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Peter Dutton and Action on Climate Change

June 13, 2024

For non-Australians, Peter Dutton is the leader of the opposition right wing party.

Whether you think Dutton is a bad thing is of course a matter of opinion.

Some people apparently think protecting fossil fuel company sales and profits is good, because they are the people who built the modern world and we should continue down that path.

Some people think climate change does not matter because a socialist conspiracy of scientists all over the world is far more probable than a conspiracy of right wing politicians, and corporations who are profiting, to deny climate change.

Some people think that not acting is a really bad choice that will kill Australians and lead to more floods, fires and droughts.

Some people think it is a really bad choice that will kill Australians and lead to more floods, fires and droughts, so we need the money from gas and coal exports….

Peter Dutton does not want fossil fuel energy to be replaced with renewable energy. As a result he has has claimed the 2030 Labor Party emissions targets are difficult and so are unobtainable, and they are bad for the economy, so he won’t bother to have any emissions reduction targets, or at least won’t bother to announce them before the next election. This protects fossil fuel emissions, and so he seems to be serious about protecting fossil fuel company profits.

In the old days would ‘Conservatives’ have shrunk from a problem because it was difficult?

His respect for the corporate economy seems much greater than his respect for human lives and the property of ordinary people. He seems to expect that it will be possible to attain the cutbacks by 2050, but of course with enough delay from not having any targets now those later targets probably won’t happen because they have also become way too difficult.

That is why he is proposing nuclear energy, which the CSIRO has said will be far more expensive than renewables plus all their oncosts of storage, cabling etc. At the best nuclear won’t be ready to run in Australia until 2040, which means at least another 16 years of fossil fuel profits. He almost certainly knows nuclear energy will not really get going, so as to replace all fossil fuels, for another 20 years after that, even if he wanted to. The problems of building the necessary 20 to 50 nuclear power stations at the same time in the one country nowadays are severe or possibly insurmountable, so it won’t happen. [We now know that they have no intention of replacing all fossil fuel generate energy with nuclear] Nuclear power also has huge costs for decommissioning, and for insurance (if you can get any). Taxpayers should not have to pay this or the billions in costs to build.

Nuclear energy also involves water for cooling so, in Australia, this probably means seaside plants only, as the rivers are already drying up. Nukes in France were shut down a year or so ago because of lack of water.

From a reducing climate turmoil point of view, Labor’s targets are inadequate as well, but far less inadequate than Dutton’s.

Dutton is also running around the country campaigning against windfarms at sea (10 or more Km away from habited zones), supposedly for both ecological and consulting with community reasons. Likewise National Party leader David Littleproud spent a day meeting with fishing and anti-wind farm groups opposed to plans for up to 200 floating turbines offshore between Wombarra and Kiama and said the Coalition was committed to overturning the two offshore wind zones now declared for the Illawarra and Port Stephens in the NSW Hunter. 

“We should have a slow transition from some of our coal-fired power stations to nuclear power plants that are zero emissions and firm that up with gas and carbon capture storage, which is zero emissions as well,”

National Party leader David Littleproud promises to scrap NSW offshore wind zones in Labor heartland

However the Coalition have never opposed offshore drilling despite it producing continual noise at depth, and being notably damaging to marine life. I’m also prepared to bet that he won’t go on endlessly about community consultation for nuke installation, if he is serious about it [again this does seem to be correct]. People will just have cop it, especially in Labor electorates, or it will not go ahead and fossil fuel company profits are guaranteed for even longer. which in his eyes seems good.

The latest move the US elites through the Atlas network, corporate bought think-tanks and Murdoch media, in their fight to preserve oil company profits, is not to focus entirely on denial of climate change or scientific conspiracy, as they are perhaps getting a little unpersuasive, but to try and get people worked up about industrial size renewables and their possible local ecological destructiveness. They do not seem to promote objection to industrial coal, gas or even diesel energy and mines, despite their documented detrimental ecological and health effects, especially when at sea, and so it seems less well organised.

There is some evidence to suggest that money is also following this trail from the USA to Australia, along with faked academic papers [2], and other fake news [3], [4], and ‘community resistance’ which has in some places been purchasing support. These activists also make sure not to ever mention the possibility of community led renewable energy – because it is (by definition) not corporate, and they do not bother to compare known effects of climate change with less likely effects of offshore wind warms.

Peter Dutton may well be following his American sponsors. He is probably also betting that Trump will win the next US Presidential election (which seems likely), and that result will be unrestrained action for oil companies and polluters (Drill, baby, drill.”). Dutton, wants to support his American allies, because he wants to be on the winning side.

Whatever his policies are, Dutton’s choice is not a death wish as some have alleged. He will get funding from mining and fossil fuel companies, he will get corporate and pro-Trump think tanks churning out material to justify him, pay his supporters, and clog social media. He will get support from Murdoch and most of the rest of the media. He will get unity in his Party (who seem to be largely climate deniers), and the whole fossil fuel and corporate ‘Deep State’ will be behind him. He is obviously courting Gina Rinehart [5], [6], [7], [8], [9], [10]. He may even get some Russian support through social media, as Putin is keen to continue to sell fossil fuels, and may logically think climate change will make Russia more habitable and gain northern ports.

In terms of gaining victory Dutton is not making a foolish choice, in terms of looking after Australia, its people, wildlife and future, he is.

Even the inadequate Labor Party actions will not be allowed to continue if he wins.

Agenda 47: Lets make more climate change and eco destruction

June 8, 2024

As a neoliberal, Trump gets really upset about climate change being used ‘politically’ to encourage energy transition, cut back the burning of fossil fuels, helping electric cars or promoting corporate responsibility. The only responsibility that Corporations have is to make money, and that can never destroy their ability to survive.

To Recap: Agenda 47 gives Trump’s official policies, many of which are also present in the corporate manifesto Project 2025. They seem to be heavily oriented towards crushing dissent.

This section considers his ecological and climate attitudes.

Against Corporate Responsibility and Shareholder action

He makes it clear by his non-political support of free speech that it should be forbidden for shareholders to ask companies not to destroy the environment. The sole moral responsibility of companies is to make profit. That’s all; not to be safe for workers, not protect the communities they operate in, not consider the effects of their actions on others, or whatever, just make profit.

When President Trump returns to the White House, he will immediately ban ESG [Environmental, social, and governance] investments through executive order and work with Congress to enact a permanent ban.

“When I’m back in the White House, I will sign an executive order and, with Congress’ support, a law to keep politics away from America’s retirement accounts forever.”

The entire ESG scheme is designed to funnel your retirement money to the maniacs on the radical left.

But pensions and retirement accounts with his radicalism and incompetence, they’re going down and they’re going down big and nobody’s seen anything like it.

I will demand that funds invest your money to help you, not them, but to help you. Not to help the radical left communists, because that’s exactly what they are. I will once again protect our seniors, just like I did before, from the woke left and the woke left is bad news. They destroy countries.

Agenda47: President Trump Continues to Lead on Protecting Americans from Radical Leftist ESG Investments
February 25, 2023

ESG simply means asking companies not to destroy the environment that people (including old people) live in, to pay fair wages, not defraud people, adhere to labour laws, factor in the risks of their actions and be transparent and responsible. However, this will be prevented.

Under Trumps laws, no one, including shareholders will be able to ask companies to stop destroying things or poisoning people, apparently because not destroying things and not exploiting workers, is a radical leftism which destroys countries. It should also be remembered that shareholders are company owners, and that if they cannot influence what their companies do, other than support them going for more profit, then that is a fairly odd definition of capitalist property rights.

It seems that, for Trump, it is disloyal to America to challenge corporate power, while siding with corporate power is completely non-political. All those who disagree are “radical left communists, because that’s exactly what they are.” Asking companies to disclose climate risks is also criminal.

Against Recognising Corporate Climate Risk

In May 2021, Biden issued an Executive Order that required federal agencies to define “climate-related financial risk to the financial stability of the… U.S. financial system” which led the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to require private companies to publicly disclose climate-related risks.

This ruling will force companies to share with investors their estimated impact on the environment, which will allow climate crusaders in investment firms to punish companies that do not conform to their radical environmental agenda.

Agenda47: America Must Have the #1 Lowest Cost Energy and Electricity on Earth
September 07, 2023

Apparently looking at climate related risk is too big a risk for corporate liberty to pollute and harm people, to be requested.

More Fossil Fuels

Given Trump being against people acting within the normal rules of capitalism, and effectively putting an end to shareholder motions requesting responsibility, it is not surprising that his energy policy is more fossil fuels, despite the warnings about what this will produce.

He states:

“Joe Biden’s war on American energy is one of the key drivers of the worst inflation in 58 years, and it’s hitting every single American family very, very hard… Biden reversed every action I took that achieved energy independence and soon we were going to be energy dominant all over the world.”

Agenda47: President Trump on Making America Energy Independent Again February 09, 2023

Let us ignore that Biden has pushed for the greatest expansion of American fossil fuel production ever, and presided over huge increases in profits for oil companies [1], [2], [3], [4], [5]: that is not enough for Trump.

Nobody has more liquid gold under their feet than the United States of America. And we will use it and profit by it and live with it. And we will be rich again and we will be happy again. And we will be proud again. Thank you very much.

So lets burn more oil and make things harder for non-rich people by encouraging climate change.

On Day One, President Trump will rescind every one of Joe Biden’s industry-killing, jobs-killing, pro-China and anti-American electricity regulations.

China is being made into an enemy, and trying to go against Republican fossil fuel ideology is traitorous.

President Trump will DRILL, BABY, DRILL.

President Trump will remove all red tape that is leaving oil and natural gas projects stranded, including speeding up approval of natural gas pipelines into the Marcellus Shale in Pennsylvania, West Virginia, and New York.

Yes we don’t have to worry about whether going after shale oil and gas will damage people, water or whatever, we just have to support fossil fuels and the profits they generate. People who might think this is not automatically good, or who protest, will presumably be told they are not real Americans but woke Marxists, and removed.

Stopping Legal Protest

President Trump will stop the wave of frivolous litigation from environmental extremists that hold up critical energy development projects for years, increase project costs, and discourage future development.

Agenda47: America Must Have the #1 Lowest Cost Energy and Electricity on Earth
September 07, 2023

It should not be a surprise to find out that people’s legal ability to protest and disagree with the demands of corporations is denounced as illegitimate and to be prevented. People should obey and curb their speech before their masters. They know nothing, and should have no power to disagree.

Against Climate Agreements and China

Biden is bad because:

he reentered the horrendous Paris Climate Accord, so unfair to the United States, good for other countries, so bad for us. He put up huge roadblocks to new oil, gas and coal production and much, much more…. The country that now benefits most from Joe Biden’s radical left Green New Deal is China.

President Trump will once again exit the horrendously unfair Paris Climate Accords and oppose all of the radical left’s Green New Deal policies that are designed to shut down the development of America’s abundant energy resources, which exceed any country’s in the world, including Russia and Saudi Arabia.

Agenda47: America Must Have the #1 Lowest Cost Energy and Electricity on Earth
September 07, 2023

We know by now that we should not expect evidence, but the point seems to be that the current COP agreement involves possible cuts to fossil fuel production, and thus should be repudiated, no matter what the consequences. Corporate profit is the fundamentally important thing. Oddly he uses a justice argument to excuse this, the agreement is unfair…. Fairness presumably means powerful people and countries should do what they like. I guess that by attacking the ‘green new deal’ he is objecting to providing jobs by helping the energy transition. Fossil fuels have to remain the main source of US energy.

As you know, China paid hundreds of billions of dollars to the United States when I was president.

I presume this means the tariffs on Chinese goods, which Americans paid, not the Chinese. It is possible that China lost some deals, but they did not directly pay any money to the US because of the tariffs. We might hope a President would realise this, so I suspect the idea he is referring to tariffs is wrong.

Against EVs

Trump is opposed to electric cars, and people making a choice.

Because EVs cost an average of TWICE as much as gas-powered vehicles, take longer to fully charge, and have shorter ranges, almost two-thirds of Americans prefer their next car purchase to be a gas-powered vehicle, nearly half of all car dealerships would never sell an EV, and about half of current EV owners plan to switch back to a gas-powered car.

This is probably one reason why Elon Musk is attempting to cozy up to Trump. He realises that if Biden wins, he will be no worse off, but if Trump wins, EVs might be banned or taxed or put out of action, to protect fossil fuels.

Carbon Capture and Storage

Trump does make a few sensible statements.

According to two 2022 studies, the vast majority of CCS projects have underperformed or failed to date and hydrogen blending is plagued with safety and effectiveness concerns

This is true, but in context, it means that even symbolic attempts to reduce emissions should not be allowed.

So in summary:

Basically most of Trump’s Agenda 47 policies take the attitude that anyone who disagrees with him should be dismissed, punished, or prevented from acting.

This does imply that, whether he claims to be or not, he will act as a dictator and attempt to purge the USA of the liberty of dissent, and prolong ecological destruction and climate change.

Agenda 47 makes clear:

  • Trump is fighting non-existent ‘communists’, and those he calls ‘woke.’ Both terms seem to mean people he does not like or who disagree with him.
  • He is enthusiastic about protecting America from free speech he does not like.
  • People who disagree or inconvenience him are not real Americans.
  • The DoJ should support him, and the Party, alone, and go after people he does not like.
  • Education should only reinforce Republican doctrine as anything else is political.
  • Attempts to recognise that the USA has a history of racism, are racist.
  • Corporations should have free rip, particularly oil companies, and people (even shareholders) should not be free to object to corporate behavior, or attempt to alter it it.
  • He opposes any ideas that people should protect America (or the world) from environmental destruction, as such protection is Marxist.
  • Fossil fuels must be the only energy source to be protected.
  • He wants to stack the government with pro-Trumpists so he will never hear anything he does not like..

This, seems a complete recipe for destruction. Under Trump the USA will not face its real problems, although it may try to crush people who recognize those problems as only Marxists and Woke people would notice them and want to solve them.

Part 1: (Back) Justice

Part 2 (Back) Education

Agenda 47: Education as propaganda

June 8, 2024

Education goes the same way. It will become “non-political”. And it becomes non-political by banning everything that the Republican Party Machine might disapprove of. In a plan for an online educational institute for Adults or teens, which sounds like a good idea, he says

It will be strictly non-political, and there will be no wokeness or jihadism allowed—none of that’s going to be allowed.

Agenda47: The American Academy

This might seem an odd use of the term ‘non-political,’ but it does try and pretend that his political views are not political, but the common sense of all Americans. He will make sure that only the right material is taught in schools, and lie about what is taught in schools now. It is perhaps too much to expect him to describe what he means by wokeness, but it usually seems to mean any realisation that not all is perfect, and recognition that some people suffer from inequalities and social bias. He is also very upset about the possibility of tolerating non-traditional gender behaviour in schools.

In another display of non-politicisation of education he says:

President Trump will get Critical Race Theory, transgender ideology, and left-wing indoctrination OUT of our schools—and he will get reading, writing, and arithmetic back IN, so that America’s young people have the knowledge, skills, and training they need to get a great job and lead a successful career.

President Trump will cut federal funding for any school pushing Critical Race Theory, transgender insanity, and other inappropriate racial, sexual, or political content on our children—and he will pursue civil rights investigations into any school that engages in race-based discrimination.

Agenda47: President Trump’s Ten Principles For Great Schools Leading To Great Jobs

“Race based discrimination” seems to be telling people that white folk have not always been perfect, but it is a bit vague. However, Critical Race Theory, tends to be a term used by the Right, to mean teaching anyone about the history of American Race Relations. The aim seems to be that people should just ignore race relations and problems will go away, or we should learn that slavery was good, and taught ignorant Africans about agriculture.

The time has come to reclaim our once great educational institutions from the radical Left, and we will do that

When I return to the White House, I will fire the radical Left accreditors that have allowed our colleges to become dominated by Marxist Maniacs and lunatics.

Agenda47: Protecting Students from the Radical Left and Marxist Maniacs Infecting Educational Institutions, July 17, 2023

We can assume that, as usual, ‘Marxist’ is a non-political term, which means person who disagrees with the Republican view of America, or who wants to teach history reasonably accurately, as it is highly unlikely that any followers of Karl Marx dominate education, given the smallness of the movement in the USA. It is so small that most people do not seem to know what Marxism is about.

He continues in his non-political manner by saying that education should

protect… free speech by removing all Marxist diversity, equity, and inclusion bureaucrats,… [and] schools that persist in explicit unlawful discrimination under the guise of equity will not only have their endowment taxed, but through budget reconciliation, I will advance a measure to have them fined up to the entire amount of their endowment.

Presumably the aim is to halt any criticism, diversity, equity or inclusion, and that any attempts to compensate for, or recognise, inequalities etc, will result in huge fines. My guess this that the last sentence is directed at endowed universities… because stripping away property from those who dare to differ from Republican ideas does not violate Republican ideals. Another way of interpreting his statement is that he seems to want to use education to continue the class system and inequality.

However the idea that education is only about making children into workers is perfectly standard practice.

His non-political positive vision is that:

President Trump will fight for patriotic education in America’s schools…. [because] decades of poor scholarship have vilified our Founders and the principles that they championed and have taught many of our young people to hate their own country…. we will teach students to love their country, not to hate their country like they’re taught right now.

No evidence is presented, of course, as this is not about evidence. Who when talking about education would want evidence? But the point is that students have to think America has always been good, and that other views cannot be allowed.

Non-political education is also about religion:

we will support bringing back prayer to our schools.

Agenda47: President Trump’s Ten Principles For Great Schools Leading To Great Jobs

President Trump will once again fiercely protect the First Amendment right to pray in public schools—and he will ensure that every American’s fundamental right to the Free Exercise of Religion does NOT end when you walk into a classroom.

In reality, no one is prevented praying in American public schools, however they are prevented from forcing others to pray to their particular God. We can guess what might happen if an Islamic teacher insisted their students prayed to Allah before engaging in football.

We can also guess that his defense of the right of parents to fire teachers is to get rid of teachers who might teach forbidden topics like evolution or climate science, so religion can be another non-political tool used to stop education and support Trump.

The key slur terms like ‘wokeness,’ ‘Marxist’ and ‘vilification’ are left undefined, precisely to get teachers to worry about whether some Republican will apply these words to them, to get them persecuted or dismissed.

The point, of this non-political free speech in education policy, seems to be to suppress free speech, real education and thinking about problems and issues, and teaching only safe Republican ideology.

Part 1 (back) Justice

Part 3 Climate and energy

Agenda 47: the future of law, education and climate denial

June 8, 2024

If, or as now seems likely, when, Donald Trump wins the next election he has for once made it clear what he will do.

There are three core promises, which translate into:

  1. the Department of Justice will become a weapon [this page]
  2. Education will become propaganda enforcing Republican understanding
  3. Climate change will be encouraged.

Justice is a weapon

There are indications that Mr. Trump will attempt to end the existence of the Department of Justice as an officially neutral organistion, and make it a tool for the President’s use.

This policy seems easy to deny because his official position seems highly ambiguous. Some quotations from him imply he would do it, some quotations imply he might do it, and some quotations imply he should do it but that he won’t [1]. [2]. However it does seem compatible with his proposal to terminate rules in the constitution [3], [4] because he did not like the election results, his defense of rioters involved in the attack on the Capitol, and suggestions he might pardon them, and his convictions for financial crimes being denounced as Democrat driven witch-hunts, even when a whole jury found him guilty despite knowing they and their families would be threatened by his supporters if none of them doubted his guilt.

However, in Agenda 47, which is his official public policy document, he is much clearer as to his intentions. He writes:

There is no more dire threat to the American Way of Life than the corruption and weaponization of our Justice System—and it’s happening all around us. If we cannot restore the fair and impartial rule of law, we will not be a free country.

As President, it will be my personal mission to restore the scales of justice in America. We will have fairness and equality under the law.

To that end, I will appoint U.S. Attorneys who will be the polar opposite of the Soros District Attorneys and others that are being appointed throughout the United States. Very unfair to our population. Very unfair to our country.

They will be the 100 most ferocious legal warriors against crime and Communist corruption that this country has ever seen.

Agenda47: Firing the Radical Marxist Prosecutors Destroying America
April 13, 2023

It does not take much imagination to see this as a threat to have the law ignore Republican, and allies, crimes, as this is unfair, and to appoint people who will go after his perceived enemies without any restraint at all. It is standard for authoritarian parties to hold that the law should not apply to them.

That he is trying to slur people by calling the current DoJ officers ‘Soros Attorneys’ may be taken as indicating that he plans a direct attack on the freedoms of those he disagrees with and he will purge them from the office. That he also claims the main problem is “Communist corruption” shows how fake this pretense of reforming the DoJ is. The number of communists in the USA is tiny. The number of communists in positions of power (especially in the DoJ) will be likely be non-existent. However the amount of business and corporate corruption of the kind Trump engages in seems to be very high. This is basically saying the DoJ should not go after corporate corruption, as that would be unfair and communist. By the way, Soros is not remotely a communist, he is a person that thinks corporate domination is not good, that neoliberalism leads to corporate domination and that societies should be open in their discussions of politics. In other words he disagrees with the Republican Party Machine and with Putin.

From these comments we can expect a politicised DoJ. The idea of crushing opponents seems confirmed by other promises in Agenda 47 to protect free speech in universities by getting rid of people who teach things he does not like, and protecting students from learning anything that is not Republican Propaganda. He has also promised to stop investors asking companies not to destroy the environment.

In other words ‘impartial’ means “pro-Trump”. Agree with him or else the reformed DoJ will come after you.

Part 2: Education

Part 3: Climate and energy

Sketch of Renewables, Labour and Climate

May 14, 2024

Much of this writing depends upon observations by my PhD student Priya Pillai in India. This primarily about solar and wind. It does not cover biofuels.

Solar farms

  1. Solar panels do not require much labour once they are installed. There are no moving parts, little to be serviced, nothing to be regulated, nothing to be consumed. On the whole, unless one of the electrical components breaks down, which requires skilled labour, there is almost nothing to do.
  2. It is extremely unlikely that there would be enough demand to hire a local person to do this generally non-demanding labour, full time, unless it was a huge field.
  3. The panels do need washing, which requires labour. However, it is repetitive, boring and often out in the heat unless the panels are designed so that air conditioned cleaning cars can drive between them.. Some sunlight will be reflected by the panels making the air hotter. (This needs checking but it seems plausible). If the panels are high enough for agriculture underneath, then it may require the cleaners to carry ladders in the heat.
  4. Theoretically, this labour, if done by car, could be replaced by auto-cleaning systems, with little need for human labour.
  5. The amount of labour used in solar farms, compared to the amount of energy released, is small.
  6. The main issue is paying back the capital and energy expenditure to build it.
  7. Given the low profit margins of solar during the day when it is competing against other solar, it is probable that labour expenses will be cut to make profit.
  8. The profit would probably come from stored power, but this is also competing against other stored power.
  9. With the potentially low profit margins, it might become hard to persuade corporations to lead the renewable transition. There is no ‘supply’ of materials needed to power the power stations, as there is with fossil fuels, which carry a constant profit. But competition from cheap energy may undermine even that source of revenue.

Wind Farms

  1. Wind farms do require skilled labour. They do have moving parts and machinery, and need servicing.
  2. They are more prone to breakdown and fires than are solar panels
  3. It is possible that this could provide limited skilled labour for locals. But contract and non-union labour is to be expected, with the usual high-stress lower-wages syndromes, unless unions can get involved.
  4. The labour is quite dangerous, but probably not much more than in building. [I need to check the accident rate on windfarms.]
  5. In Priya’s fieldwork, there are stories of people being injured on the wind turbine job and receiving no insurance cover.

General problems of renewable labour

  1. The labour is not intensely social. It may be more so in wind, but the people that workers interact with are limited.
  2. This will probably mean the work is not done well.
  3. Both wind and solar are outdoor jobs and likely to be subject to increasing heat. A recent International Labour Organization report estimated that 70% of the world’s 3.4 billion workforce will be exposed to excessive heat at some point. The US has no federal standards, even though the Biden administration has requested that the Occupational Safety and Health Association draft standards.
  4. When we talked to people working on a solar farm in South Australia, they remarked at the personal loss involved in the transition from a coal fired power station to solar. In the coal station, everything they did was important, and involved detailed collaboration. As supervisors of a solar farm they did very little except stand around, and it felt that nothing really depended on them. Solar work was generally boring, as well as emotionally unsatisfying. In more academic terms the work was meaningless and almost completely alienating.

Side effects

  1. In Australia one of the big side effects of renewable energy is that it may set up new or intensified inequalities in towns.
  2. Those people renting the land to the farm company get new injections of cash. If they are farmers this may mean that they are still well off in bad farming years. It may also mean that they can, again, afford to send their children away to private schools, further breaking connections with the rest of the community.
  3. Companies still tend to conduct their rental negotiations in private, and hold public ‘neoliberal consultations’ in which the result they want is already assumed.
  4. This leads to people being resentful and alienated from the setting up and installation process, and often angry that their environment is being altered, without any obvious benefit to them. To solve ecological problems, we want people to be concerned about their environment and then the process of saving it, modifies it with little consultation.
  5. Likewise the lack of jobs, and local payments (there is dispute about this, as it appears to depend entirely on the company) does not encourage acceptance. There are few local benefits to compensate for the disruption.
  6. The locals may not even get electricity from the local site.
  7. It may also be the case that the town receives lots of applications for renewable farms, and there are too many demands to process properly.

Ecological and Land problems

  1. One type of land problem for solar, is that the panels can be installed very close to the ground, altering or even destroying plant growth, or overtly removing the ground from farm or public use.
  2. These low panels with shade and ease of hiding may encourage nuisance animals
  3. In India, it seems common for land to be ‘stolen’ from people by fake contracts or contracts which people have not had explained to them, to be used for solar or wind farms. Obviously this practice leaves people in a worse place than previously.
  4. People who have sold their land, have cash, but no continuous source of income, making them vulnerable in the long term.
  5. The land taken can become private property and is fenced off. This is a problem because people have previously used the land as commons, to graze animals on.
  6. The Dalit (lowest level caste) frequently have no, to little, land. This removal of common land from the area, affects their ability to survive locally. They may not be able to graze animals, or to supervise grazing for others.
  7. Dalits often work the land of bigger land owners for wages or food. If the land is fenced off for renewable farms, there is less work available for them, and hence life becomes more precarious.
  8. There is little work on the renewable farms especially for women. Many jobs are security guards to police the borders and keep people from damaging the panels or turbines
  9. People may have to walk to nearby villages, in the heat, and compete with other locals for work rather than rely on traditional bonds.
  10. This also produces alienated labour in that people are not working for people they have long standing connections and ties to. This also renders them more vulnerable in times of stress, as mere employers will feel less responsibility.
  11. It is generally considered that women walking long distances by themselves are vulnerable to attack, or scandal. So it affects women more than men.
  12. Panels still need cleaning. This requires water. And may mean extra demands on underground aquifers. This may make water more expensive for ordinary people. There is some evidence to suggest that some companies engage in water theft, or that the water table is declining given the extra demand. Shortages may be increased due to climate change.

Climate Change

  1. Weather and ecologies will change. This is largely unpredictable in a changing complex system.
  2. Because of extra water and shade new plants can develop, with new animal life. Creatures can chew cables etc., or spread into neighboring fields.
  3. Solar farms do not want trees, or other shade plants. So they can be cut down. This might change local temperatures for labour
  4. Theoretically nothing stops farms using high solar panels, or windfarms, from grazing, or perhaps other agriculture.
  5. New flooding might be a problem, requiring labour to fix, but probably this would involve imported labour.
  6. Wind might decline or increase too much.

Community Energy

Most of these problems arise because the farms are being run by distant corporate organisations, which have few local ties beyond cash transaction. In a way they are perhaps more difficult to deal with than fossil fuel companies, who are bound to place in a way these renewable companies are not, as yet. Fossil fuel companies generally provide reasonable amounts of labour, and invest in the town, and local media (through advertisements). So at the moment, fossil fuel activity may even be more popular than renewable.

However, if people opt for, and can deliver community energy, despite all the regulatory obstacles then some of these problems may be solved.

  1. As a local organisation they will be interested in using local labour, possibly to build, and probably to maintain.
  2. They are likely to be aware of, and concerned with, heat problems for labour.
  3. The labour is slightly less likely to be alienated as people know each other from the town, and if the energy supplies the town is likely to be considered valuable.
  4. They are able to choose land that most people are happy with using.
  5. Knowing local climate and flood patterns might help local farms survive.
  6. They are more likely to consider the issues of land use, and allow alternate land use, such as grazing, if it seems possible or necessary.
  7. They are perhaps less likely to destroy common land, if it is still being used by people.
  8. The money locals pay for electricity is likely to stay in the town rather than be exported to the corporations, cities or overseas, and contribute to more local labour and investment.

Energy and Labour

Labour turns food into directable energy, often produces organisation of production and produces waste (at least excretion, and dispersed heat or entropy). The steam engine provided new energy, greater quantities of waste, ways of organising labour, and diminishing the capacity of labour to be self-supporting (in Marx’s terms, labourers no longer owned the means of production, or held the means of production in common, or by tradition).

As a source of energy, labour can be replaced by other energy, with other forms of waste generation and pollution. The intelligent and directional part of labour can be replaced by computer, or design, programs. Sometimes this change can end up providing more and better jobs, but that is tied up with power relations. Capitalists tend to design tech to get rid of costs (labour is a cost) and to get rid of their dependency on human skills. Hence the chances are high the technology design can be about disempowering laboutr Steam engines did not bring quality jobs, working or living conditions. They helped displace people from the land, greater concentration of people in cities to give greater competition for wages, and adding inhuman control over workers.

It is conceivable that with cheap renewables, cheap (possibly almost free) energy, storage, and AI, that human labour could diminish, leading to general poverty, without a new way of distributing income.

Energy tends to end up being involved in social power. Those people with social power have access to energy, whether it is human labour, the potential labour stored in money, machines, control over weaponry, and so on. As said previously in this blog, the energy and riches elite has so far been a polluter elite. Cutting pollution has been strongly resisted, and cutting energy and distributing it more equitably may also be resisted. We might even describe a more universal ‘class war’ as a struggle between the owners and controllers of energy (who want to maintain that control, power and security), and those who labour or use energy.

Steps towards solving the ecological crisis?

May 11, 2024

Start thinking in terms of complex systems and Barry Commoner’s four laws of ecology which are rephrased below..

The original formulation:

  • Everything Is Connected To Everything Else
  • Everything Must Go Somewhere
  • There Is No Such Thing as a Free Lunch
  • Nature Knows Best

Reformulated they can become

  • Everything is connected to everything else.
    • Everything is systemically complex and interacting at some level or other.
    • Hardin adds, as a corollary, that “We can never merely do one thing.” Most actions will have multiple effects, most of which we ignore.
  • All processes produce ‘by-products’ which have to go somewhere (usually on this planet).
    • If they don’t support life they probably harm it. Commoner states: “In every natural system, what is excreted by one organism as waste is taken up by another as food,” and “The absence of a particular substance from nature, is often a sign that it is incompatible with the chemistry of life.” Not thinking about this is a major cause of illth production
  • Acting requires energy, materials and consequences, which affects affecting ecologies.
    • Action does not come out of nowhere, with no cost. Commoner writes: “Because the global ecosystem is a connected whole, in which nothing can be gained or lost and which is not subject to over-all improvement, anything extracted from it by human effort must be replaced.”
    • It also points to physical entropy – every built object and organisation requires energy use to maintain.
  • Nature does it best.
    • Commoner writes: Most “major man-made change in a natural system is likely to be detrimental to that system.” It also implies that nature may be able to fix ecological problems better than humans, although the idea of maladaptive systems needs to be kept in mind.

So with these principles in mind we might need to:

Realize there are no humanly produced externalities to the human world. If we poison and destroy the world we are poisoning and destroying ourselves. Everything Is Connected To Everything Else. Everything Must Go Somewhere. There Is No Such Thing as a Free Lunch

It should be recognised that some recyclable products can be produced in such quantities that they overwhelm the recycling capacity of the economy or the planet, becoming pollution. CO2 is a good example.

Phase in laws to stop all forms of production, organisation, activity, business or agriculture from harming the environment whether it is producing greater profits or not. This will not be easy, and it will have unintended consequences, but its a guideline to aim towards.

Prohibit dumping into the sea.

Phase in laws that insist that organisations and production which harm environments remediate them as soon as possible. Make sure the business puts money aside as the project continues, so that they can’t escape the costs through bankruptcy. If the land cannot be remediated then stop the production. This again will be resisted. The fact that it is resisted shows something about the systems we have in place. There Is No Such Thing as a Free Lunch

Remediation should involve restoring the ecology to as close as possible to its previous levels of complexity. Planting a monoculture of grass or trees is not remediation. Planting and abandoning the planting to die, is not remediation. Nature Knows Best

Companies will almost certainly try and pull out before they face the costs and leave the taxpayers with the costs, hence the phase in, to allow them to adapt, and start remediation. However, even if they just stop the harm that will be good. There Is No Such Thing as a Free Lunch

Stop massive deforestation, and any further cutting of non previously cut forests. That should follow from the attempts to stop ecological harm.

Stop dispossessing people from their land. This is far commoner than we might think.

Reduce pollution and make the waste from all operations recyclable by ecologies or economies. This also should follow from stopping ecological harm.

Scrap the production of objects (intentionally or unintentionally) which cannot be processed, back to their initial components by existing bacteria, or other natural processes, or which are poisonous to humans.

it might be useful to encourage laws which make it compulsory for the input to factories and businesses to include the output, to give them an incentive to clean up the output. Everything Must Go Somewher

Stopping pollution is more important than financial compensation, but such compensation should be payable to those who have been damaged by pollution.

Make sure there is a fund so that polluted communities can afford to deal with those that pollute them, and get recompense.

This list of things implies:

  • Reduction of GHG emission especially from agriculture and burning fossil fuels..
  • regenerative agriculture or regenerative ecology to fix soils and ecologies, as similarly to natural processes as possible.
  • Scrapping meat feedlots unless the pollution can be controlled and diminished

The aim is to stop activity which destroys or harms life on the planet and disrupts the planetary cycles.

The worse climate change gets, the more expensive it will be to stop making the climate even worse.

Media climate denial

April 21, 2024

A list of points in the Globalist Billionaire owned Murdoch media (Fox, Australian, Sun, Aus Daily Telegraph, etc). What am I missing?:

* There is no such thing as global warming,

* Global warming is natural and we can’t do anything,

* Climate change is not a big deal. The climate is always changing.

* Fixing global warming will destroy the economy and destroy jobs,

* Fixing global warming harms all the fun in life,

* Fixing climate will destroy your liberty, especially your liberty to make your own smog,

* The problem is population, not how much GHG are emitted per head of population

* There are more important things to worry about than climate change,

* Its a socialist conspiracy and we should ignore it,

* Look! this renewable farm destroys a forest! (lets ignore coal, fracking, oil and gas damage),

* We need more oil,

* The problem will get fixed by the free market, so there is nothing we need do.

Modern fascism and the hatred cycle

April 20, 2024

Summary:

Fascism involves self hatred, directed at outgroup others under the guidance of a leader seeking total power and total support. The leader generates hatred of the outgroup, in order to build cohesion in the ingroup, and stop members of the ingroup talking with members of the outgroup, and getting different perspectives. This hatred may further help to reduce anxiety by distracting people from the real challenges their society faces and which the established elites don’t want to face either.

The Fascist leader

The fascist leader is always important. The leader tends to claim that he is insightful and clever, and able to benefit the nation through mysterious means; maybe God, fate, or The sacred Market is on their side? However, beyond raising hatred their actual policies and means of implementation of those policies are usually not very clear, or involve vague feel good statements: “We will build the economy to be strong again,” “we will restore true liberty,” “We will bring unity and might back to the country,” “We will avenge our fallen,” “We will stop [outgroup X] from destroying the country” etc.

The people who support the leader become special by supporting the leader’s heroic work and imagining they belong to that leader’s ingroup. Through this bonding and sense of shared labour, they become essential to the recovery of the pure Nation. They have purpose and meaning in their lives.

One certain thing is that although the Leader may attack the elites who he claims are persecuting and holding the populace down, the Leader will always seek the support of a large part of the establishment by rewarding them, and showing people what will happen to people who don’t support him. The wealth and power elites will be fine, as long as they don’t inspire his hatred, by challenging him or mocking him. They will also support him financially as it’s a worthwhile investment, if they judge he has any hope of winning.

Background to Hatred

The important thing is hatred. The Leader identifies those who are to be hated, and justifies that hatred along with the followers, who support the hatred. This builds the ingroup and its loyalties through dismissing other people.

There is always a background to the hate. Hatred does arise out of nowhere. The people have to be desperate, or motivated to embrace hatred against fellow citizens.

However, as well as vague hatred towards the elites who have failed in their job of helping the people, there may well be widespread and painful self-hatred.

In the contemporary USA, for example, the promise is that everyone can get rich. That promise is no longer true, if it has ever been true. However, at one time upwards mobility was possible for a lot of the population so it is part of the story and of people’s experience or their parents experience. Nowadays many of the middle classes may perceive their status as precarious and that they are facing a downward trajectory, or their children will be going down, due to education debts, increasing housing prices, costs of medical procedures, costs of energy, lack of wage increases above inflation, etc.

The only common explanation allowed by mainstream capitalist politics for this perceived decline in possibilities of prosperity, is personal failure or lack of hard work, not economic structures, not the real power and wealth elites, not ecological collapse, not business failure, not ‘free markets’ leading to plutocracy, or whatever. So they main option to explain things is self-hatred for that failure. They have failed their families and in their lives, by not doing what is expected or demanded for survival. If they are religious, then they may have to hate themselves for sinning, of for not getting God to bless them with money, as well. Personal failure often generates self-hatred, which acts to reinforce this resolution, and it is likely to be common in this kind of situation. Self-hatred is a powerful, discomforting and unacceptable force.

Formerly reasonably well off people may also see, or think that they see, that minorities are receiving help and gaining a status that they feel they were never offered. Employers may say, “you did not get the job because you are white”, rather than you did not get the job because we wanted to give it to the boss’s nephew, or because you did not have any experience. This ‘pleasant’ excuse builds added resentment against outgroup members. Or people may see that those who would not have received work, such as women, can now get better work than they do. The formerly well off have gone downhill, and hatred is easily shifted from self to others if people are given an excuse, or if the hatred against others is shared and reinforced by the ingroup.

The Force of Hatred

The fascist leader relieves people by saying the problem is not the result of personal failure but because of outsiders: communists, gay people, transgender people, feminists, Jews, immigrants, Muslims, atheists, Black People, Chinese people, etc. These people as groups, realistically have almost no influence on what happens in society, they are minorities. However, the leader tells their followers that the presence of these foul people explains why their prosperity has declined, their survival is threatened, and why they feel displaced from their own culture. The leader may also attack some people who might be real obstacles to the leader such as opposition parties, the media that is not 100% behind them and so on. These people can also be threatened and used in order to create the sense of a vast noxious conspiracy from which the leader will save ‘us’ good Americans (or whatever).

Self-hatred transformed

Under the Leader’s direction self-hatred can be suppressed, transformed and projected onto the scum he has identified, while the faithful validate themselves by working to reclaim the country’s glorious past. The point of projection, and why it works as a defense mechanism, is that it allows people to stop feeling self-hatred through feeling hatred for others.

As the leader keeps harping on how the outsiders are corrupting, destructive and evil, and need to be removed, no one need feel guilty about their hatred or about attacking the scum themselves. Attacking these people is perhaps distasteful as people might rather not engage with the vile creatures at all, but it is heroic. People who fight against the outgroups are glorious self-sacrificing martyrs to the great cause. If supporters are arrested and convicted it is because the minorities have corrupted the legal system, into a system of witch hunts, or they are really hostages to the corrupt order, held captive until the leader can free them, and welcome them back into the fold. Judges who convict well-intentioned fellow fascists are among the real enemies of the Country, and will have their comeuppance under the new regime of the Leader.

The Fascist leader promises to break the destructive power of these minorities, to restore the image of the perfect citizen, male, straight and of the right race and religion.

Women

Women who are affiliated with the brave and honorable men who attack corrupting scum are acceptable, as long as they recognise the prime function of women is motherhood and caring for the family. They too must show their purity by supporting their men, hating the minorities, oppositions and women who support minorities, or who want other things than motherhood and family and who are not chaste.

Hatred serves the movement and blocks communication

The hatred not only builds a more relaxed psychology for the haters (they are now justified and hating others not themselves), and they have been given a promising (if vague) imagined future, but it forges ties between the faithful and gives them a simple unity of purpose to get rid of (or break the power) of those the Leader has identified as evil. This purpose fills the previous self-hating aimlessness of their lives. As said previously, the hatred they share for these outsiders bonds them to the leader, to the ingroup, and to the vision of the future they choose.

This hatred further blocks communication as the fascists know that the outgroups have nothing worth listening to, and that anything people in the outgroups might say would, at best, be corrupting, and therefore to be rejected automatically. Likewise, people in the outgroups refrain from trying to communicate with fascists, because they think fascists are vicious and stupid. Fascists name call the opposition and the opposition responds similarly.

The abuse may trigger existing self-hatred, but this time the fascists know they are in the right, and can strike back transferring their hatred onto the abusers. This kind of action reinforces the lack of communication and the lack of mutual respect or mutual empathy. It keeps groups apart.

Calling fascists names serves the fascists, and helps them to build and rigidify the ingroup and outgroups and helps justify their cause – people will not listen to their real grievances. When outsiders call the Leader names, this also shows that the Leader is one of ‘us’ suffering the same condemnation and persecution as ‘we’ do. This abuse shows the greatness of the cause, and its necessity, and justifies action against other citizens.

The cycle of hatred becomes a positive feedback cycle, which then helps reinforce and justify the hatred, which is one of the bases of the Leader’s power.

Political Hatred as Defense Mechanism

The mutual hatred may also distract people from real and overwhelming challenges the society faces, such as climate change, predatory capitalism, growing differentials in wealth, alienation from the state etc. allowing the situation to get worse, and allowing the elites to avoid doing anything to solve the problems that people face. The elites may encourage the fascism, precisely because it allows this avoidance, and the Leader does not appear to face up to the real problems either. This also helps reduce the stress of fascist followers. They can relax, knowing that their are no problems the leader cannot solve, by getting rid of the evil outgroups that arouse anxiety.

Australian National Climate Risk Assessment.

April 9, 2024

The first draft of the Australian National Climate Risk Assessment, seemed to bypass the media.

It identified identified 56 nationally significant climate risks within 7 out of the 8 systems it looked at. 11 of these risks were identified as being of severe impact.

The priority risks cover

  • environmental stress;
  • agriculture and food;
  • outback living;
  • health and social support;
  • infrastructure;
  • defence and national security;
  • communities and settlement;
  • water security;
  • supply chains;
  • economy, trade and finance; and
  • governance.

the Government is asking for responses…..

https://www.dcceew.gov.au/climate-change/publications/ncra-first-pass-risk-assessment

May be an image of ‎map and ‎text that says '‎Figure 1 Overview of observed and projected trends in Australia's climate hazards More severe fire weather days Fewer but more intense tropical cyclones More frequent heatwaves and hot days over 35°C ゼ 歌な Increase in heavy rainfall and flood risk More time spent in drought m M Sea level rise and increase in coastal flooding Likely increase in hailstorm days اب ኦ قطلي Fewer extratropical storms but with heavier rainfall More coastal erosion and changes to shorelines Increase in ocean temperatures and acidity OM 入‎'‎‎

Another source of information mess

April 9, 2024

Intellectual humility is usually taken to be a virtue, but recent research by Matteo ColomboKevin StrangmannLieke HoukesZhasmina Kostadinova & Mark J. Brandt reports that Intellectual humility may also have a relationship with prejudice. They state:

  • First, people are systematically prejudiced towards members of groups perceived as dissimilar.
  • Second, intellectual humility weakens the association between perceived dissimilarity and prejudice.
  • Third, more intellectual humility is associated with more prejudice overall. 

“That is, the higher a participant score on the measures of intellectual humility, the more prejudice they express on average across all of the groups…” They also tie this to justification and good evidence

The basic idea is that those high in IH will tolerate a plurality of views and values and would not be prejudiced against those views and values. However, when the groups who hold these views and values are perceived to be low in IH, this will elicit a higher overall prejudicial response in those high in IH…. our findings might be driven not by the views associated with target social groups, but by the perceived epistemic attitudes associated with them.

I guess when I think about it, the results do make sense. Intellectually humble people are quite possibly likely to be dogmatists and go with the crowd or with authority of their crowd, and think a few confirming cases of their dogma prove universality.

For example. Let us suppose my crowd believes “Theory Q”. A skeptic might wonder about the truth/accuracy of theory Q, because that is their general position – they ‘arrogantly’ assume that some other people, can be wrong. However, a humble person like myself is likely to say, “I don’t understand Theory Q, it seems contradictory, and not in keeping with my experience, but all these people I admire go along with it. Is it more likely that they are wrong, or that I am lacking in understanding?” Being aware of my own intellectual limits I must assume they are more likely to be correct and I am deficient in some way.

Accepting Theory Q, may have the secondary reinforcement that it also makes life pleasant. Most other people I know, can accept me, as I go along with their dogma and assertions. It adds to my peace. So intellectually humble persons ‘logically’ support Theory Q dogma, no matter what misery it brings to themselves or others, and do not get carried away with the conceit of skepticism.

If the people I dislike, because they are in a socially disapproved outgroup, also happen to deny Theory Q, then their obvious lack of virtue, the arrogance with which they dismiss Theory Q, etc, leads me to be glad I am with people who believe theory Q. Its part of who we are. If I disagreed with theory Q then I must be like one of the despised outgroup and that cannot be. I would loose my support and meaning in life. I may not recognise that the outgroup is not being arrogant in its dislike of Theory Q, they may even object to it mildly, but how could I see that, when it is a mystery to me?

Of course if I were already to believe Theory Q, then I can stick with it, whatever the evidence, because again people I admire and trust go along with the dogma as well. Perhaps people they have been taught to dislike do not like theory Q. In either case, this dogmatism supports the rest of the group in its dogmatism. People cheerfully bring in evidence for the position and ignore counter evidence together, and chuckle at the idiots in the outgroup who are skeptical.

If people I admire etc, tell me that all people who are Z are also Y, then why not believe them? Especially if people who are Z seem visibly in the outgroup. What would I know? If I find that a person who is Z is rude to me, or hostile to me, it confirms that the dogma is correct, even if I have encountered people who are Z and I did not know it (they are perhaps hiding because of the general assertion they are Y) or they were quite pleasant even with my prejudice against them on display.

If some of this ‘reasoning’ is correct then intellectually humble people, or people who recognise the world is terribly complicated, can perhaps easily become dogmatic and non skeptical of their socially directed biases. They might even congratulate themselves on their intellectual humility, as it leads them to believe things they would not ordinarily believe and lets them be ‘saved’ or remain part of their identity group.