuse they need to declare martial law, to declare elections that reject them rigged, to declare war on the outgroups – which are those that oppose them – and support violent people on their side (if indirectly at the beginning). It gives them the power to stop speech in the name of protecting their own speech. It makes it patriotic to continue the economic war which siphons money from ordinary people and protects the neoliberal elite and their liberty, and which destroys the environment and makes people more insecure.

This potential fascism is a destructive positive feedback loop, and it is hard to evade.

Conclusions

Neoliberalism generates the conditions in which authoritarianism becomes natural, and fights against it can also become authoritarian.

Democratic Communists thought they were winning in the 1920s and 30s, partly because they refused to take fascism seriously, or thought the workers would recognise that their interests were not served by fascism and would join the parties on their side. They also failed to win the middle class. They forgot the effectiveness of orderly violence which was deployed by fascists, and they thought the process of history would inevitably lead to workers’ revolution. It didn’t.

This lesson should not be ignored.

The future is never guaranteed. We cannot assume climate democracy is inevitable or even likely.

Interview on Social Categories and ‘tribalism’

December 9, 2020

A student from another university interviewed me for a project of theirs…. this is an expanded and re-edited version of what happened.

Interviewer: So first question today, like in our Western society. Do you think that, like, tribalism or tribal attitudes have become really apparent or like just very obvious now?

JM: One of the reasons I don’t like talking about ‘tribalism’, as such, is because although the term seems to have a relatively clear meaning, and is commonly used, it obscures what’s happening, and implies that indigenous tribal people necessarily behave in a certain way, and they may not. It may also imply that people we call tribal in this way, are bound by blood, descent, tradition or something, when it can be a largely socially generated dynamic.

Consequently, I prefer to talk about the processes of the ways that people classify both themselves and others, within a politicised field of interaction with other people and groups, who are within and outside their own groups. This specifies more accurately what’s actually happening. To restate this, hopefully with more clarity: relations between (and within) groups, are the important areas of focus for this question. Does that make any sense?

Interviewer: Definitely.

JM: OK. So the question becomes ‘How are people coming to classify themselves more or less intensely in particular ways, and coming to relate, either in a friendly or hostile manner, to other groups?’

Interviewer: That’s exactly the question.

JM: This process is also partly about what people call ‘polarisation’, and I’m going to allege that polarisation happens as a result of particular ‘polarised classification’ in which everything important about people tends to be reduced to only two categories, and the two categories are then thought of as opposed, or as opposites, rather than as sharing a lot of features.

So its all about modes of categorisation. This is unavoidable. You don’t have language and society without social categories: men, women, children, old people, young people, mothers, fathers, sons, daughters, aunts, workers, bosses, chiefs, headmen, wise women, sorcerers, medicine people, warriors, friends, enemies, trading partners and so on. So social categories are important.

All societies are full of social categories, possibly structured by social categories. These categories are tied up with how we communicate, and how we treat others, or are treated by others – and indeed how we treat the world – but let’s leave that last point for another discussion.

One way of telling what someone is likely to mean, or do, is to categorise them. Some people have the right to give orders for instance, you might be expected to speak in a different way to an older (or younger) person or a person of another gender. If your child says “there’s an alien behind the tool shed” you might interpret it differently to the way you would interpret it if said by your commanding officer. The meaning changes with the context, or the framing, and in this case the framing is provided by the identity category of the person who is speaking (in that situation).

Let’s begin online, to make the importance of this a bit clearer. My experience online suggests that it’s quite hard to actually understand what anybody’s saying because you very rarely engage in much of an interactive conversation like we’re having. You make a text and then somebody responds to that text. Generally, there’s no kind of interaction, outside the text, that helps us to check meaning. I’m not hearing the tone of your voice, your grunts and nods which indicate if you understand, or disagree, or are getting offended when I’m not intending that and so on. I’m not perceiving your facial expressions or body language. Emojis are not a good substitute. Online, you emit, and people you might not even know are listening, might respond. So I can’t build my meaning as well as I do, in interaction, and the texts we offer on the internet are generally not that developed anyway. We also often do not know the people we are interacting with and have no history with them, or real knowledge of them or of what they are likely to think.

In effect, because of this lack of cues and the sheer volume of messages you may need to be able to resolve meaning pretty quickly. We need what people call ‘framing’, to help provide the context that gives a statement meaning and history. In this case, we usually frame by identity category; that is by who we think the other person is.

A common way of framing in this manner, is what we can call ‘political framing’. In other words, people classify, or categorise, themselves and others as belonging to a group with a particular kind of political orientation and that gives them some ‘knowledge’ of what the other might be thinking on most public issues. It narrows the range of possible meanings the listener has to apply, and that helps them resolve the meaning, and get on with the communication. Not necessarily accurately or harmoniously. Accuracy becomes less important than intensity and speed. We might even think that because we categorise a person in a certain political way, that they have nothing sensible to say on a particular subject. We might dismiss everything they say as stupid, or brainwashed – you know, the ‘sheeple’ response. We rarely spend much time exploring what the other might mean, or understand. We may not even care because they mean little to us.

The argument here is that the internet or Internet styles of communication have tended to intensify the ways that people classify themselves and classify others, to aid communication resolution – but that mode of communication resolution may not actually help good communication. Often, our modes of ordering fail, and even generate the disorder we fear. However, there might be certain payoffs which overwhelm any realisation that the techniques are not working, or indeed making things worse.

Interviewer: So how does this work politically?

JM: This factor can be quite useful politically. For instance, some media organisations like Fox News have been quite explicit that one of the ways that they keep people watching them is to tell their viewers that they cannot trust anybody else. People on Fox are the only people who tell the truth and they are pro-Republican or whatever (or possibly they define themselves by what they are not. They are not ‘radical’, ‘looney’, ‘socialist’ Democrats). So that people who classify themselves Republican, and who end up watching Fox News, tend to get very nervous about news from outside of that domain, because they have been told constantly that the rest of the world is being deceived and is mislead or even becoming un-American. Fox, to a large extent, tells them what they want to hear, that they are right, so its comfortable. Of course, if they accept all this is true, then it explains to them why other people might disagree with them. Those disagreeable people are disagreeing, not because Fox is misrepresenting reality, or Republicans are not working in their interests, but because those other people have been deceived, or whatever, and those other people are too stupid to work out the truth.

In those terms, people who disagree are automatically ‘sheeple’ – ill informed, obedient non-thinkers – not themselves of course; that could never happen. Fox’s message is that Democrats are your enemy, and Democrats are immoral, and Democrats lie all the time, particularly Democrat politicians. There is a binary contrast being made between the ‘sensible us’ and the ‘deluded and dangerous them’. The more that people only hear news which confirms what they believe, the more strongly news which disagrees with what they hear looks odd.

The process is reinforced as it makes an effective marketing strategy; it keeps your audience involved and watching, and if you can actually stop the audience listening to other sources of news, then they become more likely to stick with your news and that can increase your audience size and loyalty, and satisfy your sponsors.

It also keeps your audience involved with the station. And if you keep them emotionally active, angry and so on, they’re more likely to be excited and loyal, and they are less likely to check up about those they are angry about, or explore alternate news, particularly news from the centre. Obviously, politically, this can help to keep people in power and so on, because questioning those people involves disloyalty to the ‘information group’ that Fox creates. Think of the soft interviews that President Trump got on Fox, week after week – this draws audiences, gave Fox influence and power (the President may have received most of his information from Fox) and so on.

Nowadays there are people way to the right of Fox who are using similar techniques against Fox, because they know their audience has already been scared off ‘mainstream media’ -or media which is centrist or mildly right – they say Fox is ‘mainstream,’ it’s ‘deep state’ or whatever, because one journalist called a state for Biden and not Trump, or because there are people not praising Trump all the time. This helps build the audience of these further right stations up and satisfies their sponsors. So it becomes a self-reinforcing mechanism.

This can be a general process, not just one that happens on the right, it is just been more obvious on the right over the last 20 to 40 years. It also shows people the danger of not sticking in their category or not thinking or behaving as members of their category are supposed to behave and think. If they talk to the outsiders they can be expelled, exiled from their friends and people like them. This is particularly difficult for most humans as we are strongly social, and most of us depend on others for survival. The Right in the US uses the term RINO (Republicans in name only) as a term of abuse; this is used against Republicans who don’t always follow the hardliners of the party or who need to be punished, or threatened with exile, for communicating with people outside the group, or suggesting compromise, or whatever, for the good of the country.

People also tend to find that those who are exemplary of their group are more persuasive than exemplary members of an outgroup, or members of their own group who are classified as deviant. So again the process is self-reinforcing.

I would say that over the last 40 years, this kind of self classification and interpretation mechanism has massively intensified, but it was first used in ordinary media to get, keep and persuade audiences as both a commercial tool and a tool of power. It then became a standard way of information processing and interpretation on the Internet, and is reinforced by media and politics. It became a universal habit.

I suspect that people self often classify themselves as virtuous and other people (especially outgroups) as less virtuous. This might be normal and Fox and others are playing on this, but the intensity of the classifications, and the separation of categories leads people to disagree with the enemy on politics much more strongly than they did 40 years ago. And they tend to be much ruder about it, more prone to anger and so on; all of which helps break good communication.

Interviewer: So just to clarify, so you say that media, social media has made these attitudes more intense. Because we cannot communicate to each other properly. As if it was face-to-face.

JM: Yeah. I think the process was reinforced, because not long after this began there was a shift to online communication. There’s now so much communication that happens online, that its normal. There is so much information online that you need to be able to filter it quickly to make sense of it, and we let others filter this for us. There’s no real time for reflection.

Interviewer: Do you believe that these attitudes have been around since the beginning of human history, or has it started at a certain point?

JM: I think that it’s happened ever since language came around, because language involves a process of categorisation. Linguistic categories group different things together to try to make sense of them.

And also, of course, human beings always have to interact with other human beings. Our individuality comes out of our learning and interactions with others, both people we identify with and those we identify against. There are no functioning cultural human beings without other functioning cultural human beings and functional categories. We borrow our language from other people. We borrow our ideas from other people, and construct those ideas in interaction with other people (often including dead people through books). Sure we modify that language and ideas. But nevertheless, without those people, we would not really be able to think or act properly because we wouldn’t learn as much. I doubt we, as lone individuals, could invent language without learning language from other people. So I think that these sorts of processes go way back to the origins of humanity.

These processes probably become more of a problem when you get large scale societies, because if you live in a small scale society, the serious ‘not-we’ is something that you may not encounter very often, or only on special occasions. You might worry about them, but its not a big deal. That does not mean everyone is ‘we’ in the same way of course, but the ‘not-we’ might not be an enemy, just different. Whereas in a large scale society, you have to encounter the not ‘we’ all the time, its in your face.

There is an argument that the invention of the novel, which obviously happened in different cultures at different times across the world, gave people the imaginative experience of actually having to empathise with people who were ‘not we’ in order to read the book. This kind of empathy can also be enabled through other shared forms of media and newspapers, and helped the build-up of a sense of ‘nation’ which previously didn’t exist. This empathy helped people to classify more or less everybody who lived in their country of being part of the ‘we’. And yes, of course, this identity could become focused, you know, like the ‘we’ of your family, then move to the ‘we’ of your local community, the ‘we’ of your religion, your class, your education, your gender or whatever.

These categories can overlap with each other, which make personal identity so complicated – lots of different ‘we’s that intersect to make up your sense of identity, your sense of your ‘I’, your individuality. This is what intersectionality theory points to. People can choose (to some extent) whether they focus on the categories they share in common, or the categories which differentiate them, or make them different. Black women in the US can share parts of the ‘women experience’ with white women in the US, but they can also be separated by skin colour, or class, or whatever. You can choose to focus on the commonalities at some times, and the differences at others, which seems realistic if everyone gets what is being done, or you can join together or split completely.

Obviously, again, you have earlier examples of intensification of the difference between ‘us’ and ‘them’. In 1930s Germany, Hitler and the Nazis were able to convince many people that Jewish people could be categorised as subhuman and not categorised along with everyone else – they were supposedly completely different to normal Germans. This is intensifying a particular categorical difference and making it absolutely dominant, so there is no longer an intersecting ‘we’. Jewish people were not Germans, and possibly something similar is happening in the US today. The other political side are not Americans…. not humans really, just sheeple or demons – ready to be slaughtered. It’s a basic step to dehumanisation.

This had a historical and social backdrop, which made the distinction easier. Germany and Europe had a history of anti-Semitism, almost certainly based on religious group-making, while other countries had histories of slavery or colonialism which boosted other forms of racism and separation. However, the difference was intensified, when there is a possibility, at that time, it could have gone the other way and largely faded out.

One explanation as to why this politicised separation was so effective, is because many Germans, especially (but not only) the middle class, faced massive survival anxiety because of economic collapse. They faced the challenges of popular communism; they faced descent into the precarious poor, if they were not already there. This was truly frightening. Jewish people were largely not that influential, they were a minority, they were also easily associated with finance, and hence relatively easy to blame as the cause of Germany’s problems, even though most Jewish people faced exactly the same problems, of encroaching precariousness, as everyone else. Finally, big business (including people like American Henry Ford) funded the Nazis to save themselves from the Communists, and shift the blame elsewhere, from their own prosperity. Hitler promised to make Germany great again, and the Nazis were able to intensify the categories until it appeared Jews were nothing like ‘real Germans’, and the party could strip away whatever power individual Jewish people had, to render them even less powerful, and with even less ability to resist. And of course, the party was not afraid to use organised violence against people they classified as outsiders.

One of the dangers of categorising people as completely ‘other’ is that it’s a very short step to move from that, to taking that they are not human, and that we can do anything we like to them.

Interviewer: So what exactly happened around 40 years ago?

JM: Well, I think it started off as a political movement. My hypothesis is that during the 1980s, a lot of political momentum was generated around the idea of free markets and basically giving corporations special status and leadership, with the justification that everybody would rise in prosperity, everybody’s liberty would increase and so on, through handing power to markets. This was reinforced by the late 80s collapse of communism, which meant there was no longer any probable threat from workers rising in protest. The model and hope of alternate government was dead.

The rise in prosperity and liberty that was promised basically didn’t happen and, I’d argue, it can’t happen because capitalism is not just about economics but it is a mode of power and political control. In these ‘free market’ systems, corporate profit actually becomes the governing value of government and nation, and anything that gets in its way, has to be abolished.

One of the ways that the supporters of those kind of movements kept themselves in power was to deliberately try and set up an ‘us’ and ‘them’ set of categories between ‘we good people’ who believe in this truth about liberty and markets, and ‘those idiotic, evil people’ who are trying to maintain tyranny and oppression by opposing this truth (even though you can hardly call the 60s and 70s times of tyranny and oppression). In American media in the late 80s, you suddenly get people like Rush Limbaugh and so on, appearing, and their news programs are basically devoted to slandering and mocking people who disagree with this Republican ideology, as idiots or devils. They begin the culture wars and pretend that the outgroup are sheep, or even subhuman. The message is you can’t believe the others – they are bad people, really bad people.

This caught on. Being abusive gets called entertainment. It makes those people in the ‘we’ feel good about themselves, and gives them a scapegoat to blame for everything that is going wrong. And let us be clear, neoliberalism generates a lot of ‘going wrong’ for ordinary people; declining wages and working conditions for one. Most people suddenly find themselves in an economically precarious situation. Not as bad as pre-Nazi Germany perhaps, but still threatening, by comparison with what has gone before.

Interviewer: So in terms of politics, how do you think it functions in politics?

JM: Once you’ve got this kind of dynamic going, it means people will tend to support their side even when they do radically stupid, or dishonest, things. For example, when I was younger, some of the behavior of our current Australian government would not have been acceptable to anyone. Things like the whole series of scandals around Angus Taylor, or the sports rorts affair (which appears to reach right up to the Coalition leadership), or other hand outs of taxpayers’ cash to Coalition cronies. In my youth, the people responsible for these scandals would have been forced to take responsibility and resign. But the Coalition have a large body of media who will support them whatever they do, or which will argue that you cannot agree with their critics because its not strategic to give the other side any victories, and if you do you’re not one of ‘us’ – not a real conservative. So they can get away with it.

If you agree with the Coalition then you will let them get through it without any real problem – they are the ‘we’ – or you will pretend that there is no problem, or that they are just doing what everyone does. Attacking Taylor would be attacking the ‘we’ and hence the ‘I’. However, it would not be the same if the other side had acted similarly – that would be a scandal, which people would have to pay for. Likewise, I’m sure that if Clinton had behaved anything like Trump, Republicans would not be excusing her, like they excuse Trump. They would see the problems very clearly, and they would be furious.

We have got to the state where parties nowadays, can spend time just attacking the opposition rather than actually putting forward any policies. They seem to be relying largely upon group identity, and personal identity, to get them elected. Indeed, in certain cases, being explicit about their policies might induce opposition from those in their group-categories.

Interviewer: During the 2016 elections in America. Was this also present?

JM: I think so very, very strongly. This kind of thing, was almost the whole of what Trump was putting forward all the time. Anything that criticised him was fake news. His opposition (Hillary Clinton) was from the ‘liberal elite’, with no ability to relate to ordinary Americans. She was a criminal. She was evil. He would keep the rapist and murdering Mexicans (‘not us’) out, and do wonderful but largely unspecified things. He was a Republican who had been successful in markets and his group were the only ones who believed in America etc. All of that kind of stuff was very, very pronounced, as was the idea that the supposed liberal intelligentsia was totally contemptuous towards ordinary Americans, who should vote for Trump as a result. Some of that may even have seemed true because people on the Democrat side did talk about rednecks and deplorables and so on (even if Clinton’s remark about deplorables was taken out of context). So, yes, the polarisation was intense and it was inculcated by political leaders for their own purposes. Once you saw Trump as like you, a victimised outsider with good intentions, a normal but supremely talented guy, you didn’t have to worry so much about policy, because whatever he did would be the right thing. You voted for your sense of ‘we’ and your self-identity – and why not? No one else was doing you any good.

And Fox News, the Murdoch empire and various other people used these processes to help boost the policies they liked while not reporting, diminishing, or distorting the anti-Trump stories , while the less biased media was really unable, or unwanting, to pose a counter narrative.

There are lots of stories about Trump which never got any traction – like his alleged rape of a 13 year old girl at Jeffrey Epstein’s place. Judges thought the evidence good enough to go to court just before the Trump/Clinton election, but it apparently was not considered a real story, and after he became president it was withdrawn and the woman said she had been threatened, but that wasn’t considered a story either. I don’t think the story would have been left alone if it had involved a Democrat but, obviously, that can’t be proven.

Interviewer: So in terms of going back to social media and technology, but more in depth. What role does it have in this?

JM: As I said before, this kind of hard, ready and simple political categorisation helps lower the ambiguities of communication and gives people certainty, even if the certainty is incorrect. It also makes things really exciting because you’re at hyper-pitch all the time. You know, its ‘us’ versus the ‘evil empire’. People try to gain points with their own groups by being aggressive towards outsiders. People troll outsiders, for the pleasure of asserting their own political persuasion and showing themselves how righteous they are, and what creeps the others are. Again, it becomes that kind of hyper charging of categories to assert dominance and virtue, and to assert these other people are crap and we can abuse them with pleasure. And of course, as they reject ‘us’ because we are so rude, that reinforces our hatred for them

Interviewer: An article I read said one of the causes of tribalism was the emergence of populist and nationalist movements as well as growing economic inequalities.

JM: Well, this is another place where the idea of tribalism obscures what’s happening. It is more useful to talk about how categories work, because what is nationalism other than a particular set of ‘we’ categories in motion? These categories are defining your own identity. Nationalism says people of this appearance, or this behavior, or this descent, or whatever, belong together as a group. That’s a form of categorization. It’s saying: if you are real Hungarian or a real English person or a real Australian, then you will belong in these types of categories and have these types of properties and characteristics. You will belong together with people of the sort of similar characteristics and people who don’t have those characteristics do not belong with you. And those others are, when the intensity is low, just other people, but when the intensity is high, they are evil people and they should be expelled or blamed for whatever is going wrong.

Nationalists, need people who are not of the nation to reinforce the nation, hence Trump’s need to attack Mexicans (although he denies it) and why he was so threatened by Black Lives Matter. He could not say, ‘we’ need to sort out this problem. ‘We’ need to talk. It was “those rioters” those disorderly wicked people.

When you get to that level of intensity of categorization ‘populism’ just means basically going along with that set of ‘we’ and ‘them’ categories.

I don’t really know what else people are talking about when they’re saying populism. There’s often no kind of intellectual arguments or theories behind these things, or very superficial ones. But, it does not matter; it’s about this kind of identification of yourself with a group of other people who are being opposed, or oppressed, by another group of people who are identified as different and evil. Frequently this separation is magnified by the nationalists or popularists, trying to argue that the negative outgroups are oppressing the virtuous ingroups, to increase the hostility, even when this is objectively unlikely. It sometimes seems like the Australian government is trying to persuade us that homeless and displaced refugees are powerful and evil figures, bent on our destruction.

People don’t have to do any analysis once these categories are established, and they are being used to interpret what other people are saying and what your people are saying. You don’t need anything else anymore. You have a political movement. You have the ‘we’ and the ‘them’, in escalating opposition. The greater the hostility, the more likely that neither side will listen to the other, or attempt to bridge differences. Name-calling and so on, separates the groups even further, and makes the disputes even less likely to be resolved peacefully.

So nationalisms and populisms, create behaviours, and take advantage of behaviours, which boost strong categorisations, positive for the in group and negative for the outgroups, and try to encourage people to be hostile to the outgroups – which reinforces the process.

A growing sense of loss of people’s survival security may help people to look for a scapegoat, which they can be led to find in a (usually despised) outgroup.

Populism is felt to be the saviour of the nation state, but its actually the breakdown of the nation state. All these people who we used to tolerate and think of as part of the ‘us’, are no longer categorised as us. They are something else inferior – ‘sheeple’ again.

Interviewer: I mentioned the economic factors and inequalities.

JM: You did, sorry. You are right to draw attention to the economic factors, and to growing inequalities. When people’s survival is threatened (and people’s survival, and familiar lives, are being threatened by the apparent path of the economy, this is one reason why they want the US to be great again), they don’t always act rationally. They look for quick simple blame mechanisms, and things they can do. In this case; Blame the other side, the bad people – its their fault. Those on this path see the other side as worse than they probably are, as more powerful than they are and so on. It makes sense. Attack the bad people elect someone you identify with, and all will be well.

On top of this, people are probably aware that scientists say climate change is happening, and getting worse, even if they don’t understand it, or the follow misinformation. They might have some experience of that change in terms of weather, storms and drought, so even if they had rather it wasn’t happening, they have a sense of strangeness. And they know that people appear to threaten their normal way of living by wanting to act against climate change – that is what they are told by people they respect and identify with – so that is a worry too. And they can blame the bad outgroup people again for wanting that change.

Interviewer: So are you saying all this is deliberately engineered by bad people?

JM: That is my feeling. But that is a good question. What we are talking about is a natural process, that we can all fall into if we don’t take care and are not aware of how it works. And even if we are aware we might fall into it, in certain conditions, there is no guarantee we get free of our automisms.

Interviewer: What do you think are the relevant conditions.

JM: That’s difficult. But let me try and list some:

  • Survival crisis, often seems to activate hard categories – as we tend to look for others to blame. I don’t know if this is cultural or universal.
  • Conditions that break empathy. I tend to think empathy is the basis of constructive morality. It allows you to imagine being the other, with sympathy. Instead of seeing say an unfortunate person, or a victim, as an outcast or as evil, you can empathise with them. You think, that could be happening to me. I should find out what help could be needed. I need to be ‘just’ rather than take as much revenge as possible.
  • Empathy also suggests other people are interesting, rather than just threatening or like me.
  • If we break down categories into oppositions, rather than recognise them as hordes of intersections, then we create differences which are sometimes unreal. Even though I might differ from you in politics, we are similar in being human, in being Australian, in speaking a language in common, in being people who are trying to understand how things work. This recognition of similarity and difference can help to keep us linked rather than just placed in opposition.
  • If we tend not to interact with others, or the interactions tend to be constrained in some way (as they often are online and casually), then it may become hard to empathise. It is hard to empathise with abstractions. Interaction also tends to remind us that other people, despite their differences are humans. However, sometimes interactions can bring differences to the fore, and make them more visible and troubling – so its a delicate balance.
  • If we stop sharing information, or get our information from really different sources, then we can have radically different ways of perceiving and understanding the world. Those ways of understanding may share little in common. Making the other really evil, is easier if we don’t have close ties to the other and we apparently don’t share world views, and that reduces the possibility of empathy or category softening.
  • With this hardening of categories, many people will try to show how they are good members of the group by really emphasising their group loyalty and commitment – this helps makes the groups even more distinct, but may help the people gain status or power. It also encourages people to display this behaviour, because it lessens their chance of being expelled, and the consequences of being expelled get worse and worse, because the others seem so evil.
  • Obviously the last three factors could be made worse by the internet becoming one of our main ways of communicating and finding things out. We can be channeled into only interacting with people we define as being like us, or who share the information we share. So the others really do become incomprehensible strangers. They really become complete outsiders. Social media sites and search engines try to make finding what we want to hear easier to find, so by attempting to make order, they make the disorder of separation even worse; they remove the accidental possibility of finding information which is foreign to us.
  • The internet also makes it worse because this separation of publics, leads to people from the other side thinking they will have fun by grouping together and trolling the others. This helps convince the others that the raiders’ side really are dickheads, and the raiders get to see the others all upset and vulnerable, so they can say they have had a victory.
  • In these situations, then politics will tend to become more separatist and binary, people will go along with leaders because the consequences of not going along seem so bad. It does not have to be politics, it could be chariot racing groups as in Byzantium, Protestant or Catholic in Christianity and so on; whatever have become major identity groups and self classifications, through the processes of history.

There’s probably many more factors. I guess people should think about this if they want to.

Interviewer: I saw in this book by a French sociologist, he said that humans are, quote unquote, “homo duplex”. Which means that we both have a setting to be more ‘we’ and groupish, and another setting which can be more individual. Do you agree with this?

JM: Well, the relationship between, say, the ‘I’ and the ‘we’, is very complicated, because one of the ways that you know who you are, is by who you categorize yourself with.

You know, like ‘I’m an intellectual’. ‘I’m a university person’. ‘I like this kind of politics.’ ‘I’m not very sociable’, ‘I’m a guy’. ‘I’m in this kind of stage of life’. ‘My parents were British working class’ or whatever. I have all of these sorts of categories and, as we said above, these characteristics intersect – some of them give me some degrees of privilege and obligation, some don’t. They put me in a range of relationships with others. And those ways of categorizing myself are the way that I give myself identity. And I think that’s pretty general.

So, because of this, the ‘I’ is always a kind of ‘we’ of some sort. But at the same time, the ‘I’ has the potential to be different from everybody else. I’ve learnt all kinds of things from different people. No one has had exactly the same experience as me, or as you. We are all different, but we are also similar in some way or another. We are social creatures and we are individual creatures. We may even learn individuality from others because we admire and would like to be like someone else, or some group of other people, or fit in with some group.

In many ways, individuality itself is a social category, a set of social instructions which we carry out in part, or rebel against in part.

There’s the Monty Python sketch were a whole crowd is chanting in unison “we are all individuals” and some guy shouts out by himself “I’m not.” And that is obviously not an approved thing to say, while claiming individuality is really high on the list of socially approved things to say in our culture.

Another interesting thing about categories is that the ‘we’ category is differentiated; you can usually tell the difference between you and other people that you categorize in that level, they might be small differences but they seem real, but the others in the outgroups look to be pretty much identical, even if they appear radically different to other people in that group.

Almost whenever you hear political conversations, you will find people saying something like “all those people, they all do this, they all believe this”. “All Democrats are…. All Republicans are…” And it’s often not true because there’s heaps of variation in the ‘they’, as much as in the ‘us,’ but people do not see it as easily, when the categories become hard.

The point is that people are never entirely an individual and they’re never entirely collective, the two dynamics are going on simultaneously. And that, again, comes out of our language, and language usage, because of the way that we categorize people.

Interviewer: Going back to what you said about the example of Hitler and what he did to the Jews. Do you think that if we become too oriented in categorizing people it can actually become the ‘“other” can become like dehumanized?

JM: Yeah, yeah, absolutely. And in fact, again, this is something you will see in an ordinary debate. I mean, the amount of abuse online and the amount of people saying, oh, you’re just a Republican idiot, you all think…. or you’re just a Democrat idiot, you all think…. or you’re a Liberal idiot or whatever; that kind of dehumanizing, that refusal to see that whatever your ‘they’ category is, it’s varied, leads to dehumanization. You dismiss them all as idiots or evil or whatever. It doesn’t take very long before that kind of division overwhelms the categories which actually link you together. People don’t think they are all our fellow humans, or even fellow members of our country, they think they are Republicans or Democrats, Coalition or Labor, or whatever.

Interviewer: Can we also not just see dehumanization, but this intense categorization on Twitter and its call-out culture as well as cancel culture?

JM: Yeah. It’s basically the same kind of thing. where you’re saying that if you belong to a particular category, then you have to have these particular sets of characteristics and behaviours, and you had better have them perfectly. And if you don’t have these particular sets of characteristics, even if you are only missing one of them, then you do not to belong to the category.

The point needs to be made here is this is not a calm thinking things out, its a response. You don’t think “I categorise this person this way, therefore they are likely blah”. It’s “this person is an A. They are blah” Your categorisation becomes your reality. You feel it, possibly deep down. When the categorisation is particularly hard and bad, then you may feel revulsion when the person opens their mouth, or is seen. If that happens, then you really have been programmed….

One of the things that’s adds to this self-deception is that we tend to think that ‘items’ or people which belong in categories all belong in the same way. But in fact, human categories are both composed of items that are similar in many different ways, and simultaneously, different in many different ways. And sometimes they’re actually quite different. And so, yes, all of this can be a form of dehumanization, of saying that ‘they people’ are not real members of the ‘we’ of the good people. Because the ‘we’ is always the good people. People assume that because Trump has all kinds of features which might make him a good example of the ‘we’ group, he actually has all of them – like being trustworthy, being concerned, being hard done by, being religious, etc.

Interviewer: So is there such a thing as tribals?

JM: If you must use that term, it arises out of categorizing those who belong to my group as good with all these other positive categories (to some extent). And then all those who belong to the outgroups have all these negative categories. There are only a few overlapping categories which allow us to have anything in common. It doesn’t have to be that binary. But when you get those hard category boundaries, phrased in terms of hostility, it tends to become binary like that. That then becomes category bias, shall we say? People don’t talk across categories, they dismiss those in devalued categories and so on. Relationships tend to get hostile, which reinforces the hardness of the categories and the devaluation of people we class in the outgroup categories.

I don’t really know why we call this ‘tribal’ when not all humans who live in what we call tribes, are necessarily like this… They can have good relationships with their neighbours, and with different kinds of people. As I said at the beginning, calling this process ‘tribal’ tends to hide the kind of social, political and linguistic dynamics involved. It makes it seem natural, when it can be being engineered.

Interviewer: Is there any way out of here?

JM: I hope so, but I’m not sure. If we want to get back to being an inclusive nation or planet, then we have to be prepared to cultivate empathy towards the other members of our nation or planet, cultivate the intersecting categories, and stop our main categories being so binary. We need to see how ‘they’ are like ‘us’, how ‘they’ respond like ‘us’ or suffer like us, how they have values like us (even if slightly different).

This is difficult when we have politicised media that is devoted to smearing the others, but we can try. We can cultivate empathy for others. We can try and set up groups that tend to avoid the tropes of separation. And once we understand how the dynamics of separation works, then it becomes a bit easier. For example, one of my friends set up a group to discuss science and music, in which politics is banned, because she was so bored of the endless name calling and separation, and she wanted to provide a place in which people can just be together. That’s a good start. We need a lot more places where we can share our intersections without only emphasising differences. We can try to reach out to others, we know, across the divide; this is difficult and it may fail, but its probably worthwhile.

To repeat we need to stop making our main categories appear to be binary exclusives. We can do this by emphasising the intersections and commonalities, or by looking for the invisible third category. There is always not just two opposing categories, there are always people outside that framework, so lets not reduce ‘the third’ to one of the other two. For example in US politics, there are ‘Pro-corporates’, ‘Conservatives’, and ‘Liberals’ at least. Pro-corporates and Conservatives act as if they are on the same side but they are not really. We could also think of Republicans, Democrats and Greens – Greens usually know that they are not really on the side of the more humanistic neoliberal party, but its all they have. Its easier in Australia because we have a number of effective small parties in Parliament, but it is worthwhile resisting the attempts to split us all between Right and Left.

Trump once said there are good people on both sides. Ok he was being hypocritical, because he was implying neo-nazis are good, but could apparently never bring himself to say there were any good people protesting for Black Lives Matter – only his extremist supporters attacking peaceful protestors could be given the benefit of the doubt. However, if the principle is taken properly and not just for rhetorical purposes then its worthwhile keeping in mind. There might not be that many ‘good’ neo-nazis (given that no one can be naïve about what the Nazis did) but there might be some, and there are plenty of good people on the mainstream right, and their are plenty of good people on the left, and maybe that goodness is worth recognising? Maybe recognition of that probable fact, can break the hardness of the categories?

We can treat other side politicians as if they were not always the enemy. I recently interviewed a local politician, he was a bit evasive, but he kept saying that he saw his job as getting people to talk to each other across the divide. I don’t know whether other people trusted that was what he was trying to do, or whether he was genuine. I can’t know that, but I can know it’s a worthy ambition, and I support him in principle, and see what happens. So far he seems to be ‘walking the talk’. I find that kind of moving.

We can also decide we won’t watch news shows, where they never say anything nice about the other side, and they name-call and shout a lot, fulminate in culture wars irrelevancies, and engage in obvious dehumanisation. We are being manipulated by these people, even if we think we are not, and even if they don’t think they are trying to manipulate us.

Don’t give up on other people, and it does not matter if they agree with us on everything. The important thing is to keep the channels open. I, personally, may not do that very well, so I know its hard, but its is one of the few hopes we have, and even the slightest move to break the barriers may help.

It’s a fragile hope, but its worth thinking about in more detail.

Interviewer: Thanks, that’s about all I want to ask. It was interesting.

JM: It was good to talk. Thank you.

Hydrogen

December 9, 2020

This is based on a talk given last night by Nicky Ison of the WWF on hydrogen power.

Advantages

The advantage of hydrogen as a fuel is fairly simple. You burn it and that produces energy and water. No greenhouse gases. It is reasonably energy intense, perhaps not as good as coal or oil, but it is more likely to be useful for processes which require large amounts of power, than renewables and storage can be. These include steel production and powering huge mining trucks and shipping, or other trucks which have to travel long distances quickly.

Hydrogen is unlikely to be used to power ordinary cars. There is already an electricity infrastructure, and we would have build a new, and country wide, hydrogen infrastructure to make it useful to for ordinary people. Its more energy efficient to use electricity, than to make hydrogen. and transport it. However, in big vehicles the weight of batteries becomes significant. Hence the possibilities of use.

Having said its a great form of energy, it is good because it is extremely flammable and hence dangerous. It does burn so fiercely that materials nearby may not be hurt, as the flames rise upwards. Hydrogen is often transformed into ammonia to help safe storage and transport, and ammonia is not that great for human health. Hydrogen stays as a gas until very low temperatures are reached (−252.87 Celsius), so freezing it or liquidifying it is not practical.

There are three ways of producing Hydrogen. In the first two, coal or gas are used as raw materials (processing them in different ways). These methods could be powered by renewables, but are perhaps more likely to be powered by coal or gas. The third method is to extract the hydrogen from water by electrolysis – that is passing an electrical current through nearly pure water. This third method can use renewable energy, and produces more-or-less no harmful waste products. The other two methods naturally produce greenhouse gases.

There is an argument that the greenhouse gasses from fossil fuel hydrogen could be stored underground through carbon capture and storage (CCS). This is almost certainly a fantasy. CCS does not work well enough, and costs a lot. It is not happening for most coal and gas energy production now, and even in working projects little carbon is being stored, so there is no reason to think it will happen for hydrogen production in the near future.

Hydrogen production is already a major industry, it is used to produce ammonia and methanol, and that goes into cleaning products, fertilisers and explosives. It is highly polluting. 99% of global hydrogen is made from coal and gas and produces approximately 1% of global greenhouse gas emissions – that is more emissions than attributed to Germany or South Korea. Hydrogen production accounts for about 6% of global methane use.

Big renewable Hydrogen/Ammonia plants are being built in China, Saudi Arabia, Spain and Germany. So the idea is taking off, and some people, at least, do not think it impractical in their local conditions.

Conditions of Use

The WWF argues that if we are going to use hydrogen it must be:

  • Renewable hydrogen, not hydrogen made from, or powered by, coal or gas.
  • Traceable. So we don’t get established fossil fuel hydrogen being substituted onto the market for renewable.
  • Deploy stringent safety regulations. If we transport it as ammonia, then we have to also consider the safety issues of that.
  • Minimising environmental impact, and maximising environmental co-benefits [This is a bit vague]
  • Part of the electrification of energy use and production. This is not an excuse for gas or coal to come back.
  • Cheap for Australian customers. We don’t want a replication of the gas (methane) situation in which it is cheaper to import methane than it is to buy local methane.

Renewable hydrogen could conceivably be exported to Singapore, or Japan. But that needs us to build it up quickly, before other people lock in contracts.

We might also use it to start up “green steel” production, and “Green aluminium”. We could also start putting hydrogen into gas pipelines, if we reduced the amount of methane we consumed.

Problems

1) The classic problem is that Australian business is not geared towards making things and exporting them. Our business likes digging things up, growing things, or selling real estate. That is about it. The only person person interested in Green Steel in Australia, who is widely known, is Sanjeev Gupta who is an Indian born Briton.

I’m told that compared to other countries there is a dearth of Australian industrial policy that is helpful to people starting up. It is possible that this could get in the way, or that the Government’s declared preference for fossil fuel Hydrogen, could also inhibit renewable hydrogen.

2) hydrogen production is not very energy efficient. It takes lots of energy to make, compared to the amount of energy released by burning. Energy Return on Energy Input (EREI) is not great. This means we can only do green hydrogen, when we have masses of excess energy being produced. Renewable farms could conceivably produce hydrogen when they can’t sell electricity, because they are producing too much. However, this assumes that we can build that many large scale renewable options, and still have them make a profit, and that we can add the cost of transporting Hydrogen to this, without making it difficult.

3) You need clean water to make renewable hydrogen. I think the WWF tend to bypass this problem too quickly, but I don’t know how much water is needed – I would have thought quite a lot, but I could be wrong. Australia is not renown for its fresh water supplies. Sea water is probably no good. To use sea water we would have to have large desalination plants. That would take even more energy. Bore water usually contains impurities, and that might have to be purified as well. It was suggested we use water in tailings dams. But that is also impure, and probably not enough in any particular pool for us to set up an industrial plant, so the plant would have to be moveable, which could be quite difficult.

So the priority would be cheap water cleaners which can operate at large volumes. This is something the world will need soon anyway, so working on this would be useful. However, because something would be useful, does not mean it can be done in the current situation.

The other possible light here, is that if we stopped coal mining, we would have heaps more water.

According to the National Hydrogen Strategy, producing “enough hydrogen to satisfy Japan’s projected annual imports in 2030 would require less than 1% of the water now used by Australia’s mining industry each year”.

Energising the Economy with Renewable Hydrogen, WWF Australia, P 14.

Conclusion

If we are going to try hydrogen, and we won’t know whether it is doable unless we try, then we need to add at least two points to the WWF list of conditions

  • A coordinated industrial policy that aims to get renewable hydrogen off the ground, encourages industry to use it (such as green steel for export), and either spends the money that is currently marked for taxpayer funding of gas (methane) pipelines on hydrogen pipelines, or gradually converts the current gas infrastructure into hydrogen infrastructure.
  • Make sure that any water which is consumed by hydrogen manufacture does not take away from farming, environmental or human drinking supplies. This could be done by tightening water regulation for coal mines and slowly decreasing the amount of water that coal mines can take, deliberately or ‘accidentally’.

Without these extra points, hydrogen will almost certainly fail to help the situation.

Neoliberal Conspiracy 07: Summary

December 6, 2020

[20 December 2020 – the original blog post has now been broken into two posts. The part here can be considered the summary of the argument, The part now placed here is a consideration of the plausibility of the argument]

What is the theory of Neoliberal Conspiracy?

The idea of ‘neoliberal conspiracy’ is simple. It is that many of those in the wealth elites, or working for them, have acted to increase established corporate power and wealth at the expense of the general public, while pretending that ‘free markets’ result in liberty and prosperity for all.

Neoliberalism has been the dominant real politics in the English speaking world since Thatcher, Reagan, and Keating, although (in the conspiratorial mode) it often presents itself as a minor oppressed player, that is struggling valiantly against government and socialists.

Effects of the Neoliberal Conspiracy

Neoliberalism’s effects are most clearly shown in the decline in the share of wealth going to ordinary people over those last 40 years.

Over the last four decades since 1979… those in the top 0.1% had wages grow… 340.7%. In contrast those in the bottom 90% had annual wages grow by 23.9% from 1979 to 2018. 

Top 1.0% of earners see wages up 157.8% since 1979. Economic Policy Institute, 18 December 2019

People are also less likely to increase their wealth class than they used to be. Some even claim that in the US and UK life expectancy has recently begun to decline [1], [2], [3] (possibly due to suicide and drugs) and hunger appears to be increasing in the US [4] (the pandemic response does not help) and elsewhere.

After steadily declining for a decade, world hunger is on the rise, affecting 8.9 percent of people globally. From 2018 to 2019, the number of undernourished people grew by 10 million, and there are nearly 60 million more undernourished people now than in 2014

World Hunger; Key facts and Statistics

Wealth seems spread so that while the top 10%, or so, of the population can be said to be comfortable, or extremely wealthy, the bottom 90% (especially younger people below 35) are heading towards a precarious existence, while the middle class is shrinking.

there is a recognition amongst these people of the novelty of their socio-economic circumstances, and thus frustration and disquiet at the nature of these circumstances. The ‘new normal’ is in fact recognised as abnormal. 

[However] they focus on how they can succeed within this inherited structure rather than on pursuing structural change. There is a degree of resignation to a situation wherein precarity is deemed largely immutable…. many young people understand the prospect of improving labour market outcomes in terms of personal development and their ability to successfully navigate this more competitive environment

Craig Berry and Sean McDaniel Young people and the post-crisis precarity: the abnormality of the ‘new normal’ LSE BPP 20 January 2020

Neoliberal media, rarely suggest an approach based on structural or economic change, that might challenge the dominant power relations, or they aim to misidentify those power relations. Another important marker of neoliberal effect, is that there appears to have been growing concentrations of economic power, with higher profits going to fewer people [5].

We used to think that high profits were a sign of the successful working of the American economy, a better product, a better service. But now we know that higher profits can arise from a better way of exploiting consumers, a better way of price discrimination, extracting consumer surplus, the main effect of which is to redistribute income from consumers to our new super-wealthy. 

Joseph Stiglitz “America has a monopoly problem – and it’s huge” Pearls and Irritations 15 November 2020

Corporations are now as wealthy as nations: “Of the world’s top 100 economies, 69 are corporations.” This implies they easily have the powers of wealth to buy States, especially if they ‘crony up’.

I probably don’t have to remind people, that the neoliberal response to almost every problem involves tax cuts for the wealthy and the corporate sector, possibly mixed in with some taxpayer subsidies for established big businesses not doing that well. It would seem obvious that this might help boost the wealth differentials, and gives the wealthy even more money to invest in political control. Of course they say this boost to the wealthy helps the lower classes, but the wealthy always make that argument, and it never seems to work. One study of 18 OECD countries, simply remarks:

We find that major reforms reducing taxes on the rich lead to higher income inequality as measured by the top 1% share of pre-tax national income. The effect remains stable in the medium term. In contrast, such reforms do not have any significant effect on economic growth and unemployment.

Hope & Limberg 2020. The Economic Consequences of Major Tax Cuts for the Rich. LSE Working Paper 55.

Let us be clear. It is a reasonable hypothesis that distribution of wealth results, not from the nature of life, but from deliberate social struggle, or social engineering. In which case, the way wealth is being distributed now, as opposed to 50 years ago, marks the triumph of class war against the people. As Warren Buffett said in the context of a discussion on taxes:

BUFFETT: Yeah. The rich people are doing so well in this country. I mean, we never had it so good.

DOBBS: What a radical idea.

BUFFETT: It’s class warfare, my class is winning, but they shouldn’t be.

Buffett: ‘There are lots of loose nukes around the world’

He is also reported as saying in an interview with the New York Times “There’s class warfare, all right,…. but it’s my class, the rich class, that’s making war, and we’re winning.”

Part of that class war undoubtedly involves the attack on, and the decline of unions, which gave workers the power to organise and challenge employers who were richer than whole countries, and who cronyed up together with other employers. Unions also meant that workers had direct input into party politics, as opposed to mainly business having input.

The period is also marked by growing ecological crisis, as capitalists and developers abandoned restraint, found profit in attacking science and in locking people into expanding fossil fuel use.

Neoliberalism appears to have generated a growth of alienation from politics experienced by ordinary people, as the political system consistently ignored their interests, no matter how large the protests (such as those against the second Iraq War, or against climate inaction). This alienation seems to have lead to an increase in culture wars, and polarisation, as the neoliberal Right sought to retain support and votes by whipping up an identity politics of self-justification and hatred against ‘out-groups’. For example, making claims that the left says you are racist simply because you are white (no other reason is possible), and that the only real racists are active black people, the only sexists are feminist women and so on. This leads to the part of the neoliberal conspiracy I will discuss later in this blog.

We don’t need to look so much at what neoliberals claim they believe, some of which might be well intentioned and genuine, but look at what neoliberal politicians actually do.

Neoliberals and the Government takeover

With the mixed economies, Keynesian interventionism, and union power, of post-world war II Europe, US, UK and Australia we had a steady rise in living standards, working conditions and increasing levels of political participation. This was alarming for the corporate elites. We could have ended up with a participatory democracy. This situation has now changed.

The first part of the current version of the neoliberal conspiracy has to be to negate the obvious point that “We’ve had forty years of free market boosting, and the world is not getting better.” As we might expect, the main idea that neoliberals want to promote is that we need more neoliberalism, and more of their ‘free markets’ to fix the mess generated by neoliberalism and their ‘free markets’ – truly what you might call ‘positive thinking’: lets ignore the counter evidence and persist in destruction as long as it pays us off. Thus almost their first effort is to convince people that most of the problems we currently observe, do not stem from neoliberalism, but from the ‘fact’ we have “too much government”, by which they mean too much government which might attempt to be responsive to the people.

Now they have a point. Governments can, and often are oppressive. Sometimes this is because of “one size fits all policies” which don’t fit all (like ‘free markets’), sometimes it is because the governors want total order and rule of one principle alone (like ‘free markets’), sometimes it is because they want to build things or go to war (say in favour of protecting investment and ‘free markets’), and sometimes it’s because they govern on behalf of a particular class (like neoliberals do). Scrap the last point, we are not meant to think about the last point, we are meant to think neoliberals are against government, not trying to commandeer it, away from you.

Neoliberals tend to pretend, that in a free market, business and the State (‘government’) have nothing to do with each other, rather than that they interact all the time. In neoliberal rhetoric, government and business are somehow completely different, or their intersection is of no consequence. Thus I can be told, by quite a few people over the years, that obviously crony capitalists only have an effect because of the government, and not because of the existence of cronyism, or the intersection of business interests with the State, or business influence over the State. This argument occurs while neoliberal politicians are overtly trying to win over the State completely so they can change it, and change the regulations of that State to benefit them.

Pretending to roll back the State is part of the strategy of increasing corporate power. Rollback of the State under neoliberalism is not remotely anarchistic. It is about rolling back those parts of the State that were moderately helpful, sensitive or responsive to the people, while keeping the parts of the state which are helpful to maintaining corporate power, and providing taxpayer subsidy to that power and suppression of protest. This is one reason why government size, regulation and ‘heaviness’, has not decreased, despite the years of neoliberals apparently pushing for a smaller State. At best it has just increased the powers of bosses, in general, over their employees.

As part of the process of increasing their power, Neoliberals attempt to remove any regulations which hinder corporate ability to freeload on the public; such as regulations which impose restrictions on their ability to injure and poison people, or pollute and destroy ecologies. Trump and other hardline neoliberal politicians have been extremely helpful in removing these kinds of regulations. Such regulations can diminish profits, although they may increase the possibility of prolonging people’s lives and physical comfort. Neoliberals think that if people want prolonged lives or comfort then they should pay for it, not rely on nature.

It is fundamental to neoliberalism, being a politics of established wealth, that any living being should only get what they can afford, and if they cannot afford to live, or fight against action that harms them, then they should suffer as the judgement of the market, is against them, and they are of no worth. Neoliberalism considers protecting established capitalism more important than protecting life.

Neoliberals buy government policy which benefits corporate power, and then, when it turns out badly for people in general, claim that the situation would be much better if, rather than supporting the harmed, we did not have any government intervention at all and we just left everything to the corporate class to sort out – as if benefits inevitably flow through to those who don’t participate, and the people who caused the problems will necessarily fix them by accident.

The great thing about the strategy of pretending to be anti-State while using the State to enforce their rule, is that whenever the neoliberals use the State to shaft their supporters they can claim they could have had nothing to do with it. It was the dreaded socialists of the ‘deep State’ that are to blame. And they get even more leeway to rollback the State useful to others and build up the State useful to them.

It is common sense in neoliberal land for corporate lobbyists, or ex corporate executives to write legislation or even occupy positions in government departments. Despite his claims of employing outsiders this is what Trump has done in a big way [6], [7].

Steve Mnuchin from Goldman Sachs became the first Treasury Secretary. Gary Cohn president and chief operating officer of Goldman Sachs was picked to head the National Economic Council and manage economic policy. Steve Bannon once worked for the same organisation, before becoming a Breitbart executive chair and also obviously worked for the administration. Jay Clayton, Securities and Exchange Commission chairman, was a partner with the law firm Sullivan & Cromwell, and Goldman Sachs was a client. ExxonMobil CEO Rex Tillerson was made Secretary of State.

At the EPA, nearly half of the political appointees hired by the Trump Administration have had strong ties to industries regulated by the agency industry, according to research by the Associated Press.  About a third of these EPA appointees – including the current acting administrator – formerly worked as registered lobbyists or lawyers for fossil fuel companies, chemical manufacturers, or other corporate clients….

The Administration has been pursuing a de-regulatory agenda that benefits many of these same industries by rolling back air and water pollution control regulations. This inverts the purpose of the agency, which is to protect the environment and public health, not industry profits.

Who’s Running Trump’s EPA, EPA Conflict of Interest Watch. Environmental Integrity Project nd.

The number of lobbyists Trump appointed was quite extraordinary

A lobbyist for every 14 political appointments made… The number of lobbyists who have served in government jobs is four times more than the Obama administration had six years into office. And former lobbyists serving Trump are often involved in regulating the industries they worked for….

It’s a “staggering figure,” according to Virginia Canter, ethics chief counsel for the D.C.-based legal nonprofit Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington.

Update: We Found a “Staggering” 281 Lobbyists Who’ve Worked in the Trump Administration. ProPublica, 15 October 2019

A report from early in Trump’s administration states:

The president-elect, in filling out his transition team and administration, has drawn heavily from the vast network of donors and advocacy groups built by the billionaire industrialist [Koch] brothers, who have sought to reshape American politics in their libertarian image.

From White House Counsel Don McGahn and transition team advisers Tom Pyle, Darin Selnick and Alan Cobb to Presidential Inaugural Committee member Diane Hendricks and transition-team executive committee members Rebekah Mercer and Anthony Scaramucci, Trump has surrounded himself with people tied to the Kochs….

many more Koch-linked operatives are expected to join Trump’s nascent administration in the coming weeks, according to Trump transition-team sources.

Vogel and Johnson Trump’s Koch administration. Politico 28 November 2016.

This network of lobbyists appeared to influence the taxpayer handouts to business during the Covid response:

lobbyists with ties to the president have successfully secured billions in aid for their clients—and several lobbyists may be violating President Donald Trump’s own executive order on ethics in the process.

Trump-Connected Lobbyists Are Getting Billions In Federal Coronavirus Aid, Report Finds, Forbes 6 July 2020

Instead of staring down “the unholy alliance of lobbyists and donors and special interests” as Trump recently declared, the influence industry has flourished during his administration.

Trump’s Cabinet Has Had More Ex-Lobbyists Than Obama or Bush. Fortune, 18 September 2019

No clearing ‘the Swamp,’ but a lot of importing alligators.

Neoliberalism deliberately tends to ignore how much government intervention there was in the economy in the years of rising prosperity for everyone, or tries to portray these years as some kind of disaster. They buy revisionist history, so that we can argue the Great Depression was actually caused by government and that the recovery was hindered by the New Deal. The point is that capitalism depends on a State, and capitalists attempt to control the State, so there is always state action which can be blamed, and used to direct attention away from how business was behaving, or what it was attempting to do. For example, if Hoover’s trade embargos and tariffs were the only factors causing the Great Depression, then what businesses was he defending, and why are Trump’s tariffs not going to be equally destructive?

The question about governments really should be, “Who controls the rule making and enforcement, that allows the market to be maintained?” And the answer to that, is the established corporate sector and not the people. So the market is structured and regulated to benefit the established corporate sector and not the people. That is why the proportion of wealth distributed to the people is going down, and the proportion of wealth going to the wealth elites is increasing.

Ronald Reagan was a classic example of neoliberal action, cutting taxes for the wealthy, cutting back social security and making welfare more onerous and expensive, while massively increasing military spending which benefitted corporate arms manufacturers, and increased the deficit. The idea was that the deficit should eventually be curtailed by ‘reluctantly’ cutting ‘helpful-to-the-people’ spending. Reagan’s ‘free market reforms’, not only crashed the S&Ls which severely impacted many ordinary people, but it allowed much of US industry to be asset stripped and destroyed. This helped produce the US’s current manufacturing problems and rampant business oligopolies, as small scale business was harmed. Neoliberals may say they are in favour of small business, but their actions nearly always help destroy small business, as do the actions of Wall-Mart and the other large retailers who they support.

The big difference between US Republicans and Democrats is that Republicans are hardline neoliberals who pretend to like rightwing Christians, while Democrats are more humanistic neoliberals who are suspicious of Rightwing Christians being Christians at all, and who think that people don’t need to be suppressed and persecuted by big business all the time. For example, Obama thought that bailout money given to established financial institutions should be paid back, and should not explicitly pay for parties and executive bonuses, unlike his predecessor. He did not, however, think bailout money should go to people who were going to lose their home through financial institutions calling in misleading loans, as a democratic socialist might do.

Neoliberal Media

On the whole the media is pro-capitalist, as it is largely (if not totally) funded and controlled by corporations or billionaires. Who else has the money? Most of it is hardline neoliberal, taking neoliberalism as the only position possible – especially media associated with the Murdoch Empire (like Fox, the Wall Street Journal and The New York Post in the US, or Skynews in Australia, The Sun and The Times in the UK), other Trump supporting media is similar, but it also includes Facebook and Twitter, who helped Trump win the previous election because they happily sold data to neoliberal conspirators like Cambridge Analytica, and gave them a free playground. Social media (Facebook, Youtube, Twitter) also keeps channeling people into more extreme forms of the neoliberal conspiracy if they show any interest in going along with it – so they act as advertising channels for this material. There is little escape – the internet, as currently organised, does not widen the opinion and news people are exposed to; it narrows it.

The basic principle for any analysis, given the neoliberal environment, is that no media should be trusted, and that includes small media. Small media can as easily be funded by billionaires as large media; it requires less capital and is more disposable when it has served its purpose, so it may be a better investment. Some big-billionaire-media like Breitbart or Skynews may pretend to be ‘alternate’, but they are just heavily controlled neoliberal propaganda channels – which sometimes seem coordinated in their decisions about what counts as news and what does not. They are certainly not going to portray the situation accurately or impartially.

Neoliberal Science

It is a remarkable co-incidence that nearly all science which might cause constraints on corporate action is attacked by supporters of neoliberalism, while science which allows corporations to build or manufacture products is not. Thus climate science has to go. Ecological science has to go. And the idea of pandemics has to go, even it pharmaceutical companies can make money out of vaccines.

Neoliberal Covid

Covid-19 policy and responses can be analysed in terms of their support for neoliberal principles. The main aim of neoliberal government is to keep the economy going, and keep the power relations of the established economy intact. If it cannot do that then the aim is to protect and subsidise the wealth elites during the crisis rather than the people. It is a response based defending corporate power and liberty to use workers, even if it hurts the workers. If quarter of a million, and now many more, die to keep the economy roughly intact, then that is surely a small price to pay for corporate comfort?

Neoliberal responses may not have caused redistribution of wealth, but it is clear that in the US those responses have been used, under Trump and the Republicans, to further redistribution of wealth with massive subsidies and tax breaks going to wealthy people and wealthy organisations. Some of this going to oil and fracking companies, who were already doing badly without Covid [8], [9], [10], [11]. It is well known that many billionaires have increased their wealth substantially during the crisis, as you would expect of such a pro-established wealth based response [12], [13], [14].

Interestingly I have noticed amongst Republican friends and news sources a marked hostility to the increase in the wealth of info-tech billionaires in particular, without much protest about the increases in the wealth of other kinds of billionaires.  I’m not aware of any subsidy, regulatory favours, tax breaks etc, which were specifically, or only, aimed at Info tech, or at Gates, Bezos, Zuckerberg etc. However, this kind of thing tends not to get reported in the mainstream media, so if these special government aids exist, then I would welcome being informed about them, as it would add to the evidence about how the system works.

However, that some industries flourish and get ridiculously rich while others suffer and decline, would seem to be what we would expect from the free market in action. This is how the market supposedly works, and how it is meant to work, culling inefficiency, bad management and unwanted products and massively rewarding services that people need. So I’m not sure why this should be praised in some circumstances and damned in others. My current hypothesis is that the Republican party and its elites are owned by established industries and big business, and are hostile to newcomers, but I have no real idea if that is correct.

Surprisingly (?) it does not appear that many of these billionaires (tech or otherwise) have used their increased wealth to protect their workers, or make sure they have good health leave. Indeed:

One in eight workers has perceived possible retaliatory actions by employers against workers in their company who have raised health and safety concerns during the pandemic.
Black workers are more than twice as likely as white workers to have seen possible retaliation by their employer.

National Employment Law Project Silenced About COVID-19 in the Workplace

Well it might lower profits, and if some people get really ill and have lasting consequences, or some people die, its for a good cause.

The Republicans, in the US, are also demanding protection for companies from any liability law suits which claim they not properly looking after workers [15], [16], [17]. Mitch McConnell, Republican leader in the US Senate, said:

as the Majority Leader I can tell you no bill will pass the Senate that doesn’t have the liability protection in it…..

Republicans almost to a person support the liability reform and that’s not about companies. It includes companies. It’s about hospitals and doctors and nurses and teachers and universities and colleges and K-12. This is not just liability protection for businesses. They’re included along with everyone else dealing with this brand new disease. Unless you’re grossly negligent or engage in intentional misbehavior, you’ll be covered. And it will be in a bill that passes the Senate.

McConnell on CNBC’s “Closing Bell”

Strange to protect companies from being sued over a condition which Republicans apparently claim is not real, or not that harmful.

This reminds us that the majority of times we are censored, or self-censored, or forced to do unpleasant things it is not because of the government, but because of our employer. Neoliberals want most people to be subservient to bosses. Again neoliberalism is not anarchism or the activation of liberty.

Discouraging social distancing, has the side effect of boosting pharmaceutical company profit, just as Trump’s promotion of unproven drugs helped boost their profits, and as will reliance on vaccines. However, this result may not be entirely deliberate, only a ‘fortunate’ consequence of the general approach to business.

To repeat, neoliberalism has no concern over whether ordinary people survive, or not. It holds that if people can’t afford to survive, they should suffer.

What I hope is the final part of this ‘Neoliberal Conspiracy’ project, will be a simple consideration of whether the Neoliberal Conspiracy is plausible.

Crony Capitalism and Neoliberalism

December 5, 2020

For what its worth I argue that what people call ‘Crony Capitalism” is the normal form of capitalism. It is not, in any way, aberrant, even if it supposedly ‘corrupts’ the market; that is what happens in capitalism. Neoliberalism is a particular form of crony capitalism which aims at total control over all forms of human life, and the sacrifice of human life to capitalism.

Crony Capitalism

Wealthy people (or people who succeed in the market, if you prefer) naturally team-up with each other to:

  • protect themselves
  • defeat their enemies,
  • defraud the public,
  • suppress rising competition whenever possible,
  • secure their wealth and property,
  • attain maximum profit at minimum risk (which is the origin of the modern corporation),
  • disperse the costs of business, or business expansion, onto the public,
  • get maximal labour for minimal costs,
  • plan for a favourable future for themselves,
  • propose what they consider to be sensible government,
  • reinforce, or set up, a State to govern on their behalf,
  • buy legislation and regulation that supports them,
  • support people in the State who give them good results,
  • support people who can intellectually and rhetorically justify their actions and dominance,
  • deceive the public to distract from what is really going on, and so on.

Some of these normal aims obviously overlap.

Friendly people who work in the State, and elsewhere, benefit from this association. They get:

  • supplemented incomes,
  • extra entertainment,
  • prestige,
  • power and back up,
  • association with people who might support them in times of need
  • high paying jobs, after they leave the State, with little real work.

It is a mutual association that works well. State workers tend to work with the powerful as it makes life easier, capitalists tend to want the State to defend them, or be useful to them, and business people want to work with other business people for mutual profit. This is just normal business in action.

Historical issue?

I am not aware of any historical form of capitalism or mercantilism that does not work this way. If crony capitalism is not dominant in any period of history, then it’s probably because the existence of at least one other organised (or ‘crony’) force that is equally, or more, powerful: an Aristocracy, Church, Military, Organised Labour etc. That does not mean that crony capitalism does not exist in those societies, merely that it has to struggle and does not win all the time.

Cronyism is normal

The simple point is that people who identify with each other as being similar, will often collaborate against others they identify against, even if they are often competitive with each other as well. Any formal group working for its own interests will always have people competing for positions, dominance and so on, within that group. This does not mean the group’s people are not also collaborative, and do not team up to:

  • protect each other,
  • gain power as a group, or
  • fight against those in groups they do not like.

The people who are considered similar might change depending on who the opposition is. In war, business people might see themselves as more similar to workers than they are to the enemy, and thus work with workers while the war is on, even if they still try and maintain ultimate dominance, or try to reassert the established hierarchy when the war is over.

This can be considered a common human dynamics (‘human nature’ if you like), and if it is left out of an economic theory then that theory is deficient. Almost always pro-corporate economics ignores the collaborative nature of the corporate system, or makes collaboration something that is acceptable within the firm, but condemns collaborations of workers (an outgroup) in general. These kind of economic statements could be seen as political statements, acting for the benefit of business, not statements aimed at discovering anything about real economic behaviour.

If humans were not prone to ‘cronyism’ then society would not work very well. If we did not compete and co-operate for personal and group advantage, we would not have firms, corporations, gangs, rock bands, political parties, discussion groups, organised religions, families and kin groups, and almost any other feature of social life you might care to mention.

That capitalists and business people engage in cronyism is to be expected. The more society is structured by wealth, then the more effective that cronyism will be, and that leads us to neoliberalism.

Neoliberalism

Neoliberalism seems to be an intensification of crony capitalism, or a tool of crony capitalism, that effectively acts as if to argue:

  • the State only exists to support the big-business (corporate) sector,
  • the State should not encourage or support any other sector at all,
  • the State should leave ‘planning’ to business,
  • the State must support the ecological destruction caused by business and allow pollution and poisoning by business, unless it threatens the activities of other big business,
  • everything must be organised for business,
  • every activity must be organised like a business as there must be no other organisational form with any public validity. Every organisation from Church to mother’s group to the army is really a business.
  • public monopoly is bad, private monopoly is good (one of the big differences between neoliberalism and classical economics),
  • ‘the people,’ or the State, must be stopped from interfering with business profits as that will lead to disaster and tyranny,
  • democracy is only good, if it protects business, and is disciplined by corporate (‘market’) needs,
  • free markets solve every problem as satisfactorily as that problem can be solved.

By promoting these positions, neoliberalism not only threatens human ways of life, but human life itself.

These positions seem marked in early neoliberal theorists such Hayek, Mises and the like, as well as in neoliberal politics.

Neoliberal politics came in to prominence when the possibility seemed strong that ‘the people’ might start working to stop business and State from causing ecological catastrophe, in the late sixties to early seventies. Neoliberals saw this as an unforgivable democratic attempt to interfere in business operations, liberties and profits, and neoliberalism seemed the way for crony capitalists and friends to go – especially after the only major challenge of Communism collapsed.

Corporately controlled markets were said to be the only way to bring liberty and prosperity. In Thatcher’s famous words: “There is no alternative.” Her words can also be seen as an attempt to stop the search for alternatives, which is one of the strategic aims of neoliberalism; it tries to present itself as inevitable when it is merely a hierarchical political and utopian movement.

A term central to neoliberal practice, is ‘free market.’ In practice, this term simply refers to whatever big business does. Interfering with nearly anything established business does is immediately said to be bad. Boosting free markets also means that the State should not help ordinary people, because that can free those people from the markets, and that might lead to a challenge to those markets. Business is the model for everything.

In practice neoliberal political parties are not ‘hands off’, and always seem eager to throw money at businesses they like; bail out failures (currently oil, gas and fracking companies) and to choose winners when they like them, or need to suppress some up and coming challenger. This is one reason why it is important to observe what neoliberals do, rather than what they say they do. The dogma of ‘free markets’ is an attempt to make this power grab seem aspirational; it easily passes from a position of putting the interests of established business first to claiming this gives everyone else liberty rather than servitude. In neoliberalism, the term ‘free market’ usually functions as a misdirection.

Preventing interference with whatever established corporations want to do can also involve:

  • Lowering taxes on business, as that interferes in profits.
  • Removing protective regulation such as minimum wages, good or safe working conditions, prevention of ecological destruction, lowering pollution etc., as they all interfere with business liberty and profit maximisation, and thus the ‘free market’.
  • Increasing regulation and penalties which inhibit protest against business, as this stops interference with business.
  • Arguing that taxpayers should not support ‘free education’ or ‘free’ healthcare for those who need it, as that impinges on ‘liberty’ (it probably is an added cost to business), presents a non-business form of organisation, and businesses could profit themselves from running these services.
  • Reducing any social security which allows people not to be forced to take very low wages or working conditions to avoid starving to death, as this interferes with the threats business people can use to discipline workers and increase profits. The more neoliberal the powers that be, the more they are happy to sacrifice people to disease to keep the economy, and profits, going.

In neoliberalism, the ‘free market’ never means a market that is not structured to support big business, and it always allows giving big business subsidies from taxpayers if needed – whatever neoliberals say to the contrary.

Neoliberalism is not about ideal, or really, free markets and never has been – partly because to get real free markets you would have to scrap some forms of accumulation (particularly destructive accumulation) and stop companies getting so large they influence the market or the State (or become “too big to fail”), so that people could compete relatively equally in the market. This would be interfering with business as it is, and hence interfering with what neoliberals call free markets.

You would have to break up existing crony capitalism to get free markets, but eventually the process of control would restart unless you had inhibitors, such as limited lifespan for corporations, wealth taxes, customs such as dispersion of assets on death, or you had other powerful groups which were organised to resist capitalist control.

Conclusion

Crony capitalism may be unavoidable, just as crony communism, crony conceptualisation, or crony Christianity, are unavoidable. Neoliberalism is avoidable and challengeable, provided we recognise what it is and what is aims for (deliberately or not): that is, total dominance by the corporate classes or plutocracy.

However, fighting neoliberalism calls for ‘cronyism’ amongst all those in the population who are victimised by it – which is another reason the term is condemned by neoliberals. If we are all neoliberal ‘individuals’, then how can we team up to defeat it? Co-operation by the people is necessary to struggle against co-operation amongst the wealth elites.

Is coronavirus engineered? The case for Intelligent Design

December 3, 2020

Paranoid time.

Points in favour of design:

1) Conoravirus is amazingly contagious.

2) Most people who get coronovirus will not have symptoms but they will spread the disease, increasing the infection rate by stealth – other people will not engage in protective behaviour around supposedly healthy people, and supposedly healthy people will be less likely to protect others from their unknown sickness.

3) Minor quarantine/hygene efforts can slow the apparent infection rate down, while the disease keeps spreading secretly. Then the bang hits.

4) Coronavirus looks like flu, heart attack, stroke, lung embolism, lung failure, liver failure and so on.

5) Coronavirus looks like other diseases, because it often damages the organs it lodges in – it appears to stop cells from doing what the cells are supposed to do.

6) Therefore it is really easy to mistake Covid-19 for something else.

7) If you are not looking for it, then deaths will often just be recorded as something normal, and the disease will keep spreading.

8) It would be normal to undercount the fatalities from Covid-19 for a long time, until someone wonders why so many different illnesses are off the charts. Then people might start looking for a common cause. They might not see it until too late.

9) Some people, getting organ or muscle damage, get what is now known as ‘long coronavirus’ – the disease effects last for months after they are supposedly healed. They consume medical and social resources long after they have supposedly recovered, which lowers resources for other people. We as yet do not know the average length of long coronavirus.

10) There is dispute about how long immunity lasts, however, it does seem pretty likely that some people who healed have got it again, thus becoming new sources of vulnerability.

11) This possible lack of long term immunity, may undermine vaccination efforts.

12) Anyone who now tells you Covid-19 is flu, or like a flu, is misinformed or lying. They may even be part of the war team – assuming it exists. After all the war team would want to downplay the severity of the disease, and persuade others it was not dangerous, so as to maintain its spread.

13) The death rate is quite high; not so high that its immediately noticeable, and so again deaths will appear minor until they start accelerating by the normal processes of exponential contagion. Deaths seem to have started to accelerate badly in the US since October.

14) Some of the acceleration has occurred because the President and his supporters have consistently played down the danger, and played at being positive (engaging in hype) – because that’s how business works. At the moment, the President is preoccupied with casting doubt on the election result (as he promised he would, if he didn’t win), the disease has even less organisation acting against it, at a time in which many US citizens have family celebrations and effectively will spread the disease. His most recent comment, which shows his focus:

The Democrats had this election rigged from the beginning. They used the pandemic, sometimes referred to as the China virus; where it originated; as an excuse to mail out tens of millions of ballots, which ultimately led to a big part of the fraud.

Speech: Donald Trump Makes an Unscheduled Pre-Recorded Speech on the Election – December 2, 2020

Or, trying to keep people safe is part of a plot, and:

Donald J. Trump@realDonaldTrump·

European Countries are sadly getting clobbered by the China Virus. The Fake News does not like reporting this!

twitter

Obviously he does not read any decent news and I guess that is possible in the US, but given it is ‘clobbering’ Europe, which it is, then the virus is not fake news itself. It is not a hoax, or something which should be ignored…. None of this helps people survive.

15) Further, many states want to keep the labour and the profits going, and neoliberalism is about sacrificing people for profit, so if people die for the economy that is ok.

16) We could suggest that the more unequal and authoritarian the State, the more likely it will fail to deal with the problem, as the elites think they can escape – until they realise otherwise.

Other remarks

The disease seems to have been around in Europe since at least November last year (2019). There is a suggestion it was in Italy as early as September 2019, but this is not confirmed.

The first time it was identified as a new disease was in China in December 2019. The first case confirmed in Australia was announced on 25 January 2020. The first US cases confirmed on 21st January.

Let us be clear without the Chinese efforts to identify the disease, and let people know (however slowly, although a month or so for a new disease is not slow), the world would be in a much worse situation than it is. The disease could have spread with little check. There would likely be no relatively safe spots anywhere.

Real explanations?

So given it is the kind of disease we may not have noticed until the deaths were so high that societies could not function, is Covid-19 engineered?

The US informally accuses China. China accuses the US, as do Iran and Russia.

There are problems with this hypothesis. Firstly, any sensible person should have realised that with the amount of global air traffic we had pre-covid, that any camouflaged disease would be worldwide in a month at the most, and coming back into their own country very quickly. So they would need vaccines before launching it – and even then that might not be enough. They might of course think God, or destiny, was on their side and therefore be committing unintentional suicide.

Any sensible regime would not engineer bioweapons in the first place. And particularly would not engineer something potentially uncontainable like Covid-19.

Having said that, there are a few non-sensible regimes in the World. Trump’s US for example. But there are other places which you can probably guess for yourselves. Some of which claim remarkably low infection rates. I don’t think China is likely to have done a deliberate release, because why tell everyone else?

The other possibility is that the disease escaped before protection was ready. This could have happened anywhere, but again we are assuming people would have generated a bio-weapon which could wipe themselves out. I don’t see any sensible State doing that either.

The final and most plausible possibility, is that viral evolution now functions amidst human protective regimes, and that diseases will evolve to spread despite those regimes – or even through those regimes.

Global interconnection acts to spread (and incubate) diseases very quickly after they have hit people who travel.

Given the contemporary ecology of human prevention, it was probably only a matter of time before something like Covid-19 developed to look like intelligent design, through the processes of interaction, random mutation, survival and replication.

Directed Skepticism Summarised

December 2, 2020

I want to return to a form of skepticism, which seems common in the contemporary world, which does not seem skeptical at all to me, and just summarise the other rather long articles on this blog [1], [2], [3], [4].

I’ve called it ‘directed skepticism’.

in its simplest form it appears as “I am a real skeptic. I am skeptical about everything, but I cannot speak to anyone who is skeptical of my positions, as those positions are true, and any skeptics of those positions are stupid and immoral.”

Another possible way of phrasing this view is:

“I do not like this information. It is unpleasant. It comes from someone I justifiably do not like or am suspicious of. I am very skeptical of it. I’m a real skeptic.”

The above statement then often seems to be followed by another implied statement of the form:

“This information I do like. It supports my side of politics. It is reassuring. It comes from someone I like. Therefore it is probably true. I’m still a skeptic, because if I can be convinced its false, then I never really believed it in the first place, even if I’m likely to believe it again if I hear it from another source I like. I’m always skeptical of its refutation, or of the good intentions of those who disagree. I am a real skeptic.”

In general, people might say they are skeptical because they use their senses but, in effect, often what they are saying cannot come ‘directly from their senses’ as the subject being discussed is too big for overall perception, and too slow for the changes to be perceptible, as with climate change, pandemics, the cause of wars etc..

In these cases, our perception is likely to be mediated by what we have heard from others, no matter how much we insist on our independent thinking. That is, what we think is opinion, not knowledge to use an old (and probably largely invalid) distinction. We only have hypothesis.

This might all sound like caricature, but lets look at a few situations….

Climate change.

It seems common for people to say that they are skeptical of climate change. They may even allege that it is obvious that climate change is not a problem, or that climate scientists are lying.

We could allege that the idea that one’s own ‘side’ is undermining one’s life and the life of our children is difficult. It is far more comfortable to believe climate change is not real, than that our imagined allies are killing us (deliberately or not). However, a skeptic might be skeptical about the idea that our side cannot be harmful to us….

I personally do not know how the fakery and harmlessness of climate change could be obvious. Climate change is a big phenomena. No one can observe directly everything relevant that is happening, so it seems odd for a skeptic not to accept even the possibility that climate scientists may be persuaded by the evidence, or the cumulation of evidence, even if they are still mistaken. Whether it is wise to assume they must be mistaken is another question.

However, those people skeptical of the information and motives presented by climate scientists often appear to have little skepticism about the information and motives of the people on youtube or in the ‘mainstream media’ or in their favoured political party who tell them there is ‘no problem’ or that it is ‘not that bad’, or that ‘we can solve it through [imaginary??] technology’.

The ‘skeptical’ person may argue that the consequences of climate change are bad for the economy, and we should therefore be skeptical of those actions and keep the economy going as we need it, and let the free market sort it all out. With this argument, there is no obvious skepticism directed at the idea that the free market will be able to solve all problems. This is not obvious. It would appear to be a dogma. IThe skeptic is showing no skepticism of the idea we need an economy which is destructive to us, or of the motives of those promoting this idea.

It may be that the people telling the ‘skeptics’ there is nothing to worry about are not climate scientists, and have no apparent long-term experience with the issue. These people may still be right, and climate scientists wrong, but it is not inherently likely that this is the case. It is possible, but are non-climate scientists the best people to trust? Can we be skeptical about deciding that people who are not climate scientists must know much more about climate than all those people who have spent years studying the subject? This is skepticism of non-climate scientists is generally not allowed by climate skeptics.

Acceptance of the ‘no case’ case also tends to demand acceptance of the idea that climate scientists are conspiring, or that science is now completely corrupt (when it conflicts with the skeptics dogma). Is it clearly the case that a world wide conspiracy of climate scientists and leftist politicians is more plausible than a conspiracy involving some fossil fuel companies (who directly benefit from ignoring climate change), and some rightwing media and politicians. If it is not clearly the case, then this could sound like choosing to believe what is comforting.

In my experience, directed skeptics may refer to scientific papers as evidence for their view, which they may not have read, as often the papers do not appear to say what they say they say, or perhaps they just wanted to hear something nice which confirms their skepticism.

The skepticism appears to be entirely directed at justifying a particular point of view. It is not applied evenly to the person’s own positions.

Covid

The same appears to be true of Covid. I, at least, met many people skeptical that Covid is real or dangerous. Diagnosing a new disease, and predicting its trajectory, is difficult. It is another process which seems beyond our direct sense perception – we cannot perceive every virus, and every infected person, all over the world as these develop. So there is every reason for being skeptical of the proposition that we know everything we should know, or need to know, about the disease. It could be something we can adapt to painlessly after a while.

However again, these directed skeptics seem largely unskeptical of people who say its a hoax, or a summer flu, or that the death figures for the US are made up, possibly by doctors to get money or to allow Joe Biden to form a dictatorship. Why should we not be equally skeptical of Trump’s claims that covid would just go away, and that it would disappear after the election, when there was no evidence of this at the time.?


Donald J. Trump@realDonaldTrump
·

ALL THE FAKE NEWS MEDIA WANTS TO TALK ABOUT IS COVID, COVID, COVID. ON NOVEMBER 4th, YOU WON’T BE HEARING SO MUCH ABOUT IT ANYMORE. WE ARE ROUNDING THE TURN!!!

Twitter

These people may quote doctors worried that long term lock-down will probably have some bad psychological and health effects for some people, as being evidence that Covid is not really a problem, or that dealing with Covid is worse than ignoring it. Another conclusion might be more like recognising that doctors may well be right that there are problems with lock-downs, and these problems should not be ignored.

Again the skepticism seems to be directed at a particular and reassuring result – we are safe all of our family is safe, and the people we support are not sacrificing us.

News

I often seem to be being told that I should not rely on ‘mainstream media’ for political news. This seems good advice as again I cannot observe everything that happens politically as it happens (and I would need to interpret what is happening anyway, direct perception is limited), and the mainstream media has similar limited perception and comprehension. It also probably displays political and other bias, most likely in favour of its corporate or billionaire owners and advertisers. However, it then seems these people assume that Fox or Breitbart or some youtube channel, that appear to have noticeable political slants, can be trusted most of the time and despite their size and influence are not mainstream, corporately controlled media. This is odd. Surely these news sources are at least equally worthy of skepticism?

Elections

We are currently being told at great volume that we should be skeptical of the US Presidential election results (not the House or Senate results, only the Presidential election results). This is also worthy of skepticism.

Election results are often not representative. Electorates can be gerrymandered. Attempts at fairness, or unfairness, can mean particular parts of the population get more representatives than other parts of the population, as when smaller population states get to elect more members per head than do large population states. Small margins in some electorates can change the result of a whole election, which might otherwise have gone another way. People can be turned away from polling booths, some sections of the population can be disenfranchised by what could look like reasonable political action, voting machines could be hacked. There may be attempts to stop mail in voting, or pre-poll voting. ‘The people’ may not be as binary as the major parties claim. Voters can be ‘conservative’ or ‘liberal’ or ‘socialist’ and not support all the policies of the party they vote for. There is even a social theorem which states that a fair and rational voting scheme is impossible.

The idea that political parties in government always represent the ‘general will’ (or something) and have a ‘mandate’ to do whatever they like, deserves skepticism as few people are likely voting for everything the party has proposed or might propose in the future.

However, in this current case, we are just being asked to be skeptical about the voting system being accurate, and policed, enough to award Donald Trump the victory.

We are furthermore being asked to be unskeptical of a person who argued that he could only loose if the other side cheated. We are to be unskeptical that this person has good evidence of cheating which they have so far refused to present in court, where it can be tested, and perjury can be penalised. We are asked to be unskeptical of claims that the majority result of the vote must be wrong by close to 8 million. We are being asked not to consider whether the known frauds were equally, or even majorly, Republican attempts at cheating. We also have recounts which have not changed the results, and the Attorney General, who appeared to have misrepresented the Mueller report in favour of the President, also states there is no evidence of fraud. But we still have to remain unskeptical of a person who does not have a reputation for peacefully going down, or telling the truth.

At the moment, given who is alleging the claims of truly massive cheating, it would seem ‘rational’ to be skeptical of those claims. Especially given that he appears to want to disenfranchise hundreds of thousands (to millions?) of voters by not counting their votes, in order to win.

Conclusion

These directed skeptics, do not appear to have a sense that skepticism which is only directed in one direction is not skepticism – it is a form of belief which refuses to test its own desired truths.

In this case, directed skepticism seems to be being used to further particular dogmas.

Ethics and positivity

December 1, 2020

Strong ethical guidelines

There is a pretty standard argument that goes something like this: ‘moral relativity’ is untrue, because it does not allow us to make strong moral evaluations and act against evil, or evil people. Therefore, we need a clear set of moral guidelines to guide us, and for us to be able to act decisively.

Now this may be correct but it is also extremely problematic.

Which Guidelines?

Firstly which set of moral guidelines do we choose?

Do we choose Christian ones, Buddhist ones, Islamic ones, Confucian ones, or the traditional mode of tribal societies, which we might call negotiated custom?

If, for example, we choose Christian ones, then which Christian ones? There is a considerable range of ethical systems within Christianity, and a fair amount of dispute over them. Its not immediately clear which set of Christian morals we would choose as they are all based on roughly the same set of texts and principles.

Even Sharia law has areas of dispute, and in practice people argue over how it should be applied.

Even the same sets of instructions do not always result in moral agreement. There does not seem to be an ethical ‘mechanism’ which can be rolled out and used infallibly in all cases, or which is immediately obvious, if you do not already accept it.

How do we choose?

Secondly how do we choose our preferred system?

I often suspect that people who make this allegation about the virtue of strong moral systems, have already chosen, or already know what they think people should choose, but let’s postpone that allegation for a while, and ask a question….

“Is it possible to make an ethical decision which is not already based on ethical principles?” How do I judge one set of ethical principles as being better than another, without already having made an ethical choice in favour of some ethical principles?

To rephrase a little, the question of “Should people base their life on this set of ethical principles?” may only be decidable by ethical principles.

For example. “Should we accept text A as the word of God, and should we obey it without question” is a set of ethical questions. We evaluate text A at least partially, by our feeling whether or not it is ethical enough for God to have “dictated it.” If we think not, then it is hard to accept it as a complete guide to ethics.

The assertion about obeying that text, then implies the question of whether it is ethical to obey whatever God is said to have said. People might think that particular ethical question is easy, but it is still an ethical question. Someone could assert that it is not ethical to obey God, because God gave use free will and allowed us to think for ourselves. Or we could assert it is not ethical to obey God because every situation is fresh and the text simply provides examples for that moment, or the moment when it was written or dictated. Or we could assert that some of what God is reported as having said, is contradictory, or immoral judged by other parts of what God is alleged to have said and taught, and we have to evaluate which statement has precidence and when.

Then thee is the old question of whether God give us ethical principles which are ethical only because God says so, or because they are really ethical, based on something else? If morals are only morals because God said so, then is God immoral and tyrannous? Different people give different arguments on these subjects.

Even a text which asserts ethics should be about human survival, makes the ethical assumption that human survival is good. Others may be more skeptical about that ethical assertion. We could at least ask, “at what cost can we privilege human survival?”

Are strong guidelines ethically beneficial, or do they just give us excuses for immorality?

Thirdly, is there any evidence that people with strong ethical guidelines are more ethical, on the whole, than those without? The Inquisition comes to mind. Islamic slavery comes to mind. Religious wars come to mind. The Nazis and Stalinists come to mind. These systems were pretty morally absolutist, yet to people outside them, they could easily look immoral, and need to be resisted.

We may need to ask, whether a demand for strong ethics is often merely a demand for the ability to harm people we don’t like, or think are inferior, with a clear conscience? The demand allows us to oppose those we have defined as evil, without examining whether our own views of righteousness also cause evil, or other harms? If so, then could a demand for strong ethics be immoral?

It is an interesting question because often these arguments in favour of strong morals, come from those who seem committed to acts others might define as evil. For example I’ve recently heard Trumpists declare “One must never tolerate evil” – that is apparently apart from Donald Trump, who is to be supported (not just ‘tolerated’) whatever. There is apparently, to be no question that he is moral as is the movement which supports him, and he is not to be questioned. This does suggest that the strong guidelines are demanded to excuse people from moral reflection, or from facing normal ethical difficulties, and to help them assume that they are correct and righteous without effort, or without much attention to their guidelines or the accuracy of their judgements. Other people might assert that this refusal to consider moral difficulty is, itself, immoral.

It could well be that if a person believed that failure to keep the strong moral code meant eternal damnation, that they would do everything they could to condemn others for their own failures, so as to try and persuade God not to harm them. And if God does harm people forever, is God moral, or are we just providing an excuse that He must be, in fear of what will happen to us if we consider the possibility that God is not moral?

Human psychology seems forever ingenious in its ability to engage in self-justification and self-protection. I could be doing the same, but at least I am aware of the possibility.

Are any parts of Moral Relativism useful?

As implied above it seems impossible to take a moral position without moral assumptions. In which case what others call ‘moral relativism,’ and immoral, may also derive from morality.

A real moral relativist may well not consider it moral to condemn others all the time. They might engage in self-defence, or decide someone could need locking away to protect people, but they may not assert that they were particularly righteous in doing so.

They might accept there is a God, but ethically leave absolute moral judgements to God, who is apparently capable of it and not insist on the righteousness of their own condemnation or dislikes.

They may well accept that an ethical basis of ethics is to admit that ethics is difficult, and possibly not certain in every single case.

They might accept that an ethical case nearly always involves some dispute between the parties involved, and that it was ethical to listen to the other sides, and to learn from the case if possible, before you came to an ethical conclusion.

They might recognise that it was easy for humans to deceive themselves about their morality, and judge actions of members of our own group as good, when those actions would be condemned if performed by members of another group, especially a disliked group.

They might accept that what was ethical action in one situation would not always be ethical in another apparently similar situation, as situations are rarely (if ever) identical.

They might doubt it is ethical to claim to be a moral authority, and hence be suspicious of people who did proclaim themselves to be moral authorities.

They might decide that as human knowledge was limited, the ethical approach to any ethical decision was to regard the decision as provisional and open to change.

They might accept that many acts appear both good and bad, depending on what aspects you focused on.

They might decide it is immoral to force their morality on others. They might also admit the possibility they could be wrong, which again reinforces the idea it is immortal to force their morality on others.

This does not mean that they would always have to choose to “resist not evil” (Matt 5.39), but that they understand it is probable the ‘evil person’, or immoral organisation, thinks they are doing good, as do their followers. They realise this fact could apply to themselves as well, but never-the-less they may act, after consideration, as best they can.

They are likely to accept that in this world we can only achieve imperfect good, and that virtuous acts, and organisations founded to pursue virtue, can generate unintended consequences which may not be judged as good. So we ethically need to pay attention to the consequences of our actions, rather than assume that because we think we are good, or doing good, we can do no harm.

I leave it to readers to think about other ethical goods of ‘moral relativism.’

If you cannot bring yourself to do this, then maybe you are being immoral? But of course you can dispute that ethical position.

Positive thinking and ethics

If you remember, the original position being looked at, apparently suggests moral relativism is harmful and is therefore untrue.

There is no reason a truth cannot be harmful, unpleasant or demoralising. To assert otherwise, is just optimism or positive thinking speaking, and there is nothing necessarily true about that. If someone makes this argument, it could appear they are either refusing to look at the subject, running away from the Truth, or simply trying to hold onto some kind of power.

Some of ex-president Trump’s reasoning seems to follow this pattern.

  • Covid-19 is unpleasant and harmful to the economy therefore it cannot be happening or its only of minor importance. The evidence people are dying in large numbers must be false.
  • Climate change is unpleasant therefore it cannot be happening or its only of minor importance. The evidence indicating it is getting worse must be false, and I will get by whatever.
  • Racism is unpleasant therefore it cannot be happening or its only of minor importance. The evidence that black people in the US get shot and injured by police disproportionately to their numbers in the population must be false. People on my side, cannot be racist, they are just misunderstood.
  • Being taken advantage of by North Korea is unpleasant therefore it cannot be happening or its only of minor importance.
  • Failure to build or extend a wall very far, or get the Mexicans to pay for it, is unpleasant therefore it cannot be happening or its only of minor importance. The wall is a great success.
  • Losing is unpleasant therefore it cannot be happening or its only of minor importance. As loosing is unpleasant, there must be lots of evidence that loosing did not happen, even if I cannot seem to present it in court. People who say I’ve lost are biased, or weak, enemies. Virtue says I have to have won.

Trump’s followers often seem to think, that if Trump (and Republicanism) is not on their side it would be unpleasant and there would be no hope of life getting better, therefore he must be on their side and working for them, and all the evidence he is not is pure fakery.

Sadly the unpleasant is often more accurate, and needs to be faced rather than avoided or concealed.

Harmful positive thinking denies reality.

Beneficial positive thinking can accept the unpleasantness, or “non-optimality” of the situation, but asserts we do not have to be victims, we might still have lots to be grateful for, we can survive, we can struggle to be in the best place possible, we may triumph if we persist in those struggles, or learn a new way of proceeding. We may even have God on our side, but the problems are real, and have to be faced, even the unpleasant problems of ethical uncertainty.