Posts Tagged ‘politics’

On Modern Conservatism and the Right

January 18, 2024

Conservatism is the idea that we should preserve social institutions, processes and land, and improve them gradually because life is complex and we don’t know how things mesh together, or every (or even what) function they might have. Moving quickly is always high risk, and any improvement has to be done with care.

Conservatism has a great respect for historically developed ‘checks and balances’ and for varied sources of power (so that one power cannot become dominant and bend everything to its will). It is also suspicious of fanatical adherence to ‘ideologies’ as they can blind people as much as help them.

As a failing, they might be a bit oblivious to violence which protects the system, but they certainly will object to violence that attempts to overthrow the system.

Conservativism is a perfectly coherent political philosophy that is a vital part of any political system. It constrains people from rushing ahead without thinking or feeling.

However, the Modern Right (as a movement) is not conservative at all, and constantly rushes ahead destroying checks and balances and obeying ideologies, rather than thinking.

The modern Right has acted rapidly to break down the post-war compromise between capitalism and socialism which developed to protect the population from the vagaries of capitalism, and to curtail boom and bust cycles. Rather than proceed cautiously with care, it destroyed checks and balances and followed an unproven ideology that the free market always knows best and that governments are always useless to provide help for people who are not part of the wealthy.

The modern Right has rushed to concentrate power and wealth in the hyper rich corporate class, turn democracies into plutocracies, and aimed to destroy any opposition to this concentration (unions, left wing thought etc. Most people now do not know what left wing thought is, any more than they know what conservative thought is).

It has rushed to destroy land, air, and water, and has boosted climate change by being reluctant to move against the plutocracy it created. It has no love of its country’s nature.

It is now rushing into scapegoating people for the social collapse its policies have generated. These people have had no provable role in that collapse, and the Right appears to be trying to undo civil rights for everyone who are not officially supporters.

It is now rushing into trying to discredit (not improve) vital social institutions such as systems of Justice. This would be more or less incomprehensible to a conservative, as they would know that once social discrediting of systems of justice happens, we are headed towards ‘justice’ as violence and justice at the whim of the tyrant. There is no longer any rule of law.

Likewise attempts to discredit the electoral system (rather than improve it) are also attempts to destroy the basis of the legitimacy of the government. And indeed we see this in Trump’s attempts to steal the election by intimidation and fraud. Again this would be completely incomprehensible to any genuine conservative, because they know that these actions will lead to chaos, violence and tyranny.

The Right is also trying to bring pro-corporate (ie non-traditional Christian) religion into power, to support the plutocracy, and thus end any separation between Church, State and Business.

In all, any person who considers themselves conservative, should carefully distinguish their position from that of the pro-corporate, or neo-fascist, Right.

Real Conservatives will get mowed down by it as much as anyone else

Democrats remove Trump from Ballot????

December 28, 2023

To understand what is happening you need to read at least some of the two High Court judgements.

Here is a quick run down. We will start with the High Court of Colarado.

Colarado

This High Court says:

  • “More than three months ago, a group of Colorado electors eligible to vote in the Republican presidential primary—both registered Republican and unaffiliated voters… filed a lengthy petition in the…. “Denver District Court”… asking the court to rule that former President Donald J. Trump… may not appear on the Colorado Republican presidential primary ballot”

So on the very first page the judgement states that the motion was brought by Republicans.

People who tell us it was a Democrat motion are lying. Not unusual perhaps. But, it is probably good to remember not to trust them in anything they say, as that was pretty easy to discover, and reporters might have to go out of their way to avoid discovering it.

In this Denver District Court case:

  • “The court found by clear and convincing evidence that President Trump engaged in insurrection as those terms are used in Section Three [of the 14th Amendment].”

In other words Trump was essentially convicted of insurrection – which is something the MSM also seem to have ignored.

However the District court also found that:

  • “Section Three does not apply to the President”

This District Court decision was appealed both by Trump and by the Republicans and unaffiliated voters to the High Court.

  • “The Electors and President Trump sought this court’s review of various rulings by the district court.”

The High Court found:

  • “The Election Code allows the Electors to challenge President Trump’s status as a qualified candidate based on Section Three.”
  • “Congress does not need to pass implementing legislation for Section Three’s disqualification provision to attach, and Section Three is, in that sense, self-executing.”
  • “Section Three encompasses the office of the Presidency and someone who has taken an oath as President. On this point, the district court committed reversible error.”

In other words being President does not exclude you from the 14th Amendment. As well the lower court made a decision about ‘insurrection’.

  • “The district court did not err in concluding that the events at the U.S. Capitol on January 6, 2021, constituted an “insurrection.”

and

  • “The district court did not err in concluding that President Trump “engaged in” that insurrection through his personal actions.”

In other words, by the legal standards of a civil case, there is no doubt Trump engaged in, or participated in, an insurrection. He appears to have been convicted without penalty which perhaps shows how privileged Trump is.

The Logical conclusion is:

  • “President Trump is disqualified from holding the office of President under Section Three; because he is disqualified,”

Trump broke the law and the Constitution, which is usually considered to be bad, and perhaps people don’t want to set a precident for Presidents to be known lawbreakers? However, the ultimate decision depends on the US Supreme Court

  • “If review is sought in the Supreme Court before the stay expires on January 4, 2024, then the stay shall remain in place, and the Secretary will continue to be required to include President Trump’s name on the 2024 presidential primary ballot, until the receipt of any order or mandate from the Supreme Court.”

The rest of the document justifies their position, and includes more justification of the point that Trump participated in insurrection.

I personally suspect that the Supreme Court will overturn this decision, despite the High court having apparently demonstrated their arguments well, and argued that the framers of the amendment intended it to apply to the office of President. But the Supreme court could easily argue that it does not matter what the framers intended, all that matters is the words, the lack of words and the Supreme Court’s interpretation of the words. This would completly go against their usual originalist interpretations of the Constitution, but it helps save Trump, so who cares?

In short.

  1. The case was not brought by Democrats. In my experience Democrats want Trump on the Ballot as they think Trump is the easiest person for Biden to defeat.
  2. Trump has been convicted of participating in insurrection.
  3. The 14 Ammendment covers the office of President, when the President participates in Insurrection, and forbids him from running for any office including that of President..
  4. Therefore by the law set out in the US Constitution, Trump has disqualified himself from standing for the Presidency. Only Trump did this. No one else disqualified him.

If people break the law, President or not, they should pay the penalty, perhaps particularly if they were president. Indeed, we would expect the “law and order party” to agree with this, but apparently the law is for others.

Of course if, in other cases, Trump does get declared immune from prosecution for all crimes committed while President, then that will affect Biden too, and it will be hard to remove him from the ballot on the grounds of crime, or to prosecute him for crimes…

Michigan

In Michigan, the high court (apparently controlled by Democrats) said:

  • The only legal issue properly before the Court is whether the Court of Claims and the Court of Appeals erred by holding that the Michigan Secretary of State lacks legal authority to remove or withhold former President Donald J. Trump’s name from Michigan’s 2024 presidential primary ballot. I agree with the Court of Appeals that under MCL 168.614a and MCL 168.615a, the Secretary of State must place Trump on the primary ballot “regardless of whether he would be disqualified from holding office”

in other words, it does not matter if Trump has disobeyed the constitution, or could be disqualified from office, as the Michigan Secretary of State cannot stop his name being put on the primary ballot.

The previous court had ruled

  • the relevant statutes require the Secretary of State to place any candidate” who has been identified by the relevant political party “on the presidential primary ballot, and confers no discretion to the Secretary of State to do otherwise, there is no error to correct.”

The big difference between Colarado and Michigan is that the Colarado code insists that Presidential candidates should be qualified, and could rule that Trump is not qualified because of his crimes, but in Michigan, there is no such requirement – anyone can stand for a primary no matter how criminal they are.

To repeat: nothing can be done about lawbreakers or constutional violators standing for a presidential primary.

  • the Secretary of State is not legally required to confirm the eligibility of potential presidential primary candidates. She lacks the legal authority to remove a legally ineligible candidate from the ballot once their name has been put forward by a political party in compliance with the statutes governing primary elections.

This may mean that State law overrides the Constitution

As far as I understand, the judgement suggests in an endnote, that people could appeal to stop Trump being on a Presidential ballot, once Trump becomes the nominee. That is a different matter.

UN Production Gap Report

December 17, 2023

One of the most important documents for a long time, was released just before the current COP. I’ve only just seen it. It:

finds that governments plan to produce around  110% more fossil fuels in 2030  than would be consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C, and 69% more than would be consistent with 2°C.

ibid.

This means that:

Taken together, government plans and projections would lead to an increase in global coal production until 2030, and in global oil and gas production until at least 2050.

Summary of Key Findings emphasis added

In other words despite 151 national governments pledging to achieve net-zero emissions, by 2050, governments and fossil fuel companies are working together to produce more fossil fuels, and hence more emissions. OR they are simply ignoring the emissions problem, and hoping it will go away.

As is well known the International Energy Agency has argued that if we wish to stay under 1.5°C all there can be no development of new oil and gas fields after 2021.

Beyond projects already committed as of 2021, there are no new oil and gas fields approved for development in our pathway, and no new coal mines or mine extensions are required. 

IEA Net Zero by 2050

It appears from the UN report that not one country has committed to cutting coal, oil or gas production to be consistent with a 1.5C target, and with this level of production, we are locked into a more than 2°C temperature rise.

This is despite the latest forecasts that coal, oil, and gas demand will peak this decade.

Indeed this action can be seen as an attempt to undermine the prediction and keep countries addicted to using fossil fuels and increasing fossil fuel company profits.

Whatever anyone says, Carbon Capture and Storage cannot deal with this excess of emissions. It cannot deal with even a small fraction of what we already produce. So the chance of it succesfully dealing with this excess is microscopic.

Again, if we needed to know, this shows the dominant power in the world, and that it does not care what happens to people, as long as it makes its profits.

Even the excuse that coal is being phased out faster than oil and gas is useless, because:

“We find that many governments are promoting fossil gas as an essential ‘transition’ fuel but with no apparent plans to transition away from it later”

 Ploy Achakulwisut quoted in Governments plan to produce double the fossil fuels in 2030 than the 1.5°C warming limit allows

UN Secretary-General António Guterres says:

Governments are literally doubling down on fossil fuel production; that spells double trouble for people and planet… We cannot address climate catastrophe without tackling its root cause: fossil fuel dependence. COP28 must send a clear signal that the fossil fuel age is out of gas — that its end is inevitable. We need credible commitments to ramp up renewables, phase out fossil fuels, and boost energy efficiency, while ensuring a just, equitable transition

Governments plan to produce double the fossil fuels in 2030 than the 1.5°C warming limit allows

However, if Governments have previously promised to cut emissions but are really supporting fossil fuel companies in increasing emissions, why would anyone trust them to really change, as opposed to saying they will change, at the COP?

These are graphs of the problem, showing the differenc between planned production and needed reduction:

Just before the COP28 meeting in the UAE, it was revealed that Adnoc, the UAE’s state oil company was going to use the conference “to jointly evaluate international LNG [liquefied natural gas] opportunities” in Mozambique, Canada and Australia, and that it planned to discuss fossil fuel deals with 13 other nations including Columbia, Germany and Egypt. The documents suggest that Adnoc would argue that “there is no conflict between the sustainable development of any country’s natural resources and its commitment to climate change.”

The president of COP28, Dr Sultan al-Jaber, is the head of Adnoc. In 2022, under his leadership, Adnoc announced they would invest $US150 billion to “accelerate” the growth of oil and gas development. “Adnoc’s ‘overshoot’ of the IEA net zero scenario is…. 6.8 BBOE [billion barrels of oil equivalent], the third largest worldwide.” [The Link in the Guardian article to the accelerated growth announcement, no longer works, but see the ABC].

“The UAE team did not deny using COP28 meetings for business talks, and said ‘private meetings are private’.”

The UAE also prepared talking points on commercial opportunities for its state renewable energy company, Masdar, ahead of meetings with 20 countries, including the UK, United States, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Brazil, China, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Kenya.

ibid

The UAE also failed to report its oil industry’s emissions of methane to the UN for almost a decade.

This can be seen as part of the fossil fuel company’s campaign to keep new fields opening and implies that it is rountine to put business before attempts to lower emissions.

While we are at it, the World Meterological Organisation released a preliminary finding that:

confirms that 2023 is set to be the warmest year on record. Data until the end of October shows that the year was about 1.40 degrees Celsius (with a margin of uncertainty of ±0.12°C )above the pre-industrial 1850-1900 baseline….. The past nine years, 2015 to 2023, were the warmest on record…. Greenhouse gas levels are record high. Global temperatures are record high. Sea level rise is record high. Antarctic sea ice is record low. 

2023 shatters climate records, with major impacts

My guess after seeing this result, is that we are going to sail over 1.5 degrees in a very short time, which means that cut backs in fossil fuel production, use and emissions have to start immediately. If we want a safeish planet. There is no later.

Science and climate denial a dialogue

October 1, 2023
  • The claims of anthropogenic climate change are fraught with outlandish claims that never materialize, most likely due to narrative pushing and a desire to instill fear, to effect political control…

The claims may be outlandish, but they are also real, even if you are not hearing the realities. We are having ‘unprecidented’ temperatures, runs of high temperatures, wild fires, floods, ocean warming etc, all over the world. In many cases the damage already seems to be exceeding our capacity to repair, and people are being left homeless and farms have been close to destruction. However the MSM rarely bother to report this. If we are going to be allowed to make explanatory political hypiotheses, this may be because they want to reasure people so that the establishment can maintain its political and priofitable control, rather than risk everything in the uncertainty of major change.

  • Only the truly insane would claim that climate doesn’t change

People do claim climate is not changing now, or that the change is out of our hands. Some claim it is too late to do anything. However, the claim that climate changes all the time, is a deliberate minimalisation. The current climate seems to be changing rapidly, and permanently, by normal geological standards. The rapidity of change increases climate and weather destablisation, and this makes a considerable difference to the ability of creatures and civilisations to adapt, and the system to revert to previous normal. That is why scientists are talking about a possible “6th great extinction”. World-wide extinction on the scale we seem to be heading towards is unsual to put it mildly. That’s why we only recognise 5 previous such events.

  • The question is ultimately “how will climate change affect us”?

Yes, and the evidence suggests badly. Secure stable placed civilisation expects repetative conditions so as to adapt. When destabilisation occurs that does not happen. We need to stop disrupting the climate, so it can settle down.

  • Are we headed into “hot climate” or “cold climate”? As far as I can tell, the science and observational data show strong evidence that this current interglacial period is about to end, and we will see a return of ice-age (increasing polar ice caps) conditions.

You are possibly right. Some people have argued (particularly in the 1970s) that the world should be heading towards an increasingly cold period, but we are not. No current data implies that. Temperatures are steadily rising. Glaciers and ice sheets are melting and declining. There is no evidence to suggest that a new ice age will happen anymore. If the ‘natural’ cycle was heading towards an ice age, it has been broken by increasing Greenhouse gas emissions. I don’t know of anyone in the climate sphere who is arguing that a new ice age is now likely. That was a hypothesis which has been abandoned. Although this hypothesis is often brought up to discredit scientists by showing they change their minds. Which we might hope would be the case when theories are not born out by evidence.

  • Science theory MUST be reviewed against actual observational data. When observations fail to support a theory, we should assume a problem with the theory, and look deeper at the assumptions made. This is actually how scientific divides are closed. The end result should be either the abandonment of a false assumption, or improvements to the theory to achieve more realistic results.

Absolutely correct. The theory of climate change must be checked against observational data all the time. As you say that is basic to science. This observation has led to a considerably better understanding of the global climate system. For example, few people expected that the Oceans could absorb so much heat, so we now understand the ‘slow down’ in expected temperature rises. This is now back to expectations..

If the data was not matching expectations there would be a lot of relieved and excited scientists. Relieved becauset their observations would tell them we are not headed for eco-disaster (because of lack of approprate action by governments and corporations), and excited because their theories need to develop and there would be massive new research and publication opportunities. They might also be delighted that they don’t have to face interminable attacks for proposing that we are in danger.

  • Climate science is not open to refutatory evidence, as can be seen by the way they dismiss objectors to the consenus.

My problem here is that the anti-climate change people in general do not seem to proceed by scientific method. Every prediction that I’ve seen them make, such as temperatures would return to normal, reef bleaching would stop rather than spread, has proven false so far. However there is no change in their ‘theory’ or rather assertions. Indeed they keep bringing points back which have been falsified repeatedly. I have never seen a climate change skeptick give an outline of the progress of skeptical science, explaining why they have been wrong, and how they have modified their theories. Not saying it does not exist, but I’ve never seen it. Whereas I see that in Climate science quite regularly.

When observations fail to support a set of assertions, like the propositions that climate change is no big deal, we should assume a problem with the assertions, and look deeper at the assumption that everything is fine. This is actually how scientific divides are closed, if everyone is playing by idea of being as accurate as possible about the world. If they are playing, a different game, such as maximising profit, there is nothing much can be done about resolving an argument. Ideally the end result should be either the abandonment of a false assumption, or improvements to the theory to achieve more realistic results, but that is rarely seen in climate denial.

Its easier to generate bullshit than argue for truth, because there need be no consistency.

Even the most highly regarded scientific theory may be falsified with observational data, or it may appear to be continuingly fruitful as with climate change theory and observation. But anti-clinate change does not care about falisification. It’s not about Truth but protecting the establishment from its own destructiveness..

The No case and Warren Mundine

September 30, 2023

1)

Warren Mundine argued yet again (in the Murdoch Empire again), that

“voting No if you don’t know makes perfect sense”

However, people don’t know because they have been listening to the No case which is bent on confusing the issues, being inaccurate and distracting with complete irrelevancies. Confusion is what they are about.

[We could wonder if this is deliberate, because they cannot argue their real objections publicaly; they fear they would be condemned or they are incapable of speking, because their feelings are beyond their symbolic capacity]

however, rather than staying with the Murdoch and mining company approved “I don’t know so I’ll vote No”, it is far more sensible to try and inform yourself and free yourself.

Its not hard.

you could start by just finding the proposition you are voting on. Its pretty short. Its pretty simple. Whatever the No people say there are no hidden paragraphs and you would not be approving them even if they existed. The form is not decided, that will come with consultation and debate. You can assume that Dutton, Mundine and Co will point out problems if they have objections.

The reality is that the ‘No’ case people don’t want people to understand the question or the process, or people might just vote ‘Yes’.

Please don’t vote for people who want you to stay ignorant and vote for them because of that ignorance.

2)

Warran Mundine is now claiming that the:

“Uluru Statement is a dossier of damnation, written to make Australians feel only shame.”

It could be that he is reading something else, he could be trying to make another attempt to confuse people, or he has not read the actual Statement, which is short.

It is hardly “a dossier of damnation”

That is a wild fantasy.

The Uluru Statement from the Heart does say:

  • Aboriginal people have been in Australia for a long time.

True.

  • Most aboriginal people have continuing ties to the land.

True.

  • They have never ceded that relationship with the land which “co-exists with the sovereignty of the Crown”.

True.

  • Aboriginal People have not disappeared.

True.

  • They hope to shine through as a fuller expression of Australia’s nationhood.
  • But they are incarcertated at really high rates. This affects their children.

True

They say:

  • “We seek constitutional reforms to empower our people and take a rightful place in our own country.”
  • They seek ‘Makarrata’, or “the coming together after a struggle.”
  • They want a better future for their children and “truth-telling about our history.”

How On Earth does this become “a dossier of damnation, written to make Australians feel only shame”?

That statement seems completely UNTRUE, without a great deal of vivid and free imagination being applied.

Mr Mudine says “History is much more complex and nuanced.” It certainly is, and doesn’t have to be all cuddly and flattering to be true

Oddly even if it was a “dossier of damnation”, Australia is not voting on the Statement from the Heart. We are voting on the proposition linked to above

This is all more deliberate confusion from the No Campaign.

The No case online

September 28, 2023

The no case for the Voice as it arrives on internet.

  • Supporting aboriginal people’s right to be heard is racist.
  • Everything bad that is happening to aboriginal people is not my fault
  • Everything bad that is happening to aboriginal people is their fault.
  • Its a UN land grab
  • It will take your land and house.
  • You will personally be paying aboriginal people to take your house.
  • Its a communist plot to take over the government and sell you into slavery.
  • Its anti-Christian.
  • You don’t know what it will do.
  • Its a racially based chamber of Parliament
  • It adds race to the Constitution
  • All aboriginal people supporting the voice have been bribed
  • It has veto power over everything
  • It can propose and enforce new taxes
  • Its city based elitism
  • Voting No will, or will not, lead to a treaty.
  • Staying the way we have always been will improve things.
  • no one should tell me what to do.
  • There is heaps of secret clauses that voting yes will enshrine.
  • I’m only angry and lying because its your want aboriginal people to be heard.///

I’m sure you can add stuff

The three main things to remember are:

1) This vote is not about the form the voice will take. That will occur within Parliament with all political voices having input, including Peter Dutton etc.

2) Please Vote on the actual proposal, not an imagined proposal

3) If the Right can lie like this, or accept lies like this, how can you trust them about anything?

Project 2025

September 8, 2023

We have had 40 years of neoliberalism. The incredibly influential corporate think-tank the Heritage Foundation‘s Project 2025 [1],[2],[3], is an attempt to boost that movement even further under the next Trump Administration. If accepted, which is likely, this will have a huge effect on the USA’s willingness to have anything to do with reducing fossil fuel burning, or preserving ecologies.

Neoliberalism, has resulted in a crisis of living for most of the population: lower wages, worse working conditions, greater debt (especially for education), less social mobility, less affordable housing, fewer and harsher prospects for people’s children, greater inequality of riches and power, and so on. Neoliberalism has been a significant contributor to extending and intensifying ecological destruction and the failure of action on climate change. The main focus of neoliberalism is to disqualify any governmental action that:

  • Impinges on corporate power or profit,
  • Involves government planing for the future
  • Involves government planning for ‘justice’ or support for the lower classes

The aim is to leave everything to The Market, a God whose invisible hand always delivers wealth to the virtuous and the talented. Leaving things to The Market also tends to benefit established power and wealth, as they have succeeded in that Market and the politics of that Market. The secret doctrine is that the only time governments should intervene is when powerful corporations are threatened by their own stupidity, and the intervention should be free taxpayer-funded cash to do what they like with (pay emergency bonuses etc).

The rich elites argue that the main problems the world faces is that we don’t have enough neoliberalism, and that the few, weak attempts to contain climate change interfere with corporate liberty. They also note that China, which does not pursue neoliberalism, is possibly becoming a powerful economic threat. This implies neoliberalism is not that great at promoting prosperous economies.

Neoliberal policies require ordinary people to give up hope that they can participate in their own government at any level. These policies also lead to the branding of any dissent as ‘marxist,’ ‘politically correct,’ ‘woke’ etc and to proposals to crush dissent as un-American or un-Australian or whatever. This could display the potential weakness of contemporary capitalists: dissent and ecological challenges must be slurred, suppressed or avoided. All news must aspire to Murdochism (ie Fox, Australian Sky etc)

The newest neoliberal attack on liberty, in support of Tump, is called Project 2025 and comes from the American Heritage Foundation and other corporate think thanks.

The Background

The American Heritage Foundation has long been at the heart of rightwing politics in the US. As they say:

the Trump administration relied heavily on Heritage’s “Mandate” for policy guidance, embracing nearly two-thirds of Heritage’s proposals within just one year in office.”

https://www.project2025.org/about/about-project-2025/

How many people knew that when they voted for Trump they were really voting for a corporate think-tank, which has been bought by the hyper-rich? Or that Trump would not clean up the swamp, but enthusiastically embed special interests into his Presidency? This is not an idea which originates with ‘Trump haters’ but which is pointed out by the servants of those financial elites themselves.

Lets be clear these people have no false modesty, as they say in their manifesto for Project 2025, The Mandate for Leadership: the Conservative Promise [this seems to have been hidden from the people again! try https://static.project2025.org/2025_MandateForLeadership_FULL.pdf It will probably be moved again later]

one set of eyes reading these passages [in this proposal] will be those of the 47th President of the United States

Mandate: xiii

It may be somewhat unlikely to be being read by the 47th President if it’s Trump, as it is a long and fairly boring book, but someone may point-form some of it for him (more freedom to make money, more tax cuts, ignore climate change, more fossil fuels etc). It would be surprising if they did not already have someone on the Trump team to do that. Remember this Project is well financed and well connected. It will be implemented unless voted out.

They give some more background history, showing their elite influence on US poltics:

In the winter of 1980, the fledging Heritage Foundation handed to President-elect Ronald Reagan the inaugural Mandate for Leadership. This collective work by conservative thought leaders and former government hands—most of whom were not part of Heritage—set out policy prescriptions, agency by agency for the incoming President. The book literally put the conservative movement and Reagan on the same page, and the revolution that followed might never have been, save for this band of committed and volunteer activists

Mandate: xiii

By the end of that year, more than 60 percent of its recommendations had become policy

Mandate: 2.

So they are telling us that the Reagan years, with:

  • the destruction of the American economy,
  • the outsourcing of government operations which led to increase in costs and declines in services,
  • the collapse of S&Ls through deregulation which left some people very rich and others without their life savings,
  • the asset stripping of companies undervalued on the stock market which led to the loss of functional US companies and local jobs,
  • the return of frequent boom and bust cycles which from which the rich were bailed out and the poor and middle class left to rot,
  • the beginning of outsourcing jobs to China and other cheap labor countries,
  • the decline of wages and security
  • the overspending on the military
  • the increase of government debt because of that spending together with massive tax cuts to the wealthy.
  • the stripping back of those State services which helped people and gave them some levels of security because they ‘cost too much’ and supposedly supported ‘welfare queens,’
  • the support for murderous pro-corporate dictatorships in Latin America (The founding of neoliberalism occurred under Pinochet in Chile)
  • the boosting of people who would become the USA’s most destructive enemies (the Taliban, Iraq, Iran etc).
  • The induced collapse of Russia into Organised Crime Capitalism which led to a massive decline in Russia’s population (through starvation?) and eventually to Putin.

All of this, can all be traced to the American Heritage Foundation, by their own boasts.

Fighting against Democracy

They rather oddly comment about:

elite support for economic globalization. For 30 years, America’s political, economic, and cultural leaders embraced and enriched Communist China and its genocidal Communist Party while hollowing out America’s industrial base.

Mandate: 11

and

Unfettered trade with China has been a catastrophe. It has made a handful of American corporations enormously profitable while twisting their business incentives away from the American people’s needs…

America’s elites have betrayed the American people

11-12

For some reason they forget to mention that the elites in question were the neoliberal capitalist wealth elites who support Heritage and neoliberalism. Capitalism has always been global, always seeking cheap resources, cheap labour and cheap pollution. It was the neoliberals who hollowed out America’s industrial base, with the full support of the Republican Party. It was also the neoliberal elites that tried to shut down ‘left wing’ anti-neoliberal-globalism. The Left was protesting about how this kind of globalism increased corporate power, ending both national sovereignty and attempts at making a ‘helpful’ State across the globe.

History apparently can be hammered into an ‘acceptable shape’ with enough repetition and power.

I’m also not quite sure why anyone would be proud of causing and boosting all these problems, but they do add that:

The late 1970s were by any measure a historic low point for America and the political coalition dedicated to preserving its unique legacy of human flourishing and freedom

Mandate: 1

Presumably they are referring to the events covered by the well known Trilateral Commision Report, which alleged that the USA and other parts of the world were suffering from a crisis of too much democracy: Women’s liberation, Black Liberation, Gay liberation, the workers getting uppity, the birth of popular envionmental and anti-pollution movevments, etc. These movements were a real problem for the rich-elites. They were panicking. All this democracy could strip away their power and wealth, leading to chaos for them. Who knows what could follow? This fear underlies a fundamental neoliberal doctrine going back to Hayek and Mises: the spread of democracy needs to be stopped as it impinges on The Market, and possibly stops corporations taking all the wealth for themselves. A proposed focus on promises of individual prosperity, breaking up community action, distrust of government and faith in freedom of The Market seemed a workable solution to this fear. Hence their advice to Reagan was aimed at shutting down the possible increase in liberty for the people, and reinforcing the power of corporate elites.

They even link this 1970s surge of non-elite liberty to the present day:

Contemporary elites have even repurposed the worst ingredients of 1970s “radical chic” to build the totalitarian cult known today as “The Great Awokening.”

Mandate: 1

They admit that the radical chic of the anti-elite democratic movements of the 1970s are comparable to ‘woke’ support for human rights for the suppressed people of the present day. This includes the terrible woke support for not shooting people because they are black, or not victimizing people because of their sexual identity, etc. The neoliberal position is clear: liberty must be thwarted unless it is just corporate liberty. They obviously think that having previously told Reagan how to benefit the financial elites is a selling point for the normal population, which perhaps it is, given how that period has been sanitised by the corporate media.

They also make it clear that one of their prime policy objectives is clearing the public service of anyone who disagrees with their project and appointing people who will do exactly as they are told by the Republican President. As when Trump removed Comey and his attorney general Jeff Sessions for not stopping the Mueller inquiry. So ends Democracy and discussion. If loyalty to the President is the sole denominator of success and employment, then no one will ever tell the executive when their plans are going desperately wrong. North Korea is not the ideal State.

To rephrase Reagan: “the most chilling words you will ever hear, are ‘I’m from a corporation and I’m here to bring you liberty'”

Scapegoating: Don’t blame the riche elites for anything

As neoliberalism not only failed to produce general prosperity but generated the opposite, neoliberals need a long line of scapegoats to explain the failure. Obviously none of these explanations will include the neoliberal project itself or the self-destructiveness of capitalism, because corporations are tools designed and used to avoid personal responsibility (limited liability), and the media is largely owned by corporations or billionaires. Perhaps weirdly most of these alleged scapegoats are ludicrously inadequate for the magnitude of events attributed to them:

The long march of cultural Marxism through our institutions has come to pass. The federal government is a behemoth, weaponized against American citizens and conservative values, with freedom and liberty [for corporations] under siege as never before.

Mandate: xvi

Everyone ‘knows’ both that the US is full of powerful Marxists, and that they are an unpopular and tiny portion of the population. The only way that Marxists can be an explanation for neoliberal failure, when there are no self-identified, active or important, political Marxists in the US, is to either call Democratic Party members Marxist, or talk about supposed ‘cultural marxists’ swarming through institutions but otherwise invisible or hidden. On top of that, the evil is represented by a certified list of powerless people such as trans people, drag queens, people who talk about racism and the problems it generates, “anti-family campaigners” (?) etc. who are destroying our children: {“children suffer the toxic normalization of transgenderism with drag queens and pornography invading their school libraries” Mandate: 1}. It is never the actually powerful or rich that cause problems.

A central strategy of neoliberalism to is to remove responsibility for suffering from those elites causing the suffering, while putting the responsibility onto minority scapegoats. This builds up two opposed categories, ‘straight and visible pro-capitalist champions of liberty and protectors of children’ vs ‘sexually corrupt, hidden, evil, anti-capitalist champions of tyrannical government and child abuse.’ You are either loyal to neoliberals, or something which is only barely human. You either accept the truth of your ‘information group’ or become corrupted by listening to, or discussing anything with, the wicked. This was a technique that was effective for the Nazis as well, but its pretty basic.

They say they will help this process of binarisation and:

start… with deleting the terms sexual orientation and gender identity (“SOGI”), diversity, equity, and inclusion gender, gender equality, gender equity, gender awareness, gender-sensitive, abortion, reproductive health, reproductive rights,

Mandate: 4-5

Apparently merely saying these words is a tyrannical threat to other people’s first amendment rights to free speech. No one said Neoliberals were coherent, but right-wing freedom of speech often involves removing other peoples right to speak, rewriting history, and making sure that poor weak corporations and evangelical foot-soldiers, are heard and protected (but only if they agree with the project).

The task at hand to reverse this [tiny and trivial] tide and restore our Republic to its original moorings is too great for any one conservative policy shop to spearhead. It requires the collective action of our movement. With the quickening approach of January 2025, we have two years and one chance to get it right. Project 2025 is more than 50 (and growing) of the nation’s leading conservative organizations joining forces to prepare and seize the day

Mandate: xiv

So there are lots of rich elite sponsored organisations involved in this pro-corporate revolutionary attack on minorities and non-powerful people. What a suprise. This all suggests that some defenders of a collapsing capitalism, as in the 1930s, are happy to use persecution and violence to keep it going.

As a kind of footnote, it is possible in neoliberalism to attack some forms of capitalism, just as Nazis were allowed to attack Jewish capitalism, this attackable capitalism is the ‘new’ information technology capitalism. “The worst of these companies prey on children, like drug dealers, to get them addicted to their mobile apps.” (Mandate: 5). They don’t say that this is just like the way food companies try to addict kids to sugar and artificial chemically filled foods, or arms manufacturers might try to get kids addicted to their weapons, or toy companies to their scraps of plastic. This pushing of addiction is normal capitalism, as they would know. They also allege that info-tech companies are “a tool of China’s government. In exchange for cheap labor and regulatory special treatment from Beijing, America’s largest technology firms funnel data about Americans to the CCP”. Again these bad companies behave just like ordinary companies who use Chinese labor, and attempt to gain favour from the Chinese government. Trump pays taxes in China for his Maga goods which are made there, Ivanka gets special trademark deals with the Chinese government, but this is completely ok. It can be ignored

The established elite nearly always despise the nouveau riche, who are the not-yet-establishment. They can even talk about “Big Tech,” but you can’t talk about “Big Oil” or “Big Ag”, even though Big Oil may ‘rule the world’.

War

It also seems clear that they want war with China. Again authoritarianism needs wars to boost the profits of arms manufacturers, and get rid of competition.

The next conservative President must, restore war-fighting as [the military’s] sole mission, and set defeating the threat of the Chinese Communist Party as its highest priority

Mandate: 8, but the message is hammered all through the book

Putin is not such a concern, but is a concern (cf 181-2)

Of course no mention of needing to use the army to help rebuild the USA as climate change wrecks it.

No one should be naive about China, but I suspect most people are not quite as keen for war with China as these elites – its a great money making oportunity for “Big Arms’. Encouraging external threats, and singling out weak internal threats for suppression, are part of the authoritarian schema.

Environmentalism

Environmentalism which inhibits corporate action is defined as Left wing fanaticism. Environmentalism should not actually be concerned with the environment.

Those who suffer most from environmentalism would have us enact are the aged, poor, and vulnerable. It is not a political cause, but a pseudo-religion meant to baptize liberals’ ruthless pursuit of absolute power in the holy water of environmental virtue. At its very heart, environmental extremism is decidedly anti-human. Stewardship and conservation are supplanted by population control and economic regression. Environmental ideologues would ban the fuels that run almost all of the world’s cars, planes, factories, farms, and electricity grids. Abandoning confidence in human resilience and creativity in responding to the challenges of the future would raise impediments to the most meaningful human activities. They would stand human affairs on their head, regarding human activity itself as fundamentally a threat to be sacrificed to the god of nature.

Mandate: 11

Oddly population control as a remedy for climate change is a right wing talking point, and no evidence is presented that climate change and ecological destruction and corporate poisoning do not affect “the aged, poor, and vulnerable”. They, in a characteristically unconservative manner, refuse to recognise that a working environment is necessary for humans, especially the poor and vulnerable, and that humans do not live away from the Earth’s environment (without huge amounts of costly technology). And that if corporations will not realise that the fuels which currently run the world’s corporations harm the world’s humans and enivronment, then corporations must be forced to recognise that their profits are destroying everything important to us.

It is they who abandon the confidence in human resilience and creativity, by assuming their polluting energy sources, and other forms of ecological destruction, cannot be abandoned or transcended by human ingenuity.

Corporate activity sacrifices everyone to profit and disregards the laws and workings of God’s creation. We do not need to boost its power to do more violating of our lives, by voting for the Right.

Given all this, their approach to climate change is obvious if sometimes vague. If action inconveniences profit, the problem is unimportant.

The President should also issue an executive order to reshape the U.S. Global Change Research Program (USGCRP) and related climate change research programs. The USGCRP produces strategic plans and research (for example, the National Climate Assessment) that reduce the scope of legally proper options in presidential decision-making and in agency rulemakings and adjudications. Also, since much environmental policymaking must run the gauntlet of judicial review, USGCRP actions can frustrate successful litigation defense in ways that the career bureaucracy should not be permitted to control. The process for producing assessments should include diverse viewpoints

Mandate: 59

the Biden Administration’s climate fanaticism will need a whole-of-government unwinding.

Mandate: 60

We might wonder what fanaticism for slowing climate change we are talking about when Biden is encouraging new fossil fuel licenses and mines, and continuing subsidies for fossil fuels.

In March 2023 the Chair of the Senate Budget Committee wrote:

As we’ll hear today, the United States subsidizes the fossil fuel industry with taxpayer dollars.  It’s not just the US: according to the International Energy Agency, fossil fuel handouts hit a global high of $1 trillion in 2022 – the same year Big Oil pulled in a record $4 trillion of income.  

In the United States, by some estimates taxpayers pay about $20 billion dollars every year to the fossil fuel industry.  What do we get for that?  Economists generally agree: not much.  To quote conservative economist Gib Metcalf: these subsidies offer “little if any benefit in the form of oil patch jobs, lower prices at the pump, or increased energy security for the country.”  The cash subsidy is both big and wrong. 

But the really big subsidy is the license to pollute for free.  The IMF calls this global free pass an “implicit” fossil fuel subsidy.  Economists call it an “unpriced externality.”

SEN. WHITEHOUSE ON FOSSIL FUEL SUBSIDIES: “WE ARE SUBSIDIZING THE DANGER

It seems that doing even less to curb ecological destruction, or subsidizing it even more, is the only thing compatitble with corporate liberty. This implies corporate freedom is not only more important than democracy, but more important than life itself.

We should indeed ignore climate change and the role of fossil fuels:

USAID should cease its war on fossil fuels in the developing world and support the responsible management of oil and gas reserves as the quickest way to end wrenching poverty and the need for open-ended foreign aid. The next conservative Administration should rescind all climate policies from its foreign aid programs (specifically USAID’s Climate Strategy 2022–20307 ); shut down the agency’s offices, programs, and directives designed to advance the Paris Climate Agreement; and narrowly limit funding to traditional climate mitigation efforts. The agency should cease collaborating with and funding progressive foundations, corporations, international institutions, and NGOs that advocate on behalf of climate fanaticism.

Mandate 257-8

Yes Fossil fuels and their companies must be supported. It can be presumed that responsible management of oil and gas reserves, means full exploitation and sales at the highest price with almost no local benefit, as that is what it usually means. In Australia we know this means attacks on local government, pollution, destruction of water supplies, and almost no financial benefit from the mines, or the sales, because of minimal mineral royalties, tax breaks, tax evasion through foreign tax havens and paybacks of high interest loans from branches of the same company overseas. More neoliberal globalism in action to benefit profit, not locals.

In fact, almost nothing need be done. Especially anything which challenges corporate liberty to destroy the world for profit.

Again their arguments are selective:

The Biden Administration’s extreme climate policies have worsened global food insecurity and hunger. Its anti–fossil fuel agenda has led to a sharp spike in global energy prices.

Mandate: 257

No mention of the Russian invasion of Ukraine which massively lowered the supply of both food and fossil fuels, putting prices up all over the world not only in the USA. No mention of the record profits of major oil companies cronying up together to increase prices even more than they should have increased. No mention of food company profit increases. The dogma seems to be that whatever an established corporation does must be good, and have no deleterious effects at all. It is extreme to even pretend to worry about climate change.

They make the usual Bjon Lomborg argument:

The aid industry claims that climate change causes poverty, which is false. Enduring conflict, government corruption, and bad economic policies are the main drivers of global poverty. USAID’s response to man-made food insecurity is to provide more billions of dollars in aid—a recipe that will keep scores of poor countries underdeveloped and dependent on foreign aid for years to come.

Mandate: 257

We can note that the only bad industry is one which attempts to help people. However, climate change does cause poverty, through crop failure, wild fires, drought, floods and homelessness. We might even think about how working outside in excessive heat can cause death, which may lead the rest of the family into even greater poverty. But we have to believe families are more at risk from a small number of transsexuals’ than they are from corporate destruction. Climate change kills while it brings profits, so its ok. We already know that they do not really mean sensible economic policies, they mean letting corporations do what they will, as the environment is doing fine in the hands of corporations….

Mischaracterizing the state of our environment generally and the actual harms reasonably attributable to climate change specifically is a favored tool that the Left uses to scare the American public into accepting their ineffective, liberty-crushing regulations, diminished private property rights, and exorbitant costs. In effect, the Biden EPA has once again presented a false choice to the American people: that they have to choose between a healthy environment and a strong, growing economy

Mandate: 419.

It seems to me that the neoliberal right is saying somthing like:

  1. you should ignore warnings about collapsing ecologies and wild destructive weather, because we don’t know how to solve theses problems while keeping our established companies hyper-profitable,
  2. It is important to recognise that property rights give property owners the right to destroy their property even if it harms others.
  3. We don’t want people to get involved in government, and planing to save the planet as who knows where it will end? and
  4. You cannot have both a strong economy and a healthy environment, so you must choose ‘The Market’ at all times, and that will always deliver because we say so, and you must trust us.

In reality, you also won’t get a ‘healthy economy’, if by healthy you mean one that benefits everyone and their ecologies, as one of the points of neoliberalism is to stop general benefit from happening. General benefit generates calls for democracy, like we had in the 1960s and 70s, and that is a problem for corporate control and elite profits.

Temporary conclusion

That is probably enough for the moment. The point is that a new Trump presidency, will attempt to make things even better for corporations at even bigger costs to the American People.

On this issue we can rewrite one of their passages to be a more accurate of themselves:

Ultimately, the Right does not believe that all men are created equal—they think they are special. The established corporate rich are special when compared to the middle class and the poor. Men are special in comparison to women. Straight people are special in comparison with gay or queer people. Republicans are special in comparison with Democrats. They certainly don’t think all people have an unalienable right to pursue the good life, because they cut wages at every opportunity, intensify corporate power, and shift the cost of the State onto the middle classes. They think only they themselves have rights, along with the moral responsibility to make decisions for everyone else. They don’t think any citizen, state, church, or charity should be allowed any freedom until they first bend the knee to corporate power.

Mandate: 16 rephrased

These think tanks are aiming at suppression of any dissent, or objection to, excessive corporate power and profit – and are relatively open about it, once you realise that, in their world view, liberty is something that only exists for established corporations and their supporters. It is something which is for sale and can be bought, or not bought if you don’t have the money. The rest of us can suffer the consequences of that liberty and watch the world burn, flood and fall apart.

As Ronald Reagan put it: “Freedom is a fragile thing and it’s never more than one generation away from extinction. It is not ours by way of inheritance; it must be fought for and defended constantly by each generation”

Mandate: 2

We need to defend our liberty against the corporate sector and its think-tanks.

Rich men north of Richmond

August 23, 2023

This is relevant to climate politics.

My experience with this song that it is good tune, well sung, well played, but fairly bland – that’s my taste no big deal, people are free to disagree.

The lyrical plus of the song is that it acknowledges some of the problems faced by working people in the US and elsewhere, in modern captialism

Working all day Overtime hours For bullshit pay

A real and serious problem. It locates the problem with

These rich men north of Richmond” who “Just wanna have total control

All true, and the Republican party elite is all about supporting those rich men and having total control, but this identification is not made, and the problem is said to be tax….. ???

Surely the problem is that ordinary people don’t get paid enough? And the rich don’t pay enough tax as a percentage of their income to fund government and its services for ordinary folks? This largely occurs because of Republican tax cuts for the wealthy, and the destruction of unions, which has transferred a lot of the tax burden to you, along with the bullshit pay. Bullshit pay is a political decision not to share the USA’s riches more equitably.

I wish politicians Would look out for miners”. Yes me too. Politicians look out for mining companies a lot, as mining and fossil fuel companies are wealthy and powerful, but mining companies think of the people who work on the mines as a cost center which needs to be cheapened, used and discarded when the mine is no longer ‘economic’, often with their health wrecked. That system needs change, but no suggestion of that

Lord, we got folks in the street Ain’t got nothin’ to eat” True, partly because there are no jobs as rich men have exported them elswhere and fought politically to decrease the share of wealth the workers get, and workers can’t fight back as they have no organisation or unions, and social security has been taken from them (as part of the defunding services for enable tax cuts for the wealthy) so its hard keep alive in this engineered misfortune.

And the obese milkin’ welfare” Ok so let’s attack fat people, and people who are injured and sick, or long term unemployed, because they are the problem. Not the rich men outside Richmond but people who depend on welfare. A good Republican move there, but not exactly useful to people in Richmond, especially those who are poor and without hope.

Young men are putting themselves Six feet in the ground’ Cause all this damn country does Is keep on kicking them down”. Yep, but not because of fat people, but because there are no jobs, no meaning, no future, in the form of capitalism we have nowadays. Some of that is because drugs are criminalised, and young people and their parents can’t afford help for addictions, even if there was any, and would prefer to avoid jail. Young men, and others, are abandoned by the Republican rich people outside Richmond, who don’t give a shit about the people of Richmond as long as they (the rich people) are making money.

Similar stuff happens with the politics of climate change. We have climate change because of the Rich Men using pollution and poisoning to make a profit, while inflicting heat and weather catastophies on those who are abandoned and working for bullshit pay, and they are encouraging ordinary people to attack gays, transpeople, fat people and people on welfare, instead of the cause of the problem

I’ve been selling my soul Working all day Overtime hours For bullshit pay” Yep that is what happened since Reagan boosted neoliberalism and corporate power. It is Republican policy, usually hidden under the name of free markets. Democrats are not uninvolved in this either. Ordinary people need to take their own power, not attack other ordinary people. and not support the party of business and rich elites.

The main reason this song seems to have been taken up by the right is, because the problem it states is real, but the solutions it proposes leave the rich safe, with more tax cuts for them, and less support for working people, plus it encourages attacks by some working people on others who are even less fortunate than themselves. Divide and Rule. The song seems to be saying, let’s partially blame the Rich Men north of Richmond but give them a tax cut, and ignore them, certainly not take the fight to them.

Degrees of climate angst

August 7, 2023

The Yale Climate review reported world wide research polling amongst facebook users, which indicates that there are six different types of climate audience or grouping.

The Alarmed are convinced climate change is happening, human-caused, and an urgent threat, and strongly support climate policies.

The Concerned think human-caused climate change is happening and is a serious threat, and support climate policies. However, they tend to believe that climate impacts are still distant in time and space, thus the issue remains a lower priority.

The Cautious have not yet made up their minds: Is climate change happening? Is it human-caused? Is it serious?

The Disengaged know little to nothing about climate change and rarely if ever hear about it.

The Doubtful do not think climate change is happening or believe it is just a natural cycle.

And the Dismissive are convinced climate change is not happening, human-caused, or a threat, and oppose most climate policies

slightly modified: Italics and line breaks added

I personally think, from my experiences, there are at least two other modes:

  • Anger: Climate change is happening, its no big deal, and people are trying to impose unwanted changes of life on us.
  • Doomer: Climate change is too advanced to be stopped, so we can’t do anything.

There is also the probable

  • My income is tied in with fossil fuels, so climate action is bad

But these are irrelevant to the current discussion

Yale remarks:

We find that the Alarmed are the largest group in about three-fourths (80 of the 110) of the countries and territories surveyed. In fact, half or more respondents in twenty-nine countries and territories are Alarmed: the five countries with the largest percentage of Alarmed are Chile (65%), Mexico (64%), Malawi (63%), Bolivia (62%), and Sri Lanka (61%). Czechia and Yemen have the smallest percentages of Alarmed (both 9%). In the United States, about one-third of respondents are Alarmed (34%)….

By contrast, relatively few respondents in any country or territory are Doubtful or Dismissive. Among major emitters, the United States has the largest proportion of Doubtful and Dismissive, more than one in five (22%).

The document does not gather together the data for the world. So lets gather together some figures for Alarmed and Concerned. Given the polling is of facebook users this is a restricted audience….

  • Mexico 93% of people are Alarmed or Concerned
  • Brazil 90%
  • Chile 83%
  • Spain 79%
  • Hungary 79%
  • Columbia 79%
  • Argentina 77%
  • South Africa 73%
  • Japan 72%
  • India 71%
  • Kenya 70%
  • Bangladesh 70%
  • Turkey 70%
  • Malaysia 68%
  • Singapore 68%
  • Jamaica 68%
  • Zambia 68%
  • UK 67%
  • Germany 66%
  • Canada 65%
  • Australia 63%
  • USA 59%
  • Nigeria 55%
  • Saudi Arabia 50%
  • Norway 41%
  • Yemen 26%

This indicates that there is a world wide interest in change.

So again we need to ask why there is so little movement towards change.

Robert Reich is wrong about Trump

June 13, 2023

In his article in todays Guardian, There will be no Civil War over Trump Mr Reich makes the classic intellectual error that people do things for clear reasons, and with good understandings. And thus they will not generate war over Trump. This proposition is simply not true. People do things for non-rational reasons; feelings of disquiet, distrust, disgust, misery, not having a vision of a beneficial future, ‘knowing’ stuff at an emotional level which they cannot express and so on.

Trump appeals to this knowing, and his inarticulateness and personal grievance, make him appear to be one of those people who, like us all, share grievances and cannot express them. People can relate to Trump, and he allows them to displace their grievance onto the State and the Democrat/Liberal ‘humanist’ elites, and distract them from the real cause of their misery. And as the State is part of the problem, it no longer appears to stand for the people, it is not a completely false target.

Most people in the English speaking world have experienced over 40 years of neoliberal policies (promoted by media, politicians and corporately sponsored think-tanks), in which corporate power has been protected from democracy, wages have stagnated or declined, working conditions have declined, social welfare and social security have become punitive and inadequate, bosses have gained arbitrary power, wealth has been siphoned off to the already hyper-rich, wealth inequality has increased along with political inequality. People’s futures have been taken over by crisis and the realisation that their children and grandchildren and not going to have it good. Community co-operation appears to be breaking down. There are apparent threats everywhere, increased violence, political corruption, corporate corruption, climate change, ecological destruction, pollution, irresponsive government, friction between social groups. Disorder seems to be increasing, and there is little attempt to put in a new order which benefits most people.

The problem people face is neoliberalism, corporate dominance and wealth syphoning. The State is part of this problem, because it has enabled all this to happen through its overt support of neoliberalism, and coporate power.This is a story which ‘the left’ does not seem to want to tell, because it (just like ‘the right’) depends on corporate donations, and fears organisations of corporate bodies, like the ‘minerals council of Australia’ or whatever, which have the huge monetary resources to make that attack count. The Media largely does not want to tell the story, because it is owned by corporations and billionaires, and depends on corporations buying advertising space. The right does not want to talk about it, because it is their fundamental policy.

Hence we have a stressed out working and middle class, who are risking descent into poverty all the time. Nobody is giving them a real explanation of their problens, or a set of policies which deal with the problems or can get traction without the promoters risking political death from corporate backlash. Trump voters know something is wrong. They know the system is not working. Trump, for all his faults, acknowledges this loss. ‘Make America Great Again’, expresses a feeling that it is possible to restore previous plenty, and this is welcomed by people. Sure Trump has few policies, and those policies almost certainly do not benefit the people who vote for him, but that is not the point. He is showing awareness and concern for the problem. He, and the Republican establishment, are generating scapegoats for the real issues, to explain why things are not better: as if drag queens, tran-sexuals and people worried about racial discrimination are responsible for economic decline and loss of futures. These people are made to symbolise all that is wrong, without threatening the market-elites, so supporting Trump seems secure to those market elites. Trump seems funded by his supporters, to an extent which seems unusual in modern politics and shows his appeal, and he is funded by the rich-elites.

In a way Trump is perfectly correct, people might need to join in a “final battle” for America -“These people don’t stop and they’re bad and we have to get rid of them. These criminals cannot be rewarded. They must be defeated.” The problem is that the people Trump wants to fight are often not America’s problem, they are just scapegoats, or people who point out that Trump is the criminal. It is as Reich says…. “a final battle over … himself,” but Trump is no longer just a corrupt politician, he has become a symbol for fears and aspirations which are real, no matter how fake he is.

As Reich reports, Trump has mainstream Republicans supporing violence to defend him. For some reason Reich decides this unimportant, rather than an indication of how Republicans are bound up with Trump and protecting Trump, and violence against Trump’s ‘enemies’.

There are many more posts on Twitter which incline more to violence than these, because people have been convinced that Trump is innocent, that the Department of Justice and the FBI are weaponsed against all ‘conservatives’, that the whole thing is an attempt to distract from Biden’s corruption, that Trump is the only honest politician and that he will smash the corruption (something also being said by Trump), that revenge is necessary on those who are really corrupt, and so on. It is endless. There seems to be a real fury out there – and it is absurd to pretend people are not being stoked for war. That may not mean war is inevitable, but the possibility is there, and little can stop it – certainly Trump being convicted is not going to stop it, whatever the evidence against him.

According to a CBS poll 76% of Republican voters think the charges are politically motivated, 61% think the charges won’t change their views about Trump, 14% changed their views for the better. 80% think that even if Trump is convicted he should be able to be President. If Trump could not run, then 74% of Republican voters want someone like Trump. 45% thought it important to punish the Democrats.

Oddly the more Trump is attacked, and shown to be criminal, the more he can be seen to be one of the masses, victimised by the powers that be. He can’t be guilty any more than ‘we’ are guilty for what is happening to us, and if he is guilty what hope is left? The rationale that the current charges he faces seem justified is completely irrelevant to Trump’s supporters. These charges are another fake, another step in the battle to keep them down.

The more that the left attacks Trump’s followers as stupid ill-educated morons (which is really common), then the more they fall into the Republican Trap, because they make it seem clear that ‘Democrat elites’ have nothing but contempt for working and middle class people, and therefore, as Republicans allege, are generating the problem. Democrats are not acknowledging the real problems people face, or their feelings as valid.

If this continues, there is no reason not to expect violence and highly disruptive violence. It may not be organised. It may be sporadic, but it will happen.

Modern weaponry means that a few well organised people can do significant amounts of damage, and protect themselves through generating fear and images of heroism.

As long as the violence is against Democrats or scapegoated outsiders, then Republicans will support it, or not object….. The violence can be repressed, which will generate more violence as more people get caught in the hunt to suppress, or the violence will be met by a violent oppositional response. What level of continued violence counts as civil war is irrelevant, what matters is using violence to promote and protect Trump and allow him to create a state of terror.

If Democrats don’t put forward a coherent world view as to what is wrong, acknowledge that wrong, acknowledge the real grievances of Trump voters, and put forward plausible solutions, then Trump will win. People seem not to appreciate that his vote increased in the last election, with people’s experience of him still fresh. It is simply optimism to think his base is moving away, that Biden will win without effort, and that there is no possibility of continuing political violence.