Posts Tagged ‘Disinformation’

Forbes on Thunberg again

October 10, 2019

I’m still reacting to the Forbes article on Greta Thunberg. In its view the Australian and US Right is completely innocent and rational. They would help fight climate change if the Left could avoid making Ecological Destruction a political matter.

I think this is basically wrong headed. It is also a political justifcation for inaction. It does not diminish the politics of the situation.

The reality is that a solution to the problem will be political. This cannot be avoided. It certainly cannot be avoided by politicising the recognition of a problem. In the UK, the various sides of politics have managed to find a politicaly acceptable solution to energy emissions. It may not be perfect, and more is needed, but it exists. People on the right in the UK are not all pretending that recognition of ongoing ecological destruction is a socialist plot to destroy capitalism, or whatever.

Besides which, many people who object to ecological destruction are not trying to pull down capitalism, and not trying to challenge real conservative values, whatever they are.

I, for one, don’t see the possibility of capitalism, and its sidekick of developmentalism, being wound down, in any kind of deliberative non-dangerous way, in the time frames available. This is just not feasible, however desirable it might be. I do expect that capitalism and developmentalism will collapse, along with almost everything else after it has achieved a certain point of destructiveness. This point may already be passed. In which case we will have to learn to flourish amidst the ruins of capitalism.

The point is that I, and many others, are more than happy for some form of capitalism to be preserved, if it can preserve the rest of us, but I don’t see any plan for this happening – at least partly because of the Right’s refusal to engage.

Free Speech Again

October 4, 2019

I’ve written a fair few articles about the way the Right react to disagreement. There was a piece on this in general, a look at the way Jordan Peterson reacted to Foucault and Peterson’s modes of silencing discussion, some considerations of responses to Greta Thunberg’s speech at the UN [1, 2, 3], and lots of stuff on Religious ‘Liberty’ to persecute. This is just a continuing footnote.

Firstly Peter Dutton’s reaction to people engaging in Extinction Rebellion protests was that these people “should be jailed until their behaviour changes”. He implied that they were “bludgers”, who should have their welfare payments stopped. He gave no evidence for this position, and I know people in the movement who definitely hold down jobs, and plenty of businesses seemed happy for people to attend the climate strike, so I presume this was an attempt to discredit them in the ways that he and his government attempt to dehumanize and punish people on NewStart in general. Of course, he did not explain why people on NewStart should not be able to protest against government policy. He just assumed that such a position was normal and acceptable. People who are relatively weak or poor, are obviously immoral. He also requested that “People should take these names and the photos of these people and distribute them as far and wide as they can.” In his view, it seems surveillance must be total, and encourage people in general to get at those with what he considers to be deviant views. His problem seems to be that judges were not imprisoning people for dissent, even though people are being charged with offenses and fined, some of them had even tried to embarrass him – How dare they…..

Assuming that the government acts on these arguments, the next step could well be to threaten people with pensions and uni-students on loans, and then anyone on any government money, including university lecturers, public servants, people doing research, probably people who receive money from the government for contracting work and so on… There is no real end to this – and perhaps that is the point. It is also possible he is just sounding the media out to see if he can get the usual righteous shouters on board.

Secondly, the coalition has been encouraging business to speak on public issues for quite a while now. They like polluting businesses speaking up against pollution taxes, they did not complain when the minerals council claimed responsibility for overthrowing a prime minister of the other party, they liked businesses speaking up against inquiries into the banking system, they liked businesses speaking in favour of corporate tax cuts, deregistering unions for action, and other policies they were proposing. They never stop saying how these kind of comments from business show how their policies are in the national interest.

However, we have recently witnessed the strange phenomena of businesses deciding that maybe we should talk about climate change. Ecological destruction will eventually affect earnings, there is the risk of stranded assets, there is “Carbon risk” , there is risk from massive storms and destruction, there is risk of flooding from sea level rise. There are all kinds of risks which affect business if climate change gets worse and the government continues to do nothing. Given the long delays that the Coalition has supported, it is possible that it is now too late and we are stuck with the probable danger of economic collapse through ecological collapse.

However the Righteous reaction to criticism (as opposed to support) is that companies should shut up, or that companies are loud, or that companies are cowards yeilding to activists (sure!), or that ecological destruction has no economic consequences. In general, it appears their attitude is that you only have the right to praise the Right.

Third, in NSW there has been a rare loss of planning permission for a coal mine, because emissions cannot be confined and have an effect on global climate change. The Minerals Council (or the union for mining companies) is upset about this. Previously the government has passed legislation to ensure the prohibited mine is acceptable by changing the requirements, which then apply retrospectively. The government is now considering legislation that could limit the ability for planning authorities to rule out coalmine projects based on the climate change impact of emissions from the coal. The planning minister, Rob Stokes, has said it was “not appropriate for state governments to impose conditions about emissions policies in other countries”. Oh those poor other countries. But aren’t we always being told that if we don’t sell them the coal they will buy it elsewhere? So we cannot imposes conditions about emissions on other countries, we can just refuse to participate in the destruction here and overseas. But righteous virtue always has to be easy and profitable. The government is also trying to discourage protest and is proposing a new law which punishes unlawful entry to ‘enclosed lands’ with up to three years in jail and increases fines from $5,500 to $22,000. Other laws are being proposed to curb inconvenience to business and private owners, presumably because this is more important than allowing people to protest against government policy in a way which is noticed.

Just to make it clear this is not unique to Australia. In the US:

  • The Department of Agriculture relocated their economists who published findings showing financial harm arising to farmers because of the administration’s trade policies.
  • The acting White House chief of staff apparently instructed the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) to support the president’s assertions about the path of hurricane Dorian. It was reported that they threatened to fire top officials if they did not do what they were told.
  • The Interior Department reassigned its top climate scientist to an accounting role after he mentioned the dangers of climate change.

Homeland security and the Patriot act, set up to defend the US from terrorists is now being used to defend mining and fracking operations from the objections of local people. Given the FBI’s constant preference for policing left wing activists rather than rightwingers this should not be a surprise.

The obvious point is that dissent from the righteous view of the world has to be punished or threatened. It is much more important that they be correct, than that they change their minds to deal with new data, or new understandings. People who have different understandings and who opposed them, are by definition ‘evil’ and to be crushed.

This idea they must be right, and dissent must be punished, is fundamental to their understanding of the world. It is like the request that religious people should have the right to sack or namecall anyone because of that person’s differences, but maintain the right to be protected from being sacked or namecalled for their own differences. Indeed the issue may even originate in Christianity’s persecution of heretics and people of other religions. Perhaps, this monotheism cannot accept that any deviance can be anything other than satanic, and to be purged? Perhaps it is just that Capitalism as a monotheism that makes profit its only value is authoritarian?

Equity of action is not understood at all. It appears to be govenment by dogma, and threat, and the righteous have to be right, and they will stop at nothing to assert being right. They certainly will not normally discuss anything, or accept they could be wrong.

Thunberg’s are Go! 04

September 28, 2019

The third example of the anti-Thunberg argument comes from Amanda Vanstone. An ex-minister in the Coaltion government. Often thought of as a moderate. This should be the place were we can find a way into discussion about the issues. Sadly, it is not.

She begins.

It’s a measure of where we’ve come to in public debate that I have thought more than twice about writing this piece. The days of civilised debate, of accepting different opinions seem to be disappearing.

None of us likes being yelled at or chastised for our views. The pleasure of exchanging opinions, exploring them and in the process better understanding or modifying our own is one of the hallmarks of a free society.

Vanstone would have been much more persausive here if she had made this comment when the Right started its head kicking of everyone who disagreed with it, in the eighties, or perhaps if she had gently asked her old companion Tony Abbott to use a little politeness everynow and again. But its only nowadays that its a problem, when people speak back to the right in the same way that they are spoken to…. But we can perhaps hope that she is going to engage in discussion rather than abuse.

The Greta Thunberg circus has become a complete farce.

That is a really good example of exchanging opinions and exploring them. Beautifully done.

Then follows a passage about Thunberg travelling by emissions free boat is “first-world fake melodrama at its best”. Ok we have quickly gone past expecting civilised debate, and lack of being chastised, but its interesting, how the soon the idea can be discarded, after it is brought up.

We could get the idea from the generally virtue signalling right wing social injustice warriors (see what I did there?) that whatever Thunberg did to produce her message would have been inadequate – unless nobody had heard about it. Then it could be bypassed without comment. Travelled by plane, used Skype all of these would have shown her hypocracy because of the emissions involved, just as not producing emissions was not enough.

It’s a personal choice but I don’t think telling people they’ll never be forgiven, berating them with “how dare you”, does much to bring people on board.

Neither does the kind of language that Vanstone uses. However, Thunberg’s short message, less I believe than 500 words was to the point. If leaders do not do something, when the problem is as clear as it is, how can they be forgiven, or praised? They may want praise for ignoring the problems, but that does not mean they will get it from everybody. And the short speech has certainly provoked a lot of dismisal.

Usually it has the opposite effect. It’s just another sad example of serious and complex political issues being reduced to “I’m right and you’re an idiot”. That kind of discourse just pollutes the town square. It’s fractious and shuts others out. It is toxic to democratic debate.

Exactly what Vanstone is doing. She is so good at this.

The whole trip, the hype and the expense was one big media circus.

Cliche after cliche about why people should not listen to Thunberg. No dealing with her arguments, no civilised exchange. And of course no lack of chastisement. Tut!

Given the over-dramatisation of global warming by some, including Thunberg, we now have a generation of children worried about being burnt to a crisp.

Do we have any evidence presented that climate change effects are being Over-dramatised? No, not necessary clearly. Even if scientists keep saying that the effects are proceeding more rapidly than the official predictions. And should people be relaxed about their ecologies and futures being destroyed? Really? Tell that to farmers.

Out of all the 16-year-olds in the world, why is it that just one features in the media worldwide? There are other kids who care as much, are just as articulate, just as concerned. If you think the world focussing on this one young girl was just some happy accident you are plugged into a faulty socket.

Gently plugging into the conspiracy theory socket here. All this concern is media manipulation. Probably Soros lurks in the background, with his evil tendrils everywhere..

Hmm, we have just had right wing speakers, criticising and dimsissing all these intelligent, caring kids who went on strike, and often refusing to engage in polite discussion with them as well. So we don’t have to look at what happens to one 16-year-old to know what will happen, but we get the idea. Every concerned, caring kid has to worry about retaliation for being bold enough to suggest that people should do something.

I’ve seen the photo of her outside her school on her first climate strike. Posed to draw on the haunting concept of the lonely outsider who (surprise, surprise) becomes the involuntary hero. Who took that photo and, more importantly, why?

Yes it is deeply suspicious that in this age of everyone having mobile phone cameras that anyone (including her parents, teachers or school-friends) would take a photo of her. It must have been planned malevolance, that is the only possible explanation.

Now we have kids all over the world skipping school for the day to show how much they care.

Yes indeed we have another example of Vanstone engaging in civilised debate with all these “kids skipping school”. Evil disobedient creatures that they are.

I’d be more impressed if they gave up their free time to make their statement.

Plenty of them probably have, and have been ignored.

Even more impressive would be if they organised to collectively make a lasting statement by doing something useful. If everyone who skipped school had planted a tree in pre-agreed areas that needed revegetating, that would have made an impressive statement.

Yes they could have been praised and ignored. They could have been more quiet Australians who agree with the Government being ecologically destructive. They would have suggested that planting trees was enough, and we could just ignore the wholesale destruction going on. It would have been much more comfortable for those who don’t care.

If all the protesters focussed on a few areas, whole suburbs could be made better places in which to live. All it would take is commitment and elbow grease. Just skipping school gives you no skin in the game.

Yes, it would be nice if our government did even that much to lead by example, but hey the Coalition likes land-clearing, so we don’t expect leadership, and we are not disappointed. That everyone else should do something, is always a good argument.

Perhaps the Australian protesting kids could all decide to not own a car and to use public transport instead. At home they could not use air conditioning: my generation grew up without it.

Individually they could give up all devices, maybe bar a simple phone and use a shared family tablet or computer.

Careful, she is calling for the end of comsumerism.

Would these striking students be able to pass a simple test on the positive things both sides of politics have done in Australia? Don’t hold your breath.

Certainly it would be hard to pass a test on the positive things that the Coalition have done in the last 10 years, but note the spurious sign of even-handedness.

Everyone can and should play their part. More to the point is how globally we address this. The plain fact is that China and the US produce more than 40 per cent of world emissions followed by India and Russia. The top 15 countries produce more than 70 per cent of emissions. Unless these countries change their ways what we do will make little difference.

Indeed and Australia is one of the top 15 to 20 countries in terms of total CO2 emissions depending on your source (closer to the top if you factor in emissions from coal and gas exports) and is extremely close to the top in terms of emissions per capita. And its getting bigger. We can’t ignore Australia. But she seems to imply we can. Odd. Or is this another example of how it is really everyone else’s problem and we don’t have to do anything?

That’s not a reason to shrug our shoulders and walk away. Not at all. But it does provide some perspective. Did our school protesters think that Xi Jinping, or Modi or Putin gave a damn about their protest? Did they even think about that?

I don’t know, of course, I’m sure some people did think about it. But they did not expect Xi, Modi or Putin to listen. These people are not going to listen to people from Australia. But then Scott Morrison did decide to lecture China on its emissions, while increasing those in his domain. Did he expect China to listen? and he apparently decided not to lecture President Trump who is going out of his way to increase emissions. But Morrison and Trump’s efforts to make things worse will not be commented upon, in an article which is asking us to dismiss Thunberg and student strikers.

Greta Thunberg seemed angered at the presence of President Trump arriving at the UN. She may have just been realising the missed opportunity to get more headlines by berating him.

Anyone who is concerned about emissions is likely to be angry about Trump’s continual efforts to boost them. But it was Trump and his followers who were snarky about Thunberg, not the other way around… The idea that Thunberg is realising a missed opportunity in that moment, is really showing how Vanstone’s mind works, not Thunberg’s. Thunberg could have run after him, if she had wanted, but she didn’t…. Absence of action is somehow proof of intent?

That’s what she does. People have grown tired of that trick.

Hopefully people will get tired of the trick of pretending to be interested in debate while slagging off at people who think there is a problem….

Its depressing. Were any of these three anti-Thunberg writers remotely interested in an opening for discussion? Not as far as I can see. They seemed to be just looking for excuses to put her down, and put concern about climate change down.

That is all.

Thunbergs are Go! 03….

September 28, 2019

More writing against

This second post was forwarded to me, by an intelligent guy, he was just helping me to know what people thought.

This post is not from the wilder fringes of paranoia either. There are much more excessive examples.

She’s all over the news these days, but 16-year-old Greta Thunberg isn’t homegrown or grassroots. Her climate schtick is completely a product of George Soros and Company, which feeds Thunberg her lines

The right seems plagued with fantasy. Take the whole George Soros thing. After he retired, Soros made a couple of mistakes.

He wrote some abstract books about the complexities of the market, which implied that you could make money out of markets because they were not optimal – which contradicted rightist dogma. He made it clear, in more popular books, that the neoliberal revolution of looking after big business first, did not deliver what it promised for ordinary people and, as a ‘master of finance’, his words might have some influence so he had to be discredited. The Republicans reacted as usual with fantasy, innuendo, abuse, and assertion that markets were the best, and that anyone who thought otherwise was after your liberty. He also tried to help to support democracy in Eastern Europe and ran foul of the Russian State, with the usual consequences. He then supported help for civilians in Syria, and of course the Kremlin rounded on that pretty heavily accusing him of supporting ISIS and terrorism etc… Whole heaps of pretty obviously fabricated stories circulated. Why would Soros support Isis? he’s Jewish to start with, and it contradicts everything he has ever said or done…. but coherence, or plausibility, does not count to those who would discredit him.

Yes people even insist that Thunberg is his granddaughter or pet robot or something.

as she traipses around the world pretending to have come up with all this climate hysteria on her own.

Hmm I’ve never seen or heard anything from Thunberg which suggests that she pretends to have come up with “all this climate hysteria” on her own. Is this writer pretending to have come up with climate denial hysteria on their own? I doubt it, but perhaps they are? Perhaps they are trying to pretend to be a completely original and independent thinker? I don’t know. But I guess the statement is dimissive, so it might sound persuasive, if you were already inclined to dimiss Thunberg and global warming, and weren’t reading with that much attention..

In truth, Thunberg is never without her handler, Luisa-Marie Neubauer, a 23-year-old, far-left activist from Germany who’s the “Youth Ambassador” for an international lobbying and campaigning organization known as the “ONE Foundation,” which is funded by George Soros, Bill & Melinda Gates, and Bono, among other celebrity names.

Thunberg associates with a few people who have similar ideas!!! Oh wow. People like Alan Jones, or oil company executives, would never do that! They wouldn’t use the Atlas Network or anything. They have way too many principles for that.

“Far left” clearly means anyone who thinks the kind of argument being put forward in this anti-Thunberg email is silly.

Besides the fact that Thunberg herself comes from a family of freemasons, her mother supposedly having ties to Bavarian Illuminati founder Adam Weisshaupt,

Her family are supposedly freemasons. No evidence is given, but let’s assume its true even if the name dropping of Adam Weisshaupt, pretty much implies the writer has no evidence but lots of fantasy. The “supposedly” is neat, because if anyone can be bothered to show that it is bullshit then the writer can say it was only supposedly, they weren’t asserting it was true…..

But it is true that the founders of the US were nearly all freemasons. They must also be involved in this conspiracy as well!!!! They plotted all those years ago so that a Swedish teen would try and take on the oil and coal companies!! to instigate their plan for world communism and wealth redistribution!!!

Well it’s as rational.

Neubauer, her controller, works for a major globalist entity that’s working to implement Agenda 2030 in Germany via the Paris Climate Accord.

Her controller? Do we have any evidence for that? No? What is the Sinister “Agenda 2030”? It’s a UN plan for sustainable development involving the 17 Sustainable Development Goals. Must be evil. We want unsustainable development now!!! non of this survival crap. And Germans are in favour of cutting emissions. It’s A NAZI-COMMUNIST-FREEMASON-UN PLOT!!!!

Neubauer is also a member of Alliance 90, The Greens, and Green Youth, three communist organizations that are using the “threat” of climate change as a cover to push for sweeping policy changes all around the globe – changes that will, of course, eliminate freedom and liberty in order to “save the planet.”

We need freedom to destroy the planet, or we are not free??? Ok, that is a bit weird, but I guess these people have never heard the conservative saying that with freedom comes responsibility. And they assume that everyone opposing them can be described as communist – even those pro-capitalist people like Bill Gates who think climate change is likely to be true.

No matter how many times climate change is exposed as a total hoax, there’s still a contingency of the populace that believes it to be the gospel truth – especially when little girls appear all over the news to reprimand the world about the “science” behind it.

No matter how often climate change denialism is revealed to be a total hoax and the facts all wrong, a tiny number of denialists keep repeating their hoax as if nothing had changed. They appear all over the media, to reprimand or supress anyone for listening to scientists.

Whatever the case may be, it’s obvious that Thunberg isn’t coming up with the many scripts she reads before Congress, the media, and most recently the United Nations. Heck, she doesn’t even speak English as her first language, yet somehow we’re supposed to believe that Thunberg is able to come up with a nonstop flow of professional speeches to present on any given day?

And she is Swedish and speaks English competently – Must be Rosemary’s baby!!!! No teenager could speak English competently, even if most younger Swedes speak English, extremely well.

“So-called ‘climate change’ remains the greatest fraud being perpetrated on humanity,” wrote one commenter at The Gateway Pundit. “It is nothing more than a multi-trillion dollar taxation and wealth redistribution program scheme designed by the U.N. to destroy America by destroying capitalism.”

Wow, A Commentator? Wonder what science they specialise in? Wonder who pays them? Yes let’s just say people who accept the science are hoodwinked, and those who accept propaganda are free thinkers. If we repeat it often enough, it must be true.

Let’s be real…. Climate change denial remains the greatest fraud being perpetrated on humanity. It is nothing more than a multi-trillion dollar taxation and wealth redistribution program scheme designed by the corporate elite to destroy America and the world by supporting big business and ecological destruction. I’m not supplying any evidence for this position either, but at least it’s plausible, because that is what it does….

The right often seems very weird. I suspect it is because they are supporting policies that spell destruction for most people, and have to promote culture wars, fiction and endless abuse, because that is all they have to get people on side.

I’ve always been interested in varieties of conspiracy theory, because I don’t think you can understand modern politics if you don’t consider it to be (more or less) central to mainstream righteous political discourse.  

It is important to realise what kind of (dis)information circulates as ‘fact’ amongst large amounts of the population, and how little it appears to connect with reality, and how many strands of imagination can be connected in a few words.

People, who I knew, in the centre and moderate left in the US did not even know what most people believed was fact about Hilary Clinton. To them, it seemed completely unbelievable that anyone could believe this kind of stuff, and yet it probably helped bring about Donald Trump. Trump’s real misdemeanours where not in the same league as those imagined about Clinton. Possibly Trump could not continue without the widespread tolerance of idea of the great left-wing conspiracy which firmly controls government bureaucracy, universities, business and media.

Once you understand the terms, the evil leftist conspiracy is even hinted at by respectable people like Amanda Vanstone who should be above using it, but is not, as we shall see in the next piece. Certainly her more outré readers would get the references and implications.

Those on the right who know this has to be rubbish, may tend to respond by thinking that all information is equally rubbish, and become cynical about ‘everything’. Nothing is true, nothing is accurate, there is nothing to do except just keep on keeping on. Climate change might be a hoax too – certainly if they don’t like the solutions which are proposed.

The “Info-wars” site and its like, seem almost mainstream nowadays amongst the right, but I can’t think of anything even remotely comparable on the left – apart from those very few supposedly Labor people who tell me the Greens deliberately set out to get Scott Morrison elected – but they seem to rouse more scorn than acceptance… They are not mainstream in the same kind of way.

Is it possible to discuss anything with people who proudly break all the procedures of logic and evidence? I’d like to think so, but how do we do it????

Thunbergs are Go! 02: writing against

September 27, 2019

Climate change denial warriors have been berating Greta Thunberg all week for daring to say we need to look after the world, for suggesting that adults were letting her generation down, and for suggesting people should take science seriously.

I thought it might be useful to look at some of the styles of argument employed in the next couple of articles on this blog. This require several conditions. First off, I could not select the articles themselves, as I might knowingly, or unconsciously, choose badly argued or stupid articles. The articles had to be recommended to me, by people who were intelligent and who agreed with them. Secondly I had to try and restrain myself from being rude. The Second point was probably more difficult – oh let’s be clear, by the end of it I failed. These people did not want a discussion and they just handed out abuse, and a demand to shut up about climate change..

The first article was a broadcast by Australian right wing ‘shock jock’, Alan Jones. This guy is highly influential; newspapers write feature articles about him, his words get wide circulation, he is hostile to anything to do with climate change, although he often opposes fracking and coal mining near his many property holdings. He can be said to be central to the Australian media, and its self-image. The speech was recommended by an American, so that shows he has international repute among the right.

The speech is here. To be fair he is reporting a letter written to him that he thinks is a wonderful response to teenagers protesting aganst climate change.

He starts by asserting climate change is a hoax. Ok there is a hoax here, but its called ‘denialism’ Or perhaps more accurately, the “don’t do anything, because it will affect our sponsor’s profits” move; there are lots of motives we can imagine for denying the problem or its severity, but we don’t know what he, or the person he is quoting, is about, so let’s not pretend we do – it does not seem a courtesy that will be extended back.

He then attacks young people for:

1) Having airconditioning in class rooms (Yes its getting hotter and no the kids probably did not agitate for this, but parents might have done. It is obviously unfair to agitate to stay alive. If you know anything about NSW classrooms a lot of them are demountable and made of metal which heats up quite a bit in summer. Education department figures show there are 10,000 classrooms in NSW with no form of air conditioning or evaporative coolers. <https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/where-summer-is-stifling-the-nsw-schools-with-and-without-air-con-20180711-p4zqsx.html>
Of course Alan Jones and his like, oppose using solar panels to keep things below heat stroke territory in summer. He might need to get his facts right).

2) TV in every room and computers (Hmm, the kids buy TVs for every room? The kids do not manufacture the TVs nor promote them for sale, nor pay for them. Neither did they design a workplace which requires computerisation, or for people to use mobile phones to be in constant contact. Nor do they spend millions of dollars trying to convince people to upgrade their phones even if the old ones are still working. Kids are really so powerful, that they did all this???? I presume Alan Jones and his team, who are signalling virtuously here, do not use computers or smart phones at work, or demand that they be available – or is it ok to use them because they deny climate change is a problem?)

3) The kids all decide to be driven to school (really? not the parents deciding its not safe for kids to walk to school? I assume he has done some research on any of what is being asserted here? No…? Wow he just knows stuff like he knows that climate change isn’t real. This is so convincing….)

4) Then he avoids even the suggestion that the economic system could be generating endless consumerism – its all the kids fault – not the fault of business, not the fault of profit seeking. We can’t suggest capitalism is to blame – it’s got to be the kids. These kids are so powerful they can bend the whole economic system – no wonder he is scared of them.

5) Then he asserts the climate strikers are supported by people who want to boost population. Actually, it’s pretty obvious that there are people who encourage inflating the population are on his side of politics. The Coalition have been driving population increase since John Howard – they mix this with penalising refugees who come by boat, so as to distract people from what they are doing. They reckon its economically necessary to provide for the aging population, make up for the low birthrate, and to keep wages down… Some of those supporters of population growth are the religious right who want everyone to obey God’s commands to keep breeding. They don’t care about the ecological damage this does…. so again this is twisted at best

6) Final killer argument, young people are “virtue signalling little turds” – that is a real reasoned argument for you… more evidence that the righteous have nothing to offer but abuse, and threat… (after they have done the misdirection)

7) Wait! There’s more: “Wake up, grow up and shut up” – well again if you can’t beat people by facts or rational argument just get them to shut up and stop disturbing you in your pursuit of profit and sponsors. This is the righeous love of free speech. They get the right to lie and abuse anyone, but everyone else gets to shut up.

This speech could not be even remotely persuasive to anyone who did not already agree with his position.

Predictions of Energy Change

September 16, 2019

This is my somewhat harsher version of the beginning of a coauthored and forthcoming book chapter. I particularly thank Tom Morton of UTS for much of the data and inspiration for what follows.

There is a lot of discussion as to whether or not the world has reached “peak demand” for fossil fuels as an energy source. Burning fossil fuels generates greenhouse gases and greenhouse gases are generating climate change. This is not the only ecological crisis we face, but it is the one with the largest acknowledgement.

Large players in the fossil fuel industry seem eager to imply that world demand for coal and other fossil fuels are declining, but there is little evidence to imply that an energy transition to renewables is coming with the kind of speed we need.

For example, The BHP group states that coal will:

progressively lose competitiveness to renewables on a new build basis in the developed world and in China. In our view, the cross over point should have occurred in these major markets by the end of next decade on a conservative estimate. However, coal power is expected to retain competitiveness in India, where the coal fleet is only around 10 years old on average, and other populous, low income emerging markets, for a much longer time.

(Italics added)

BP are more optimistic still, stating that “renewables are the largest source of energy growth, gaining at an unprecedented rate” and “are set to penetrate the global energy system more quickly than any fuel previously in history.”

ExxonMobil describes a more complicated picture. While they suggest that coal use “likely peaked” in 2013 (p. 29), they suggest the immediate energy “switch” will be to gas (p. 33), which continues greenhouse gas emissions, if at a lesser rate (although this is not certain because of perpetual leakage). However, they also predict that:

global CO2 intensity of energy use remain[s] fairly constant, with increased coal use in some non-OECD countries offsetting improvements in the OECD countries (p. 39).

(Italics added)

They also predict that by 2040 the global energy mix will be:

  • 30% oil,
  • 26% gas,
  • 20% coal,
  • 8% biomass,
  • 7% nuclear,
  • 4% wind and solar, and
  • 4% hydro/geo/biofuels (p. 28).

It hardly needs to be emphasized that this implies that over 80% of a our fuel use will continue to emit greenhouse gases, even by 2040. The degree of transition to renewables will be trivial. Essentially, ExxonMobil predict a transition to a state which is not much different from today, as is shown by the IEA.

The IEA, claims, in its Key World Energy Statistics for 2017, that only 1.5% of world primary energy supply by fuel in 2016 was “geothermal, solar, wind, tide/wave/ocean, heat,” while 2.5% is hydro and 9.7% is biofuel (p. 6). That is, the proportion of our current energy usage in the world, which is renewable, non greenhouse gas emitting, could be said to be less than trivial!

We may also need to recall that we have been aware of the need for transition to low greenhouse gas emission energy, since the early 1980s, with the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change being signed in 1992, and this is the best we have done under the current system, and leaving it to private enterprise. (Because the market always knows what is best).

The change predicted and celebrated by ExxonMobil is hardly a transition, and hardly makes much of an impact on a situation which seems to becoming worse daily.

While recognising low utilisation today, the IEA is somewhat more optimistic in its prognosis: in Renewables 2018, it predicts that the share of renewables in meeting global energy demand is expected to grow by one-fifth to reach 12.4% in 2023. Renewables should have the fastest growth in the electricity sector, providing almost 30% of power demand in 2023, up from 24% in 2017. During this period, renewables are forecast to supply more than 70% of global electricity generation growth, led by solar PV and followed by wind, hydropower, and bioenergy. However:

30% of the growth in renewables consumption is expected to come from modern bioenergy… due to bioenergy’s considerable use in heat and its growing consumption… in transport. Other renewables make a negligible contribution to these two sectors [heat and transport], which together account for 80% of total energy consumption (IEA 2018: 3).

(Italics added)

Bioenergy is not clean. At best it consumes fertile land previously intended for agriculture, or leads to felling of old growth forests, thus dispossessing poorer farmers and forest dwellers and increasing the price of food. Biofuel is only of any conceivable use, if it replaces, and lowers, consumption of fossil fuels.

In another recent report the IEA adds:

Energy consumption worldwide grew by 2.3% in 2018, nearly twice the average rate of growth since 2010… natural gas… emerged as the fuel of choice last year, accounting for nearly 45% of the increase in total energy demand. Demand for all fuels rose, with fossil fuels meeting nearly 70% of the growth for the second year running….

global energy-related CO2 emissions increased to 33.1 Gt CO2, up 1.7%….

The United States had the largest increase in oil and gas demand worldwide. Gas consumption jumped 10% from the previous year, the fastest increase since the beginning of IEA records in 1971. The annual increase in US demand last year was equivalent to the United Kingdom’s current gas consumption.

Growth in India was led by coal (for power generation) and oil (for transport), the first and second biggest contributors to energy demand growth, respectively.

(Italics added)

The IEA points out that the pace and scale of the global energy transition, “is not in line with climate targets”. This we can almost certainly agree with.

It is, however, in line with a future which maximises fossil fuel company profits and destroys normal life for most people. That is were the World’s current policies have led us.

Data like this, might make you think, that we need Revolution, even if the consequences of Revolution will almost certainly be painful and horrendous. However, while we may wonder if we have any time left to avoid looming disaster, let us try the relatively painless, if perhaps insufficient move, of encouraging high renewable targets, ending of fossil fuel exploration, mining and use, within the next ten years, even if it costs some taxpayers’ money and risks financial problems for some companies. The cost will probably be less than that of oil wars.

This may require us to also consider the necessity of “degrowth” which will be considered in a later post.

_______________________________

Addenda

A new report by the IEA (20 September 2019) states that:

After stalling last year, global capacity additions of renewable power are set to bounce back with double-digit growth in 2019, driven by solar PV’s strong performance, according to the International Energy Agency.

The IEA expects renewable capacity additions to grow by almost 12% this year, the fastest pace since 2015, to reach almost 200 GW, mostly thanks to solar PV and wind. Global solar PV additions are expected to increase by over 17%

However:

Renewable capacity additions need to grow by more than 300 GW on average each year between 2018 and 2030 to reach the goals of the Paris Agreement.

Even with the “bounce back”, we are still not moving fast enough.

The climate scientist hoax?

September 15, 2019

People frequently tell me, with an air of great authority, that climate scientists only believe in climate change because they gain personal benefit from it.

Thus many people claim that you simply put “climate change” into a research project, say about the nesting habits of squirrels, and lo and behold, the grant awarding offices will give you the money to research squirrels which you previously could not get. Its a sure money winner apparently.

They never say how they know these kinds of statement are true. I would doubt that many of those making these statements had ever put in a grant application to get money to research anything, and I doubt still more that these applications were suddenly accepted because they added a quick reference to climate change the next year.

They certainly never say who they got the grant money from.

They don’t seem to think about all the questions and work they would have to do to relate the squirrels (or whatever) to climate change, whether climate change affected the nesting habits in general and how, or whether any observed changes varied by place? Did climate change have an effect on forestation, and other parts of the ecology, or where the squirrels being affected more severely by human initiated deforestation, pollution, water loss to mines, or development, rather than climate change? What other fauna might be being affected by the same underlying factors, and how does that relate to the effects being noticed in squirrels?

Is there a long standing set of problems about the nesting habits of squirrels, or are they commenting on a set of known changes in squirrel nesting patterns? What does previous literature suggest and how are they reacting to it.

If you have written a grant, you will know that you have to do slightly more than use a few buzz words to get one, and indeed the buzz words may go against you. Various conservative governments have in my life time, decided not to award grants the Australian Research Council had approved, because they did not like the politics implied by the buzz words of the research.

Let us be clear: In reality, scientists seem to get more more or less no benefit at all from supporting climate change.

Not only will they not get special treatment in grant applications, but they can get silenced or sacked by Governments if they speak or give the politically wrong results. Experiments and data collections get shut down, or diverted elsewhere. They get attacked by journalists and internet trolls. They receive death threats, if they get noticed. They run the risk of their personal emails being subpoenaed by right wing think tanks looking for scandal. They have to fight against the almost bottomless funding of fossil fuel companies. They have to constantly refute material that has been refuted before. They have to face up to the massive disruption that is happening to the Earth, with the knowledge that effective action has been continually blocked for ‘economic’ reasons and special deals, and that in the US and Australia, effective action is completely improbable. They even have to watch as governments launch new permissions for business to pollute and destroy the environment, including vital water supplies. If they are biologists, they are looking at whole eco-systems collapsing or dying out, and they have an awareness of what is likely to come. Their favourite squirrels and everything that depends on them, might be dying out. This is depressing to put it mildly.

The only benefit I can think of is that scientists, and others who recognize climate change is real, get the sense that they are standing up for truth and reality. They are refusing to bow down to State and Corporate authority. And they get some support from other scientists, but that’s about it.

Psycho-Social Analysis of Destructive Politics

September 2, 2019

This is an exposition fantasy-summary of an article by Bobby Azarian, which strikes me as interesting, but needing a shift into the social. All the good bits should be assumed to be his, the bad bits remain with me. Everything in block quotes or double inverted commas (“ ”) is from the original article.

We can begin by noting that apparently destructive politics seems triumphant at the moment, with Trump in the US, Johnson in the UK, Putin in Russia, Morrison in Australia, Modi in India, Duterte in the Philippines, Bolsonaro in Brazil, Viktor Orbán in Hungary, Andrzej Duda in Poland, and the list goes on.

These are people who deceive, appear immune when caught out, refuse to engage in genuine discussion, ostensibly lack compassion and empathy, may encourage violence, overtly benefit only small sections of the population, put their nation explicitly ahead of the world, and, on the whole, ignore climate change and other disasters, even proposing, and boasting of, acts which will make those disasters worse. For these leaders, it appears that the prime mark of competence, in their ministers (and anyone else) is loyalty to them.


Azarian’s original article is about President Trump, but it is probably expandable.

So let’s see.

First off, there is nothing much to be said about the mental state of such leaders. In a sane, well adjusted, society, they might be dismissed and have relatively little popularity or power, but today they have both. So the question has to be directed at their appeal to the ‘collective mind’. There are some severe problems with the idea of a collective mind, and how such a mind might arise outside of common social experience; consequently I will try and emphasise, or reinsert, elementary social processes into the exposition.

This helps remind us that the problems are systemic and organisational, rather than individual; the factors we might point to interact in particular social contexts, in complex ways, and may produce unexpected results. That is the main divergence from Azarian.

Azarian states:

This list will begin with the more benign reasons for Trump’s intransigent support. As the list goes on, the explanations become increasingly worrisome, and toward the end, border on the pathological. It should be strongly emphasized that not all Trump supporters are racist, mentally vulnerable, or fundamentally bad people. It can be detrimental to society when those with degrees and platforms try to demonize their political opponents or paint them as mentally ill when they are not.

We can agree with that, so let’s avoid saying people with particular political dispositions are mentally ill, or in some way being abnormal or unusual. If there is a social mind (or collective consciousness), then it is widely distributed, ‘normal’, and socially influenced or even generated. If the problem is a collection of individually ill-minds then we will probably find those minds politically distributed all over the place.

So point by point.

1. Practicality Trumps Morality
These leaders tend to benefit the wealthy, the business sector, and sometimes the locally established Church, so no surprise they get support there. They also promise material benefits to ordinary people, and show a certainty which promises lack of anxiety. This can only work when people perceive themselves as losing out, and think that with these leaders the good times might be coming back. Another step towards making a version of ‘practicality’, the basis of morality, is the suppression of empathy towards those not in one’s in-group. Such empathy becomes defined as impractical. This shall be discussed in more detail later on.

It does not matter if the leaders seem immoral, as they appear to be strong and trying to benefit their people, which the normal system does not, and neither do normal politicians. Whether these people will stay with their leaders, when the benefits do not arrive is difficult to tell. However, they would have to know the benefits are not going to arrive, and they may never be able to know that due to the ‘mess of information’ (see below: point 7a), the discrediting of counter-information as disloyal, and with continual media bias towards the leader. People often seem prepared to wait a long time in political terms for promised benefits that may never arrive – say of free markets or communism. We start off with a wide spread social situation of alienation from ‘ordinary politics’, not a set of individual psychologies. Later discussion will try and explain this alienation.

2. The Brain’s Attention System Is More Strongly Engaged by Colourful leadership
All of these leaders are colourful. They engage the emotions, and bombard people with messages. Trump keeps both attention and emotional arousal high at all times. He uses twitter constantly. He generates fuss and reaction, which keeps him in view. Media, no matter how hostile, is focused on him, and its agenda is led by him. Putin is known for his bare chest and athletic feats, Johnson for being an eccentric and annoying his enemies. These people, largely keep themselves in the public eye, in a dominant and often hectoring position. They start discussions, even if they refuse to actually discuss and primarily engage in abuse or threat. They respond without shame, and gain attention. If something is going badly for them, they can largely ignore it, or shift blame and attention elsewhere.

If leadership is partly about being looked at, recognized, and setting the parameters of speech, then they are markedly leaders.

3. Obsession with Entertainment and Celebrities
This observation is obviously supposed to be primarily about the US, but I think the point is nowadays universal, and a celebrity is a person who has developed techniques of attracting attention and interest. So this is primarily a restatement of the last point, that the leaders are colourful, known, and gain media attention.

Celebrity has become a normal part of the ‘hype’ emerging from the economic system, providing guarantees of ‘star-power,’ sales, attention time, and excitement. “You are always left wondering what outrageous thing [the President] is going to say or do next. He keeps us on the edge of our seat.” As long as he discomforts whomever we identify as the villains, then this is fun to watch. It adds excitement to an otherwise staid, boring and probably depressing routine. It lifts people into another world, where change becomes possible, and identified enemies seem on the back foot.

4. “Some Men Just Want to Watch the World Burn.”
“Some people are supporting [these leaders] simply to be rebellious or to introduce chaos into the political system. They may have such distaste for the establishment” that their only hope is to rip it down. Yet this may not be entirely pathological, it could be that the system is dysfunctional, apparently oppressing, and ignoring, the leader’s supporters or the ordinary person. The supporters’ hope might be that good may come of ripping that uncaring system and dysfunctional system down. And if that is not much hope, then ripping it down is enjoyable and liberating, given how badly people have been ignored. ‘If I’m going down, so does everyone else. Suck on that, you creeps!’

Normally, people might glumly get on with things, figuring that if they get involved they may get hurt or lose out still further, but in this situation they perceive that someone is actually acting; they don’t have to do much other than vaguely support the actor at first. Later on, when it’s clear the leader is having an effect, they can get more actively involved.

If some form of instinctual psychoanalysis is correct, then normal society requires repression of anger, hostility and selfishness (even with legitimate cause), while the destructive leader liberates these drives against both the failing society and the out-groups that have been created (see below). This is especially so if their in-groups encourage both the suppression of empathy for others, and the possibility of imagining themselves in a similar position to the weaker people. Hence the popularity of destructive leaders finding a weak group such as refugees, or unemployed people and attacking them.

There is also the possibility that by participating in this right of anger and hatred, or directly in the process of harming those weaker than themselves, people may feel empowered, gain a ‘high’ and feel temporarily liberated, even if they are destroying their own lives in the process. This sense of liberation reinforces the sense that the leader is special.

4a. The Joy and Necessity of Self-Destruction

Freud hypothesized the Death Instinct to explain why people so often go against their real self interest and seem to gain pleasure from their own self-destruction. Christians posit the Fall and Sin, as the cause. Whatever the ultimate explanation, this is something anyone can observer for themselves, by watching people destroy their own lives and families for no reason that is obvious to the people involved.

In this short discussion we can suggest that some self-destructive urges arise from a confluence of several interacting factors, which should become clearer as we progress, such as: loyalty to a punitive hierarchy; emphasized in-group and out-group construction and polarization; suppression of empathy; suppression of awareness of existential threats (or substitution of more easily dealt with threats); information mess; a sense of relative deprivation; misguided attempts at total control, and being caught in a failing society that routinely does not deliver what it has promised.

Again this is a response to a social system which has lost its way as far as normal people are concerned. They have very little invested in its continuation; investing in its destruction by others, or by themselves, has potential.

5. The Fear Factor: Conservatives Are More Sensitive to Threat
It is possible that “the conservative brain has an exaggerated fear response when faced with stimuli that may be perceived as threatening.”

a 2014 fMRI study found that it is possible to predict whether someone is a liberal or conservative simply by looking at their brain activity while they view threatening or disgusting images, such as mutilated bodies. Specifically, the brains of self-identified conservatives generated more activity overall in response to the disturbing images.

Let us presume this is a continuum, not a binary: in other words there is likely to be a fair amount of overlap throughout the population.

Conservatism is likely to be distributed, and there is nothing conservative about these destructive leaders. This may need emphasising. They are not claiming to maintain the status quo, but to demand either a reversion to a distant and imagined time, or the liberation of new, or already powerful, forces in society. If, what we are discussing is a conservatism, then it is a radical conservatism that does not conserve.

Similarly, it is only certain ‘disturbing images’ that are found frightening or else people could fear their heroes. One question is whether people feel this fear, if they think the hurt is going to be delivered to other people in some kind of out-group. In general, destructive leaders do not encourage empathy towards out-groups.

This lack of empathy, not only helps separate the in-group from the out-group, but forms the basis of official morality. At best, it is implied out-groups do not deserve compassion or help, even if this is something that it is claimed the in-group might do in safer or more settled times. Empathy is supposed to be impractical and difficult. It constitutes a hallmark of those other out-groups who would attack the leader to benefit the dismissed out-groups at the expense of the in-group. Indeed, the commitment of the in-group might well be shown by its ability to be practical and harden its heart. Once that has occurred, then abuse and harm of out-groups becomes more possible and fear of the out-group can be largely unchecked.

5a Making the Outgroup

In-groups and out-groups are normal to human social processes; we always tend to value those people we are closest too and consider most like us, or related to us. They often tend to be graded rather than binaries; perhaps people may consider they are closest to their family, then their town, then the nation, and different to people from another town or nation depending on the context. People, are usually categorised as male or female, and supposed to have things in common with other males and females, although they may feel closer to the other-gender people in their family than same-gender people elsewhere. Again, these identifications vary socially, and in different contexts. There is nothing wrong with this.

However, constructing fiercely bounded in-groups and out-groups (perhaps separated by fear), is part of the work of a destructive leader. An ideal outgroup should be easily separable from the in-group, have relatively little contact with the in-group, be easy to identify, and not be very powerful. Hence, people with different ‘racial’ characteristics, or strong cultural markers (such as dress or exaggerated non-mainstream interests), and who are in a relatively powerless minority, make good out-groups. Cultural differences can then be portrayed as marking ‘savagery,’ ‘brutality,’ ‘cunning’ or otherwise despicable people.

If the out-group is powerful, then they can probably defend themselves, and so is hard to attack. If the out-group is powerful and look like ‘us’ (as, for example, ‘the 0.1%’ may well do), then they are doubly hard to attack, and serve little motivating function.

If there is a history of conflict between the groups, then this adds to the impetus. Laws and threats can be directed at the out-group to make more tensions between the mainstream and the out-group higher. For example, voting or citizenship requirements can be made more or less impossible for the out-group to satisfy. Law enforcement procedures can be harder on the out-group and put disproportionate numbers of them in prison. The out-group becomes nervous about the mainstream, which increases the friction and inspires more separation.

For full effect, the out-group, or some of their reputed cultural behaviour, should be made to inspire visceral disgust, as well as fear. That way people’s reactions involve less chance of rational consideration, and there is less chance they may reach out to the out-group. You might know a good person in the out-group, but if you generally feel disgust, then that produces less challenge to the categorisation in the first place.

By portraying, more or less powerless, out-groups as powerful and threatening (terrorists, ethnic minorities, religious minorities, people aligned with the other main political party, intellectuals, stupid people), the destructive leader’s supporters are wired up to avoid (often fictitious) threat, and will seek safety in the Strong Man. The fear also helps explain why the system is dysfunctional, because it is under threat from these supposedly powerful, disgusting or brutal, out-groups.

5b: Making the Ingroup

The destructive in-group should be relatively easy to identify, or quite broad to attract the maximum number of people. They should be bound by identity (at least in opposition to the despised out-group). They should be portrayed as strong victims, strong to give hope and victims to give anger. They are not to blame for whatever is going on, that is primarily the fault of the out-group. The leader should, in some way, exemplify their ambitions, while being special – this is quite hard. Boundaries should be policed, and people who visibly stray from the group should be punished as an example for the others. This is probably why the leader values loyalty, and makes an example of those who appear disloyal. Or perhaps, this is the leader’s normal mode of thinking, and he/she encourages that mode of thinking everywhere.

When split into sharply bonded in-groups and out-groups, and pushed by destructive leaders, hostility can increase so rapidly that it heads to violence faster than most people will expect – as in former Yugoslavia, or Rwanda. So we shall consider some of the factors that can increase divisions quickly.

6. The Power of Reminders of Mortality and Perceived Existential Threat

humans have a unique awareness of their own mortality. The inevitably of one’s death creates existential terror and anxiety that is always residing below the surface. In order to manage this terror, humans adopt cultural worldviews — like religions, political ideologies, and national identities — that act as a buffer by instilling life with meaning and value.

Psychologist Ernest Becker, named these kinds of worldviews, ‘immortality projects’. They are the views and acts which hide death from us, or mitigate its effects by proposing immortality, or something to thoroughly occupy our attention. This behaviour is clearly normal. When reminded of mortality through perception of threat then people will defend their prime cultural worldviews and immortality projects, and the future they promise. They may even intensify those views, in an effort to ward off, or conceal, the threat.

For example, threats of climate change can provoke responses which increase people’s aggravation of climate change, in an attempt to demonstrate and reinforce their cultural worldviews and their imagined future. People may well support ecological destruction so as to protect their cultural values or, on the other hand, they may have unrealistic expectations of the capacity of renewable energy to save their culture and life from crashing. Likewise, we may observe that when religious people feel they are under challenge, they may intensify the hardness of their views and their condemnation, and outcasting of sinners, apparently to get on side with God and guarantee their safe immortality.

in a study with American students, scientists found that making mortality salient increased support for extreme military interventions by American forces that could kill thousands of civilians overseas. Interestingly, the effect was present only in conservatives.

If the author had said ‘primarily in Conservatives’, then I might be more inclined to accept this, but categories are not always that precise, as I have argued above. We could expected some overlap. But let us assume, as a hypothesis, that constant awareness of threat from outgroups (especially out-groups identified as disgusting or brutal), is more likely to lead to support for violent responses against those out-groups.

By constantly emphasizing existential threat, [these leaders] may be creating a psychological condition that makes the brain respond positively rather than negatively to bigoted statements and divisive rhetoric.

People, in contemporary society, do face real and complex existential threats: from ecological damage, from collapsing economic systems, from collapsing welfare systems, from neoliberal workplaces that do not value them, from changing communities, from development projects, from entrenched high-level corruption, etc., and they do know about them, even if they suppress this awareness. The regularity of life and their immortality projects are threatened. So they are possibly increasingly likely to favour violent responses, if ‘good’ out-group targets are identified for blame.

7. Dunning-Kruger Effect: Humans Often Overestimate Their Political Expertise
The Dunning-Kruger effect applies to all forms of expertise that are important to people, not just politics. For example, engineers seem to routinely think they understand social science without training or study. People are often unaware they are uninformed, especially if they have not studied a field in detail. They don’t know how much they don’t know. They think they can understand complex fields with a few “common-sense” cultural axioms. Indeed, they are often right, cultural common sense is good at explaining things, that is why it is common; it just may not explain them accurately. People also think that “experts,” who retail theories at odds with cultural common sense are idiots – and sometimes, of course, they are correct.

7a Mess of Information

What I have called the ‘mess of information’, is socially generated confusion of information. Trust in the accuracy of information becomes largely influenced by people’s political allegiance, and the whole of society has been politicised during the rise of the destructive leader. Belief in particular kinds and sources of information, and a generalised distrust of information becomes a part of people’s self-identity as a member of some in-group or other.

False information and hype has become a standard feature of commercial practice, with companies smearing other company’s products, and promising that their unreleased products will be the best things on the market, to prevent sales of other products becoming established. Advertising is known to be untruthful, and is prevalent. Companies will prosecute people for ‘slandering’ or telling unwelcome truths about their products. Companies will dismiss members of staff who (even anonymously) express opinions which they consider detrimental to their profit, even if the statements are accurate. People know, and experience, that information is often biased and ‘interested.’

Many supposed experts give opinions which seem compatible with their employers’ interests, but not otherwise believable. For example experts have continually promised that tax-cuts for the rich will deliver prosperity for everyone, and still make those promises. WaterNSW can argue that huge extractions of water by big irrigation businesses, who are trying to farm high-water-use crops in near desert conditions, has no effect on river flows. Similarly, we can be told that unfiltered exhaust stacks for motorway tunnels have no health effects despite the large amount of medical evidence that suggests they do. And of course, we can be told we can keep burning fossil fuels without ill-effect, that we can keep on cutting down forests with no ill-effect, that we can over-fish without ill effect, that we can keep on pouring poisons into the environment with no ill effects, and so on.

It is possible for experts (as well as ordinary people) to live in a closed world, in which their agreed truth is taken for granted, and in those cases people who are not experts can have valuable insights. The clue is whether the experts take notice of those insights or blithely ignore them.

Real experts change their minds with evidence, but mainstream culture seems to insist that real experts will stick firmly to their position because it is right, otherwise they are considered to bend with the wind. This is a cultural and social problem of information. This problem is intensified by the tendency for people to believe people who are categorised as belonging their in-group, or to similar groups to themselves, or who reinforce what they already ‘know’. Information from out-groups is almost by definition wrong. This problem increases, the more in-groups and out-groups become separated by politicians and daily experience.

Knowledge is social. What is known, or considered true, is reinforced by other people who are valued by the knower. What people come to know, may distract them from evidence that might contradict that knowing. If a person primarily talks with their in-group, this reinforces their cultural common sense, and reduces their awareness of challenges to their ideas, ‘knowledge’ and facts.

We live in a society which encourages information overload, with deceptive information rendered normal as part of advertising and commercial action. Media organisations are excused from attempting to provide accuracy, because of political convenience and commercial ownership. As a result, data to support almost any position can be found with a bit of effort, especially data which supports established cultural common sense and reduces fears of real problems. There is too much information. We cannot evaluate everything, so we evaluate most of it through trusted others who appear to belong to our various in-groups. If the information comes from an in-group we consider it more trustworthy than if it comes from an out-group. This is the information mess. The Dunning Kruger effect implies that people almost certainly think they have the ability to navigate this mess, but actually do not – all the time.

In this kind of situation, if the in-group leader denies actual knowledge through simple cultural common-sense, especially if the knowledge fits in with experience and emotions, they are likely to be accepted as truthful far more easily than the scientist who is saying something difficult or complex, that is threatening, or which suggests the in-group is partially responsible for the problems they face.

A further problem with the mess of information is that an authoritarian hierarchy disrupts the flow of accurate information. Underlings will not want to be the bearers of bad news, and will tend to adjust information to mesh with the imagined desire of their superiors. People can be thought not to be committed if they give criticism upwards, or say the plans will not work. Whistleblowers who publicise the hierarchy’s corruption, veniality or stupidity will be punished, to make sure such disloyalty to the group, and its leaders, does not occur again. This hiding of knowledge and criticism, will happen all the way up the hierarchy. The people at the top will have very little idea about what is happening on the ground, or about how the system is not working, and will not be able to correct its faults, or mistaken actions. Similarly people at the top rarely find it necessary to explain the procedures and ideas that they are really using, while covering up their known failings and frictions with others on the same level, so those below have to imagine what is desired or intended by those above.

We could also ask where is it that people are going to get accurate information about their problems from? The media are corporately owned, so if capitalism or the corporate sector are the likely cause of problems, then this is unlikely to be covered. The same for any other ownership of media. And this problem becomes worse the more media ownership becomes concentrated, and the number of media owners decline. Furthermore, the destructive leader’s techniques of gaining support, may not come out of nowhere. In the US and Australia, the right wing commentariat have been using similar techniques, to the ones described in this article to gain celebrity, to persuade people, to build in-groups and out-groups to reward loyalty and to condemn those who disagree with them. In Australia we have: Alan Jones; Andrew Bolt; Miranda Divine; Janet Albrechtsen , Gerald Henderson; Paul Murray; Peta Credlin; Ray Hadley ; the list goes on. Destructive information distortion is already common (even if the information is true), and appears to come to cover up our real problems, through arousing passion and reflex condemnation. It also helps build loyalty to the commentator (and hence profit from advertising for the commentator) and a fear of looking for information elsewhere

In a quick summary we can make the following points. Self-destructive information mess in the kinds of system we have been describing arises due to:

  • Too much information to process, and information generated to support any position is findable.
  • Loyalty to an ingroup hierarchy.
  • Fear of loss of status, or expulsion, if challenging a punitive hierarchy.
  • Fear of loss of status, or expulsion if challenging the in-group’s beliefs.
  • Looking towards the in-group for confirmation and reward, rather than checking what is happening outside; what we might call internal vs external adaptation.
  • Guilt over breaking one’s ethical codes, and suppressing empathy, to stay in place or advance.
  • Reassertion of failing “immortality projects” against the out-group’s insistence they are failing.
  • Habituation by normal media styles of commentary – used to build audiences and keep people listening.
  • The pleasure of upsetting the out-group, and building status in the in-group overwhelms self-preservation or the ability to listen to others.
  • The immediate pleasure of suppressing anxiety about what the effects of what you are doing might produce.

Eventually the destructive authoritarian system grinds down in fantasy, unintended effects and unchecked destruction. And this is social.

8. Relative Deprivation — A Misguided Sense of Entitlement

Relative deprivation is:

the discontent felt when one compares their position in life to others who they feel are equal or inferior but have unfairly had more success than them.

Life is unfair and chaotic. People with less skills than you, will have more money and success, perhaps because of their parents and the inheritance of wealth, social position and contacts, or perhaps because of sheer luck. In other words success might be distributed by class of birth. As well, we might not understand what skills are needed to have success in a particular field, so this unfairness is reinforced by the previous points about the Dunning Kruger effect, and the information mess.

This relative deprivation can lead to resentment, which reinforces, and is reinforced by, point 4 “Some Men Just Want to Watch the World Burn,” especially if the person’s failure in life can be blamed upon the cunning or special privilege that has been given to some out-group (in reality or imagination).

This problem is increased by living in a society which promises us that happiness comes from endless consumption and acquisition, and that everyone can succeed if they work hard enough. Neither promise is always true, and acceptance of either can lead to desperation and disappointment. Then, life does not seem to be working out, or being satisfactory, when you have done everything you were expected to in terms of cultural common-sense.

This idea may imply that the middle classes are particularly prone to being seduced by authoritarian leadership as they are the ones who have suffered comparative decline and feel threatened from ‘above’ and ‘below’ <https://psycnet.apa.org/record/2016-13929-004&gt;. Working class people may tend to expect that the system is rigged against them, and not feel so much deprivation or threat.

9. Lack of Exposure to Dissimilar Others
This seems common in contemporary society.

Intergroup contact, or contact with members of groups that are outside one’s own, “has been experimentally shown to reduce prejudice”. The problem of prejudice may be compounded as people seem to increasingly be selecting to be with those who are ‘like them’ and obviously part of the in-group. It is exceedingly hard to maintain internet groups which are not dominated by one particular faction, and which engage in discussion rather than name-calling.

The idea is that voters for authoritarian figures, may have experienced significantly less contact with minorities, or out-groups, than other people have. They may also have gone out of their way not to mix with out-group others, as those others are scary, don’t make sense, or whatever. Being with people who are part of one’s in-group lowers uncertainty in an uncertain world. You know what to do, and what not to do, to be accepted, to not offend others, or to receive support and sympathy. You probably won’t have to deal with that much disruptive knowledge. In this case, people can be more easily convinced of the terror of others and the necessity of keeping in-group boundaries up. So this merges with point 5, “sensitivity to threat” and the manufacture of in-groups and out-groups.

10. Authoritarian Conspiracy Theories Target the Mentally Vulnerable

The link between schizotypy and belief in conspiracy theories is well-established, and a recent study published in the journal Psychiatry Research has demonstrated that it is still very prevalent in the population.

I don’t like this idea, that mentally ill people tend to be attracted to conspiracy theories.

There is a big problem here, as we could exist in a conspiratorial world. It is relatively well documented, that neo-conservatives ‘conspired’ to have a war with Iraq before 9/11 and got one afterwards, despite the lack of evidence implying Iraq had any involvement, and despite the inconvenient evidence of possible Saudi Arabian involvement. Evidence was manufactured, or distorted to give an excuse for the wanted war, whether deliberately or not.  Neoliberals spent years ‘conspiring’ to convince people that  ‘free markets’ (in which the main aim of governments is to support big business), deliver good results for ordinary people rather than funneling wealth off to the already wealthy, and setting up an even more thorough plutocracy. Politicians do appear to have lists of talking points, so they can appear on topic and unified (no matter how abruptly the points will have surfaced), and it can appear that some media goes along with this.

Ordinary people plan together, so why can’t powerful people plan, or take advantage of others’ planning, to have an effect on the world, which could be expected to benefit them?

All people like to make sense of the world. Conspiracy theory manages to link things which otherwise appear disparate, and provides an over-arching narrative giving the believer a sense of their place in the world with others, without subjecting them to the threat of randomness. Trump and other authoritarians are good at making what, looks to me, like fictional explanations, which distract people from their real oppressors (such as Trump himself). This is not new, and may particularly arise when planning has been giving benefits to the ruling groups which are not shared with others, and the harmful consequences of that planning can be blamed on the out-groups who opposed that planning, or who happen to be generally disliked.

Because the world is complex, it may need to be stated that plans do not always have the expected consequences. The second Iraq war did not make the US dominant and safe. It demonstrated that the modern US is defeatable (or can fail in fully extending its military might) and that it rarely has a taste for a long painful war of attrition. The US has great powers of destruction, but little power of holding onto what it has gained against popular opposition and it will create popular opposition.

11. The Nation’s Collective Narcissism

Collective narcissism is an unrealistic shared belief in the greatness of one’s national group.

I’d say this occurs when a group’s previously taken for granted superiority is challenged, and they don’t know what to do about it, and they never felt that powerful anyway. It’s a consequence of apparent social decline, or loss of hope in normal social practice.

People might see a previous ethnic minority climbing up the ladder to success while they, themselves, are in decline. There might be more people who came to the country as migrants, disrupting expectations about who one will meet, and how to behave. Women might get to speak, and put forward their views, challenging males who feel they are losing privilege and respect for no observable benefit for themselves (and are indeed losing respect and power because of actions from other sources such as neoliberal economics and corporate power).

Sometimes the group, which feels in decline, can, in reality, still be dominant, even if the majority of its members remain poor or relatively powerless, while they are told out-group members are secretly dominating everything and holding them back. The upper groups in the US appear to be primarily male, but feminists can be blamed for the average male’s sense of powerlessness. Scapegoats, and scapegoat out-groups, are usually easy to find, and the expulsion or destruction of the Scapegoat is a common human process – as it can help build unity amongst the expellers.

Rather than think deeply about problems outside cultural common sense, people tend to think they are being victimized. I’m not sure this process can be called ‘narcissism’. People do struggle and don’t get ahead and this really does generate a problem. That is the way class society works, and if out-group members appear to be taking positions members of the in-group might have normally been expected to occupy, then this generates resentment, yet again.

Left-wing identity politics, as misguided as they may sometimes be, are generally aimed at achieving equality, while the right-wing brand is based on a belief that one nationality or race is superior or entitled to success and wealth for no other reason than identity.

I’ve said that before as well. Must be true 🙂

However, this point is really a further elaboration of point 8 “relative deprivation”. People feel they have lost something, which was previously there, and this may have to do with the rise of an out-group.

12. The Desire to Want to Dominate Others
People like control, which is not surprising. Not being in control can be life threatening.
However, the point the author is making is that some people:

have a preference for the societal hierarchy of groups, specifically with a structure in which the high-status groups have dominance over the low-status ones.

Hierarchy is normal, and probably gives people a sense of place. It may give them a sense of life progression, if they think they can move up the hierarchy as they age, or make an effort to do so, giving them more control over other people and more status and respect. Humans like status and respect.

Hierarchy, might also mean that there were out-groups who previously had to give you respect, perhaps because they were oppressed. This rarely happens when social disruption is widespread or democracy has spread, and people are starved of status and respect, no matter how hard they have worked or served others.

Nowadays, with high rates of social change, older people are often treated as though ignorant of the contemporary world, with nothing to contribute. Their possessions and hard work have not given them what they expected. Their experience is revealed to be useless every time they try and work out a new remote control. Their kids know more than they do. It’s unfair. It leads to resentment, a sense of meaning collapse and provides a challenge to established immortality projects. People are more likely to be happy to tear things down, in the hope established meaning can be restored. Once again, they find, through their experience, the current system does not work or fulfil its promises. Cultural common sense is threatened.

Authoritarian leaders often reinstate the hierarchies, or the idea of hierarchy, forcefully, and hence appeal to the displaced, because they are implying that those people deserve respect again, and the possibility of advancement. All they have to do is follow and trust the leader.

However, when we live in complex societies, ecologies and climate systems that are changing, total control is, in reality, impossible. Unintended effects and consequences of actions are routine. The only way to appear to approach total control, is violence, suppression of contrary evidence, and complete fantasy. Still more authority appears to be needed to deal with the compounding divergencies from the aims of the control, and the systems keep getting harder to live with. The problems are not solved.

13. Authoritarian Personality

Authoritarianism refers to the advocacy or enforcement of strict obedience to authority at the expense of personal freedom, and is commonly associated with a lack of concern for the opinions or needs of others. Authoritarian personality is characterized by belief in total and complete obedience to authority. Those with this personality often display aggression toward outgroup members, submissiveness to authority, resistance to new experiences, and a rigid hierarchical view of society. Authoritarianism is often triggered by fear, making it easy for leaders who exaggerate threat or fear monger to gain their allegiance.

If we accept that the left is ideally about increasing equality, and opportunity for everyone who has been marginalised (workers, women, gays, previously despised ethnic groups) and the right is about enforcing hierarchy and authority, then this is, by definition a right wing position.

But it is a pointless truism to say authoritarian politics, appeals to authoritarian people. I don’t know what we gain from this statement at all.

I’m inclined to dismiss this point as contributing little to our understanding, other than a reminder that authoritarianism seems as normal a human response to life, as demands for participation and democracy. Everything else is explained by the functions of hierarchy.

14. Racism and Bigotry

Not every supporter of authoritarian and destructive leadership is racist. But it goes with the processes of finding scapegoats and out-groups to blame, and the fear factor.

Destructive leaders routinely appeal to prejudice as a solution to problems, and routinely try and shut down discussion between groups to increase prejudice, which indirectly increases the information mess. Once again, this is simply a technique of increasing the bonds of the in-group and making them feel threatened by, and superior to, an out-group scapegoat of some kind. It does not seem to be a new point.

15. Pathological Structures

This point is not in the article.

There is an argument that forms of organisational patterning, like corporations and dictatorships select for pathological personality types. For example, business may select for people who can sacrifice everything for money and power. Dictatorships select for those with a loose relationship to truth, and an easy brutality. Both types of organisation select for people with low levels of concern for others, or low empathy – hence what normal people may think of as moral behaviour is truncated in both situations – but the ordinary person has to go along with it, or their existence within the organisation is threatened. They may tend to believe they are only following orders, there is nothing much else they can do, and that those they are persecuting are not that valuable anyway, and probably deserve punishment.

These dynamics cause the organisations to be even more uninhabitable by mentally ok people, who have to react by leaving, or by becoming crazy to survive – and the more people who become crazy to survive the organisation, the worse it gets….

Corporations routinely exploit people and routinely treat them as expendable or disposable. In contemporary politics, government bodies have been forced to behave in a corporate manner, as is almost every other institution. This is neoliberalism in action. Everything hinges on profit, the “bottom line,” and the latest management fad. People are restructured every couple of years and have to learn new ways of doing the same work, rather than accumulating skills, expertise and respect. Workers are usually sacked in the restructuring process, for reasons which are never completely clear, and which therefore cause worry (and more work) for everyone. After they are sacked, people face harassment from the organisations which are supposed to help them survive and find new work. If you are old enough, you know the system no longer works as well as it used to. If you are young, the advice of your elders about dealing with the situation is massively out of date. As a result, very few institutions are not malfunctional. Very few institutions support human existence.

Why should anyone have loyalty to such institutions? Why shouldn’t they feel angry and threatened? Why shouldn’t they want to rip them down? Why doesn’t the experience of work, make them crazier than they might otherwise have been?

Our society sets itself up for a fall, and the authoritarian destructive leader, delivers.

Conclusion
Looking at all this, we are constantly coming back to: identity groups; loss of social meaning; perception, and suppression, of existential threat; challenges to (or loss of) immortality projects and routines; and the consequences of information mess. Society, and its hierarchies no longer function as they are supposed to according to cultural common sense. People rarely get satisfaction and status from adhering to normal social routines. Indeed, normal routines may seem pathologically destructive. The world both looks like, and feels like, it is falling apart. Social identities are challenged, and people feel they are being left out or suffering relative deprivation. This will generate discontent. And rightly.

What the authoritarian leader does is: attract attention, find compelling scapegoats, reinforce in-groups, and help alienate out-groups, while promising to tear down the tattered remnants of the corrupt, non-functional, society which gives people nothing, and which has alienated them from power,  work and satisfaction. He will restore their lost dominance and place. The mess of information and Dunning-Kruger effect reinforce this cultural common sense, and the information system gives prominence to the leader and furthers their ability to attract attention. This gives people hope. They don’t care that much about the leader’s morality, because the morality of the society they live in seems non-existent – and certainly does not benefit them. Almost anything is better than what they have now. They are content to watch the corrupt, useless system be destroyed, and even participate in its destruction; they may find this pleasurable as well. The leader, and they way he operates, may give them a pleasurable high, or sense of liberation, which reinforces their sense he is right.

All of these factors interact and reinforce each other, but they do not set up a stable system – and in a future post I hope to explore the ways that destructive leaders and the forces which support them can be overcome.

That is an explanation for what is happening, and yes it depends on the interaction between social process and human psychology. Not one or the other, but both.

Religious Freedom again

September 2, 2019

There was yet another article in the SMH today about protecting religious freedom. We still have not seen any evidence that religious people are being persecuted in Australia beyond occasionally facing questioning, and having their assumptions of moral superiority challenged, but the debate goes on – and its about the “information mess”, that I often write about, so here we are again.

And at the moment these comments, and presumably others, seem to have been suppressed at the SMH.

The “pro-freedom” author asserts:

“Religious freedom…, is not about a group of entitled, God-bothering zealots insisting on their civic privilege”.

The problem is that nothing in his article contradicts this imagined position.

Lets begin by accepting the reality that religion is important to many people, and that religion will always be important to many people. Following a particular religion, or not, may be one of the most important decisions in a person’s life; it may be the most frightening depending on their society or if their God is one of the threatening ones.

So let us be clear, Religion is important and should be protected – just like discussion and difference.

The author lists all the things the legislation would protect: such as a person’s right to remain employed, to have accommodation, education, or engage in sport. Doctors would not be personally forced to perform abortions, or commit euthanasia, etc. This is fine, good even.

However, the author objects to the proposed Bill because the bill only makes religious belief a “protected attribute” of individuals “akin to age, sex or sexual orientation,” and does not recognise religion as a “positive good” for everyone.

While religion may be a positive good for me, I’m not sure absolutely everything which can be classified as religion is a positive good for everyone. Mass human sacrifice? Religious terror? Religious war? Religious discrimination? Fear of eternal torture? These acts and ideas can be important to religious people, but why should they be protected?

Then the author slides into demands for the freedom of religious people to discriminate against others on the grounds of sexuality, gender, or marriage and what looks like a request to be able to offend, humiliate, intimidate, insult or ridicule other people on religious grounds. Offense might be fine, but these things can slowly shift into violence.

He wants Religious people to be able to *ensure* a person dies with huge suffering if religious people have any control over the sufferer’s body. He wants freedom for organisations to sack people if they marry someone of the same gender. Religious businesses should be able to break the law about discriminating against religion, by being able to sack people on grounds of their religion, and to refuse to serve customers because of their religion or other grounds. He presumably wants religious schools to be able to dismiss children on religious grounds as that keeps coming up from other religious people.

It is hard not to see all this as primarily about entitled religious people wanting privilege, and refusing to act with the general community. He gives no grounds for making exceptions to this position. If someone declares that truly religious people should be able to kill or assault people because they are of the wrong religion or gender, where does he stand and why? If people insist that their religion requires them to genitally, or otherwise, mutilate their children or other people’s children, where does he stand and why? If religions want to excommunicate or burn up businesses that deal with gay, black, people, or women, where does he stand and why? No limits are even suggested.

The lack of limits apparently stems from the idea that

Christianity and other religious traditions aspire through public outreach to strengthen communities. They need protection to conduct their public work in an authentic manner. To ignore the communitarian dimension of religious faith – as this bill does – strikes at the heart of the personal identity of believers.

But, the bill clearly does not stop people doing good works in the community, but if those good works involve discrimination, assertions of superiority, or attacks on the community, then perhaps they are not good works?

Perhaps the Author should read Matthew 6

“1: Be careful not to perform your righteous acts before men to be seen by them. If you do, you will have no reward from your Father in heaven. 2 So when you give to the needy, do not sound a trumpet before you, as the hypocrites do in the synagogues and on the streets, to be praised by men. Truly I tell you, they already have their reward.”

Jesus does not seem to expect that Christians should seek out flattery and recognition for Good Works – they should just do them.

The bill also does not recognise the social benefits of atheism, in atheists’ attempts to prohibit burning of heretics, enslavement of non-believers, wife beating, and so on. More sadly, the bill does not recognise the rights of atheists to exist. This is a problem – after all its easily possible to imagine that religious people will discriminate and persecute atheists as well as people from other religions or sects. We can repeatedly see how religious people accuse atheists of not having morals… even when the atheist is clearly holding a moral position such as “gay people should not be persecuted simply because they are gay”. But then if the mainstream Christian demand is that they should have the right to discriminate against Christians from other denominations, we can assume that atheists will get less protection than Cthulhu worshippers.

The bill is certainly not perfect, but it appears that some religious people will demand the privilege to harm others, and will not be satisfied until they can do this with impunity, simply because they say their religion (whatever it is) requires this, or justifies this.

Jordan Peterson’s ‘modes of silencing’

August 28, 2019

Having briefly discussed a lecture by Jordan Peterson on Foucault, we can now look at the way that the talk functions as an attempt to silence, or annihilate Foucault or anyone who might mention Foucault. Whether or not this lecture is absolutely representative of Peterson’s techniques is irrelevant. The techniques are present and apparently used effectively.

I suspect the reason these techniques are not immediately visible is that similar techniques are used across right wing discourse to suppress thinking, and people are so used to them that they become invisible. The main aim of the technique is to create a boundary between the in-group (us people who follow Jordan Peterson or the right in politics) and an outgroup of post-modernists and leftists. The in-group are good, and the out-group are bad. You need only listen to the in-group and despise the out-group. The out-group have nothing whatever worth listening to. President Trump is a master of this technique as well, although I’m not claiming his methods to achieve this are exactly the same as Peterson’s.

Technique 1: Accusations of moral turpitude and evil in the out-group. These accusations are unspecified, but severe. Perhaps the vagueness about the accusations inflates the possible evil, as it is absolutely unclear what it is, in the way the best monsters first appear as vague shadows, troubling hints or violent movements in the dark – things we had best not know. In this case, the aim of the lecture seems to be to keep the ingroup from curiosity, familiarity or discussion. Let’s keep ‘the others’ vague and messy. The more uninformed the audience is, and the more unformed the opposition are allowed to be, the more scary ‘the others’ are.

Technique 2: Accusations of incompetence and impracticality. Foucault is held to be an example of a person whose mendacity and stupidity would bring any structured organisation to its knees. This is, perhaps, why we have to be told later on that competence is vital to modern society. Something which might otherwise appear obvious. If we learn about these people in the out-group, or become contaminated by them, we too might destroy the hierarchy we belong to and are accepted by; we will certainly be rejected by our current in-group as incompetent or impractical or something…..

Technique 3: Guilt by association. Foucault is a Marxist (whether he was or wasn’t), he is thus responsible for mass-death, or for ignoring mass death. This man is clearly, at best, a hypocrite, but most likely evil. We don’t even really need to bother to find out what he, or Marx, thought, as people who claim to be Marxists. or who are claimed to be Marxists, are evil. Clearly Foucault is no better. You don’t really need to understand this person or the out-group in general, and everyone who says you do is simply a fellow traveler. By the same argument, clearly, every Christian is Torquemada.

Technique 4: Suppression of the out-groups ethical concerns. Peterson suppresses any audience awareness of the moral concerns of Foucault and other post-modernists, again to make it seem the out-group is composed of evil people. As they have no morals, again they can be dismissed.

Technique 5: Refutation by name-calling Peterson refutes by abuse, and establishes his ethics and authority by slander – which is disappointing as he has interesting remarks on ethics elsewhere, but here post-modernism becomes deployed as a category of abuse. “You postmodernist, you”. There are things people cannot discuss or defend without a high probability of reflexive abuse from those influenced by the authority of Peterson. He acts as an authoritative exemplar, for others to follow, of argument by abuse. Those put in the outgroup are only worthy of abuse. This helps separate the groups, generate mutual fury, and helps to prevent any real discussion occurring.

Technique 6: confusing the differences and making a mess. Peterson messes different thinkers together, saying different idea-sets are the same. This act turns his audience’s awareness of “post-modernism,” as a category, into an incoherent mush, which does not make any sense. This reinforces the idea that anything he can classify as ‘post-modern’ is not worth investigating, engaging with, or discussing. The techniques means what he is discussing does not make sense. Any people categorized as belonging to the post-modern out-group must be equally incoherent.

Technique 7: Lack of references and isolation. Peterson gives no references to texts by Foucault or anyone he is criticising. This helps to keep people away from the texts, by making it hard to find them or read them, and keeps the audience within his framework. People are much less likely to go and even look at something sympathetic to Foucault, or which tries to explain his ideas. They won’t come out of the lecture with a curiosity which might lead to questioning. They will, most likely, stay within the hierarchy and hear the teacher, obeying his authority by default and by lack of knowledge, and of not knowing where to go to check the teacher’s teaching.

All these steps hide and justify Jordan Peterson’s essential step which is not to expound or criticise Foucault in any detail. Foucault is clearly so messy, evil and incompetent, that making an effort to engage with his ideas would be a waste of time. It might even be corrupting in itself. Its dirty and filthy, lets avoid it like we might bypass a dead and decaying rat on the street. It is lazy, at best for someone who claims to be an academic.

Technique 8: Ignore any common faults or failings; blame them on one side alone . Peterson might make reference to a common fault like “science denial” but he only references the denial on the one “side” to condemn that side alone. He also does not explain the differences, between the two forms of “denial”. Some post-modernists could assert that there is always a social and historical aspect to scientific practice which influences what can be tested, theorised or accepted as true. Others might show how science has been embedded in social power structures and relations and been influenced by that embedding. To me, such ideas seem almost truisms. How would we be able to make knowledge outside of social processes and with total objectivity? This does not happen, or is difficult to ensure, but we might be able to become more or less involved in those processes. We can become aware of some of these ‘unconscious’ processes which guide our thought and possibly weaken some of them. Possibly that idea is threatening to his deliberate, or accidental, construction of in-groups and out-groups, and embedding his audience in them.

Technique 9: Relentless negativity. There is apparently nothing interesting or good in Foucault or any thinker who can be classified as post-modernist at all. This is almost certainly improbable for any group of thinkers. Even under Stalin and Hitler, with terrifying punishments for thinking ‘wrong thoughts’ there were still some interesting thinkers. For example Vygotsky, Bakhtin, & Bukharin under Stalin and Junger, Heidegger & Schmitt under Hitler. However, the technique helps silence Foucault and other post-modernists; they are simply made not worth listening to.

Technique 10: Refutation by unpleasant consequences. Part of the relentless negativity, is the repeated use of the argument that if some set of propositions (which apparently never need to be given precisely), appear to have unpleasant consequences, or disrupt our common sense, then they must be wrong. However, if thinking reveals possible unpleasant consequences, then perhaps we should think about, ot deal with, those consequences?

Technique 11: Avoidance of unpleasant consequences. This follows on from the previous technique. There is no sense that we might have to face up to the unpleasant consequences, we just avoid them by denying their possibility. This reinforces many kinds of right wing denial – not only of climate change or ecological destruction, but of the finitude of humanity on this planet, the effects of coal burning and pollution, the possibility that great tech will not arrive in time, the growth of plutocracy and the failure of ‘free markets’ to deliver liberty, good government, and unbounded good results for all. Through this technique, we can all live by asserting good things will happen if we don’t question the real hierarchies we belong to and the beliefs they encourage.

Technique 12: Always imply our hierarchies are good and necessary. Defending existing Western capitalist hierarchies seems to be important to Peterson. Hence, while many things can be good and bad, there is no sense in which the in-group’s hierarchies can be both good and bad. The implication is that because hierarchy might be necessary for the in-group’s functioning, the hierarchy is good and only questioned by evil and incoherent people in the bad out-group.

Technique 13: Our Good, is unchallengeable, because its Good. Finally, he implies that the outgroup can attack what the ingroup holds to be true and good, and thus should be ignored as this proves they are evil. For example, the out-group may attack Western Civilisation, or capitalism. But there is no attempt to understand why they might think like that. He can just be stunned by these propositions, as they are so obviously stupid. This is yet another example of the idiocy of these thinkers and another implicit explanation of why we should not even bother to find out what they say. We should just stay with our common sense and allow our teacher to tell us what we know to be truth.

Technique 14: Bold assertion. Peterson expresses no humility, or even doubt that he understands what he is talking about absolutely perfectly, even if he does not expound the thought he is supposed to be criticising. I presume if he were to mention that Foucault and Derrida can be difficult thinkers, this would be considered a fault in them, and further evidence they had nothing to say, presumably like Kant and other difficult thinkers have nothing to say. He cannot admit difficulty, because he aims at intellectual authority and, perhaps, admitting difficulty might suggest he is not superior. Personally, I prefer clear thinkers, but that does not mean I understand all difficult thinkers easily or completely. As I said, I’m not sure I always follow Peterson’s thinking, and I know he is more complex than is coming over in this lecture, but we are dealing with this lecture (which appears to be an excerpt from a longer lecture), and whether or not it is typical we can still learn from it.

Conclusion
His main message to his audience seems to be that “you guys already know Foucault is rubbish, I’m just about to confirm that for you.” He appears to perform a process of letting his audience think they are thinking, rather than encourage them to engage in actual thinking or discussion with other people who might disagree with them. Indeed, he appears to be saying, “such discussion is absolutely fruitless; stay here with me in our superiority and you will understand.” He creates the conditions of self-satisfaction and refusal to engage with others, other than through name-calling and dismissal. This is a form of silencing those put into the out-group category.

I suspect that the out-group is unbounded, there are no limits as to what can be placed there and messed together, while the in-group is pretty demarcated and cut off from the real world. One problem with this, is that all groups have interactions and permeations with their outgroups, and even with processes and things that are not recognized as in or out group. As a result, attempts to limit the cross-over, and make firm categories, are basically destructive of our ability to perceive reality. This is not a good habit to acquire.

If this analysis is correct, then Peterson appears to mesh well with the normal processes and techniques of right wing media and debate.