(dis)information and knowledge

October 24, 2023

Pretty simple.

After all these years I am still reading about how knowledge is doubling every couple of years.

The problem is that while ‘accurate (as best it can be) knowledge’ may be doubling, information is increasing even faster, and information (as we should know by now) is not always the same as reasonably accurate knowledge. It is easier to be wrong than to be right, hence it is likely that more inaccurate, than accurate, information is always being produced.

I use the term (dis)information to try and capture this ambiguity. Information is often wrong, often deliberately, often propaganda, often misunderstanding or misleading. And its hard for a normal person, not a specialist in the field, to decide which is which.

As there is so much (dis)information it can hide the best knowledge we have and make that more accurate knowledge unavailable.

We also choose what (dis)information we accept by largely irrational processes such as:

  • The (dis)information is accepted by our ‘information group’ and the corporate media which support that group.
  • It fits with our predetermined biases and the other (dis)information we have accepted.
  • It cements our loyalty to the information group, our networks and friend groups. We don’t have to fear expulsion.
  • It looks like acting on that (dis)information gives us a better and more socially approved life.
  • It avoids the pain of thinking that the people and political actors we usually support by default are actually not that good.
  • It looks like acting on that (dis)information allows us to continue as normal, and keeps the meaning we have given our life, in our life
  • It avoids anxiety and discomfort.
  • Even worse we can accept (dis)information because our declared outgroups reject it.
  • Or we can use the (dis)information to attack the outgroups and keep up the pretence they are evil.

(Dis)information and knowledge are tied in with social processes. The more you can increase the hostility between groups, the easier it is to get them to accept falsity rather than (relatively accurate) knowledge.

  • The first step in authoritarianism is increasing polarisation between opposed groups.
  • The second step is to promote the (dis)information that people identified with the outgroups can be blamed for a large portion of the problems faced or imagined by one’s own group.

We live in Borges Library of Babel in which there are infinte numbers of books composed of random sequences of letters.

This conceptual library includes all the books that have ever been written. It includes the lost wrItings of Shakespear, Sappho and Heraclitus. It also includes books mixed up with other books, books with spelling mistakes, books with occasional sentences leaping out of the random texts. But mainly it contains gibberish, and who can check the sensible passages with the ‘real’ books that were actually written? How do we tell a garbled but plausible Heraclitus from the real thing? Indeed, given the number of possible texts, it is highly likely that we will only ever, at best, encounter incorrect copies of what he wrote.

Science and climate denial a dialogue

October 1, 2023
  • The claims of anthropogenic climate change are fraught with outlandish claims that never materialize, most likely due to narrative pushing and a desire to instill fear, to effect political control…

The claims may be outlandish, but they are also real, even if you are not hearing the realities. We are having ‘unprecidented’ temperatures, runs of high temperatures, wild fires, floods, ocean warming etc, all over the world. In many cases the damage already seems to be exceeding our capacity to repair, and people are being left homeless and farms have been close to destruction. However the MSM rarely bother to report this. If we are going to be allowed to make explanatory political hypiotheses, this may be because they want to reasure people so that the establishment can maintain its political and priofitable control, rather than risk everything in the uncertainty of major change.

  • Only the truly insane would claim that climate doesn’t change

People do claim climate is not changing now, or that the change is out of our hands. Some claim it is too late to do anything. However, the claim that climate changes all the time, is a deliberate minimalisation. The current climate seems to be changing rapidly, and permanently, by normal geological standards. The rapidity of change increases climate and weather destablisation, and this makes a considerable difference to the ability of creatures and civilisations to adapt, and the system to revert to previous normal. That is why scientists are talking about a possible “6th great extinction”. World-wide extinction on the scale we seem to be heading towards is unsual to put it mildly. That’s why we only recognise 5 previous such events.

  • The question is ultimately “how will climate change affect us”?

Yes, and the evidence suggests badly. Secure stable placed civilisation expects repetative conditions so as to adapt. When destabilisation occurs that does not happen. We need to stop disrupting the climate, so it can settle down.

  • Are we headed into “hot climate” or “cold climate”? As far as I can tell, the science and observational data show strong evidence that this current interglacial period is about to end, and we will see a return of ice-age (increasing polar ice caps) conditions.

You are possibly right. Some people have argued (particularly in the 1970s) that the world should be heading towards an increasingly cold period, but we are not. No current data implies that. Temperatures are steadily rising. Glaciers and ice sheets are melting and declining. There is no evidence to suggest that a new ice age will happen anymore. If the ‘natural’ cycle was heading towards an ice age, it has been broken by increasing Greenhouse gas emissions. I don’t know of anyone in the climate sphere who is arguing that a new ice age is now likely. That was a hypothesis which has been abandoned. Although this hypothesis is often brought up to discredit scientists by showing they change their minds. Which we might hope would be the case when theories are not born out by evidence.

  • Science theory MUST be reviewed against actual observational data. When observations fail to support a theory, we should assume a problem with the theory, and look deeper at the assumptions made. This is actually how scientific divides are closed. The end result should be either the abandonment of a false assumption, or improvements to the theory to achieve more realistic results.

Absolutely correct. The theory of climate change must be checked against observational data all the time. As you say that is basic to science. This observation has led to a considerably better understanding of the global climate system. For example, few people expected that the Oceans could absorb so much heat, so we now understand the ‘slow down’ in expected temperature rises. This is now back to expectations..

If the data was not matching expectations there would be a lot of relieved and excited scientists. Relieved becauset their observations would tell them we are not headed for eco-disaster (because of lack of approprate action by governments and corporations), and excited because their theories need to develop and there would be massive new research and publication opportunities. They might also be delighted that they don’t have to face interminable attacks for proposing that we are in danger.

  • Climate science is not open to refutatory evidence, as can be seen by the way they dismiss objectors to the consenus.

My problem here is that the anti-climate change people in general do not seem to proceed by scientific method. Every prediction that I’ve seen them make, such as temperatures would return to normal, reef bleaching would stop rather than spread, has proven false so far. However there is no change in their ‘theory’ or rather assertions. Indeed they keep bringing points back which have been falsified repeatedly. I have never seen a climate change skeptick give an outline of the progress of skeptical science, explaining why they have been wrong, and how they have modified their theories. Not saying it does not exist, but I’ve never seen it. Whereas I see that in Climate science quite regularly.

When observations fail to support a set of assertions, like the propositions that climate change is no big deal, we should assume a problem with the assertions, and look deeper at the assumption that everything is fine. This is actually how scientific divides are closed, if everyone is playing by idea of being as accurate as possible about the world. If they are playing, a different game, such as maximising profit, there is nothing much can be done about resolving an argument. Ideally the end result should be either the abandonment of a false assumption, or improvements to the theory to achieve more realistic results, but that is rarely seen in climate denial.

Its easier to generate bullshit than argue for truth, because there need be no consistency.

Even the most highly regarded scientific theory may be falsified with observational data, or it may appear to be continuingly fruitful as with climate change theory and observation. But anti-clinate change does not care about falisification. It’s not about Truth but protecting the establishment from its own destructiveness..

The No case and Warren Mundine

September 30, 2023

1)

Warren Mundine argued yet again (in the Murdoch Empire again), that

“voting No if you don’t know makes perfect sense”

However, people don’t know because they have been listening to the No case which is bent on confusing the issues, being inaccurate and distracting with complete irrelevancies. Confusion is what they are about.

[We could wonder if this is deliberate, because they cannot argue their real objections publicaly; they fear they would be condemned or they are incapable of speking, because their feelings are beyond their symbolic capacity]

however, rather than staying with the Murdoch and mining company approved “I don’t know so I’ll vote No”, it is far more sensible to try and inform yourself and free yourself.

Its not hard.

you could start by just finding the proposition you are voting on. Its pretty short. Its pretty simple. Whatever the No people say there are no hidden paragraphs and you would not be approving them even if they existed. The form is not decided, that will come with consultation and debate. You can assume that Dutton, Mundine and Co will point out problems if they have objections.

The reality is that the ‘No’ case people don’t want people to understand the question or the process, or people might just vote ‘Yes’.

Please don’t vote for people who want you to stay ignorant and vote for them because of that ignorance.

2)

Warran Mundine is now claiming that the:

“Uluru Statement is a dossier of damnation, written to make Australians feel only shame.”

It could be that he is reading something else, he could be trying to make another attempt to confuse people, or he has not read the actual Statement, which is short.

It is hardly “a dossier of damnation”

That is a wild fantasy.

The Uluru Statement from the Heart does say:

  • Aboriginal people have been in Australia for a long time.

True.

  • Most aboriginal people have continuing ties to the land.

True.

  • They have never ceded that relationship with the land which “co-exists with the sovereignty of the Crown”.

True.

  • Aboriginal People have not disappeared.

True.

  • They hope to shine through as a fuller expression of Australia’s nationhood.
  • But they are incarcertated at really high rates. This affects their children.

True

They say:

  • “We seek constitutional reforms to empower our people and take a rightful place in our own country.”
  • They seek ‘Makarrata’, or “the coming together after a struggle.”
  • They want a better future for their children and “truth-telling about our history.”

How On Earth does this become “a dossier of damnation, written to make Australians feel only shame”?

That statement seems completely UNTRUE, without a great deal of vivid and free imagination being applied.

Mr Mudine says “History is much more complex and nuanced.” It certainly is, and doesn’t have to be all cuddly and flattering to be true

Oddly even if it was a “dossier of damnation”, Australia is not voting on the Statement from the Heart. We are voting on the proposition linked to above

This is all more deliberate confusion from the No Campaign.

The No case online

September 28, 2023

The no case for the Voice as it arrives on internet.

  • Supporting aboriginal people’s right to be heard is racist.
  • Everything bad that is happening to aboriginal people is not my fault
  • Everything bad that is happening to aboriginal people is their fault.
  • Its a UN land grab
  • It will take your land and house.
  • You will personally be paying aboriginal people to take your house.
  • Its a communist plot to take over the government and sell you into slavery.
  • Its anti-Christian.
  • You don’t know what it will do.
  • Its a racially based chamber of Parliament
  • It adds race to the Constitution
  • All aboriginal people supporting the voice have been bribed
  • It has veto power over everything
  • It can propose and enforce new taxes
  • Its city based elitism
  • Voting No will, or will not, lead to a treaty.
  • Staying the way we have always been will improve things.
  • no one should tell me what to do.
  • There is heaps of secret clauses that voting yes will enshrine.
  • I’m only angry and lying because its your want aboriginal people to be heard.///

I’m sure you can add stuff

The three main things to remember are:

1) This vote is not about the form the voice will take. That will occur within Parliament with all political voices having input, including Peter Dutton etc.

2) Please Vote on the actual proposal, not an imagined proposal

3) If the Right can lie like this, or accept lies like this, how can you trust them about anything?

“Cuddly History”

September 19, 2023

Cuddly history is a history that is comforting and unreal.

It aims to tell its readers or hearers, that they and their ancestors and their nation never did anything terribly wrong, disreputable, cruel or which had long-term or unintended conequences.

It often invokes moral relativism: “Oh in those days it didn’t count” or “it couldn’t have happened anyway” or “It dosn’t matter what happened then, because we are all equal now.” “‘left wing’ history is just stirring up trouble”,

The cuddly version reeassures people that they can’t be being bad when they continue to treat people badly.

Its a way of removing all discomfort. Especially the discomfort of awareness….

Examples

“Colonialism had no ill effects on indigenous people, and indeed improved life for all them in the long term.” This is usually stated if any one mentions the death rate of colonisation. Because of this, no one needs to talk about the present day in which indigenous people generally live in poverty, and have their lands (should they still have them), stripped away and given to miners, or get imprisoned regularly.

“They would have been worse off if it wasn’t for us” A variation on the first point, they should really be thanking us for massacring them, taking their land and often their children.

“If people died out, then it was because they were inferior, and could not accept our superior culture. They were weak. We tried, but sadly could not keep them alive.”

In Australia: “We never had slavery, they worked because they liked being in chains and it was good for them. It gave them discipline, and strutured time, all essential for civilisation. It was a minor issue anyway, and they heard the Gospel, and its over now.”

In the USA: “Slaves were treated as members of the family, and learnt a lot from us that they would never have learnt otherwise, like agriculture…..”

“Slavery was not our fault, it was the fault of those Africans and Muslims who sold their country men and women”.

“We are all equal now, and blacks just whinge and won’t get off their arses. There’s no racism any more. It’s the best of all possible worlds”

“People should become happy workers like we are, its the best system and never did anyone any harm”

“The Market is a beautiful scheme which produces balance and prosperity. Allegations that it also brought murder and dispossession, are communist fantasies. Capitalists have no interest in harming anyone. All the conditions and prosperity that workers have, was given to them freely by their masters. They certainly never needed to fight for it. Capitalism was brought by God.”

“Nazis were left wing” This is often said by the same people welcoming Nazis to Trump rallies

“Women enjoyed being raped and threatened at the time….. Its just a bit of fun…”

“‘All men’ are not responsible for women’s experience of oppression, so leave all men alone. Any bad situatuation was brought on themselves by women who crave strong men, or as part of the necessary protection of women from ???? men..,.” “It was a bit rough in them days, but women were respected and protected – if they were good and obedient.” “Rape in marriage is impossible by definition.”

During the recent debates on abortion in the US, some (and I emphasise some) Republicans where arguing that there did not need to be an exception allowing abortion in cases of rape, because women could only get pregnant if they enjoyed it – otherwise their reproductive mechanisms would just shut down. Unwanted pregnancy is always the sinful woman’s fault.”

“We were invaded too. Never harmed us. Should we demand recompense from the Vikings and the Romans? There are far worse people than us, and we got over it.”

Conclusion

Our group is always good and virtuous. We did the right thing, and if anyone suffered it was their own fault, and inability to change, due to adherence to savage traditions.

We decalre that everything is ok now (no racism or sexism), so every thing was ok then.

I feel so good knowing this, and don’t have to listen to anything else…..

Its sooo cuddly warm and comfy

Project 2025

September 8, 2023

We have had 40 years of neoliberalism. The incredibly influential corporate think-tank the Heritage Foundation‘s Project 2025 [1],[2],[3], is an attempt to boost that movement even further under the next Trump Administration. If accepted, which is likely, this will have a huge effect on the USA’s willingness to have anything to do with reducing fossil fuel burning, or preserving ecologies.

Neoliberalism, has resulted in a crisis of living for most of the population: lower wages, worse working conditions, greater debt (especially for education), less social mobility, less affordable housing, fewer and harsher prospects for people’s children, greater inequality of riches and power, and so on. Neoliberalism has been a significant contributor to extending and intensifying ecological destruction and the failure of action on climate change. The main focus of neoliberalism is to disqualify any governmental action that:

  • Impinges on corporate power or profit,
  • Involves government planing for the future
  • Involves government planning for ‘justice’ or support for the lower classes

The aim is to leave everything to The Market, a God whose invisible hand always delivers wealth to the virtuous and the talented. Leaving things to The Market also tends to benefit established power and wealth, as they have succeeded in that Market and the politics of that Market. The secret doctrine is that the only time governments should intervene is when powerful corporations are threatened by their own stupidity, and the intervention should be free taxpayer-funded cash to do what they like with (pay emergency bonuses etc).

The rich elites argue that the main problems the world faces is that we don’t have enough neoliberalism, and that the few, weak attempts to contain climate change interfere with corporate liberty. They also note that China, which does not pursue neoliberalism, is possibly becoming a powerful economic threat. This implies neoliberalism is not that great at promoting prosperous economies.

Neoliberal policies require ordinary people to give up hope that they can participate in their own government at any level. These policies also lead to the branding of any dissent as ‘marxist,’ ‘politically correct,’ ‘woke’ etc and to proposals to crush dissent as un-American or un-Australian or whatever. This could display the potential weakness of contemporary capitalists: dissent and ecological challenges must be slurred, suppressed or avoided. All news must aspire to Murdochism (ie Fox, Australian Sky etc)

The newest neoliberal attack on liberty, in support of Tump, is called Project 2025 and comes from the American Heritage Foundation and other corporate think thanks.

The Background

The American Heritage Foundation has long been at the heart of rightwing politics in the US. As they say:

the Trump administration relied heavily on Heritage’s “Mandate” for policy guidance, embracing nearly two-thirds of Heritage’s proposals within just one year in office.”

https://www.project2025.org/about/about-project-2025/

How many people knew that when they voted for Trump they were really voting for a corporate think-tank, which has been bought by the hyper-rich? Or that Trump would not clean up the swamp, but enthusiastically embed special interests into his Presidency? This is not an idea which originates with ‘Trump haters’ but which is pointed out by the servants of those financial elites themselves.

Lets be clear these people have no false modesty, as they say in their manifesto for Project 2025, The Mandate for Leadership: the Conservative Promise [this seems to have been hidden from the people again! try https://static.project2025.org/2025_MandateForLeadership_FULL.pdf It will probably be moved again later]

one set of eyes reading these passages [in this proposal] will be those of the 47th President of the United States

Mandate: xiii

It may be somewhat unlikely to be being read by the 47th President if it’s Trump, as it is a long and fairly boring book, but someone may point-form some of it for him (more freedom to make money, more tax cuts, ignore climate change, more fossil fuels etc). It would be surprising if they did not already have someone on the Trump team to do that. Remember this Project is well financed and well connected. It will be implemented unless voted out.

They give some more background history, showing their elite influence on US poltics:

In the winter of 1980, the fledging Heritage Foundation handed to President-elect Ronald Reagan the inaugural Mandate for Leadership. This collective work by conservative thought leaders and former government hands—most of whom were not part of Heritage—set out policy prescriptions, agency by agency for the incoming President. The book literally put the conservative movement and Reagan on the same page, and the revolution that followed might never have been, save for this band of committed and volunteer activists

Mandate: xiii

By the end of that year, more than 60 percent of its recommendations had become policy

Mandate: 2.

So they are telling us that the Reagan years, with:

  • the destruction of the American economy,
  • the outsourcing of government operations which led to increase in costs and declines in services,
  • the collapse of S&Ls through deregulation which left some people very rich and others without their life savings,
  • the asset stripping of companies undervalued on the stock market which led to the loss of functional US companies and local jobs,
  • the return of frequent boom and bust cycles which from which the rich were bailed out and the poor and middle class left to rot,
  • the beginning of outsourcing jobs to China and other cheap labor countries,
  • the decline of wages and security
  • the overspending on the military
  • the increase of government debt because of that spending together with massive tax cuts to the wealthy.
  • the stripping back of those State services which helped people and gave them some levels of security because they ‘cost too much’ and supposedly supported ‘welfare queens,’
  • the support for murderous pro-corporate dictatorships in Latin America (The founding of neoliberalism occurred under Pinochet in Chile)
  • the boosting of people who would become the USA’s most destructive enemies (the Taliban, Iraq, Iran etc).
  • The induced collapse of Russia into Organised Crime Capitalism which led to a massive decline in Russia’s population (through starvation?) and eventually to Putin.

All of this, can all be traced to the American Heritage Foundation, by their own boasts.

Fighting against Democracy

They rather oddly comment about:

elite support for economic globalization. For 30 years, America’s political, economic, and cultural leaders embraced and enriched Communist China and its genocidal Communist Party while hollowing out America’s industrial base.

Mandate: 11

and

Unfettered trade with China has been a catastrophe. It has made a handful of American corporations enormously profitable while twisting their business incentives away from the American people’s needs…

America’s elites have betrayed the American people

11-12

For some reason they forget to mention that the elites in question were the neoliberal capitalist wealth elites who support Heritage and neoliberalism. Capitalism has always been global, always seeking cheap resources, cheap labour and cheap pollution. It was the neoliberals who hollowed out America’s industrial base, with the full support of the Republican Party. It was also the neoliberal elites that tried to shut down ‘left wing’ anti-neoliberal-globalism. The Left was protesting about how this kind of globalism increased corporate power, ending both national sovereignty and attempts at making a ‘helpful’ State across the globe.

History apparently can be hammered into an ‘acceptable shape’ with enough repetition and power.

I’m also not quite sure why anyone would be proud of causing and boosting all these problems, but they do add that:

The late 1970s were by any measure a historic low point for America and the political coalition dedicated to preserving its unique legacy of human flourishing and freedom

Mandate: 1

Presumably they are referring to the events covered by the well known Trilateral Commision Report, which alleged that the USA and other parts of the world were suffering from a crisis of too much democracy: Women’s liberation, Black Liberation, Gay liberation, the workers getting uppity, the birth of popular envionmental and anti-pollution movevments, etc. These movements were a real problem for the rich-elites. They were panicking. All this democracy could strip away their power and wealth, leading to chaos for them. Who knows what could follow? This fear underlies a fundamental neoliberal doctrine going back to Hayek and Mises: the spread of democracy needs to be stopped as it impinges on The Market, and possibly stops corporations taking all the wealth for themselves. A proposed focus on promises of individual prosperity, breaking up community action, distrust of government and faith in freedom of The Market seemed a workable solution to this fear. Hence their advice to Reagan was aimed at shutting down the possible increase in liberty for the people, and reinforcing the power of corporate elites.

They even link this 1970s surge of non-elite liberty to the present day:

Contemporary elites have even repurposed the worst ingredients of 1970s “radical chic” to build the totalitarian cult known today as “The Great Awokening.”

Mandate: 1

They admit that the radical chic of the anti-elite democratic movements of the 1970s are comparable to ‘woke’ support for human rights for the suppressed people of the present day. This includes the terrible woke support for not shooting people because they are black, or not victimizing people because of their sexual identity, etc. The neoliberal position is clear: liberty must be thwarted unless it is just corporate liberty. They obviously think that having previously told Reagan how to benefit the financial elites is a selling point for the normal population, which perhaps it is, given how that period has been sanitised by the corporate media.

They also make it clear that one of their prime policy objectives is clearing the public service of anyone who disagrees with their project and appointing people who will do exactly as they are told by the Republican President. As when Trump removed Comey and his attorney general Jeff Sessions for not stopping the Mueller inquiry. So ends Democracy and discussion. If loyalty to the President is the sole denominator of success and employment, then no one will ever tell the executive when their plans are going desperately wrong. North Korea is not the ideal State.

To rephrase Reagan: “the most chilling words you will ever hear, are ‘I’m from a corporation and I’m here to bring you liberty'”

Scapegoating: Don’t blame the riche elites for anything

As neoliberalism not only failed to produce general prosperity but generated the opposite, neoliberals need a long line of scapegoats to explain the failure. Obviously none of these explanations will include the neoliberal project itself or the self-destructiveness of capitalism, because corporations are tools designed and used to avoid personal responsibility (limited liability), and the media is largely owned by corporations or billionaires. Perhaps weirdly most of these alleged scapegoats are ludicrously inadequate for the magnitude of events attributed to them:

The long march of cultural Marxism through our institutions has come to pass. The federal government is a behemoth, weaponized against American citizens and conservative values, with freedom and liberty [for corporations] under siege as never before.

Mandate: xvi

Everyone ‘knows’ both that the US is full of powerful Marxists, and that they are an unpopular and tiny portion of the population. The only way that Marxists can be an explanation for neoliberal failure, when there are no self-identified, active or important, political Marxists in the US, is to either call Democratic Party members Marxist, or talk about supposed ‘cultural marxists’ swarming through institutions but otherwise invisible or hidden. On top of that, the evil is represented by a certified list of powerless people such as trans people, drag queens, people who talk about racism and the problems it generates, “anti-family campaigners” (?) etc. who are destroying our children: {“children suffer the toxic normalization of transgenderism with drag queens and pornography invading their school libraries” Mandate: 1}. It is never the actually powerful or rich that cause problems.

A central strategy of neoliberalism to is to remove responsibility for suffering from those elites causing the suffering, while putting the responsibility onto minority scapegoats. This builds up two opposed categories, ‘straight and visible pro-capitalist champions of liberty and protectors of children’ vs ‘sexually corrupt, hidden, evil, anti-capitalist champions of tyrannical government and child abuse.’ You are either loyal to neoliberals, or something which is only barely human. You either accept the truth of your ‘information group’ or become corrupted by listening to, or discussing anything with, the wicked. This was a technique that was effective for the Nazis as well, but its pretty basic.

They say they will help this process of binarisation and:

start… with deleting the terms sexual orientation and gender identity (“SOGI”), diversity, equity, and inclusion gender, gender equality, gender equity, gender awareness, gender-sensitive, abortion, reproductive health, reproductive rights,

Mandate: 4-5

Apparently merely saying these words is a tyrannical threat to other people’s first amendment rights to free speech. No one said Neoliberals were coherent, but right-wing freedom of speech often involves removing other peoples right to speak, rewriting history, and making sure that poor weak corporations and evangelical foot-soldiers, are heard and protected (but only if they agree with the project).

The task at hand to reverse this [tiny and trivial] tide and restore our Republic to its original moorings is too great for any one conservative policy shop to spearhead. It requires the collective action of our movement. With the quickening approach of January 2025, we have two years and one chance to get it right. Project 2025 is more than 50 (and growing) of the nation’s leading conservative organizations joining forces to prepare and seize the day

Mandate: xiv

So there are lots of rich elite sponsored organisations involved in this pro-corporate revolutionary attack on minorities and non-powerful people. What a suprise. This all suggests that some defenders of a collapsing capitalism, as in the 1930s, are happy to use persecution and violence to keep it going.

As a kind of footnote, it is possible in neoliberalism to attack some forms of capitalism, just as Nazis were allowed to attack Jewish capitalism, this attackable capitalism is the ‘new’ information technology capitalism. “The worst of these companies prey on children, like drug dealers, to get them addicted to their mobile apps.” (Mandate: 5). They don’t say that this is just like the way food companies try to addict kids to sugar and artificial chemically filled foods, or arms manufacturers might try to get kids addicted to their weapons, or toy companies to their scraps of plastic. This pushing of addiction is normal capitalism, as they would know. They also allege that info-tech companies are “a tool of China’s government. In exchange for cheap labor and regulatory special treatment from Beijing, America’s largest technology firms funnel data about Americans to the CCP”. Again these bad companies behave just like ordinary companies who use Chinese labor, and attempt to gain favour from the Chinese government. Trump pays taxes in China for his Maga goods which are made there, Ivanka gets special trademark deals with the Chinese government, but this is completely ok. It can be ignored

The established elite nearly always despise the nouveau riche, who are the not-yet-establishment. They can even talk about “Big Tech,” but you can’t talk about “Big Oil” or “Big Ag”, even though Big Oil may ‘rule the world’.

War

It also seems clear that they want war with China. Again authoritarianism needs wars to boost the profits of arms manufacturers, and get rid of competition.

The next conservative President must, restore war-fighting as [the military’s] sole mission, and set defeating the threat of the Chinese Communist Party as its highest priority

Mandate: 8, but the message is hammered all through the book

Putin is not such a concern, but is a concern (cf 181-2)

Of course no mention of needing to use the army to help rebuild the USA as climate change wrecks it.

No one should be naive about China, but I suspect most people are not quite as keen for war with China as these elites – its a great money making oportunity for “Big Arms’. Encouraging external threats, and singling out weak internal threats for suppression, are part of the authoritarian schema.

Environmentalism

Environmentalism which inhibits corporate action is defined as Left wing fanaticism. Environmentalism should not actually be concerned with the environment.

Those who suffer most from environmentalism would have us enact are the aged, poor, and vulnerable. It is not a political cause, but a pseudo-religion meant to baptize liberals’ ruthless pursuit of absolute power in the holy water of environmental virtue. At its very heart, environmental extremism is decidedly anti-human. Stewardship and conservation are supplanted by population control and economic regression. Environmental ideologues would ban the fuels that run almost all of the world’s cars, planes, factories, farms, and electricity grids. Abandoning confidence in human resilience and creativity in responding to the challenges of the future would raise impediments to the most meaningful human activities. They would stand human affairs on their head, regarding human activity itself as fundamentally a threat to be sacrificed to the god of nature.

Mandate: 11

Oddly population control as a remedy for climate change is a right wing talking point, and no evidence is presented that climate change and ecological destruction and corporate poisoning do not affect “the aged, poor, and vulnerable”. They, in a characteristically unconservative manner, refuse to recognise that a working environment is necessary for humans, especially the poor and vulnerable, and that humans do not live away from the Earth’s environment (without huge amounts of costly technology). And that if corporations will not realise that the fuels which currently run the world’s corporations harm the world’s humans and enivronment, then corporations must be forced to recognise that their profits are destroying everything important to us.

It is they who abandon the confidence in human resilience and creativity, by assuming their polluting energy sources, and other forms of ecological destruction, cannot be abandoned or transcended by human ingenuity.

Corporate activity sacrifices everyone to profit and disregards the laws and workings of God’s creation. We do not need to boost its power to do more violating of our lives, by voting for the Right.

Given all this, their approach to climate change is obvious if sometimes vague. If action inconveniences profit, the problem is unimportant.

The President should also issue an executive order to reshape the U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) and related climate change research programs. The USGCRP produces strategic plans and research (for example, the National Climate Assessment) that reduce the scope of legally proper options in presidential decision-making and in agency rulemakings and adjudications. Also, since much environmental policymaking must run the gauntlet of judicial review, USGCRP actions can frustrate successful litigation defense in ways that the career bureaucracy should not be permitted to control. The process for producing assessments should include diverse viewpoints

Mandate: 59

the Biden Administration’s climate fanaticism will need a whole-of-government unwinding.

Mandate: 60

We might wonder what fanaticism for slowing climate change we are talking about when Biden is encouraging new fossil fuel licenses and mines, and continuing subsidies for fossil fuels.

In March 2023 the Chair of the Senate Budget Committee wrote:

As we’ll hear today, the United States subsidizes the fossil fuel industry with taxpayer dollars.  It’s not just the US: according to the International Energy Agency, fossil fuel handouts hit a global high of $1 trillion in 2022 – the same year Big Oil pulled in a record $4 trillion of income.  

In the United States, by some estimates taxpayers pay about $20 billion dollars every year to the fossil fuel industry.  What do we get for that?  Economists generally agree: not much.  To quote conservative economist Gib Metcalf: these subsidies offer “little if any benefit in the form of oil patch jobs, lower prices at the pump, or increased energy security for the country.”  The cash subsidy is both big and wrong. 

But the really big subsidy is the license to pollute for free.  The IMF calls this global free pass an “implicit” fossil fuel subsidy.  Economists call it an “unpriced externality.”

SEN. WHITEHOUSE ON FOSSIL FUEL SUBSIDIES: “WE ARE SUBSIDIZING THE DANGER

It seems that doing even less to curb ecological destruction, or subsidizing it even more, is the only thing compatitble with corporate liberty. This implies corporate freedom is not only more important than democracy, but more important than life itself.

We should indeed ignore climate change and the role of fossil fuels:

USAID should cease its war on fossil fuels in the developing world and support the responsible management of oil and gas reserves as the quickest way to end wrenching poverty and the need for open-ended foreign aid. The next conservative Administration should rescind all climate policies from its foreign aid programs (specifically USAID’s Climate Strategy 2022–20307 ); shut down the agency’s offices, programs, and directives designed to advance the Paris Climate Agreement; and narrowly limit funding to traditional climate mitigation efforts. The agency should cease collaborating with and funding progressive foundations, corporations, international institutions, and NGOs that advocate on behalf of climate fanaticism.

Mandate 257-8

Yes Fossil fuels and their companies must be supported. It can be presumed that responsible management of oil and gas reserves, means full exploitation and sales at the highest price with almost no local benefit, as that is what it usually means. In Australia we know this means attacks on local government, pollution, destruction of water supplies, and almost no financial benefit from the mines, or the sales, because of minimal mineral royalties, tax breaks, tax evasion through foreign tax havens and paybacks of high interest loans from branches of the same company overseas. More neoliberal globalism in action to benefit profit, not locals.

In fact, almost nothing need be done. Especially anything which challenges corporate liberty to destroy the world for profit.

Again their arguments are selective:

The Biden Administration’s extreme climate policies have worsened global food insecurity and hunger. Its anti–fossil fuel agenda has led to a sharp spike in global energy prices.

Mandate: 257

No mention of the Russian invasion of Ukraine which massively lowered the supply of both food and fossil fuels, putting prices up all over the world not only in the USA. No mention of the record profits of major oil companies cronying up together to increase prices even more than they should have increased. No mention of food company profit increases. The dogma seems to be that whatever an established corporation does must be good, and have no deleterious effects at all. It is extreme to even pretend to worry about climate change.

They make the usual Bjon Lomborg argument:

The aid industry claims that climate change causes poverty, which is false. Enduring conflict, government corruption, and bad economic policies are the main drivers of global poverty. USAID’s response to man-made food insecurity is to provide more billions of dollars in aid—a recipe that will keep scores of poor countries underdeveloped and dependent on foreign aid for years to come.

Mandate: 257

We can note that the only bad industry is one which attempts to help people. However, climate change does cause poverty, through crop failure, wild fires, drought, floods and homelessness. We might even think about how working outside in excessive heat can cause death, which may lead the rest of the family into even greater poverty. But we have to believe families are more at risk from a small number of transsexuals’ than they are from corporate destruction. Climate change kills while it brings profits, so its ok. We already know that they do not really mean sensible economic policies, they mean letting corporations do what they will, as the environment is doing fine in the hands of corporations….

Mischaracterizing the state of our environment generally and the actual harms reasonably attributable to climate change specifically is a favored tool that the Left uses to scare the American public into accepting their ineffective, liberty-crushing regulations, diminished private property rights, and exorbitant costs. In effect, the Biden EPA has once again presented a false choice to the American people: that they have to choose between a healthy environment and a strong, growing economy

Mandate: 419.

It seems to me that the neoliberal right is saying somthing like:

  1. you should ignore warnings about collapsing ecologies and wild destructive weather, because we don’t know how to solve theses problems while keeping our established companies hyper-profitable,
  2. It is important to recognise that property rights give property owners the right to destroy their property even if it harms others.
  3. We don’t want people to get involved in government, and planing to save the planet as who knows where it will end? and
  4. You cannot have both a strong economy and a healthy environment, so you must choose ‘The Market’ at all times, and that will always deliver because we say so, and you must trust us.

In reality, you also won’t get a ‘healthy economy’, if by healthy you mean one that benefits everyone and their ecologies, as one of the points of neoliberalism is to stop general benefit from happening. General benefit generates calls for democracy, like we had in the 1960s and 70s, and that is a problem for corporate control and elite profits.

Temporary conclusion

That is probably enough for the moment. The point is that a new Trump presidency, will attempt to make things even better for corporations at even bigger costs to the American People.

On this issue we can rewrite one of their passages to be a more accurate of themselves:

Ultimately, the Right does not believe that all men are created equal—they think they are special. The established corporate rich are special when compared to the middle class and the poor. Men are special in comparison to women. Straight people are special in comparison with gay or queer people. Republicans are special in comparison with Democrats. They certainly don’t think all people have an unalienable right to pursue the good life, because they cut wages at every opportunity, intensify corporate power, and shift the cost of the State onto the middle classes. They think only they themselves have rights, along with the moral responsibility to make decisions for everyone else. They don’t think any citizen, state, church, or charity should be allowed any freedom until they first bend the knee to corporate power.

Mandate: 16 rephrased

These think tanks are aiming at suppression of any dissent, or objection to, excessive corporate power and profit – and are relatively open about it, once you realise that, in their world view, liberty is something that only exists for established corporations and their supporters. It is something which is for sale and can be bought, or not bought if you don’t have the money. The rest of us can suffer the consequences of that liberty and watch the world burn, flood and fall apart.

As Ronald Reagan put it: “Freedom is a fragile thing and it’s never more than one generation away from extinction. It is not ours by way of inheritance; it must be fought for and defended constantly by each generation”

Mandate: 2

We need to defend our liberty against the corporate sector and its think-tanks.

Is Peak Oil here? 2

September 5, 2023

Peak oil is an important concept but it often seems misunderstood.

Peak oil being passed does not mean oil will be unavailable immediately, which I have read people as saying. These statements then seem to lead to people arguing that because we have oil, peak oil is not a problem.

Some of this argument appears to come from the theology of the magic of The Market. The Market as god, is always supposed to produce what we need, without us having to prepare for market failure, market self-destruction, or simply running out of supplies on a finite world.

Predictions in brief

A 1956 world oil production prediction, based on historical data and future production, proposed by the geologist M. King Hubbert, had oil production peaking at 12.5 billion barrels per year in about the year 2000. This figure has been exceeded recently.

According to wiki, in the 1970s-1980s Shell, Exxon, the UK department of Energy and the World Bank, predicted peak oil would hit in the early 2000s, and the previous article I wrote gives some evidence that production has started to decline.

Oil production peaking does not mean that after we reach ‘peak oil’, there will be no oil available at all, just that it will be harder to obtain, and production will eventually start declining. It could even be the case that after peak oil, oil production will increase for a while due to desperation, price increases, or the use of crap fields, and then decline more abruptly.

Plenty of people have said it will take more and more energy to extract new oil when the easiest oil sites have already been found and exploited. And this seems true. No one would use tar sands oil with all its impurities and sludge, if normal oil was easy to find. No one would would be fracking for oil if oil was easy to find, same with deep sea oil. The energy cost and ecological risk of extracting seems to be increasing.

Eventually it is highly probable that the energy cost of obtaining oil will get close to the energy released from the oil being extracted, even if price factors drive the market onwards. When that happens we will be on a collapsing road. However, if ecological damage helps decrease the costs of obtaining oil, we could suspect that ecological damage from oil production will increase. This will have other consequences.

As the system is full of unknowns, the actual date at which oil will cease to be available at all in practical terms is uncertain, but it certainly looks as though we are on the way there.

Rich men north of Richmond

August 23, 2023

This is relevant to climate politics.

My experience with this song that it is good tune, well sung, well played, but fairly bland – that’s my taste no big deal, people are free to disagree.

The lyrical plus of the song is that it acknowledges some of the problems faced by working people in the US and elsewhere, in modern captialism

Working all day Overtime hours For bullshit pay

A real and serious problem. It locates the problem with

These rich men north of Richmond” who “Just wanna have total control

All true, and the Republican party elite is all about supporting those rich men and having total control, but this identification is not made, and the problem is said to be tax….. ???

Surely the problem is that ordinary people don’t get paid enough? And the rich don’t pay enough tax as a percentage of their income to fund government and its services for ordinary folks? This largely occurs because of Republican tax cuts for the wealthy, and the destruction of unions, which has transferred a lot of the tax burden to you, along with the bullshit pay. Bullshit pay is a political decision not to share the USA’s riches more equitably.

I wish politicians Would look out for miners”. Yes me too. Politicians look out for mining companies a lot, as mining and fossil fuel companies are wealthy and powerful, but mining companies think of the people who work on the mines as a cost center which needs to be cheapened, used and discarded when the mine is no longer ‘economic’, often with their health wrecked. That system needs change, but no suggestion of that

Lord, we got folks in the street Ain’t got nothin’ to eat” True, partly because there are no jobs as rich men have exported them elswhere and fought politically to decrease the share of wealth the workers get, and workers can’t fight back as they have no organisation or unions, and social security has been taken from them (as part of the defunding services for enable tax cuts for the wealthy) so its hard keep alive in this engineered misfortune.

And the obese milkin’ welfare” Ok so let’s attack fat people, and people who are injured and sick, or long term unemployed, because they are the problem. Not the rich men outside Richmond but people who depend on welfare. A good Republican move there, but not exactly useful to people in Richmond, especially those who are poor and without hope.

Young men are putting themselves Six feet in the ground’ Cause all this damn country does Is keep on kicking them down”. Yep, but not because of fat people, but because there are no jobs, no meaning, no future, in the form of capitalism we have nowadays. Some of that is because drugs are criminalised, and young people and their parents can’t afford help for addictions, even if there was any, and would prefer to avoid jail. Young men, and others, are abandoned by the Republican rich people outside Richmond, who don’t give a shit about the people of Richmond as long as they (the rich people) are making money.

Similar stuff happens with the politics of climate change. We have climate change because of the Rich Men using pollution and poisoning to make a profit, while inflicting heat and weather catastophies on those who are abandoned and working for bullshit pay, and they are encouraging ordinary people to attack gays, transpeople, fat people and people on welfare, instead of the cause of the problem

I’ve been selling my soul Working all day Overtime hours For bullshit pay” Yep that is what happened since Reagan boosted neoliberalism and corporate power. It is Republican policy, usually hidden under the name of free markets. Democrats are not uninvolved in this either. Ordinary people need to take their own power, not attack other ordinary people. and not support the party of business and rich elites.

The main reason this song seems to have been taken up by the right is, because the problem it states is real, but the solutions it proposes leave the rich safe, with more tax cuts for them, and less support for working people, plus it encourages attacks by some working people on others who are even less fortunate than themselves. Divide and Rule. The song seems to be saying, let’s partially blame the Rich Men north of Richmond but give them a tax cut, and ignore them, certainly not take the fight to them.

Degrees of climate angst

August 7, 2023

The Yale Climate review reported world wide research polling amongst facebook users, which indicates that there are six different types of climate audience or grouping.

The Alarmed are convinced climate change is happening, human-caused, and an urgent threat, and strongly support climate policies.

The Concerned think human-caused climate change is happening and is a serious threat, and support climate policies. However, they tend to believe that climate impacts are still distant in time and space, thus the issue remains a lower priority.

The Cautious have not yet made up their minds: Is climate change happening? Is it human-caused? Is it serious?

The Disengaged know little to nothing about climate change and rarely if ever hear about it.

The Doubtful do not think climate change is happening or believe it is just a natural cycle.

And the Dismissive are convinced climate change is not happening, human-caused, or a threat, and oppose most climate policies

slightly modified: Italics and line breaks added

I personally think, from my experiences, there are at least two other modes:

  • Anger: Climate change is happening, its no big deal, and people are trying to impose unwanted changes of life on us.
  • Doomer: Climate change is too advanced to be stopped, so we can’t do anything.

There is also the probable

  • My income is tied in with fossil fuels, so climate action is bad

But these are irrelevant to the current discussion

Yale remarks:

We find that the Alarmed are the largest group in about three-fourths (80 of the 110) of the countries and territories surveyed. In fact, half or more respondents in twenty-nine countries and territories are Alarmed: the five countries with the largest percentage of Alarmed are Chile (65%), Mexico (64%), Malawi (63%), Bolivia (62%), and Sri Lanka (61%). Czechia and Yemen have the smallest percentages of Alarmed (both 9%). In the United States, about one-third of respondents are Alarmed (34%)….

By contrast, relatively few respondents in any country or territory are Doubtful or Dismissive. Among major emitters, the United States has the largest proportion of Doubtful and Dismissive, more than one in five (22%).

The document does not gather together the data for the world. So lets gather together some figures for Alarmed and Concerned. Given the polling is of facebook users this is a restricted audience….

  • Mexico 93% of people are Alarmed or Concerned
  • Brazil 90%
  • Chile 83%
  • Spain 79%
  • Hungary 79%
  • Columbia 79%
  • Argentina 77%
  • South Africa 73%
  • Japan 72%
  • India 71%
  • Kenya 70%
  • Bangladesh 70%
  • Turkey 70%
  • Malaysia 68%
  • Singapore 68%
  • Jamaica 68%
  • Zambia 68%
  • UK 67%
  • Germany 66%
  • Canada 65%
  • Australia 63%
  • USA 59%
  • Nigeria 55%
  • Saudi Arabia 50%
  • Norway 41%
  • Yemen 26%

This indicates that there is a world wide interest in change.

So again we need to ask why there is so little movement towards change.

Climate Psychology

July 29, 2023

the great Sally Gillespie

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-07-28/calls-for-clear-leadership-as-un-warns-of-global-boiling-era/102663028

Ok this will not connect, even though the editing field says its connected, but try pasting the URL into your browser