Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

Introduction to the Introduction

November 3, 2022

I’m trying to write a book on problems with the energy transition and the use of ‘climate technologies’ such as carbon trading, carbon capture and storage, geoengineering, biofuels, nuclear, evs and so on.

This is kind of an introduction to the book’s introduction.

As well as being about the problems with the needed energy transition and the climate technologies we use to deal with climate change and ecological devastation, this book is also about some of my theoretical obsessions, such as:

  • The ways that attempts to order the world in a good way (however that is defined), generate the disorder that is feared.
  • The normality of unintended consequences, the lack of control over everything, and the need to look out for these normalities, in our lives and correct for them.
    • Despite everyone knowing about unintended consequences and their prevalence in life, this knowledge is not part of contemporary western social theory (including economics), or philosophy.
  • The realisation that everything is ecological, and interconnectedness, interdependency and lack of apparent harmony are fundamental to all life. No thing, and no one, exists by itself. Hence to perceive an action’s effects we have to look around widely.
  • This realisation implies the need for a politics which is experimental rather than dogmatic. We don’t know what a policy’s complete effects will be in advance – no matter how sensible and virtuous it appears to be.
  • The realisation that human conscious thinking is limited, and directed by the theories we have. This also tends to direct what we observe. We don’t perceive the world as it is, but through the tools we deploy.
  • To keep our modes of thinking and life, it is common for people to engage in defensive fantasy ‘solutions’ if the problem seems too big or overwhelming and potentially destructive of their ways of life. These solutions can even make the situation worse.
  • The need to listen to our unconscious awareness of patterning, and to be aware that processes which we cultivate unconsciousness of, sill exist and can harm us.
  • Forms of economic organisation can be destructive as well as productive, and we need to minimise destruction.
  • Wealth is not the same as riches.
  • Forms of economic organisation can lead to destructive power imbalances, and positive feedback loops, as the economy gets organised to feed the rich. The power and politics of neoliberalism is one of the fundamental problems of contemporary life, along with developmentalism.
  • Markets are subsidiary to ecologies, rather than ecology being submissive to markets. A market which destroys its ecology will almost certainly destroy itself.
  • Technologies involve social uses and social organisations, and they can also have harmful effects on people and ecologies if we ignore them.
  • Societies, and people, all face challenges and have to respond to them. How they succeed in this response, influences their future trajectory. Sometimes the challenges they face are self-generated and these challenges are particularly difficult to respond to, other than by avoidance of the problem. Climate change and eco-destruction are such challenges. The personal and social response are intertwined, hence they reinforce each other, either for success, avoidance or failure.
  • The obvious realisation that energy technologies, energy supply and its organisation are vital for forms of social life, what can be achieved and who is likely to dominate over others.

The energy transition is as much a matter of social and intellectual change as it is about technical phenomena. This is one reason why it can be scary. We don’t know the results.

While the book is sometimes bleak, and argues that many of the proposed technological solutions are fantasy avoidance solutions, it is also arguing that as many people as possible need to organise to face up to this problem, and this will bring some degree of personal and social health. We all have been waiting well over 40 years for governments and businesses to act, and they have delayed and prevaricated. We have tried the market for the last 40 years and it has not worked and it turns out that there are good reasons for this: markets cannot be separated from politics, corporate power or simply the power of established riches. Markets and Governments will not save us.

The problem also suggests we need a new way of thinking. This is implied in the theoretical outline above. To deal with the reality of eco-geo-social-technical problems, we have to be able to think, at nearly all times, in terms of: ecology, complexity, and unintended consequences; and be prepared to try processes out without prejudging.

We need a local action which helps us to build the communities we need to survive climate change, or uses the existing communities to build further resilience. There is an argument that local transition, is more likely to build appropriate local technologies, and that a clear local demonstration of concern is more likely to build political concern and emulation, than is a purely theoretical awareness of support.

The book attempts to draw attention to problems with the hope of advising action, and awareness of those problems. If people are forewarned, then people can act in more useful ways, and avoid distractions.

Some fundamental Problems of Energy Transition

November 2, 2022

Three initial problems

Problem 1: Climate change is one part of a general mode of ecological destruction. It is not the total, and possibly not even the most important ecological problem we have. It may even distract us from the rest of the destruction. For instance we may do nothing about potential ocean death, or the decline in availability of phosphorus.

Problem 2: it appears that achieving contemporary ‘developed’ life, and military defense, requires massive energy consumption.

Problem 3: It is not yet demonstrated that capitalism can run with no ecological destruction, and no freeloading, or without growing ecological destruction, and without growing energy consumption.

Problems with the energy transition

Renewables make a tiny percentage of the total energy supply, although a reasonable percentage of electricity supply. They constitute about 5-8% of total energy supply if you don’t count biofuels or hydro, which are probably pretty much fixed.

While renewables are increasing, so are fossil fuels, and so are emissions and the amount of GHG (greenhouse gas in the atmosphere)

One big question is “How do we generate enough energy to manufacture the renewables we need rapidly?” as there is not enough spare Renewable energy to do this.

The answer is probably via fossil fuels – again new energy production may be needed, because we don’t have much spare. So the phase out may increase emissions for a while, and increase the problems.

Renewables are supposedly now cheaper to build and install, so this problem should diminish.

However, if we do “electrify everything” such as automobiles, then we need even more renewables, or else there is not that much point.

Emissions will not diminish if renewables (or other energy sources) do not replace fossil fuels, and emissions do not peak soon….. We cannot risk more emissions.

Reducing emissions, not only requires renewables, but probably requires some kind of degrowth.

Developing countries don’t want degrowth as it gives them less military power and prosperity, and developed countries won’t degrow because they think it will lose votes and corporate profits, and they keep promoting fossil fuels as the cheapest and easiest thing for developing countries, probably because they have been bought by fossil fuel companies.

However, life as was lived in the west in the 1960s say was ok, and released a lot less GHG emissions than we do nowadays. It was also incredibly energy inefficient, so we may well be able to attain that kind of life level for most everyone, if we wanted.

Renewables require minerals, and mining is ecologically destructive. The only compensation for the new mining being done is that coal, gas and oil mining are also ecologically destructive, and getting more so, as supplies get more difficult to find (you don’t go for tar sands, deep sea oil and coal-seam gas if you have better fields).

If open slather mining destruction is stopped, the price of minerals increases, and the transition slows.

At the moment we have masses of lithium, but like everything else it is exhaustible, and prices will increase, the greater the demand.

However, people are searching for other kinds of battery, such as weight driven batteries. I’ve certainly heard people say that lithium storage is not the way to go. (People are always talking about the endless creativity of capitalism, but for some reasons those people do not talk about it when it comes to renewables)

Many places have the prices of electricity tied to the most expensive source, which means that people rarely get rewarded for paying for renewables unless they have them personally. They still have to pay the price of fossil fuels, and deal with company profiteering. Fossil fuel profits are wildly up at the moment as there is no competition between fossil fuel companies. Fossil fuel companies have the dilemma of do we sell the stuff now while we can, or do we wait and slowly keep lifting the price. They need increased revenue to deal with the more difficult fields which they are likely to be left with. Gas fields are still relatively big, and easy, but we have seen the price of gas increase massively, which also suggests something like keeping production low and price high is happening.

The fossil fuel companies are incredibly rich and powerful, and will do everything to inhibit the transition, as it would mean the end of their riches and power. They are not making a transition at all – they are depending upon everyone failing to make the transition.

We can hope for improved nuclear or fusion tech, but this does not seem to be happening. Fusion is having successes, but they are small. I have seen reports that China is rolling out small reactors, but they typically have no data, and the CSIRO had no access to any real data about costs and electricity generated. Large scale nuclear appears to be slow, usually taking far more time and money than estimated to build, as well as its other problems.

AS climate damage increases, money and energy will be diverted away from the energy transition, into repair or preparation for the next set of damage. We cannot deal with cumulative catastrophe even now, never mind another 20 years.

As the problem seems insolvable people will invent fantasy solutions to help them cope with the reality. These will be theoretically feasible, but in practice which serve to keep fossil fuels going with the hope we can easily solve the problem soon. Things like carbon credits, carbon capture and storage. This can be called saved by imaginary technology.

Another way forward, is to give up on national action and encourage villages to be self supporting on solar or wind, and just accepting that sometimes the energy will be low.

It is very possible that the amount of low emissions energy will not increase at the rate we need, and that the amount of fossil fuels being burnt will also not decrease at the rate we need. We may need to degrow, and to value other things. But that does involve changing society.

But we need to keep active.

Summary of Narrabri and its problems with energy

October 24, 2022

All the social struggles in Narrabri essentially centre on fossil fuels, and exist within the complex of the ‘Carbon Oligarchy’ and ‘Polluter Elites‘, joined to both the effects of climate change (long scale droughts, followed by massive flooding) and the apparent decline of agriculture. Agricultural decline seems to be arising partly through climate change, and partly through displacement, or fear of displacement by mining and loss of useable bore water, again through mining. The importance of long term drinkable, and useable, bore water supplies is obvious. As well as the long-term, risk to bore water (no matter how well the current isolation plans work), there also seems to be a risk of surface and air pollution through coal dust and through mineral leaks at the gas mine heads. While it was not discussed often, there is also the threat that burning these new fossil fuels (wherever they are burnt in the world) will increase the effects of climate change in Narrabri, even though their effect may be overshadowed by the effects of other fossil fuel burn offs.

Fossil fuels are intensely supported by the State and business interests. The mine expansions and the new coal-seam gas fields have been approved, although there are still some delaying court challenges. The NSW government has also just begun a process which they hope will lead to an energy intensive manufacturing site in Narrabri, powered by gas from the gas fields (again to boost local jobs). It does not look as though they will accept intense energy manufacturing through renewables with gas back up. The gas fields are being given an artificial market as we would expect in a Carbon Oligarchy.

This context makes the disputes in Narrabri existential. There is a real, and acknowledged, threat that the town could decline, and even come to an end, without some change, as the current trends do not appear good, especially if you think population and economic growth is good. This situation is a direct threat to the residents’ existence, and likely to heighten and polarise responses. The Oligarchy approved solution of fossil fuels should bring some jobs and finance to the town, which may go some way towards helping out. However, it is not clear how many of those jobs will come to exist, or how many will be for existing locals or for temporary workers or workers from elsewhere. It is also not clear how long those jobs will last.

There will likely be many jobs during construction of the gas fields, but they will be temporary, and largely go to outsiders, as the local population is small, and does not necessarily have the required skills. We have also seen how (probably due to the population size) the high-paying jobs in the mines can already lower the workforce available for the town, and the loss of farmers can increase dislocations between town and country, as their interdependence is broken. There are, apparently, many examples of mining towns which boomed, gained complete dependence on the mining, and then collapsed when the mining ended. The mining in Narrabri is short term. The gas fields are limited even if the company moves into the better agricultural lands nearby. Fossil fuel mining is also under pressure from the possible resolution of ambiguities of State policy, through States taking serious climate action and phasing fossil fuels out. This adds to the possibilities that fossil fuel mining may not guarantee a good future for Narrabri, and indeed may help destroy that future both in terms of the town’s economy, and the local ecology.

The existential nature of the dispute, and its polarisation, may be being encouraged by mining companies and the Oligarchy, phasing the dispute not only in terms of town vs country (accelerating the dislocation) and framing objectors as outsiders, but by phrasing mining as the only, and inevitable, way forward. Given the Oligarchy, the mining can seem inevitable despite the ongoing struggles against it. Whether correct or not, the mining companies appear to have control over most of the information that local people will find easily, through their own funding and talks, but through the local newspaper growing dependent on their advertising. The companies, also have the ability to fund the community and community events and clubs, and again whether or not this is true, can appear to obstruct the presentation of counter knowledges and counter proposals. This in itself can heighten the polarity. Not only is the dispute about existential issues, but about morality.

The effects of the dispute have caused much pain to local people, and show that this kind of dispute is not beneficial for local problem solving, although it may help the established powers carry on, as the local area is fragmented. It is also worth investigating whether the dispute hampered the region’s response to the crises of climate change, or whether those crises lowered the friction as people ‘pulled together’.

In contrast with the fossil fuel industry, the renewable industry appears to distance itself from the area. Its plans are not well advertised, seem covered in unintentional secrecy, are not integrated with local business, the companies make no claims about local jobs, or supplying local energy, and appear unconcerned about engaging with locals at all. This has rendered renewables marginal to the debate and until recently, there has been little locally organised support for renewables. Even renewable providers have come from out of town.

This means that the only way forward for a renewable alternative locally is through local organisation, and local support, and this is what has happened, and which will be the subject of another paper.

Going by this initial research, it can be suggested it is important to heal the country/city gap, to connect the country with the town’s workforce again, connect with independent information, and build increased communication. Mutual exclusion is misleading in an age which requires an understanding of an interdependent and inclusive ecology. We are “all in this together,” there is little chance of a fortunate few escaping. However, this is easier proposed than carried out, as the sides are not equal in their abilities to influence events. The Carbon Oligarchy will play its role in the approval process and the information likely to be promoted will support the Oligarchy and its needs. However, climate change threatens the Oligarchy as much as it threatens everyone else and its position is ambiguous and uncertain. Therefore it is possible that local people, joined with others, can persuade the State to take its obligations seriously, even despite a better funded campaign against climate reality.

Principles of Neoliberalism – yes again

October 23, 2022

I know I’m flogging a dead camel, but here we are again. People are saying neoliberalism is dead, but its still seems the common sense of the time, although Liz Truss’s unfinanced taxcuts and cuts to spending did upset the markets. However, its replacement with more austerity for ordinary people seemed to be perfectly acceptable.

We need to be clear. Neoliberalism is not just an economic theory, it is a political programme, backed by the corporate elites, and their networks (such as the Atlas Network), to increase their power and riches.

The principles of neoliberalism:

  • Business is good. Big Business is better than small business
  • Business generates riches, therefore it must be protected.
    • As big business is better than small business, it needs more protection.
  • The Market should govern everything.
  • The Market is the best way of doing everything.
  • The Market is the only important thing in life.
  • Anything which interferes with the market is very very bad.
    • These bad interference things include; unions, environmental protections, anti-pollution laws, planning for the good of society, taxes on the rich, affordable health care, democracy, and so on.
    • The ecology is a subset of the market, and the market can ignore it and fix all its problems.
    • These bad things must be inhibited or prevented by State legislation. Tax cuts for wealthy people and big business are nearly always acceptable, even if apparently unfunded.
  • Some things which appear to interfere with the market are not really interferences with the market and can be ignored.
    • Such as: taxpayer subsidies for established companies; military spending; rich people or organisations buying policies or being able to regulate the market; state contracting to business; cartels; monopolies; businesses co-operating to reduce wages and conditions or set prices; price gouging; suppressing data harmful to business etc.
    • If these are faults then they will be corrected by the market. No need for legislation.
  • Neoliberals should never talk about the possibility of wealth being a source of power, or wealthy people co-operating for their personal good against workers, and the word plutocracy should never be mentioned. As this is unreal. The Market will not allow it.
  • It should never be discussed, but plutocracy is good, and we call it democracy – as it counts the people who count.
  • Market failure, is always the fault of the government.
  • Poverty is always the fault of the poor. If they are poor that is because they are incompetent, lazy, stupid or criminal.
  • The term ‘class war’ can only be applied when poorer people, or workers, attack the neoliberal system of plutocracy. If the Rich classes attack the poor, then that is just The Market in Action and hence is good for everyone..

The Republicans in the 1950s

October 18, 2022

The world has shifted rightwards. These are some highlights from the Republican Party Platform of 1956 (I’ve previously pointed to similar statements from Australian Conservative icon Robert Menzies.

This is an abridgement. Many similar to contemporary style Republican views have been deleted (such as military strength, cost cutting, etc) to emphasise the difference. I have not indicated all the breaks in the document. However, please feel free to read the original, linked above.

********************************************

August 20, 1956

Our Government was created by the people for all the people, and it must serve no less a purpose.

On its Centennial, the Republican Party again calls to the minds of all Americans the great truth first spoken by Abraham Lincoln: “The legitimate object of Government is to do for a community of people whatever they need to have done but cannot do at all, or cannot so well do, for themselves in their separate and individual capacities. But in all that people can individually do as well for themselves, Government ought not to interfere.”

Our great President Dwight D. Eisenhower has counseled us further: “In all those things which deal with people, be liberal, be human. In all those things which deal with people’s money, or their economy, or their form of government, be conservative.”….

We believe that basic to governmental integrity are unimpeachable ethical standards and irreproachable personal conduct by all people in government. We shall continue our insistence on honesty as an indispensable requirement of public service. We shall continue to root out corruption whenever and wherever it appears.

We are proud of and shall continue our far-reaching and sound advances in matters of basic human needs—expansion of social security—broadened coverage in unemployment insurance —improved housing—and better health protection for all our people. We are determined that our government remain warmly responsive to the urgent social and economic problems of our people….

We shall maintain our powerful military strength as a deterrent to aggression and as a guardian of the peace. We shall maintain it ready, balanced and technologically advanced for these objectives only….

We have balanced the budget. We believe and will continue to prove that thrift, prudence and a sensible respect for living within income applies as surely to the management of our Government’s budget as it does to the family budget.

That men are created equal needs no affirmation, but they must have equality of opportunity and protection of their civil rights under the law.

We hold that the strict division of powers and the primary responsibility of State and local governments must be maintained, and that the centralization of powers in the national Government leads to expansion of the mastery of our lives…

For our guidance in fulfilling this responsibility, President Eisenhower has given us a statement of principles that is neither partisan nor prejudiced, but warmly American:

The individual is of supreme importance.

The spirit of our people is the strength of our nation.

America does not prosper unless all Americans prosper.

Government must have a heart as well as a head.

Courage in principle, cooperation in practice make freedom positive.

To stay free, we must stay strong…..

Further reductions in taxes with particular consideration for low and middle income families.

To meet the immense demands of our expanding economy, we have initiated the largest highway, air and maritime programs in history, each soundly financed.

We stand for forward-looking programs, created to replace our war-built merchant fleet with the most advanced types in design, with increased speed. Adaptation of new propulsion power units, including nuclear, must be sponsored and achieved.

We pledge the continuation and improvement of our drive to aid small business. Every constructive potential avenue of improvement both legislative and executive—has been explored in our search for ways in which to widen opportunities for this important segment of America’s economy.

Small business now is receiving approximately one-third, dollar-wise, of all Defense contracts. We recommend a further review of procurement procedures for all defense departments and agencies with a view to facilitating and extending such participation for the further benefit of Small Business.

We favor loans at reasonable rates of interest to small businesses which have records of permanency but who are in temporary need and which are unable to obtain credit in commercial channels.

We also propose:

Legislation to enable closer Federal scrutiny of mergers which have a significant or potential monopolistic connotations;

Procedural changes in the antitrust laws to facilitate their enforcement;..

Under the Republican Administration, as our country has prospered, so have its people. This is as it should be, for as President Eisenhower said: “Labor is the United States. The men and women, who with their minds, their hearts and hands, create the wealth that is shared in this country—they are America.”

Wages have increased substantially over the past 3 1/2 years;

The Federal minimum wage has been raised for more than 2 million workers. Social Security has been extended to an additional 10 million workers and the benefits raised for 6 1/2 million. The protection of unemployment insurance has been brought to 4 million additional workers. There have been increased workmen’s compensation benefits for longshoremen and harbor workers, increased retirement benefits for railroad employees, and wage increases and improved welfare and pension plans for federal employees.

In addition, the Eisenhower Administration has enforced more vigorously and effectively than ever before, the laws which protect the working standards of our people.

All workers have gained and unions have grown in strength and responsibility, and have increased their membership by 2 millions.

Furthermore, the process of free collective bargaining has been strengthened by the insistence of this Administration that labor and management settle their differences at the bargaining table without the intervention of the Government. This policy has brought to our country an unprecedented period of labor-management peace and understanding.

The Eisenhower Administration will continue to fight for dynamic and progressive programs which, among other things, will:

Stimulate improved job safety of our workers, through assistance to the States, employees and employers;

Continue and further perfect its programs of assistance to the millions of workers with special employment problems, such as older workers, handicapped workers, members of minority groups, and migratory workers;

Strengthen and improve the Federal-State Employment Service and improve the effectiveness of the unemployment insurance system;

Protect by law, the assets of employee welfare and benefit plans so that workers who are the beneficiaries can be assured of their rightful benefits;

Assure equal pay for equal work regardless of Sex;

Clarify and strengthen the eight-hour laws for the benefit of workers who are subject to federal wage standards on Federal and Federally-assisted construction, and maintain and continue the vigorous administration of the Federal prevailing minimum wage law for public supply contracts;

Extend the protection of the Federal minimum wage laws to as many more workers as is possible and practicable;

Continue to fight for the elimination of discrimination in employment because of race, creed, color, national origin, ancestry or sex;

Provide assistance to improve the economic conditions of areas faced with persistent and substantial unemployment;

The protection of the right of workers to organize into unions and to bargain collectively is the firm and permanent policy of the Eisenhower Administration….

The Republican Party believes that the physical, mental, and spiritual well-being of the people is as important as their economic health. It will continue to support this conviction with vigorous action.

Republican action created the Department of Health, Education and Welfare as the first new Federal department in 40 years, to raise the continuing consideration of these problems for the first time to the highest council of Government, the President’s Cabinet.

Four thousand communities, studying their school populations and their physical and financial resources, encouraged our Republican Administration to urge a five-year program of Federal assistance in building schools to relieve a critical classroom shortage.

The Republican Party will renew its efforts to enact a program based on sound principles of need and designed to encourage increased state and local efforts to build more classrooms.

The Republican Party is determined to press all such actions that will help insure that every child has the educational opportunity to advance to his own greatest capacity.

We have fully resolved to continue our steady gains in man’s unending struggle against disease and disability.

We have supported the distribution of free vaccine to protect millions of children against dreaded polio.

Republican leadership has enlarged Federal assistance for construction of hospitals, emphasizing low-cost care of chronic diseases and the special problems of older persons, and increased Federal aid for medical care of the needy.

We have asked the largest increase in research funds ever sought in one year to intensify attacks on cancer, mental illness, heart disease and other dread diseases.

We demand once again, despite the reluctance of the Democrat 84th Congress, Federal assistance to help build facilities to train more physicians and scientists.

We have strengthened the Food and Drug Administration, and we have increased the vocational rehabilitation program to enable a larger number of the disabled to return to satisfying activity.

We have supported measures that have made more housing available than ever before in history, reduced urban slums in local-federal partnership, stimulated record home ownership, and authorized additional low-rent public housing.

We initiated the first flood insurance program in history under Government sponsorship in cooperation with private enterprise.

We shall continue to seek extension and perfection of a sound social security system.

Our objective is markets which return full parity to our farm and ranch people when they sell their products. There is no simple, easy answer to farm problems. Our approach as ever is a many-sided, versatile and positive program to help all farmers and ranchers.

Benefits of Social Security have been extended to farm families. Programs of loans and grants for farm families hit by flood and drought have been made operative.

To safeguard our precious soil and water resources for generations yet unborn;

To continue and expand the Republican-sponsored school milk program, to encourage further use of the school lunch program now benefiting 11 million children, and to foster improved nutritional levels;

To work with farmers, ranchers and others to carry forward the Great Plains program to achieve wise use of lands in the area subject to wind erosion, so that the people of this region can enjoy a higher standard of living; and in summation:

The Republican Party is wholeheartedly committed to maintaining a Federal Government that is clean, honorable and increasingly efficient. It proudly affirms that it has achieved this kind of Government and dedicated it to the service of all the people.

We condemn illegal lobbying for any cause and improper use of money in political activities, including the use of funds collected by compulsion for political purposes contrary to the personal desires of the individual.

we have modernized and revitalized the postal establishment from top to bottom, inside and out. We have undertaken and substantially completed the largest reorganization ever to take place in any unit of business or government:

We have provided more than 1200 badly-needed new post office buildings, and are adding two more every day. We are using the very latest types of industrial equipment where practicable; and, through a program of research and engineering, we are inventing new mechanical and electronic devices to speed the movement of mail by eliminating tedious old-fashioned methods.

We pledge to continue and to complete this vitally needed program of modernization of buildings, equipment, methods and service, so that the American people will receive the kind of mail delivery they deserve—the speediest and best that American ingenuity, technology and modern business management can provide.

We favor self-government, national suffrage and representation in the Congress of the United States for residents of the District of Columbia.

We recommend to Congress the submission of a constitutional amendment providing equal rights for men and women.

The Republican Party points to an impressive record of accomplishment in the field of civil rights and commits itself anew to advancing the rights of all our people regardless of race, creed, color or national origin.

In the area of exclusive Federal jurisdiction, more progress has been made in this field under the present Republican Administration than in any similar period in the last 80 years.

The many Negroes who have been appointed to high public positions have played a significant part in the progress of this Administration.

Segregation has been ended in the District of Columbia Government and in the District public facilities including public schools, restaurants, theaters and playgrounds. The Eisenhower Administration has eliminated discrimination in all federal employment.

Segregation in the active Armed Forces of the United States has been ended. For the first time in our history there is no segregation in veterans’ hospitals and among civilians on naval bases. This is an impressive record. We pledge ourselves to continued progress in this field..

The Republican Party accepts the decision of the U.S.. Supreme Court that racial discrimination in publicly supported schools must be progressively eliminated. We concur in the conclusion of the Supreme Court that its decision directing school desegregation should be accomplished with “all deliberate speed” locally through Federal District Courts.

The Republican Party supports an immigration policy which is in keeping with the traditions of America in providing a haven for oppressed peoples, and which is based on equality of treatment, freedom from implications of discrimination between racial, nationality and religious groups, and flexible enough to conform to changing needs and conditions.

In that concept, this Republican Administration sponsored the Refugee Relief Act to provide asylum for thousands of refugees, expellees and displaced persons, and undertook in the face of Democrat opposition to correct the inequities in existing law and to bring our immigration policies in line with the dynamic needs of the country and principles of equity and justice.

We believe also that the Congress should consider the extension of the Refugee Relief Act of 1953 in resolving this difficult refugee problem which resulted from world conflict. To all this we give our wholehearted support.

NATO itself has been strengthened by developing reliance upon new weapons and retaliatory power, thus assisting the NATO countries increasingly to attain both economic welfare and adequate military defense.

We shall continue vigorously to support the United Nations.

We believe that active duty in the Armed Forces during a state of war or national emergency is the highest call of citizenship constituting a special service to our nation and entitles those who have served to positive assistance to alleviate the injuries, hardships and handicaps imposed by their service.

In recognizing this principle under previous Republican Administrations we established the Veterans Administration. This Republican Administration increased compensation and pension benefits for veterans and survivors to provide more adequate levels and to off-set cost of living increases that occurred during the most recent Democratic Administration.

We have also improved quality of hospital service and have established a long-range program for continued improvement of such service. We have strengthened and extended survivors’ benefits, thus affording greater security for all veterans in the interest of equity and justice.

One of the brightest areas of achievement and progress under the Eisenhower Administration has been in resource conservation and development and in sound, long-range public works programming.

Policies of sound conservation and wise development—originally advanced half a century ago under that preeminent Republican conservation team of President Theodore Roosevelt and Gifford Pinchot and amplified by succeeding Republican Administrations—have been pursued by the Eisenhower Administration. While meeting the essential development needs of the people, this Administration has conserved and safeguarded our natural resources for the greatest good of all, now and in the future.

Our national parks, national forests and wildlife refuges are now more adequately financed, better protected and more extensive than ever before. Long-range improvement programs, such as Mission 66 for the National Parks system, are now under way, and studies are nearing completion for a comparable program for the National Forests. These forward-looking programs will be aggressively continued.

Our Republican Administration has modernized and vitalized our mining laws by the first major revision in more than 30 years.

Recreation, parks and wildlife.

ACHIEVEMENTS: Reversed the 15-year trend of neglect of our National Parks by launching the 10-year, $785 million Mission 66 parks improvement program. Has nearly completed field surveys for a comparable forest improvement program. Obtained passage of the so-called “Week-end Miner Bill.” Added more than 400,000 acres to our National Park system, and 90,000 acres to wildlife refuges. Has undertaken well-conceived measures to protect reserved areas of all types and to provide increased staffs and operating funds for public recreation agencies.

We favor full recognition of recreation as an important public use of our national forests and public domain lands.

We favor a comprehensive study of the effect upon wildlife of the drainage of our wetlands.

We favor recognition, by the States, of wild-life and recreation management and conservation as a beneficial use of water.

We subscribe to the general objectives of groups seeking to guard the beauty of our land and to promote clean, attractive surroundings throughout America.

We recognize the need for maintaining isolated wilderness areas to provide opportunity for future generations to experience some of the wilderness living through which the traditional American spirit of hardihood was developed.

Water resource development legislation enacted under the Eisenhower Administration already has ushered in one of the greatest water resource development programs this Nation has ever seen, a soundly-conceived construction program that will continue throughout this Century and beyond.

We will continue to press for co-operative solution of all problems of water supply and distribution, reclamation, pollution, flood control, and saline-water conversion.

We pledge legislative support to the arid and semi-arid states in preserving the integrity of their water laws and customs as developed out of the necessities of these regions. We affirm the historic policy of Congress recognizing State water rights, as repeatedly expressed in Federal law over the past 90 years.

We pledge an expansion in research and planning of water resource development programs, looking to the future when it may be necessary to re-distribute water from water-surplus areas to water-deficient areas.

The Republican Party is acutely aware that a foundation stone of the nation’s strength is its wealth of natural resources and the high development of its physical assets. They are the basis of our great progress in 180 years of freedom and of our nation’s military and economic might.

We pledge that we will continue the policies of sound conservation and wise development instituted by this Administration to insure that our resources are managed as a beneficial trust for all the people.

Trusting government?

October 16, 2022

The Eastern Australian floods

If you have been looking at the Australian media, or at least the decent media, you will have read about the NEW flooding in NSW, Victoria and Tasmania, with towns being evacuated and so on. You will have read, or know from your own experience, that this level of rain, all over the place, seems unprecedented.

It certainly does not seem normal.

And we are still being told that we should sell more coal and gas by the government – on the grounds that the COP26 accounting procedure means that fossil fuels mined here and burnt overseas do not increase our emissions levels, as if global emissions we encourage do not affect us. Given the tax and royalty arrangements, it also seems unlikely that we gain that much from these sales – tax avoidance seems common.

And the right (Andrew Bolt, Matt Canavan, Peter Dutton etc) are still pretending that there is no climate change or that climate change is a hoax, or that it has nothing to do with humans, and that we can do nothing about it. Anything to ignore it, and these people could be in government again relatively soon.

Let us be clear, we still have not managed to fix, or deal with, the previous flooding from this year or the bush fire damage from years before. People are still living in sheds and caravans, or in rotting houses. People are still threatened by more floods and fire damage. Roads still need fixing. Bridges still need repair.

Damage is mounting up and we cannot deal with the damage we already have. Events will compound. For example flooding means waterborne disease and sewerage are likely to be present. Crowding people together may spread airborne disease. Mosquitoes will spread other diseases (for example encephalitis from a destroyed piggery). People will likely not get insurance payments, or not be able to reinsure. There will be such a demand for building workers that people will be caught in bad conditions possibly for years. There eventually will not be enough money to rebuild towns or to move them.

How does this potential suffering stack with doing nothing, preparing for nothing and making it worse by selling more fossil fuels overseas?

Covid in Australia

Likewise the governments tell us that Covid is not a problem. But it is not clear how they are evaluating that. It seems to be to me. People are dying more now in NSW than they were over the 2020-21 period, and we know more about long covid, and it is currently appearing that people who have had covid can die of ‘unrelated’ diseases more commonly that the rest of the population. In both cases we don’t seem to want to admit it.

The government is back away from dangers that add to the crises we are experiencing, and they are encouraging the rest of us not to bother about them either. This will mount up.

This is State failure in action.

Failing infrastructure in the US and climate change

I’ve written about this before and here. But a friend of mine recently wrote:

It has been one thing after another causing problems.

Part inadequate infrastructure, part devastating weather events, part drought and wildfires, big part pandemic. I’m not even going to include the effects of dysfunctional government.

Now, the Mississippi River, which is vital to getting products to the Louisiana ports, mostly grains and some coal, is too low for the heavy loaded barges, due to prolonged drought in the middle of the US. [some barges are stranded]

Farmers are currently harvesting corn, wheat, soybeans. Harvesting must occur or the crops will be lost. With very little unused storage bins, unless alternate shipping can be utilized, a very large portion of the crops will be lost.

Certain areas of the Mississippi River have required regular dredging because of the way the Army Corp of Engineersv(ACE) rerouted the Mississippi. This didn’t happen under Trump, because of the Defense funds diverted for the wall. The monies taken were earmarked for domestic military needs, like military housing upkeep, base education, and the operation of the ACE domestic works, like dredging.

The 2021-22 US budget was written under Trump’s presidency and has just ended. Republican senators are waiting until after the midterm elections to pass a new budget.

It is readily apparent that the government does not care about the people.

Redundancy and Slack

This lack of storage is silly, if correct. I suppose a part it is the popularity of ‘just in time’ supply systems which diminish the capacity for resilience, but save corporations storage costs and hence boost profits. ‘Slack‘ and redundancy are vital for survival.

The more efficient a system becomes, the more fragile it becomes.

It seems like the US does not repair infrastructure very often which again removes slack and makes systems much more precarious than they have to be.

Not having slack assumes that everything in a complex system will always remain the same, or remain predictable. this will not happen normally, never mind in a world of global pandemics and climate change.

So far we have been lucky but not only do we need to stop or slow, climate change, we need to prepare for disruptive events. We need redundant services, we need a back up of people able to help in large disaster struck areas. We need to be able to keep on repairing infrastructure, fixing the consequences of disaster, and reducing the bad effects of climate and travel. The last thing any sensible government should be doing is lowering tax rates on the corporate sector. We and they need the money to prepare to build slack and respond to disasters that are coming, and which accumulate.

When we have huge destructive bushfires, followed by huge destructive floods, over large pandemics, we can’t afford not to have working adaptation, rescue and health services, otherwise everything just gets worse and more and more people will be displaced and suffering.

Governments have to increase both services and their income to pay for it, or we face collapse.

Being unprepared no longer cuts it. Having a state which is incapable of protecting its citizens (other than against military attack) is no longer enough.

William Shattner on Earth and Space

October 12, 2022

I guess many people will have seen William Shattner’s response to his space journey, but just in case….

“I love the mystery of the universe. I love all the questions that have come to us over thousands of years of exploration and hypotheses … [but] when I looked in the opposite direction, into space, there was no mystery, no majestic awe to behold … all I saw was death,”

“Everything I had thought was wrong. Everything I had expected to see was wrong,….. “I had thought that going into space would be the ultimate catharsis of that connection I had been looking for between all living things – that being up there would be the next beautiful step to understanding the harmony of the universe.”

“I discovered that the beauty isn’t out there, it’s down here, with all of us. Leaving that behind made my connection to our tiny planet even more profound.”

“It was among the strongest feelings of grief I have ever encountered. The contrast between the vicious coldness of space and the warm nurturing of Earth below filled me with overwhelming sadness.

“Every day, we are confronted with the knowledge of further destruction of Earth at our hands: the extinction of animal species, of flora and fauna … things that took 5bn years to evolve, and suddenly we will never see them again because of the interference of mankind. It filled me with dread.

“My trip to space was supposed to be a celebration; instead, it felt like a funeral.”

The Problem of the Rich as Saviours

October 10, 2022

It is quite clear that the neoliberal experiment has so-far benefitted those who are already rich. Most of the ‘new’ wealth has gone to them. In the UK figures from the ONS for example, assert that the average household wealth of the top 1% (263,000 people) is £3.8 million, while that of the poorest 10% of households is £15,400. The median wealth was £302,500. People in the lowest 60% hold just one fifth of wealth. In Australia, the richest 20 per cent hold nearly two thirds of Australia’s wealth. Oxfam claim that the world’s richest 26 people possess the same wealth as the poorest 50% of the world’s population.

Oxfam said the wealth of more than 2,200 billionaires across the globe had increased by $900bn in 2018 – or $2.5bn a day. The 12% increase in the wealth of the very richest contrasted with a fall of 11% in the wealth of the poorest half of the world’s population.

The rich have wealth and the power it brings and they seem to reassure themselves this is because they are more deserving than others. The working class has been stuck with low wages and bad and precarious conditions of work – if workers become unemployed then the system sets out to persecute them until they take whatever is going, no matter how much it cripples them. There is more freedom for the rich.

However this change in patterns of wealth and income, has also lead to us depending on the rich for action as they control the money and property and the businesses. And action to reduce Climate Change or social inequality has almost not happened at all.

So we have a problem with no apparent solution.

The rest of this post largely comes from another blogger whose work I admire. I’ve edited, rearrange, added and abridged a little. But please go to the original.

There are regular laments these days about our crisis of imagination. We face existential crises, and yet nobody with any sort of influence has any sort of idea what to do about any of it. The typical strategy seems to be ‘more of the same’ on steroids. Who would suggest that doing the same thing is going to have different results? And not only different, but polar opposite results! This is idiocy.

We turn to the rich for solutions. Living on the borderlands of that world, as I do, I’ve known quite a number of rich people… and they’re not sociopaths… they’re just… not that bright… The rich are not cruel by design. They often desire to do good in the world and believe they are doing so. But they are so blinded by their own sense of self worth — I must be smart; I have all this money! — they don’t see the real world effects of their actions….

In this self-reinforcing world, wealth and status can breed complacency and a sort of smug sense of rectitude — which then turns into social blindness, self-absorption, and not a little stupidity…. Partly this is because there is a high degree of reluctance to call them on their idiocy.  They live in an opaque bubble-land that admits no opinion or evidence that might conflict with their own wants or values or need to be smart. They are ignorant, and yet lead through their wealth.

This blind ignorance of society’s leaders is not something we like to acknowledge. Yet it holds sway over everything, over all the conversations we are having, and these leaders are the people who have orchestrated this whole mess

I don’t think we have a crisis of creativity or a lack of imagination, but I do think we are looking for imagination from the wrong people. Those who do not have wealth or prestige are creating wonderfully imaginative new ways of being. In fact, those who are outside this system, the have-nots, have always made life with few resources and with an inventiveness that is just astounding.

We need to look away from the money and status and look instead to those who already live small lives, as our exemplars

We can’t depend on power and wealth to unmake themselves. Powerful and wealthy people are just not smart enough to make these changes, and they think they will survive anyway.

*****

Wealth can protect people from information, or hide it from them, or make it so they don’t want to know about things which might threaten that wealth, no matter how nice they are – and their servants/employees may not want to upset them either, as its often not a good recipe for keeping a job.

If we are looking for solutions, then we may need to look away from the centres of the problem. We may have to rely on those who are already facing the problems of life as they are now and working together to do their best to defend against them, or change the system, while being ignored by the rich. These people may have much greater capacity for change.

An interview in Australia

October 9, 2022

It may be a hallucination, but I swear I heard this conversation the other day….

Andrew BOLT (Skynews. Murdoch man): Look, we are clearly being softened up for Labor to break its promise to cut taxes for wealthy people. What is the best argument for these stage three tax cuts?

Peter DUTTON (Leader of the conservative opposition):
The greatest argument for tax cuts for the wealthy is that we want to give rich people back more of their own money and give a little bit to other people to make it look fair, and as a result the economy will just take off. We’ve 40 years of evidence showing cutting tax for wealthy people works. Look how wages have increased! Look how working conditions have improved! Look how wealth inequality has got even better! Labor is proposing to walk away from what was a core promise which would have a detrimental impact on wealthy individuals, but also on the economy more generally. “Everyone who has stuff will get more, but those who have not, even what they have will be taken away.” That’s reality; it’s in the Bible.

BOLT:
What about the argument, ‘oh, we can’t afford it anymore because inflation, budgetary pressures, maybe a global recession’?

DUTTON:
Well Andrew, the tax cuts don’t start until mid-2024 so there’s no problem now, even if 2023 is promising to be a very difficult year. Everywhere will probably go into recession, but not Australia – given that we’ve had nine years of Coalition government and nothing bad happened until at least a month after we left. It will take a lot for the Labor Party to mess it up and to drive us into recession, which is the last thing I want to talk up for our country, but as we know, Labor is capable of making that decision. Nothing to do with us.

By 2024 everything will be fine, and if not, so what? The tax cuts will stimulate everything.

BOLT:
I would have thought that if the government’s a bit short of other people’s money and it really wants to ‘spend, spend, spend’, then how about cutting their own spending rather than cancelling a tax cut?

DUTTON:
You are really proposing a novel approach that if you’re spending more than you earn, then you should cut back on what you’re earning – like with the tax cut. That’s obviously sensible and the Labor party’s heads will be spinning when they hear that. The Labor Party know how to tax and they know how to spend, they don’t know anything about practicality, and at the core of their ideology is to try and redistribute wealth to people who shouldn’t have it.

In Queensland they’re proposing a ridiculous mining royalties tax and that will drive investment out of Queensland and therefore jobs. No overseas company should have to pay for Australian minerals. We should pay them. That’s what we have done for years, and it works really well. Governments cutting their income is always good policy. Taxes just target people who have worked, when you should be punishing people who have misfortune.

You wouldn’t expect Labor to have too many rational views, like ours. It’s all spend, spend. You wouldn’t catch us spending on anything other than fossil fuels and Covid subsidies to companies that don’t need them. That’s sensible spending.

BOLT:
As I said last night, Peter Dutton, you’ve done something that no one has seen from the conservative side ever before: you got stuck into a culture war. You supported people who hate gays. Never been done before. Ever. Bold Step. Given how much pro-gay news there is the left wing media.

You got criticised by Daniel Andrews, who everyone knows is Satan.
What’s your response?

DUTTON:
Well, there’s a couple of points I could make, but instead let me say this – Daniel Andrews presides over one of the most corrupt governments in the country and if ever there was a time for a change of government, it’s now in Victoria. Ok we could say things about NSW, but that’s just their ICAC being corrupt and badly designed, by holding them up to scrutiny. People on our side get picked on all the time. All the time. We are told we are corrupt. It’s just the left wing media you know. Its a conspiracy.

In Victoria, they are really corrupt. You know they had long lockdowns. Andrews doesn’t argue the merit of his attack on me, you’ll notice, he attacks the person and that’s how he gets away with skating over the issues where he’s been a complete failure in everything. Now I’m letting you know exactly where he is corrupt, and not attacking the person at all!!!. He’s just corrupt.

He would say that he’s in favour of inclusion, he would say that he’s in favour of freedom of choice and freedom of speech and instead he’s supported a decision which has crucified somebody for their religious beliefs. If people want to support gays they can just go somewhere else. If they want to attack them, and they’re religious, they should just get the job. Its political madness. If you can’t go around and state gays should be killed anymore – what can you say? You couldn’t have a conversation like ours, Andrew, could you? It’s the end of all liberty.

I absolutely stand by what I said yesterday. The Liberal Party has very strong values, particularly around the rights of the Church to condemn anyone we don’t like (as long as it’s not business people), and I’ll take every opportunity to assert this because people will know by the time of the next election that there is a big difference between the Liberal Party and the Labor Party – not just on social issues, but on economic and national security issues as well.

BOLT:
The new religion – global warming – this government’s got frankly unbelievable and dangerous targets like making us all buy electric cars, through wanting half of all new car sales to be electric by 2030. That’s taking away our right to be petrol heads. And then they want 83 per cent of our electricity to come from unreliable renewable energy, not good old coal. That’s based on this global warming scare but there’s been so many dud predictions as you know. Here for instance, is our former Chief Climate Commissioner Tim Flannery, 15 years ago:
TIM FLANNERY: Even the rain that falls isn’t actually going to fill our dams and our river system.

BOLT:
And its pissing down. I ask you. Towns are being destroyed and flooded repeatedly and this guy said it would be dry and sunny. In fact, Sydney has today recorded the most annual rainfall ever. It’s wettest year ever. Its dams are full. Melbourne’s and Brisbane’s nearly full. This more sunny days thing, is just not happening – ok so they supposedly have the worst droughts ever in Europe and China, but it’s just normal. Always having droughts in the UK. We know that. What do you conclude from all this?

DUTTON:
Well, the rivers are rising again as we speak Andrew, and that Tim Flannery was dead wrong, so I presume he’ll come out and apologise for the mistake, but I wouldn’t hold your breath. I mean will we apologise for delayed response on climate change as some people demand? Of course not. Because nothing’s happening, but a bit of rain and a bit of bushfire before that. I mean how weak is that? Our Party stays strong and fixed, whatever the evidence. We could do with some global warming to get rid of this rain, right?

I mean, we’ve started this debate on nuclear power in our country. It’s absurd that in the year 2022 we absolutely can’t be talking about safe new technology in the form of small modular reactors on any media at all. Its not reasonable. This is when France, Canada, China, the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and many other countries have either adopted or are considering the adoption of nuclear power to firm up the renewables in the system, and don’t have small nukes either. No one does. But small nukes are the future Andrew. We don’t need those stupid gay and feminist renewables do we?

And wanting more and better electricity cables? Does this government think we are made of money? Especially given how important the promised tax cuts are. This pipe dream that the government has of around $100 billion to roll out of cables and towers in communities and towns across the country is never going to be realised. Never. We’ll do everything to stop this waste of money.

We’re talking in Europe at the moment about a catastrophic winter where people are going to either feed themselves or turn on their heaters, but they’re not going to be able to afford to do both. Europe should have had bought into more gas, not these renewables. With gas they can’t be vulnerable to exporters not supplying them because of a war, or because gas is short, or companies are profiteering. Power prices will continue to go through the roof in our country, whilst Labor pursues their zealot-like approach to having renewables and not gas.

I want to see, indeed am happy to see renewables in the system, but it needs to be firmed up to keep the pollution up, and if you don’t like coal and gas and you don’t believe methane based hydrogen’s coming any time soon and hydro is not going to fit the bill, what are you left with? We want happy fossil fuels companies… what more do you need? That keeps the power going our way, no problems.

BOLT:
Peter Dutton, thank you so much indeed for your time.

DUTTON:
Thanks, Andrew. Thank you.

Original

Politics of gendering???

October 7, 2022

If I was going to write an essay on this question I’d probably go on in this manner, and argue that the current anti-trans agenda raises some challenges which need to be discussed, but (whether people want it to be or not) it is being hijacked by the right wing to make it an anti-(gay, lesbian, woman, queer, non-straight sex roles), etc movement. This debate seems to be proposing state intervention to curtail people’s liberty, and hence should be considered carefully. It could also be said to attack people who are vulnerable in our society, even while it is supposed to protect them, as it says they should not exist.

Feel free to respond, after all I can’t be in favour of discussion if I don’t allow it.

[Stuff in [brackets] was added later]

Introduction: The suppression of sex and gender variety

Everywhere around the world today women, feminists, gays, lesbians and transgender people are being attacked, by those who hold that only purely straight ‘masculine men’ and ‘feminine women’, and the power and conceptual structures built around those categories and their relationships, should exist.

At the Australian version of the US based CPAC Conference, Conservative Australian politicians were agitating for their right to assign pronouns to people in the way that they want to consider accurate, along with opposition to having a formal aboriginal ‘voice’ to Parliament, celebrating the fact that moderate conservatives lost their seats in the last Australian election and claiming that climate change is a scientist’s conspiracy to cause society to collapse. This makes it relatively clear that listening to despised minorities is not part of their conservative way. These are also the people who would have stopped gay marriage, and who have encouraged religions to discriminate against gay and lesbian people.

At the same time Vladimir Putin used an anti-trans, anti-gay, argument to justify annexing parts of Ukraine, as it was necessary to protect the motherland from these horrors. He apparently said:

Do we really want perversions that lead to degradation and extinction to be imposed on children in our schools from the primary grades? To be drummed into them that there are various supposed genders besides women and men, and to be offered a sex change operation? Do we want all this for our country and our children?

Riley Putin Claims U.S. Wants to Push Gender “Perversions” on Russian Youth. metroweekly 11 October 2022

[This was followed by a Russian law forbidding any act which could be regarded as an attempt to promote “non-traditional sexual relations” whether in film, online, advertising or in public. So orthodoxy about male and female gender categories, is easily expanded to include anti-gay and lesbian positions – which is possibly the intention.]

There also seems to be a massive movement in the US to enforce gender categories and ‘gender purism’. This seems to want to make sure that all women are proper subservient, non-feminist women who would never object to anything men propose, and that everyone should be sexually straight. Men are all the one thing and women are completely different. After all, in these definitions, lesbians are not real women (as they don’t desire sex with men and are supposedly all ‘butch’) , gays are not real men (as they don’t desire sex with women and are supposedly all effeminate), and children need parents of the ‘opposite’ sexes – anything else is counted as child abuse by them. However, this is clearly dismissing the violence against children that can occur in normal heterosexual families. It also seems that homosexuality is linked, by the same people, with pedophilia and bestiality. I know little about bestiality, but it would seem observable that most pedophilia involves ‘godly men’ often conservatives, people in other organisations for children organised by supposedly straight men, and family members known by the children. So it would seem that these compulsory sex role people are deliberately putting recognition of the real likely pedophilic culprits to one side. There is, likewise, no evidence I have seen that Transgender people have a marked role, or even a role, in child trafficking. It is another example of ‘loyal category’ thinking ‘as ‘when people think people they classify as being unlike them must be evil and those like them must be honorable and assert that someone like Donald Trump is anti-pedophile, when the little evidence we have suggests exactly the opposite.

There is lots of action to make us straight. Apparently, in the US:

Nearly 670 anti-LGBTQ bills have been filed since 2018, according to an NBC News analysis of data from the American Civil Liberties Union and LGBTQ advocacy group Freedom for All Americans, with nearly all of the country’s 50 state legislatures all having weighed at least one bill. 

Lavietes and Ramos Nearly 240 anti-LGBTQ bills filed in 2022 so far, most of them targeting trans people. NBC News, 20 March 2022

Some researchers have said that their research shows that:

Transgender people are over four times more likely than cisgender people to experience violent victimization, including rape, sexual assault, and aggravated or simple assault

Transgender people over four times more likely than cisgender people to be victims of violent crime 23 March 2021

Then you seem to have people devoted to to establish women’s guilt as in the current Depp Heard case, and now apparently in the Pitt Jolie case. Nothing to do with trans or gayness but a lot to do with enforcing sex/gender categories and gender righteousness. This hostility towards non-compliant women, may also be fed by the so-called ‘incel’ movement, which also seems relatively hostile to gay people as well as women.

[Two weeks after writing this, I read about a Federal Republican Bill to:

prohibit.. the use of federal funds to develop, implement, facilitate, or fund any sexually-oriented program, event, or literature for children under the age of 10. The bill prohibits federal funds from being used to host or promote events where adults dance salaciously or strip for children…. [This includes] any topic involving sexual orientation, gender identity, gender dysphoria, or related subjects. … radical [ie non completely straight] gender theory.

Congressman Mike Johnson House Republicans Introduce Legislation to Ensure Taxpayer Dollars Cannot Fund Sexually Explicit Material for Children. October 18, 2022

[As other people have remarked.

Universities, public schools, hospitals, medical clinics, etc. could all be defunded if they host any event discussing LGBTQ people and children could be present. The way they define “sexually oriented material” simply includes anything about LGBTQ people.

Alejandra Caraballo twitter October 19 2022

[The bill grants people the right to sue if their child is exposed to prohibited material in a way that involves federal funding “in whole or in part,” further dampening any discussion.

[This Bill cannot become law until after the November elections, but it indicates where the ‘only straight gender campaign’ is likely going. Since then we have seen Republican Governor of Florida DeSantis crack down on trans people, and gays and lesbians, and indeed forbid colleges to even talk about people being gay. He has now threatened to crush all ‘leftism’. This is about generating conformity and fear.]

We also know that the suicide rate among LGBTQI+ people is high [1] [2]. I use the collective because it seems common, amongst those young people I know, to blend everything together, and because the right seems actively hostile to all of them and also blends them altogether. It appears the main cause of suicide probably stems from attacks, laws and insistence that they are not acceptable because they do not match totally separate gender categories.

The Left Reacts by more suppression

On the whole the Left’s reaction to this real attack on gender freedom, feminism and non-heterosexuality seems to have been to suppress discussion of some real questions around transgender issues.

There are persistent claims, which seem born out by casual observation, that it is impossible to discuss problems around transgender in left-inclined media. However, after about 10 mins research, I’m not entirely sure this is correct [1] [2] [3] [4] [5] [6] [7] [8] [9] [10] [11] [12] [13] [14] [15]. However, it is much asserted, and may mean the discussion is not visible, or that people are not directed to this discussion, or avoid the discussion.

We are also all aware of the ways that people such as JK Rowling have suffered “pile on attacks” online and elsewhere for daring to try and talk about problems of gender and transgender. Often this is reported by the right wing media who are pushing sexual straightness and the evil of trans and gay people. However, this does not mean all such reports are completely wrong. People on the left cannot assume that because some objectors are uncomfortable about some gender issues that these objectors have nothing important to say, or that questions should not be asked. Having looked at the style of writing, it also would not surprise me, if many of these pro-trans writers are right wing trolls, they use very similar language, but we cannot know.

I suspect this apparent reluctance to discuss arises from a general, and probably correct, sense that once the right has got rid of trans or queer people, they will go for gay and lesbian people as well [as is shown by the Bill mentioned above] and then any other people they despise. This certainly seems plausible, but that simply means that rather than not discussing the issues, the issues need to be thought about carefully without allowing the left or the “sexually abnormal” (as the right might say) to be split and made even more vulnerable. The discussions also need to be visible. It also seems to me, that most of the problems which are brought up, are both genuine and completely solvable, by normal means, without having to suppress anyone.

Is this discussion significant?

Some people claim the problem is numerically insignificant and hence trans or gay people can be ignored, but that seems subjective. In Australia right wing politician Mark Latham pointed out that a:

non-binary sex option was marked on the 2021 Census form by just 43,220 respondents or 0.17 per cent of the Australian population…. to listen to the transgender activists and debate in Australia, you would think there are 17 million of them, not 0.17 per cent of the population!

17 million is more than half the population. I’ve not seen anyone claim anything like that, so that’s a bit of rhetorical fantasy. However, there are problems. IF they are such a small percentage of the population, then why bother? Its a trivial problem. Personally, I think 43,000 people marking this section shows this is an issue for a reasonable number of people, while Latham obviously does not, yet worries about it a lot. There are certainly not that many members in his political party. However, the Australian Bureau of Statistics cautioned against using this figure for anything as the question was too badly phrased, and ‘yes’ could have meant too many things.

the results of the census showed that the concept of non-binary sex was “not consistently understood” and was “perceived in different ways by different people”.

About one third of the people who responded explained their response:

These written responses provided some insight into how respondents interpreted the sex question, with three in five referencing gender identities using terms such as “agender, demiboy, gender fluid, non-binary gender and trans woman”.

So the data suggest that there are a significant number of adults (people who would be filling in the census forms) for whom straight gender identity is a problem (and there are probably more who did not fill it in), even if we are not sure in what kind of way binary gender is a problem for them. A Pew survey in the US reported that about 9 out of 10 people knew someone who was gay or lesbian, and 30% of people knew someone who was trans.

So let’s state some clear bases here before we risk further discussion.

  • Life is complex, and human social and linguistic categories often do not exhaust the world or fully describe the world, no matter how important those categories are to us. This ‘category failure’ makes some understanding difficult as so many factors are involved, but we can improve categories as we go along. The difficulty is not lessened by calling for the extermination of all who disagree with our category use, as evil, or attempting to associate those people with things we associate with evil such as pedophilia.
  • Complexity also considers the context of an argument. Without considering the context, a person may be arguing, or helping to produce, exactly the results they do not want. Lesbians might want protection from men taking over Lesbian spaces, but by fighting trans people, they may be setting up an excuse for others to police the ‘womanhood’ of Lesbians.
  • There are three relevant but questionable concepts involved in this issue: ‘sex’, ‘gender’ and ‘sexuality’.

Sex

Almost everyone agrees that sex is biological, despite some genetic and anatomical variants such as people who have XY chromosomes but are fully female as the male hormones never switched on, there are people who are hermaphrodite some of whom will have been surgically assigned a gender at birth etc. How much relevance people want to give to these variants is a subject of dispute, when we are talking about the population as a whole, but they do exist, and complicate issues of binary sex. While sex is binary and simple in most cases, it is not in all.

Most people on the left would agree that sex is important, even if sometimes hard to define. It would be common to argue that women and others with a history of oppression, may deserve some degree of different treatment to, say, hyper-rich white straight men. Women may need different forms of medical treatment – women may need support during pregnancy and childbearing and there are diseases more likely to emerge if you are one sex or the other, or have some other genetic markers. Statistically women appear to have different signs of heart attack and this should be better known about. Women may need protected spaces to flourish separated from male violence, intimidation, rape and imposition, while protected spaces for men may need rethinking because such spaces have traditionally functioned as ways of excluding women from competence, power and influence. So while equality might be an aim, not everyone, or every process or category, can be treated as ‘the same’ all the time.

This is generalisable. Differential treatment and privilege may be needed to protect some groups, “as long as it does not oppress anyone else”. This question of “as long as a behaviour does not oppress others” is a moral question, which I suspect will always be in dispute and probably should be, as ideas, conventions and behaviour change. It’s not always easy to decide, but it is harmful to avoid the issue, as it is always possible to split more vulnerable groups.

Gender

Most people on the left would also accept that people can be ‘gender fluid’. Gender is not the same as sex, and gender identity may not be the same as sexual identity. The assertion that conventions about sex and gender should always be the same is highly problematic. It also seems highly problematic to assert it is dangerous to society as a whole.

Gender characteristics also seem complicated. We may find that gender characteristics may be distributed statistically by sex, similarly to the way height is. Men are taller than women in general, but many men quite commonly encounter women taller than them. Is this a sign of evil? No. Is a particular man being more ‘maternal’ than a particular woman, evil? I would say not.

We may find that, under most circumstances, most, but not all, women, are relatively non-physically-violent, warmer and more supportive when compared to most, but not all, men and so on. I have found it hard to observe personality traits which are completely exclusive to one sex or the other – they are generally shared to some degree. Both women and men can be close or distant to their children. We are likely to repeatedly encounter statistical variance. The point is to allow people to express an unusual gender identity, as long as (again) it does not oppress others. It’s not acceptable, for example, to assert that because a person identifies as male it’s ok for them to beat those they identify as women, or prevent women from doing mathematics, no matter how traditionally sanctioned this kind of behaviour may be.

As part of liberation, in an ideal world people would be free to be what they want to be, without governments or religions telling them they have to be something else, “as long as this freedom does not oppress others”. It ideally should not, be a problem, if a person’s sex did not completely match with traditional ideas about appropriate gender or sexuality.

Apparently, it did not used to be common for women to want to transition to being men, now it is. It is at least a reasonable hypothesis that some of this urge comes from social insistence that sex and gender are the same. Consequently, young women who want a power and freedom which is still limited by their sex category, or who encounter hostility towards their aims or threats of violence, might decide that life would be less painful if they were male. Just as more gentle, or fashion focused, males might decide they would not be bullied or dismissed if they were female. These problems could arise from the imposition of sex and gender categories, even if the people imposing them, thought they were being real and kind. Hence, paradoxically, acceptance of gender variation (rather than enforcing gender separation) might diminish people wanting ‘the operation’.

At the moment this sexed distribution of characteristics seems unclear. However, potential solutions to problems arising from this distribution, do not usually involve solving height differentials by cutting people’s legs down to size, or building artificial extended legs for others. However, acceptance of variation is not always easy or simple. We can also note that people who don’t have any problem with their sex, can have gender issues, for instance it now seems that women who have time and money to train for sport can develop extremely muscular physiques, which are not usually seen on women, and be berated for not expressing gender conventions or for being unfeminine, ugly or for cheating by using steroids and hence are motivated to quit sport to stop the harassment. It is certainly probable that some are accused of really being male. [There was an example, involving a man berating a nine year old girl with short hair at a sporting event, for not being feminine enough to be a girl]. There seems to be a lot of gender and sexuality enforcing hostility around, and it is not an unreasonable supposition that policing of gender and sex, will lead to policing of women, as for example with genital checks for sport, menstrual checks, or women being beaten up in public toilets for looking too masculine. [We can possibly predict that if if this continues and a woman does not have long carefully tended hair and is not wearing a dress, then the right will come for her, as not beeing femme enough to be a woman.]

Sexuality

Sexuality is also complex. There are many modes of sexuality. People may tend to reduce it to either being gay or straight, and insist people be one or the other, or to assert they value one of these sexualities and do not value the other; but. again, this refuses to recognise ambiguities in many people’s sexuality. Many sexual behaviours are far more confusing than these simple categories suggest. Again the proviso about sexuality is “as long as it does not oppress or harm anyone else and is consensual” – consequently active pedophilia should always be banned (no matter who does it), same as non-pretend rape (although the issue of pretense can clearly be problematic), permanent unconsensual scarring, sexual acts which risk (or cause) the death of others, and so on. The main point is that many people can be bi-sexual, or multi-sexual, rather than mono-sexual in their approach. Hence it is not surprising that some MtF trans people still prefer women, and some FtM prefer men.

There are clearly events which challenge any easy reconciliation within, and between, these categories of sex, gender and sexuality, and what can always be permissible.

We may note that anti-trans people also tend to be in favour of conversion therapy, that is religious oriented therapy, prayers, exorcism, etc, to convert people from gay to straight. While I would not ban it for those who want to try it, there should be some examination of whether it is effective, or whether it drives people from God into suicide.

Trans and categories

Transgender has become one of these areas of difficulty. Some people appear to inherently feel that they are born with the wrong ‘sexed’ body, and may only feel content if they can have a changed body and live the life of the ‘other’ sex. This is relatively common across cultures. Some people have traditionally gone through incredibly painful and dangerous practices to make this change, and may still find they are not accepted by others, as appears to be the case in Indian culture. They may be raped, have difficulty surviving in society or employment, be forced into sex work, marginalised, expelled from their family and communities, and so on. This pain and marginalisation should to be acknowledged if people discussing the issues do want not to increase it. There are other forms of feeling that one is born into the wrong body as well. There are people who are miserable because they have a leg rather than a stump, and who may try to remove their leg to make them feel real, and sometimes real surgery is performed to stop dangerous self damage, and produce some contentment.

However, there are other problems. As, has already been stated, there is a question of whether some people’s transgender issues arise from social and personal enforcing of binary, exclusive and connected categories within sex, gender and sexuality. If so, then when a person’s gender and/or sexuality category does not match their sex category, the sex category may be ‘saved’ by insisting the person is really the ‘other’ sex, rather than accepting that gender and sexuality are complicated. In simple words, people could hold that if you are a ‘butch woman’ or you sexually prefer women, you must really be a man, or if you are a femme male or sexually prefer men, you must really be a woman, rather than allowing you to be complicated and violate categories. Or a person may still have a sexual attraction to women and want to become female, or a woman may have sexual attraction to men and want to become male.

The operation and after therapy etc. could then be performed to save the standard categories (reinforced by the income generated by therapy, surgery etc, as we live in a capitalist society), rather than to always benefit the client. Similarly the insistence that people are really homosexual if they express gender identity issues, could also be an enforcement of binary sexuality.

It is certainly not difficult to imagine that social enforcement of categories could result in people being ‘pushed’ into transgender positions, and into dangerous and destructive surgery which does not solve their social or personal problems, and which creates new problems for them. This issue implies that surgery, or hormone treatments, should not be the default treatment – but these treatments may have to be normal, until society becomes accepting of ‘odd’ categories.

If, however, people are encouraged to have reasignment surgery to reduce social anxieties about gender categories, then we would expect many people who have had such surgery to protest, to seek re-assignment to their original sex, or to commit suicide at at least similar levels to that which happens to people who identify themselves as transsexual before surgery. This issue needs careful study, rather than suppression. While sex-change surgery may work for some people, it may not be right, or necessary, for others who seem to have similar problems – and again this needs care to distinguish, if we do care.

Category enforcement and Self-identification

Likewise, with social enforcement of gender categories, we can have people who don’t appear to replicate or perform the ideal gender of the sex they have, being told to leave places which should be appropriate for them. For instance, I have heard (no idea how accurately) that some lesbians have been told to get out of women’s toilets or whatever, because they must ‘really’ be men. [see for example 1, 2, 3 ] Simple things like having single unit toilet booths, rather than collective gendered toilets, could solve some of those problems. It might also lessen que problems in women’s toilets.

If we have a severe problem with enforcing categories which are really fluid rather than binary, we may need to be careful about the misery that enforcing these categories can bring about. That is we accept people having ‘gender or sexuality fluidity’ rather than insisting on category resolution through surgery or exclusion. This is clearly not the same as insisting sex assignment surgery should be banned, but insisting that its failures, if they exist, tell us something about people, and when the operation may be appropriate or not, and those failures should not be covered up or not be talked about.

On the other side there are plenty of stories to suggest that self identification, without reference to the social nature of the categories causes problems. In a way, it does not matter if these stories are true or not; they are not implausible and they act as thought experiments which enable us to think about possible problems.

For example, it is supposedly the case that genetic men, men who appear to identify as men, or people who claim to be MtF are supposedly insisting on their ‘rights’ to use women’s toilets, or receive prison sentences as women even if having previously raped or assaulted women. Other people apparently claim to be real lesbians despite aggressive behaviour towards lesbians and even if they still have a functional penis they want pleasuring. These behaviours, imagined or uncommon or not, can easily be seen as men asserting their ‘right’ to violate women only spaces, intimidate women, or continue to rape women.

It also seems possible that some of these claims result from ‘false flag operations’. The person causing the problem is violating women’s space or bodies for pleasure in the violation, or from wanting women to be scared of MtF people, rather than attempting to resolve their own gender fluidity problems. I have read of completely self-identified men entering women’s spaces, trying to make the right-wing point that ‘sex is sex’ and ‘gender is sex’, and that trans people are dire for everyone because they upset strict bounded categories. This works along the lines of “if MtF people can use women’s toilets, why can’t we males?” This is another form of category enforcement.

And how would we distinguish the innocent, or inept, from those exploiting this self-asserted right? If you are gong to exclude MtF from female toilets, how are you going to do it? Genital inspection? DNA testing? X-rays? Or just excluding people who don’t fit the stereotypes of gender? This kind of exclusion, has an easy possibility of leading to real oppression to people born female.

Self identification and Law

The point here is that simple claims of self-identification do not seem enough, and that laws should not be changed to make a simple declaration enough for all situations. Questions of long-term commitment, and acceptance by a community are relevant to the identification issue at least.

For me the question remains as to why these problems cannot be resolved by the law as it is? If people are trespassing and expressing aggression towards others then those being aggressed against should be able to be restrict (or remove) whoever enters no matter what the trespasser claims to identify as. If a previously male rapist claims to identify as a woman, they should not be jailed with women despite their self-made claims; they should possibly be kept in a special protected jail, perhaps along with pedophiles. This does not seem that difficult.

[Likewise I’ve just read of a male prison guard who sexually assaulted at least 30 women in jail, and another who is charged with 95 counts of sexual abuse. There clearly should be no space for that to happen at all. Why was this not seen? why was it allowed? This is is clearly a problem, thirty people is not a negligible number, but it does not appear to have attracted the attention that the possibilities of trans people being rapists has. I don’t know of any real MtF who has been accused of this level of rape. The focus on transgender people seems to be completely bizarre by comparison. Indeed I have had discussions with people who assert that these multiple rapes by male prison guards are not important, when compared to the fact that MtF trans people may enter women’s jails and not rape anyone. This focus seems completely weird, but it indicates that at least some of the anti-trans stuff has nothing whatsoever to do with protecting women. Likewise, if they were interested in protection they would be looking at the number of women who are being murdered by straight males they know.]

Secondly when a person is born male, it seems fairly straightforward to suggest that being accepted as female by people born women is a privilege not a right. Likewise a white person cannot expect to just declare themselves black and be accepted by a black community as black, no matter how strongly they feel they should be, or identify as black.

Having sexual intercourse with someone is also a privilege and not a right. Most people probably learn that most people they desire, do not have to desire them back at quite an early age. Everyone should have the legal right to say ‘no’ whatever the circumstance. No one has a right to claim that because they identify as female, all desired lesbians, or men, must be prepared to have sex with them. People should be able to say no to advances. Anyone can masturbate if they need release, in private. It is likewise not always oppressive for people to have to demonstrate their bone fides and qualifications to join a club. Sometimes that will work smoothly, other times it could lead to potential suffering, but that suffering may be unavoidable at the moment, based on understanding what is possible. Social change takes time, and some people will seek to exploit it or stop it.

The issue again, about gender self identification, comes to the “as long as it does not oppress anyone else, or is used to oppress anyone else” point. Insisting that people should have sex with you is oppression, and should be treated that way. This, again, should not be a difficult problem to resolve. Lesbian clubs almost certainly would have to deal with straight males coming in to cause trouble, and presumably have solutions for it – they probably have to deal with some obnoxious people born female as well and have solutions for that.

It would appear that we can resolve a fair number of these issues, by simple application of normal conventions about unacceptable behaviour, without insisting on the absolute claims of gender and sex categories, and exiling perfectly harmless people, and by not trying to rush people into transitioning (or not transitioning), so as to keep those categories pure.

More talk and more talk

Again it seems difficult to tell how many of these kind of reports of self-declared trans people attacking others, are false flag operations, being used on behalf of the right to split feminism, or the left, as the reports often appear to be politically motivated, and the sources generally do not seem to report the oppressions experienced by trans people or gay people.

However, even if the reports are politically motivated and designed to split the left and deny the existence of people of various genders and sexual orientations, that is no reason to stop discussion about these kinds of issues, or to recognise that at the moment, many women have concerns about the possibility of people-born-male coming in and attacking their private spaces and bodies, or telling them how to run their lives or how to be really ‘feminine’. Or indeed they may not like men policing women only spaces. Silencing only makes those opposing the righteous agenda of two sexes associated with two genders and straight sexuality more vulnerable to divide and conquer.

The way through these problems is more likely to be through discussion, and not through attacking, especially as the “pile on” attacks on questioners, that supposedly originate from transgender people, do imply that dissenting women do have to worry about being threatened by straight males claiming to be women.

Discussion could make it clearer what part of these pile on attacks are false flag operations, and what problems need to be sorted out.

Problems are rarely solved by repression. Splitting will only further the right’s determination to enforce the categories in the way they want. Divide and conquer.

Children

Another area of panic is young children transitioning. As far as I know, this is not common. It is more common than when I was young, but that is not saying much. People had to hide their desires. It also seems to be quite hard to participate in transitioning until the child is relatively old, or has their parents consent. If parents don’t want this and the child does, I guess parents have every right to make their children miserable. They have done so for thousands of years, but again the assertion of children being changed against their parents will, does not seem well documented at all, more a scare-story. But it is easy to stop ‘careless’ medical intervention, without attacking trans people in general.

Final Comments

We may need to recognise that we live in perilous times amongst a resurgent right claiming to fight for family, national values and the protection of children. It seems correct to perceive that these values involve “traditional” sex roles along with enforcement of those roles. Their ideal is that men are the natural leaders with women shutting up and accepting that “feminism” is deviant and unacceptable. Abortion and contraception are to be suppressed, because these give women independence. Children are not to be told of, or observe, any possible sexual, gender or sexuality variants, as this will supposedly keep them straight

Any one who identifies as LGBTQI+, or supports people in this loose classification, potentially upsets this framework, and risks removal or ostracism. It would seem that people who attack trans-people on principle (even if supposedly for the good of trans-people) are likely to feed into a growing movement of attack against all people who are not completely straight in their gender or sexuality. You might of course think, like Putin or various Republicans, that this is good, but others might disagree.

However, the problems brought up by the existence of a few trans people (or people pretending to be trans) are surprisingly normal problems. How do you remove unfair advantage? How do you stop people preventing discussion? How do you stop people assaulting, victimising or harrassing others and so on?

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More recent times March 2023

Recently, we have had Neo-Nazi ‘Christian’ groups attacking or trying to intimidate trans people and, gays and lesbians. This is more or less what I was expecting would happen, and the attack on trans-people has turned into an attack on everyone who is not straight, or does not express straight gender identities

Drag Queens are becoming a target of the anti-pedophile movement, who can use this drag queen’s challenge to gender roles to distract from the far greater likelihood that children will be raped by right wing religious types.

In some states in the USA, people are not supposed to support, or otherwise help, kids who identify as trans or gay or lesbian in schools… It must not be talked about, and must be suppressed because the kids must be made to feel sinful.

This was inevitable. It is easy for the right to include, say, lesbians or gay men, amongst the trans people they are attacking, because those lesbians and gay men are obviously ‘deviant’ in their sexuality and gender roles, just like trans-people may be. However, it now appears that discrimination against transpeople can also be supported by gay and lesbian organisations, who don’t seem to realise that this will become a basis for discrimination against them.